Mativ - Q3 2022

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Welcome to Mativ's third quarter earnings conference call. Hosting the call today from Mativ is Julie Schertell, Chief Executive Officer. She is joined by Andrew Wamser, Chief Financial Officer, and Mark Chekanow, Director of Investor Relations. Today's call is being recorded and will be available for replay later this afternoon. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode, and the floor will be open for your questions following the presentation. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please dial star one on your touch-tone phone. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. If you should require operator assistance, please press star zero.

We ask that you please pick up your handset to allow optimal sound quality. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Mr. Chekanow. Sir, you may begin.

Mark Chekanow (Director of Investor Relations)

Thank you. Good morning. I'm Mark Chekanow, Director of Investor Relations at Mativ. Thank you for joining us to discuss our third quarter 2022 earnings results. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that the comments included in today's conference call include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from the results suggested by these comments for a number of reasons, which are discussed in more detail in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including our annual report on Form 10-K and our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Some financial measures discussed during this call are non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these measures to the closest GAAP measures are included in the appendix of this presentation and the earnings release. Unless stated otherwise, financial and operational metric comparisons are to the prior year period and relate to continuing operations.

The earnings release is available on our website at ir.mativ.com, as are the slides for today's presentation. You can download the slides and/or click through these slides at your own pace during the call using the webcast interface. To clarify some aspects of how Mativ results were reported and how we will be discussing them, we would first remind everyone that the SWM and Neenah merger closed on July 6, 2022. Thus, the third quarter is our first quarter presenting combined results. Given the accounting treatment of the transaction, the SWM legal entity was the acquirer, and thus the financial results for periods prior to the third quarter of 2022 represent only those of legacy SWM. As a result, year-over-year comparisons reflect the addition of the Neenah operations and typically resulted in large reported year-over-year increases in sales and profits.

On today's call, though, we will provide some comments referring to comparable performance to illustrate how our results compare to prior year periods on a like-for-like basis, such as organic growth trends and margins. These figures are shown in tables in our earnings release in the appendix of this presentation. As previously disclosed, Mativ reports results in two reporting segments: Advanced Technical Materials or ATM, and Fiber-Based Solutions or FBS. ATM is essentially comprised of the legacy SWM Advanced Materials & Structures segment and the legacy Neenah Technical Products segment, while FBS is essentially comprised of the legacy SWM Engineered Papers segment and the legacy Neenah Fine Paper and Packaging segment. Please follow up with us for any further needed clarifications, as we want to make sure you understand our business trends, financial results, and reporting processes. With that, I'll turn the call over to Julie.

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Thanks, Mark. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. We have several very positive performance trends to highlight during the quarter as it relates to organic sales growth, profit growth of the comparable businesses, overall price versus cost dynamics, and synergies. I'm pleased with our year-over-year performance in revenue and EBITDA. There are also some headwinds at play, both macro and within our operations, that will cause our profitability to be less than what we originally expected during the back half of this year. Some of these issues are macro in nature, some we can counter with offsetting actions, and some are just temporary and will pass as we enter 2023.

Before we dive into each of the positive drivers and the challenges, I want to reiterate our management teams and the board's confidence in the fundamentals of our business, the value creation of the strategic combination, including our cost synergy plan and our long-term outlook for accelerated growth together, all of which remain fully intact despite a turbulent operating environment for global manufacturers. Let me hit some of the third quarter highlights, which reflect the combined businesses compared to last year's quarter. First, organic constant currency sales growth was 12%, led by filtration, protective solutions, release liners, and packaging. Second, adjusted operating profits were up nearly 25% on a comparable basis, which we view as a very strong result and indicative of significantly improved fundamentals compared to last year, especially with respect to improved price cost recovery.

