LH
Lakeside Holding Ltd (LSH)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue fell to $3,595,589, down 26.9% year over year, with an overall gross loss of $42,231 and diluted EPS of $(0.26); management cited industry-wide headwinds and sharply lower airfreight volumes as primary drivers .
- Cross-border airfreight revenue declined 35.5% to $2.0M (tons processed down to ~4,459 from ~8,217), and ocean freight revenue decreased 24.2% to $1.4M (TEU down to 1,046 from 1,330) .
- Asia-based customer revenue grew 5.7% YoY in Q4 to $2.75M and 29.4% YoY in 1H to $5.56M, while U.S.-based customer revenue fell 72.9% YoY in Q4 to $0.63M, reflecting a strategic shift toward Asia-based e-commerce customers .
- New pharmaceutical distribution launched in December contributed $218,086 of revenue at a 44.2% gross margin in Q4; recent partnerships with Sinopharm and Kelun plus the DFW expansion underpin diversification and potential catalysts for medium-term growth .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Pharmaceutical distribution revenue began at $218,086 in Q4 with a 44.2% gross margin, adding a new, higher-margin revenue stream .
- Asia-based customer revenue increased 5.7% YoY in Q4 and 29.4% YoY in 1H, validating the strategic focus on cross-border e-commerce; management: “The strong growth in our Asia-based customer revenues, up 29.4% in the first half, validates our strategic shift…” .
- Operational scaling: DFW warehouse space more than doubled to 46,657 sq. ft. to support demand; CEO: “We have expanded our production capacity to accommodate higher volumes…” .
What Went Wrong
- Airfreight volumes fell sharply to ~4,459 tons (from ~8,217), driving revenue down 35.5% to $2.0M; ocean TEU declined to 1,046 (from 1,330), with ocean revenue down 24.2% to $1.4M .
- Gross profitability deteriorated to a Q4 gross loss of $42,231 (vs $1,064,509 gross profit in Q4 2023) amid higher cost of revenue and fixed overhead burden .
- G&A expenses rose to $1,911,853 in Q4 (53.2% of revenue), up 94.1% YoY, reflecting salaries/benefits and public company costs; net loss was $1.9M vs $0.06M net income in Q4 2023 .
Financial Results
Segment revenue
Quarterly KPIs and mix
Guidance Changes
Note: No quantitative ranges provided for revenue/EPS/EBITDA/tax rate/segment guidance in the quarter’s materials; commentary was directional only .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “While we faced industry-wide headwinds in the second quarter, we’ve made tremendous strategic progress… The strong growth in our Asia-based customer revenues, up 29.4% in the first half, validates our strategic shift…” — Henry Liu, Chairman & CEO .
- “We anticipate a rebound in revenue for the next quarter, driven by increased air freight demand for the upcoming holiday season… backed by our investments in advanced logistics technology and strategic facility expansions, including our new Dallas-Fort Worth site.” — Henry Liu .
- On diversification: Acquisition of Hupan Pharmaceutical expected ~$7M annual revenue, new agreements with Sinopharm and Kelun to deepen China healthcare logistics presence .
Q&A Highlights
- No earnings call transcript was available; management scheduled an earnings conference call for February 17 with webcast access, but a published transcript could not be located in the document set .
- Key clarifications from press materials centered on airfreight headwinds, Asia mix shift, and the launch of pharmaceutical distribution (no numerical guidance ranges provided) .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 could not be retrieved at query time due to SPGI request limits; therefore, quantitative comparisons to Street estimates are unavailable in this recap. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The quarter’s miss vs prior year was driven by airfreight volume collapse and higher fixed overhead costs, resulting in a Q4 gross loss and EPS of $(0.26) .
- Mix shift toward Asia-based customers continues to build, with 1H revenues +29.4% YoY and Q4 Asia revenue +5.7% YoY; U.S. customer revenue fell 72.9% YoY in Q4 .
- New pharma distribution is an emerging growth pillar with attractive margins (44.2% in Q4); diversified partnerships (Sinopharm, Kelun, Huiyu) bolster medium-term optionality .
- Operating leverage is a near-term headwind: G&A reached $1.91M (53.2% of revenue) in Q4; stabilizing costs and scaling pharma and Asia e-commerce volumes are critical to margin recovery .
- Capacity investments (DFW expansion to 46,657 sq. ft.) and platform integrations (API) position Lakeside to capture demand recovery, but visibility remains directional rather than quantified .
- With directional guidance only and the lack of available Street estimates, investors should monitor subsequent disclosures for quantitative outlook and watch Q3 FY2025 execution on airfreight recovery and pharma scaling .
- Tactical implication: near-term sentiment likely hinges on evidence of airfreight volume stabilization and margin recapture; medium-term thesis depends on successful diversification and Asia-focused growth translating into sustained gross profit expansion .