Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

LT

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 delivered strong growth with revenue up 18.7% to $663.3M, Adjusted EBITDA up 28.5% to $177.0M, and Adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 210 bps to 26.7% on record retention, higher average dues, and robust in‑center spend; comparable center revenue growth accelerated to 13.5% .
  • Management raised FY25 guidance vs. the January pre‑announcement: revenue to $2.925–$2.975B (from $2.910–$2.970B), Adjusted EBITDA to $780–$800M (from $760–$780M), and net income to $277–$284M (from $262–$269M), citing stronger early‑2025 dues and retention trends and cost control; interest expense guided to ~$90–$94M and tax rate ~27% .
  • Balance sheet and liquidity improved: net debt leverage fell to 2.28x (vs. 3.61x in 2023), liquidity was $619.7M; 2025 plan is to maintain ≤2.25x leverage and ~$1.5B debt, funding growth with operating cash flow and $250–$350M of expected sale‑leasebacks at ~6.5%–7% cap rates per management commentary .
  • Strategic catalysts: LT Digital has >1.7M subscribers growing >100k/month, “Lacy” AI companion and an Investor Day targeted for early summer/early August, MIORA longevity offering ramping, and LTH supplements scaling—management expects these asset‑light initiatives to support in‑center growth and brand reach .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record engagement and retention drove the highest revenue per membership in Life Time’s 32‑year history; CEO: “We exceeded every single financial objective we had set forth” .
  • Mix and margin: Adjusted EBITDA grew 28.5% to $177.0M with margin up to 26.7%; net debt leverage improved to 2.28x vs. 3.61x in 2023, with $619.7M of available liquidity at year end .
  • In‑center momentum: management highlighted personal training comps nearly tripled YoY in Q4 at comparable clubs, reinforcing ancillary spend strength .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential revenue declined from $693.2M in Q3 to $663.3M in Q4, and memberships fell by 14,440 QoQ to 812,062—consistent with seasonality; G&A also rose 13.1% on higher share‑based comp and benefits .
  • GAAP earnings included a $10.3M write‑off of unamortized debt costs tied to Q4 refinancing, pressuring GAAP net income vs. non‑GAAP; Adjusted net income was $60.3M (vs. GAAP $37.2M) .
  • Q4 free cash flow was $26.5M (vs. $138.3M in Q3), as higher capex and no Q4 sale‑leaseback proceeds muted FCF despite strong operating cash flow .

Financial Results

Headline P&L and KPIs (USD, unless noted)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$667.8 $693.2 $663.3
Revenue YoY %+18.9% +18.5% +18.7%
Net Income ($M)$52.8 $41.4 $37.2
Diluted EPS ($)$0.26 $0.19 $0.17
Net Income Margin %7.9% 6.0% 5.6%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$173.5 $180.3 $177.0
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %26.0% 26.0% 26.7%
Comparable Center Revenue Growth %12.0% 12.1% 13.5%
Center Memberships (EOP)832,636 826,502 812,062
Avg Center Revenue per Membership$794 $815 $796

Revenue Mix and “Segments”

Revenue MixQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Membership Dues & Enrollment ($M)$462.7 (71.7%) $488.1 (72.3%) $477.8 (73.9%)
In‑Center Revenue ($M)$182.3 (28.3%) $186.7 (27.7%) $168.6 (26.1%)
Total Center Revenue ($M)$645.0 $674.8 $646.4
Other Revenue ($M)$22.8 $18.5 $16.9
Total Revenue ($M)$667.8 $693.2 $663.3

Cash Flow, Capex, Leverage, Footprint

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Cash from Operating Activities ($M)$170.4 $151.1 $163.1
Free Cash Flow ($M)$175.1 $138.3 $26.5
Total Capex ($M)$144.3 $87.1 $136.3
Net Debt Leverage (x)3.0x 2.4x 2.28x
Total Centers (EOP)175 177 179

Estimates vs. Actuals

  • Wall Street (S&P Global) quarterly consensus for Q4 2024 and the prior two quarters was unavailable via the S&P Global API at the time of this analysis; therefore beat/miss cannot be determined. S&P Global consensus unavailable.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025$2.910–$2.970B $2.925–$2.975B Raised
Net IncomeFY 2025$262–$269M $277–$284M Raised
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$760–$780M $780–$800M Raised
RentFY 2025$337–$347M $337–$347M Maintained
Interest Expense (net)FY 2025~$90–$94M ~$90–$94M Maintained
Tax RateFY 2025~27% New detail
Cash TaxesFY 2025$58–$62M New detail
Comparable Center RevenueFY 20257%–8% 7%–8% Maintained
New CentersFY 202510–12 10–12 Maintained