Price versus input cost was favorable by about $23 million in the quarter. To date, we have been successful with aggressive price actions. As inflationary pressures persist, we are executing on further actions. Third, our $65 million cost synergy plan is well underway, and we expect to exceed our $20 million year-end target run rate. In short, our teams are working vigorously to implement and accelerate our synergy savings. To proactively address the question of upside, we view this acceleration as a timing benefit as we believe we can execute some savings planned for early to mid-2023 during the fourth quarter and realize the benefits earlier in the year. When we release fourth quarter results and issue guidance, we will provide further details on synergies and expected plans and timing.

As we've said previously, the early-stage synergies are primarily related to SG&A reductions, while the later stage synergies will be driven by procurement, supply chain, and overall operating efficiencies. We remain committed and confident in achieving the $65 million of synergies as originally communicated. Now, to elaborate on some of the challenges we are currently facing, which have escalated or emerged since mid-year, I'll comment at a high level, and Andy will add some financial context shortly. Starting with the macro environment impact, which we view as global demand and currency, we are generally seeing some demand slowdown from peak levels earlier this year as economic conditions soften. The potential for recessionary conditions is causing customers to be more conservative with order patterns and inventory management as we close out the year.

Simply put, the general outlook and sentiment in the marketplace is not quite as optimistic as it was just a few months ago. A more conservative view on the top line growth is appropriate to assume in the back half of 2022, which we consider to be a few percentage points lower than our original forecast. Also, since mid-year, there has been a decline in the euro. Looking at inflation, the geopolitical crisis in Russia and Ukraine has been a key driver of the ramp up in energy costs in Europe. Since our last call, the situation has accelerated. While other inflationary pressures persist in areas like specialty chemicals, packaging, and freight, energy is the most impactful, and we are taking both operational and pricing actions in response to mitigate these new cost levels.

As a reminder, our pricing more than recovered input cost inflation in the third quarter, and despite the inherent lag, we expect to ultimately recover these latest increases as well. Lastly, we were impacted by a cybersecurity attack during the third quarter. It temporarily disrupted our operations, resulting in higher waste, additional costs, and some missed sales. At this point, we have resumed normal operations. This was not related to the merger integration, as the incident was contained within certain operations, and we have put in place additional remediation measures designed to help prevent future similar attacks. The bottom line is that while there are many positive takeaways from the quarter, there are also some challenges that give us a more conservative view.

At the end of the day, we delivered nearly 25% operating profit growth compared to last year on a like-for-like basis, and we expect strong year-over-year growth to continue into the fourth quarter. Additionally, we have a healthy pipeline and execution path on synergies to continue to fuel margin expansion and bottom line growth next year. Let's shift to our operating segments, starting with Advanced Technical Materials, or ATM. Organic sales were up 6% or 12% on a constant currency basis. Gains were primarily driven by strong pricing execution. Our best performing sales growth came from release liners, protective solutions, and filtration. You will continue to hear us talk about these categories as our accelerated growth platform. These are the areas where we will bias our investments and resources to accelerate top line and bottom line growth.

For release liners, the Itasa acquisition from early 2021 continues to outperform original expectations. Price increases have been significant and effective at offsetting higher costs, and volumes continued to grow well above market. Product lines showing the most strength were self-adhesive tapes, shipping labels, and medical applications. Release liners is a highly strategic area for us, and we are in the process of adding capacity in our Mexico facility to serve the Americas. In Protective Solutions, we saw gains in industrial films and coatings led by strong pricing actions and increases in demand for paint protection films. Protective Solutions is another area where we see promising long-term opportunities to invest in to expand our capacity and leverage our capabilities in emerging technologies like smart glass applications. Lastly, Filtration delivered a solid growth during the quarter, led by water and transportation filtration, with strong pricing versus last year.

We expect continued strong macro trends for water, air, and industrial process filtration. We are pleased to see input costs for certain commodity-grade resins like polypropylene coming down versus last year, though still above historical levels. We have not, however, seen pricing relief in specialty resins, like those used in many of our films, as supply remains tight. For key actions, it's fair to say that pricing remains a top priority, if not the top priority in our businesses. We have continued to raise prices and implement surcharges to reflect the still elevated inflationary environment with energy cost offsets at the forefront of our customer discussions.

