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Luvu Brands, Inc. (LUVU)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record net sales of $6.9M (+2.2% YoY) with Liberator strength offset by declines in Jaxx/outdoor; gross margin compressed to 25.6% from 26.6% YoY and adjusted EBITDA fell to $0.48M, indicating mix and macro headwinds .
  • Sequentially softer vs Q2: revenue down from $8.1M, gross profit down from $2.3M, adjusted EBITDA down from $0.88M, and net income down from $0.70M, reflecting seasonality and outdoor softness .
  • Management struck a cautious tone, citing “conservative growth expectations” given broader macro uncertainty while targeting ~20% inventory reduction and adding automation to support margins .
  • Segment mix shift to higher-margin Liberator (Q3: $4.5M, +38% YoY; 65% of sales) is a positive structural trend and potential catalyst, with mainstream channel expansion (Rooms To Go, Tractor Supply) highlighted on the call .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Liberator momentum: sales rose 38% YoY to $4.5M with Liberator at “a 5-year rising to 65% of sales,” driven by marketing and mainstream acceptance of sexual wellness .
  • Operational focus: management added purchasing talent, pursued just‑in‑time sourcing, and “adding additional automation...to reduce labor costs,” aiming to bolster margins despite cost pressures .
  • Strategic channel expansion: “Rooms To Go has placed orders for Jaxx beanbags” and ~60 Jaxx products loaded on Tractor Supply, broadening distribution beyond e‑commerce .

What Went Wrong

  • Jaxx/outdoor weakness: Jaxx sales fell 36% YoY to $1.2M; management flagged weather, post‑pandemic demand softening, and rising competition as drivers .
  • Margin compression and profitability: gross margin slipped to 25.6% (from 26.6% YoY); adjusted EBITDA declined to $0.48M (from $0.62M YoY) and net income fell to $0.29M (from $0.45M YoY) .
  • Macro headwinds and inventory: management emphasized cautious growth outlook and noted elevated fabric/outdoor material inventories that require aggressive reduction to free space and protect cash .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L and Cash (Q1–Q3 FY2023; oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$8.1 $8.1 $6.9
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$2.0 $2.3 $1.8
Gross Margin (%)24.5% 27.8% 25.6%
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$1.397 $1.476 $1.386
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$0.675 $0.877 $0.484
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.492 $0.695 $0.293
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.01 $0.01 $0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$1.348 $1.875 $1.353

Notes: Q2 press materials reference “adjusted operating margin” of 27.8%, which aligns with reported gross margin; CFO explicitly cites gross margin at 27.8% in Q2, indicating a labeling inconsistency in the release .

Segment Revenue Mix (Q1–Q3 FY2023; oldest → newest)

SegmentQ1 2023 ($M)Q2 2023 ($M)Q3 2023 ($M)
Liberator$5.1 $4.9 $4.5
Jaxx$1.8 $2.1 $1.2
Avana$0.6 $0.5 $0.6
Products Purchased for Resale$0.3 $0.4 $0.3
Other Revenue$0.3 $0.3 $0.3

KPIs and Operating Notes

KPI / NoteQ1 2023Q2 2023Q3 2023
Liberator share of sales65% (up from 48% last year)
E‑commerce mix“about 85% e‑commerce” (own sites + channels)
Inventory planTarget ~20% inventory reduction rest of FY2023
New channelsRooms To Go exploring; regional chains interest Rooms To Go order placed; 60 Jaxx SKUs at Tractor Supply

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY2023 remainderNot provided“Conservative growth expectations” given macro uncertainty Maintained caution
Gross MarginFY2023Not providedFocus on improvements via sourcing/automation; no numeric range Qualitative focus
Operating ExpensesFY2023Not provided~20% of net sales in Q3; no forward range Not guided
InventoryFY2023Not providedTarget ~20% reduction in remaining months New operational target
Dividends/Tax/OI&E/SegmentsFY2023Not providedNo numeric guidance disclosed N/A

