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LH

LUXFER HOLDINGS PLC (LXFR)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 delivered steady sales and materially stronger profitability: GAAP Net Sales were $99.4M (+2.1% YoY), Adjusted Net Sales (ex-Graphic Arts) were $91.4M (+1.2% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA ex-legal rose to $13.5M with margin of 14.8% (+260bps YoY), and Adjusted Diluted EPS ex-legal was $0.27 (+35% YoY) .
  • Guidance raised for FY 2024: Adjusted EBITDA (ex-legal) to $45–$47M and Adjusted Diluted EPS (ex-legal) to $0.88–$0.94; including legal recoveries, EBITDA to $52–$54M and EPS to $1.09–$1.14. Free cash flow raised to $35–$37M. Net leverage expected to improve to ~1.1x by year-end. This was the key stock reaction catalyst .
  • Positive operational drivers: lower input costs (magnesium) and pricing discipline drove margin expansion; Elektron rebounded (Defense, First Response & Healthcare, RotaMag), while Gas Cylinders margins improved on long-term contracts despite softer volumes. Cash from operations was $12.8M; FCF $9.3M; net debt reduced to $66.0M (1.3x net leverage) .
  • Tactical demand shift: several customers expedited orders from Q4 into Q3 due to hurricanes and potential port strikes, boosting Q3 sales/margins but creating a potential Q4 normalization. Management reiterated gradual growth expectations for clean energy solutions (CNG, hydrogen bulk transport) with initial Nottingham module shipment by year-end and a ramp through 2025 .
  • Strategic update: Graphic Arts sale process reopened with alternative bidders; expected close now H1 2025. Sale proceeds targeted to debt reduction; business has turned towards profitability/cash generation .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion: Adjusted EBITDA margin ex-legal reached 14.8%, the third consecutive quarter of improvement; CFO highlighted a $1.5M net deflation tailwind and favorable mix. “We were especially pleased by the significant improvement in our adjusted EBITDA margin” .
  • Elektron rebound: Q3 Elektron sales were $48.8M (+7.0% YoY; +16.2% QoQ) with Adjusted EBITDA ex-legal $8.9M (18.2% margin), driven by magnesium powders, Meals Ready-to-Eat, and RotaMag .
  • Balance sheet and FCF: Cash from operations $12.8M; FCF $9.3M; net debt down to $66.0M; leverage to ~1.1x anticipated post Lakehurst $7.3M proceeds and working capital improvements .

What Went Wrong

  • Pull-forward and volume softness: Q3 benefited from customer order expedites due to hurricanes/port strikes, implying a possible Q4 giveback; Gas Cylinders sales fell 4.7% YoY with SCBA project timing headwinds and slower transportation sector .
  • Elektron not yet at targeted margins: Management aspires to ~20% margins; current 18.2% ex-legal. Q&A indicated ~$2M+ revenue pull-forward and up to ~$1M incremental margin, suggesting some temporary lift .
  • Estimates unavailable: Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable due to data access limits, constraining explicit beat/miss analysis for EPS and revenue (see Estimates Context).

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance (ex-Graphic Arts unless noted)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
GAAP Net Sales ($M)$89.4 $99.7 $99.4
Adjusted Net Sales ($M, ex-GA)$83.1 $91.8 $91.4
Adjusted Gross Margin % (ex-GA)22.3% 22.3% 22.6%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M, ex-legal, ex-GA)$10.5 $13.4 $13.5
Adjusted EBITDA Margin % (ex-legal, ex-GA)12.6% 14.6% 14.8%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.10 $(0.01) $0.47
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($, ex-legal, ex-GA)$0.20 $0.24 $0.27
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($, incl-legal, ex-GA)$0.20 $0.39 $0.32

Notes: Q2 GAAP diluted EPS negative due to acquisition/disposal-related charges despite legal cost recoveries .

Segment Breakdown

SegmentQ1 2024 Sales ($M)Q1 2024 Adj. EBITDA ex-legal ($M)Q2 2024 Sales ($M)Q2 2024 Adj. EBITDA ex-legal ($M)Q3 2024 Sales ($M)Q3 2024 Adj. EBITDA ex-legal ($M)
Elektron$37.7 $6.4 $42.0 $8.5 $48.8 $8.9
Gas Cylinders$45.4 $4.1 $49.8 $4.9 $42.6 $4.6

Q3 Segment Sales Mix (Company-Provided)

Segment CategoryElektron Q3 2024 ($M)Gas Cylinders Q3 2024 ($M)
Defense, First Response, Healthcare$13.3 $9.2
Transportation$24.0 $19.2
General Industrial$11.5 $14.2

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Cash from Operations ($M)$3.6 $8.9 $12.8
Free Cash Flow ($M)$2.2 $6.2 $9.3
Net Debt ($M)$71.6 $69.9 $66.0
Net Leverage (Net Debt/Adj EBITDA, ex-GA)1.7x 1.6x 1.3x