Lastly, regardless of the external environment, we're keeping a company-wide focus on cost synergy execution within both operating segments and at the corporate level. With high confidence in our ability to deliver on our savings commitment, it takes a tremendous effort across the organization to do so while maintaining smooth operations. We talk about this as two important and related efforts, running the business and changing the business. It's critical that we do both, and we have the talent that is demonstrating they are up to the task. Moving to the Fiber-Based Solutions or FBS, I'd note that many of the themes from ATM apply here as well, particularly around pricing, input costs, and synergies. Organic sales were up 7% or 12% excluding negative currency impacts. Our gains in this segment were primarily driven by price.

Our best-performing sales growth came from Packaging and Specialty Papers, including commercial print, which is delivering outstanding performance, and packaging and consumer products also showing double-digit growth. Regarding input costs, we continue to experience higher costs for wood pulp versus last year, with the pulp index reaching multi-year highs. Pulp indices are projected to trend lower throughout 2023. However, year-over-year comparisons aren't expected to turn lower until mid-year next year. Energy costs are also up significantly, again, especially in Europe. Similar to ATM, this is a key focus of discussion with customers. We're pleased to say that pricing in FBS has more than offset input cost inflation compared to the prior year. For key action items, we are continuing to activate price levers. Some of these will be effective in late 2022, and others in early 2023.

We are especially focused on Engineered Papers, where we believe we have opportunities to better recover inflation. Specifically in Engineered Papers, we have a number of adjusters in place with our customers that will help recover energy, pulp, and other inflationary costs starting in Q1. I'd like to comment on the nature of our customer agreements, and these comments apply to those in our ATM segment as well. As a general theme, global manufacturers have seen inflationary pressures on a number of fronts over the past two years, which has caused tremendous pressure on profitability as well as brought contract pricing and input cost escalators to the forefront of supply negotiations. Without commenting specifically on any particular contract or customers, I would say that we are migrating toward more dynamic contract pricing across our entire enterprise.

Whereas the agreements of years past typically had a single raw material which may have reset annually, we are progressing toward agreements that are more inclusive of other costs, such as energy or certain chemicals, and reset more frequently, like semiannually or quarterly. We are also working with customers to be flexible on other surcharges, some of which could be energy-related, but also could be geared to freight and logistics. As this past year has shown, those cost buckets can be very volatile as well when global supply chains tighten. Lastly, similar to ATM, we remain highly focused on synergy execution, both for near-term cost savings as well as longer-term commercial opportunities. Now I'll turn it over to Andy to discuss Q3 results in more detail.

Andy Wamser (CFO)

Thanks, Julie. As Mark referenced earlier, this was our first quarter reporting consolidated Mativ results that reflect the merger, thus making year-over-year reported growth very large and comparisons less meaningful. My comments will try to focus on current business trends, margin comparisons on a comparable or like-for-like basis, and price versus input cost trends for the business as a whole. Total sales were $674 million, with growth fairly consistent across the company. Organic growth was 12% on a constant currency basis, and 7% with the impact of currency. Both the ATM and FBS segment sales growth essentially mirrored those growth rates, with the best sales performance coming from release liners, protective solutions, filtration, and packaging, as Julie discussed. Price increases versus last year across the company drove the organic sales increase.

For adjusted operating profit on a comparable basis, we were up 24% with margin expansion of 160 basis points. Looking at the segments with the same like-for-like view, ATM-adjusted operating profits were up 28% with margin expansion of 240 basis points. The margin improvement was primarily driven by $17 million of favorable price versus cost. This was partially offset by some negative volume, mix effects, and manufacturing inefficiencies, some of which were driven by the cyber incident. For FBS, comparable adjusted operating profits were up 6%, with margin essentially flat with the prior year. Price cost was favorable by approximately $6 million but was offset by negative volume, mix, and manufacturing inefficiencies, both of which stemmed from Engineered Papers. Packaging and Specialty Papers had very strong margin expansion versus last year.

