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Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- EPS and revenue beat: Adjusted EPS of $0.39 vs S&P Global consensus $0.31; revenue of $513.7M vs $513.0M consensus; adjusted EBITDA margin reached a post‑merger high of 13.0%. Drivers were positive price vs input costs, higher volumes in both segments, and lower manufacturing costs, partially offset by higher distribution costs and unallocated expenses . EPS consensus values from S&P Global.*
- Momentum extended: Q2+Q3 2025 represent the strongest two consecutive quarters since the merger for adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow; Q3 free cash flow was $66.7M (+179% YoY) and cash from operations $72.8M (+94% YoY) .
- Guidance/tone: Management now expects Q4 adjusted EBITDA to increase “at least 10%” YoY (vs prior “favorable” YoY), maintains 2025 capex at ~$40M and working capital as a ~$10M source; tariff exposure updated to <6% of sales (from <7%) .
- Balance sheet: Net debt fell to $931.8M; liquidity ~$517M; net leverage reduced to 4.2x with a pathway toward ~4.0x by year-end; dividend maintained at $0.10/share .
- Segment highlights: SAS organic sales +5.6% with margin +200 bps YoY to 15.3%; FAM turned to growth with sales +4.6% YoY and first YoY increase in sales and adj. EBITDA since the merger .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record profitability metrics: Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 13.0%, the highest since the merger; adjusted EBITDA +10% YoY to $66.8M; free cash flow $66.7M, nearly triple YoY .
- SAS execution: SAS adjusted EBITDA rose 17.8% YoY to $48.3M with margin +200 bps to 15.3% on favorable price/cost, lower manufacturing and SG&A; organic sales +5.6% .
- FAM inflection: “Q3 was the first quarter of growth in sales and Adjusted EBITDA since the merger,” with HVAC and air pollution control up 20%+, water filtration up ~10%, and medical films improving; quote: “We delivered one of our strongest quarters since the formation of Mativ three years ago.” .
What Went Wrong
- Distribution costs elevated: Higher distribution expenses pressured consolidated results; management is pursuing warehouse and freight optimization to offset this .
- FAM pricing and costs: FAM faced lower selling prices and higher manufacturing costs, limiting EBITDA growth despite volume gains .
- Macro/tariffs headwinds: Construction/auto demand remains mixed; cross‑sourcing to mitigate tariffs raised logistics costs; tariff exposure still present (now <6% of sales) .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L vs prior year and prior quarter
Notes: Non-GAAP adjustments include $0.27 per share purchase accounting and $0.18 per share restructuring in Q3 2025 .
Segment performance (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)
Balance Sheet & Liquidity KPIs (sequential)
Results vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.* Note: S&P EBITDA methodologies can differ from company Adjusted EBITDA; use caution when comparing .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered one of our strongest quarters since the formation of Mativ three years ago,” citing highest adjusted EBITDA margin and second-highest free cash flow since the merger .
- “Adjusted EBITDA came in 10% higher at the top end of [our] range, and we doubled free cash flow versus last year on a year-to-date basis” .
- On pricing discipline: “We are very focused on maintaining a positive price versus input cost relationship… formalized [via] a pricing process… governed by a steering committee” .
- On FAM: “Q3 was the first quarter of growth in sales and Adjusted EBITDA since the merger… 20%+ growth in HVAC and air pollution… ~10% growth in water filtration” .
- On deleveraging: “Our net leverage ratio… has been reduced to 4.2x, and we expect to be even closer to the 4x level by the end of the year” .
Q&A Highlights
- FAM trajectory: Management expects continued favorable YoY comps in Q4; strong HVAC/APC and water filtration pipeline; regaining films share, particularly in premium segments in North America and mid‑tier in Asia .
- Wilson, NC site closure: <1% of sales; some one-time cash costs; accretive to EBITDA and margins beginning Q1 2026 .
- Margin path: Target remains 15% longer term; progress to continue in 2026, but trajectory “gradual” .
- Tariff mitigation: Cross‑sourcing under USMCA, pricing actions, and local-for-local supply chains; less than 6% of sales currently subject to tariffs .
- Q4 outlook: Adjusted EBITDA expected to be at least +10% YoY, driven by SAS volume, favorable price/cost, and cost savings; seasonality implies Q4 cash flow similar to prior year .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $513.7M vs $513.0M*; EPS $0.39 vs $0.31*; EBITDA (company Adjusted) $66.8M vs S&P consensus 66.5M* (note methodology differences) .
- Forward consensus (S&P Global): Q4 2025 EPS $0.09*; revenue $469.6M*; Q1 2026 EPS $0.02* (low coverage: 1–2 estimates). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Implications: EPS beat and explicit Q4 EBITDA guide (≥10% YoY) suggest upward pressure to Q4 EBITDA/EPS estimates; however, management’s cash flow guide for Q4 is “similar to prior year,” tempering FCF upside near-term .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS beat with record post‑merger margin and strong FCF underscore improving execution and pricing discipline; SAS strength continues while FAM inflects to growth .
- Guidance effectively raised for Q4 EBITDA (≥+10% YoY), a potential catalyst for estimate revisions and sentiment improvement .
- Deleveraging gaining traction (4.5x → 4.2x QoQ) with liquidity at $517M; net debt down $63M QoQ; FCF deployment remains focused on debt reduction .
- Cost programs ($35–$40M by YE 2026; $15–$20M in 2025) and R&D/ops optimizations support margin trajectory toward 15% over time .
- Tariff exposure reduced to <6%, but distribution cost mitigation is a watch item as cross‑sourcing persists; upcoming warehouse and TMS initiatives aim to offset .
- Segment mix is improving: SAS margins expanding; FAM returning to growth with high‑value filtration/films verticals—supporting sustained consolidated margin expansion .
- Near-term trading setup: Positive beat/raise dynamic on EPS/EBITDA vs modest Q4 FCF seasonality; watch Q4 volume progression in SAS, price/cost favorability, and distribution cost trends for confirmation of trajectory .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Q3 tax rate: 42.9% benefit due to one-time adjustment and earnings mix .
- Interest expense: $17.7M (down from $18.3M YoY); >80% debt effectively fixed; maturities 2027–2029 .
- Dividend: $0.10 per share payable Dec 19, 2025 (record date Nov 28, 2025) .
All consensus estimate figures marked with an asterisk (*) are Values retrieved from S&P Global.