Additional Q3 items: Lakehurst, NJ property sold for $7.3M; proceeds banked in early October; expected to further reduce net debt in Q4 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA (ex-legal)FY 2024$42M–$45M $45M–$47M Raised
Adjusted Diluted EPS (ex-legal)FY 2024$0.75–$0.85 $0.88–$0.94 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA (incl-legal)FY 2024$47M–$50M $52M–$54M Raised
Adjusted Diluted EPS (incl-legal)FY 2024$0.90–$1.00 $1.09–$1.14 Raised
Free Cash FlowFY 2024$24M–$27M $35M–$37M Raised
Sales Growth (incl. vol/price/FX)FY 2024Down MSD Down MSD Maintained
Net Debt/Adj EBITDA (exit)FY 2024~1.2x (prior assumption) ~1.1x (updated view) Improved

Assumptions reiterated: Capex $10–$12M; tax rate ~23%; FX GBP ~1.30 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1/Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Margin sustainability (Elektron)Recovering margins from Q4; Adjusted EBITDA margin ex-legal 17.0% in Q1; Q2 ex-legal 20.2% amid legal recovery noise Elektron margin ex-legal 18.2%; management aspires to ~20%; ~$2M+ revenue pull-forward, up to ~$1M margin lift Improving but not yet at target; temporary lift flagged
Supply chain/tactical pull-insQ1: FRH sales recovery; Q2: sequential improvement despite end-market weakness Customers expedited orders from Q4 into Q3 due to hurricanes/port strikes Temporary benefit; watch Q4 normalization
Clean energy (CNG/hydrogen bulk gas)Strategic confidence; optionality emphasized Nottingham bulk gas modules: first shipment by year-end; gradual ramp through 2025; CNG engine ramp likely mid-2025 Gradual build; 2025 driver
European industrial demandLimited commentary previously; mixed end markets Stronger European industrial cylinder demand reported Improving
Pricing contracts/efficiency (Gas Cylinders)Q1: margin improvement on pricing and cost actions; Q2: long-term contracts supporting margins Gas Cylinders margins up 450bps YoY; tailwinds from long-term pricing and Pomona partial closure Structural margin uplift
Graphic Arts divestitureTarget by year-end; progressing with advisor Buyer didn’t meet valuation; process reopened; aiming H1 2025 close Delayed but progressing

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “Our sales for the third quarter came in at $91.4 million… We achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $13.5 million… third consecutive quarter of adjusted EBITDA margin growth, reaching 14.8%… operating cash flow for the quarter was $12.8 million… net leverage to 1.3x. I am pleased with our recent progress” .
  • CFO: “Sales were $91.4 million and gross profit was $20.7 million… adjusted EBITDA came in at $13.5 million with margins of 14.8%… Adjusted earnings per share rose to $0.27, up 35% YoY… free cash flow totaled $9.3 million… net debt reduced to $66 million” .
  • CEO on innovation roadmap: Focused on clean energy (CNG, hydrogen bulk gas) with steady growth expectations; product spotlights (RotaMag, L7X medical cylinders, HeaterMeals) underpin profitable growth .
  • Strategic review: “Sale of Graphic Arts… expected to close in the first half of 2025… sharpening focus on core growth areas” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Elektron margin sustainability: Pull-forward likely ~$2M+ revenue and up to ~$1M margin; aspiration remains ~20% margins as volume recovers .
  • Europe strength: Improved European industrial cylinder demand contributed to growth .
  • Hydrogen bulk gas modules: Nottingham facility’s first module to ship to a U.K. customer by year-end; steady ramp through 2025 .
  • CNG engine/adoption: Prototype trials underway; inventory preloaded; limited Q4/Q1 impact; potential mid-2025 ramp with larger orders .
  • Graphic Arts sale: Prior exclusive buyer didn’t meet valuation; multiple parties engaged; aiming H1 2025 closure; prioritizing price and sensible warranties .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 revenue and EPS was unavailable due to data access limits at the time of analysis; therefore, explicit beat/miss vs consensus cannot be provided. As a proxy, management raised full-year guidance across EBITDA, EPS, and FCF following stronger-than-expected Q3 performance .
  • Implication: Estimates likely need upward revisions for FY EBITDA/EPS and FCF; near-term Q4 revenue/EPS risk from Q3 pull-ins may temper quarterly cadence despite full-year uplift .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Momentum: Three consecutive quarters of margin expansion with EBITDA margin ex-legal at 14.8%—a credible signal of structural efficiency gains and pricing discipline; watch for sustained Elektron margin trajectory towards ~20% as volumes normalize .
  • Guidance as catalyst: Raised FY EBITDA/EPS/FCF guidance is a positive surprise; improved leverage to ~1.1x supports capital returns and optionality on strategic actions .
  • Segment mix: Elektron’s rebound (Defense/MREs/RotaMag) offsets Gas Cylinders volume softness; Gas Cylinders margins benefit from long-term contracts—mix supportive for profitability even in mixed demand .
  • Near-term cadence: Q3 benefited from order pull-ins due to hurricanes/port risk; anticipate more normalized Q4 run-rate; focus on cash conversion and margin resilience .
  • 2025 setup: Hydrogen bulk gas modules and North American CNG engine cycle suggest mid-2025 revenue tailwinds; execution milestones (first module shipment, customer trials) will be key .
  • Strategy: Graphic Arts sale timeline moved to H1 2025 with broader bidder set; outcome and use of proceeds (deleveraging) can further strengthen financial profile .
  • Dividend continuity: Quarterly dividend declared ($0.13 per share) underscores commitment to shareholder returns alongside reduced net debt .

Bolded surprises: Raised FY guidance across EBITDA/EPS/FCF; sustained margin expansion despite modest sales growth .