Total Adjusted EBITDA was $93 million, and Adjusted EPS was $0.74. Interest expense was approximately $24 million in the quarter, consistent with the comments we made last quarter when discussing our post-merger debt structure. We executed a series of interest rate swaps in the quarter such that approximately 75% of our total debt is at fixed rates. Dividing interest by total debt yields a weighted average interest expense of around 5.25%. Turning to our outlook, recall we had originally projected second half 2022 EBITDA between $210 million and $230 million. While we are pleased with several strong trends in the business, such as 12% organic sales growth on a constant currency basis and operating profit growth of almost 25%, as the third quarter progressed, we saw increasing signs of our macro demand slowdown.

Sales in the quarter were a few percentage points below our initial plans, and based on customer indications, we believe a conservative near-term view is warranted. Currency also moved against us during the quarter, especially the weakening euro, which would represent a headwind of approximately $5 million to our original guidance for the back half of the year. Given these two external macro factors alone, it is likely that our second half EBITDA would be at or below the low end of our guided range, or around $200 million. Beyond those two headwinds, energy costs, especially in Europe, have escalated dramatically. While the Russia-Ukraine conflict was known at mid-year, the duration of the conflict and its impact on sustained energy price volatility was uncertain. Clearly, the conflict has resulted in an accelerated, sustained energy crisis.

Market costs of electricity and gas across the continent are up exponentially, and manufacturers in the region are enduring significantly higher costs in implementing price increases and energy surcharges as quickly as possible. While we believe we will catch up with pricing, we will bear the higher costs in the second half of the year, while not yet seeing the full benefit of our pricing actions. The net impact of this trend is in the range of approximately $5 million-$10 million in the second half of the year. Lastly, as mentioned, we dealt with a cybersecurity incident. While we became aware of the initial breach early in the quarter, it required extensive investigation and resolution process. The breach also had impact on some of our manufacturing sites, limiting our ability to use our systems to manage orders and shop floor operations and rely on automated functions.

We also lost some sales opportunities, though some of those may simply be delayed into the fourth quarter or early 2023. All told, while we remained operational, it was disruptive and caused inefficiencies in the quarter. The impact is difficult to estimate, but could be in the range of $5 million+ of EBITDA for the second half of the year. In addition to the estimated impact, we incurred about $6 million of direct expenses related to third-party assistance to resolve the issue. Those specific costs were excluded from our adjusted financial metrics, and we do not expect to incur any further similar expenses in the fourth quarter. We also note a portion of these explicit costs are likely to be recovered through insurance. We are pleased to report that the issue has been successfully remediated.

While cybersecurity events are unfortunate under any circumstances, we acknowledge that this type of situation is concerning to our various stakeholders, including our investors, especially during our first quarter as a combined company. Needless to say, we continue to gather learnings from this experience and assure you that we have put in place additional protective measures to further mitigate cyber risk going forward. As we put the cyber issue behind us and implement actions across the business to improve profitability, we see fourth quarter EBITDA consistent with third quarter EBITDA of $93 million. We note that we would typically have a seasonally lower fourth quarter. However, given more pricing going into effect, further synergy realization, and some sales that were delayed, we do not expect to experience a seasonal dip in overall profits. Consistent EBITDA would also mean another quarter of very strong year-over-year profit growth on a comparable basis.

We still view strong profit growth versus last year as a great outcome in this operating environment. Looking further out, we see continued progress toward 100 million-plus EBITDA quarters next year. We will issue full year 2023 guidance in February, but wanted to share that preliminary view to offer our conviction that our fundamentals remain healthy despite some near-term turbulence. We also believe that our business is uniquely positioned to offset some of the potential headwinds if macro conditions worsen as our cost synergy plan is within our control and is, in a sense, an insurance policy to deliver profit growth even in a potential recession. Lastly, with respect to leverage, we still expect to be at or below 3.75x net debt to EBITDA at year-end.