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2023 (Nov’22)Q2 2023 (Feb’23)Q3 2023 (May’23)Trend
Macro outlookExpect headwinds but confident in brands and initiatives “Short‑term challenge” risk to accelerated trend; cautious on margins “Conservative growth expectations” amid global concerns Sustained caution
Gross margin driversSlight improvement; DTC strength; equipment investments underway Gross margin 27.8%; economies of scale; conveyor line impact Margin down to 25.6%; pursuing automation and sourcing savings Volatile; ops actions ongoing
Segment performanceLiberator +86% YoY; Netflix exposure Liberator +49% YoY; Jaxx −11% Liberator +38% YoY; Jaxx −36% (outdoor softness) Liberator strong; Jaxx outdoor weak
Channel expansionAdding mass market e‑tailers; retail interest Regional furniture chains; education/commercial; ORION EU growth Rooms To Go order; Tractor Supply SKUs; mainstream acceptance Broadening
Inventory managementDomestic manufacturing agility Mexico sewing ~35%; working capital up Target ~20% inventory reduction; fabric/outdoor material overhang Tighter controls
Marketing/brandingMultichannel PPC/social; Rolling Stone ads; mainstream push Continued PPC; DTC content; made‑in‑USA positioning Performance marketing; Meta ad constraints; Liberatorstore.com workaround Content‑led growth

Management Commentary

  • “Although Luvu Brands is up 15% in revenue for the first nine months with improving gross margins, we are moving forward with conservative growth expectations...We share concerns about potential broader challenges facing the U.S. and world economies” – CEO Louis Friedman .
  • “We have added talent to our purchasing team...adding additional automation...to reduce our labor costs...We are targeting an inventory reduction of about 20%” – CEO Louis Friedman .
  • “The Liberator collection is at a 5‑year rising to 65% of sales...primarily due to marketing across our mainstream channels” – Sales Director Jordan Friedman .
  • “Rooms To Go has placed orders for Jaxx beanbags...we loaded 60 Jaxx products on Tractor Supply” – CEO Louis Friedman .

Q&A Highlights

  • Liberator growth drivers: decades‑long brand investment, mainstream acceptance of sexual wellness, cross‑branding with Avana for mainstream channels, and Netflix exposure; management emphasized assistive use‑cases and broad demographics .
  • Performance marketing constraints: PPC on Google/Amazon effective; Meta limitations for adult content led to Liberatorstore.com to comply with ad policies .
  • Inventory and channel order flow: fabric/outdoor inventories elevated; proactive reduction plan; Rooms To Go order shipping partly in Q4; Tractor Supply product listings live; cautious near‑term outlook .
  • Mix and e‑commerce: ~85% e‑commerce; rapid product launch capability across marketplaces supports agility and throughput .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q3 2023 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA). Estimates were unavailable at the time of request due to data access limits; coverage for micro‑cap OTC names can be sparse. As a result, we cannot assess beats/misses vs Wall Street consensus for this quarter [Values from S&P Global unavailable].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Liberator mix shift is structurally positive: stronger margins and mainstream adoption underpin long‑term thesis; watch continued penetration of mass retail and content‑driven DTC channels .
  • Near‑term caution warranted: sequential softness from Q2 and margin compression in Q3 reflect seasonality and outdoor category headwinds; monitor execution on inventory reduction and automation benefits .
  • Channel catalysts: Rooms To Go and Tractor Supply broaden reach; conversion and reorder velocity will be key for sustained Jaxx recovery and overall growth .
  • Operational discipline: targeted inventory actions and sourcing/automation initiatives should support cash and margin resilience through macro uncertainty .
  • Watch for guidance clarity: management provides qualitative outlooks without numeric guidance; additional disclosure (e.g., margin targets, capex cadence) would aid expectations setting .
  • Cross‑check metrics: Q2 press language on “adjusted operating margin” appears to reference gross margin; use CFO’s margin references for accuracy when modeling .
  • Subsequent update to finance leadership (Sept 2023 CFO change) indicates continued focus on financial discipline; monitor any changes to reporting cadence or capital policy .