Management also reiterated plans to keep net leverage at or below 2.25x and fund growth with operating cash flow plus sale‑leaseback proceeds .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Q‑2)Q3 2024 (Q‑1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
Retention, Dues, PricingAvg revenue/member $794; raised FY24 guide; net leverage 3.0x Avg revenue/member $815; deleveraging to 2.4x; positive FCF pre‑SLB Record retention; avg revenue/member $796; management expects >26% EBITDA margins Strengthening retention/dues
In‑center revenue, PTSolid in‑center mix (28.3%) In‑center $186.7M; comps 12.1% PT comps nearly tripled YoY in Q4 comps stores Accelerating
Leverage & LiquidityNet leverage 3.0x Net leverage 2.4x; liquidity $529.7M Net leverage 2.28x; liquidity $619.7M; target ≤2.25x Improving
Sale‑leasebacks4 properties, $142.7M proceeds 2 properties, ~$65M 2025 SLB expected $250–$350M; cap rates ~6.5%–7% Increasing
New Center Pipeline3 opens; 175 clubs 2 opens; 177 clubs 2 opens; 179 clubs; plan 10–12 in 2025 Robust
AI / Technology“Lacy” AI companion; Investor Day early summer/August targeted Emerging
LTH SupplementsExpanded LTH supplements; month‑over‑month growth; product line unveiled Nov 4 Ramping
MIORA (longevity)MIORA scaling; second location imminent; low attrition vs. base Ramping

Management Commentary

  • “We exceeded every single financial objective we had set forth… record levels of member engagement… record membership retention, driving the highest revenue per membership we have seen in our 32‑year history.” — Bahram Akradi, CEO .
  • “We have continued to expand our operating margins and now expect to achieve adjusted EBITDA margins in excess of 26%.” — Erik Weaver, CFO .
  • “We intend to maintain our current debt levels of approximately $1.5 billion… This implies a net debt leverage ratio of less than 2x by the end of this year.” — CEO .
  • “We have agreements… about $240–$250 million [of] sale‑leaseback from us for this year… $250–$300–$350 million sale‑leaseback… easily in the expectation for this year.” — CEO .
  • “LT Digital… has more than 1.7 million subscribers and it's growing more than 100,000 per month… [We] are about to open our second [MIORA] location next week.” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Funding growth and SLB market: Company expects $250–$350M of sale‑leasebacks in 2025 with long‑standing partners at ~6.5%–7% cap rates; proceeds will be recycled into growth while maintaining ~$1.5B debt and sub‑2.25x leverage .
  • Guidance raise rationale: Early 2025 trends—strong average dues, retention, and cost control—drove a lift in EBITDA guidance vs. mid‑January pre‑announce .
  • Comps cadence: Management expects Q1 comp to run above the 7%–8% FY guide due to lapping prior initiatives, with normalization into Q2–Q4 .
  • Capacity, pricing, enrollment fees: For saturated clubs, pricing/enrollment fees are used to manage demand; the company has systematically repriced legacy customers to rack rate over the past ~18 months, supporting dues growth .
  • In‑center and PT momentum: Comparable PT revenue nearly tripled YoY in Q4 comps stores; kids programming and camps remain a key differentiator with record participation .
  • AI and Investor Day: Significant AI initiatives under “Lacy” are planned to be showcased at an Investor Day targeted for early summer/early August .

Estimates Context

  • Consensus (S&P Global) quarterly EPS/Revenue/EBITDA estimates for Q4 2024 and the prior two quarters could not be retrieved via the S&P Global API at the time of analysis. As a result, we do not present beat/miss determinations versus Wall Street expectations. S&P Global consensus unavailable.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operating momentum remains robust: comps accelerated to 13.5%, margins expanded to 26.7%, and retention/dues support durable revenue flow‑through .
  • De‑risked balance sheet and lower interest burden: net leverage at 2.28x with a path to ≤2.25x; FY25 net interest guided to ~$90–$94M, benefiting from refinancing and debt paydown .
  • 2025 outlook raised: revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and net income all increased vs. January pre‑announcement—near‑term catalyst for sentiment and estimate revisions once Street data is accessible .
  • Growth funding intact without over‑levering: $250–$350M expected sale‑leasebacks plus operating cash flow support 10–12 openings in 2025 while holding debt roughly flat at ~$1.5B .
  • Asset‑light flywheel emerging: LT Digital (>1.7M subs), LTH supplements, and MIORA longevity offer incremental in‑center and product monetization vectors with limited capital intensity; Investor Day could crystallize medium‑term upside .
  • Watch items: seasonal Q4 sequential downtick; elevated share‑based comp contributing to G&A; Q4 FCF moderated absent sale‑leaseback proceeds—monitor capex cadence and SLB execution through 2025 .

Appendix: Additional Context

  • Q4 non‑GAAP reconciliation highlights include a $10.3M write‑off of unamortized debt costs tied to Q4 refinancing, impacting GAAP results; Adjusted Net Income was $60.3M and Adjusted Diluted EPS $0.27 .
  • 2025 operating assumptions include non‑cash rent expense of $35–$38M, ~27% tax rate, and $58–$62M cash taxes; comparable center revenue growth of 7%–8% .
  • Relevant prior‑quarter baselines: Q2 revenue $667.8M, Adj. EBITDA $173.5M; Q3 revenue $693.2M, Adj. EBITDA $180.3M; both delivered strong YoY growth and deleveraging progress .

Sources: LTH Q4/FY24 earnings press release and 8‑K, earnings call transcript, preliminary Q4 release, and relevant Q2/Q3 press releases .