This outlook is largely a function of enhanced working capital programs and more normalized free cash flow in the fourth quarter as we move past the large third quarter cash outflows related to the merger closing. Now back to Julie to wrap things up before we take your questions.

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Thanks, Andy. I'd like to reiterate the key messages from today's call, but also acknowledge that it is admittedly a slightly mixed message. While we are posting very strong profit growth versus the prior year, there are some headwinds in currency, inflation, and demand, as well as a cyber breach that occurred this quarter. Our conviction in the opportunities ahead remains unchanged despite the current headwinds. Our merger and the value creation opportunities were never about the very near term, rather about accelerating top and bottom-line growth, exceeding what we could have achieved as independent companies. With that said, here's what I hope you are walking away with from today's call. Comparable adjusted operating profits were up nearly 25% versus last year, and fourth quarter should show even stronger year-over-year growth.

Integration and synergy execution is progressing well with upside to our $20 million year-end target run rate and clear line of sight to our $65 million commitment. We are more than recovering inflation with pricing this year, and we remain hyper-focused on improved profitability and leverage reduction. This concludes our prepared remarks. I'd like to thank you for your time today, and I'd like to now open the call for questions.

Operator (participant)

Great. Our first question today is from the line of Mitra Ramgopal of Sidoti. Mitra, please go ahead now.

Mitra Ramgopal (Senior Equity Analyst)

Yes, good morning, and thanks for taking the questions. Just wanted to start off first on the price increases you were able to implement. It was very impressive, actually exceeding the inflationary pressures. Was curious how sticky you think those increases are, especially in light of as you referenced, maybe some input costs are starting to pull back.

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Thanks. Thank you for joining us, Mitra, and thanks for the question. I think we said on the call, pricing is the number one topic right now. I think that's pretty consistent in all of our businesses. We've worked to get to a very disciplined, data-driven pricing mechanism across all of our different businesses. The intent and the achievement is to recover inflation with pricing that is inclusive of energy and distribution and continue to expand our margins over time with a combination of pricing, cost reduction efforts, new product sales, and synergies. As far as the stickiness of pricing, as you would imagine, it varies a little bit by business unit. For example, in Packaging and Specialty Papers, protective solutions, we have very sticky pricing, filtration as well.

Anywhere where we have the greatest technical solutions that's difficult to replicate or the strongest brand is where we have the stickiest pricing. Where we would have a little bit less stickiness would be in our industrial area, where the technical qualifications are not quite as significant.

Mitra Ramgopal (Senior Equity Analyst)

Okay. Thank you. I think for the past year, the focus has been on the inflationary pressures on the cost side, and I think you referenced now softness of demand, in particular starting with Europe and with fears of recession in the U.S. next year, probably gonna see that here soon also. If you could remind us how the business tends to hold up in a recessionary environment, especially in light of your current product portfolio?

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Yeah. We would view our portfolio as fairly recessionary resilient, not recessionary proof, with some of our categories being more resilient than others. Areas like filtration, protective solutions, and Engineered Papers being the most resilient parts of our portfolio. Similarly, release liners would be very resilient. The less resilient parts would be our historical packaging and paper business within the Neenah Heritage business. Fairly resilient. You know, when we talk about softening demand, we're seeing two to four points of slower demand. Not significant at this point, but enough to move and be more cautious as we move forward. We're monitoring volumes very closely because in this inflationary environment, total revenue can be misleading, and we'll continue to adjust our manufacturing system to meet our customers' demand.

Really pleased with our comps in Q3 and expect, you know, similar comps from a bottom line or stronger in Q4.

Mitra Ramgopal (Senior Equity Analyst)

Okay. Thank you. If you could comment a little on the customer relationships. I know it's only a few months into the merger, and there's still a lot to do. But if you can give us a sense in terms of how customers have been dealing or receiving the new entity and obviously in an environment where you're implementing price increases, et cetera, how are you getting a lot of pushback on that front?

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Sure. I think customers have been very positively receiving the merger. They like the ability to have a greater breadth of portfolio from one supplier and the technical solutions that we can now provide across the portfolio. I also believe in this environment, customers intellectually understand the pricing discussions. It doesn't mean emotionally everybody enjoys them or loves them. They want healthy suppliers just like we want healthy customers. While pricing is a key topic, I would tell you supply chain positioning and ensuring they have a clear and robust supply chain with local supply is significantly increased in importance with our customer, and this merger just further elevates our position in that regard.

Mitra Ramgopal (Senior Equity Analyst)

Okay, thanks. Obviously, you highlighted Europe as being soft, or at least, you know, they're probably already in a recession. What about the Asia Pacific region? I know that was an opportunity for you. Are you still bullish on that? What are you seeing out there?

Andy Wamser (CFO)

Sure. You know, Asia, you know, our sales in Asia would represent about 15% of our total sales. And so I would say that business has still been pretty strong, even regardless of a COVID sort of shutdown, if you will, in China. You know, we will manufacture in China, but then service other customers in the Asian area. It's one where I would say we're pretty encouraged given the dynamic, you know, I would say sort of environment there. We think there's still great potential within filtration, protective solutions, you know, that we service out of that area.

That was also, if you remember, you know, one of the longer term synergy potentials, you know, that we had between the legacy SWM and the legacy Neenah business, where, you know, we'd be able to sell some of the legacy Neenah products, you know, out of our Suzhou facility.

Mitra Ramgopal (Senior Equity Analyst)

Okay, thanks. It looks, I guess, you know, the integration is going very well. You're ahead of the target on the synergy side in terms of especially in the near term. Any surprises for you thus far, or it's just been pretty seamless?

Julie Schertell (CEO)

You know, I would say we mentioned the cyber issue, so that was not a planned part of our integration. That was the biggest surprise that we've had. You know, unfortunate, the timing of it, not completely dissimilar to what many companies have faced with cyber issues in the past. From an integration and synergy standpoint, things are going extremely well. On our last call, we talked about a 2022 year-end run rate of $20 million, and we're slightly ahead of pace of that. We aren't increasing our $65 million commitment, but we are saying we're well on our way to it and at an accelerated pace versus what we originally expected. That $20 million+ number is an annual number, since not all synergies started in Q3 as we merged.

I would also mention the early synergies are primarily SG&A driven. As we get further into it, they will be more driven by procurement, supply chain, and operating efficiencies. I really think it's important in this environment. I would view synergies almost as insurance. You know, when there's a volatile environment, we have this opportunity to really continue to expand our margins because of the synergies we have in front of us, and the teams are operating and performing on those exceptionally well.

Andy Wamser (CFO)

Maybe I just would add one more point, and it's something that Julie always consistently echoes in the hallways and, you know, throughout the, I would say, company-wide is that we're not treating this as a hobby. I mean, we do have this transformation office that is in place. They're doing a phenomenal job, I would say, in terms of, you know, identifying new opportunities, you know, that we have within, you know, collectively the entire the business and on the, on the corporate side. This is something where we have a dedicated team in terms of, you know, tracking and attacking. So, you know, they've just done a terrific job so far. And, you know, and again, we would say we're a little bit ahead of track.

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Mm-hmm.

Mitra Ramgopal (Senior Equity Analyst)

Okay. That's it for me. Thanks again for taking the questions. Congrats on a solid quarter given this environment. Certainly look forward to the update, year-end results and guidance for 2023. Thanks again.

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Thanks, Mitra.

Andy Wamser (CFO)

Thanks, Mitra.

Operator (participant)

The next question is from the line of Jon Tanwanteng of CJS Securities. Jon, please go ahead.

Jon Tanwanteng (Managing Director)

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. My first one, can you talk a little bit about your preliminary demand discussions with your customers as you enter 2023? You know, what are they telling you? Are they expecting a recession at this point? Are they reducing inventories? You know, I don't know if you wanna get into specific end markets or geographies, but any color there would be great.

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Yeah. I would tell you it's a little bit mixed and moving quite a bit. Depending on the category, if I think about ATM, our advanced technical materials, there's more resilience. Filtration customers, while they are being a little bit more cautious on inventory management toward year-end, you know, there's great macro trends around cleaner air and water, and that's continuing. Similarly, with protective solutions, great macro trends around the adoption rate of paint protection and new technologies like smart glass. There's still a lot of robust backing in those markets. Release liner, the adhesive usage and substitution usage for medical and shipping labels and personal care consumables, all of that is remaining very strong.

Where we're seeing a little bit, you know, the softening would be in some of our less technical capability products like industrial, some of our tapes and abrasives types of business where they could be impacted by construction and potentially, you know, automotive or new car sales. But overall, we're only seeing a slowness of about 3%-4% in demand at this point. Some of that we're seeing early indicators that it's coming, you know, even back up from those lagging demands.

Jon Tanwanteng (Managing Director)

Okay, great. Thank you. I was also wondering if you could provide a figure of how much net pricing you're expecting to realize, you know, versus inflation over the next two quarters or so. Obviously things can change, but I know you provided those figures at Neenah previously. I don't know if you have the same kind of projections here.

Julie Schertell (CEO)

I mean, I would think about it for Q3 in particular. We were up 12% on a constant currency basis, and that's really pricing. Volume was fairly flat. That's the kind of pricing we're pulling through, and I think from an over recovery on input costs, we were over recovered input costs by $23 million during the quarter, and our expectation is to continue with that kind of pace. We're gonna move as we need to with pricing. I think the team has shown great agility in being able to do so.

Jon Tanwanteng (Managing Director)

Okay, great. Do you have an expectation for inflation? Are you locked in a significant portion of your cost or hedged them at all?

Andy Wamser (CFO)

Yeah. When we look at you know, the key topic that you know, everyone's been talking about has been energy and you know, particularly in Europe. When we look at energy and natural gas, clearly that is up significantly. I would say right now we're probably about at $130 million sort of run rate when you look at those buckets together, and it's sort of split 60/40 between electricity and natural gas. When we look out to next year, we are now about 70% hedged. At one point, we wanted to have better predictability in terms of you know, being able to you know, forecast you know, the budget and our you know, our guidance for next year.

We also recognize that in some cases, you know, we are hedged at really elevated levels. It didn't feel great to, you know, hedge at that, at some of these levels, but it's just the nature of what we need to do and we think is prudent. Again, it's about 70% for next year.

Jon Tanwanteng (Managing Director)

Understood. Thanks for that detail. Lastly, what's just driving the faster pace of synergy realizations, and can we expect that to continue? Are you able to pull in more of the stuff you want to do earlier into the year, next year?

Julie Schertell (CEO)

I think Andy hit on it when we said we're not gonna treat this as a hobby. We have dedicated top talent focused on integration and on synergies. They have really worked to identify and prioritize where we have the greatest impact and the fastest impact. They hold all of us accountable to ensuring that we achieve those run rates. We've seen, you know, increased speed in SG&A and spending, some early procurement wins, some early freight wins, and organizational design, which is almost 100% complete, which has a significant impact. Some of those, many of those ramp in within the fourth quarter. Current year, we're not seeing a significant impact of synergies, but as we exit this year, the run rate will be at, well, above $20 million.

Jon Tanwanteng (Managing Director)

Great. Thanks a lot, guys.

Julie Schertell (CEO)

Thanks, Jon.

Andy Wamser (CFO)

Thanks, Jon.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. This concludes Mativ's third quarter earnings conference call. Thank you all for joining us today. You may now disconnect your lines.