MB
MALIBU BOATS, INC. (MBUU)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY25 results: Net sales $200.3M (down 5.1% YoY), GAAP diluted EPS $0.12, Adjusted fully distributed EPS $0.31; gross margin expanded 90 bps to 18.7% on favorable mix and plant efficiencies despite lower units (1,222, down 11%) .
- Guidance cut: FY25 net sales now flat to down low-single digits (from prior view of low-single-digit growth) and adjusted EBITDA margin “~10%” (from 10–12%); management also guided Q3 net sales up ~10% YoY and Q3 adj. EBITDA margin of ~10–12% .
- Segment dynamics: Malibu and Saltwater Fishing saw lower wholesale shipments; Cobalt grew units and sales (segment net sales: Malibu $74.1M, Saltwater $70.2M, Cobalt $56.0M) as dealers and consumer demand favored select models/price points .
- Key drivers: Retail softness (especially Florida saltwater post-hurricanes) and dealer inventory discipline weighed on units; gross margin aided by mix and operational efficiency; G&A spiked on legal and compensation costs .
- Near-term catalysts: Boat show reads (Miami), pace of saltwater replacement demand in Florida, legal spend normalization, and execution on Q3 growth inflection narrative .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded 90 bps YoY to 18.7% on plant efficiencies and favorable mix; consolidated net sales per unit rose 6.6% to $163,895 .
- Cobalt outperformed (segment net sales +7.8% YoY; units +18) driven by strong dealer network and new models; management highlighted Cobalt strength on the call .
- Cash generation and capital returns: management cited >$28M cash from operations in Q2, capex of $5.6M, and $10M of share repurchases, emphasizing balance sheet strength and liquidity .
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What Went Wrong
- Top-line and units declined YoY: net sales down 5.1% to $200.3M; units down 11% to 1,222 on retail softness and dealer inventory discipline, especially in Malibu and Saltwater Fishing .
- Saltwater concentrated headwind: >50% of saltwater business is in Florida; replacement demand will take time due to dock/insurance timelines, pressuring near-term retail .
- SG&A pressure: G&A up 71.9% YoY (to $26.5M) on legal fees and compensation; management expects normalization over time but flagged elevated legal activity for now .
Financial Results
Headline results across periods (GAAP unless noted):
Segment breakdown – Q2 FY25:
KPIs – Q2 FY25:
Notes:
- YoY gross margin expansion driven by plant efficiencies and favorable model mix offsetting volume deleverage .
- G&A up 71.9% YoY ($26.5M) primarily due to legal and compensation .
Guidance Changes
Company rationale: demand indicators below original assumptions, continued retail softness (especially saltwater), and disciplined production to preserve dealer health .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We are adjusting our production levels to match a challenging retail environment… updating our full-year guidance to reflect the reality of weaker retail market trends… Our priority is maintaining dealer health and aligning production with demand” .
- CEO: “Results… slightly higher than expected… indicators of demand are below our original assumptions” .
- CFO: “For the full fiscal year, we now expect sales to be flat to down low single-digits… we still expect to return to growth in the second half… Q3 net sales to increase ~10% YoY; Q3 adjusted EBITDA margins ~10–12%” .
- CFO: “We continue to demonstrate the resilience of our business model, generating over $28 million in cash from operations in the quarter… capex $5.6M, repurchased $10M of stock” .
Q&A Highlights
- Saltwater/Florida: >50% of saltwater business in Florida; replacement demand expected to phase in gradually due to docks/insurance timing, limiting a near-term rebound .
- H2 visibility: Good visibility into Q3 on orders; H2 growth largely a function of easier comps and retail unfolding (60% of retail still ahead) .
- G&A detail: Elevated legal and compensation costs; Q2 was a tough YoY compare; management expects normalization over time .
- Dealer sentiment/inventory: Dealers “cautiously optimistic,” clearing inventories without excessive promo versus some competitors; company keeping production disciplined .
- Pricing/mix: ASP strength driven mainly by mix; price increases modest; expect mix to moderate in back half as saltwater mix normalizes .
- Tariffs: Preliminary view is immaterial FY25 impact; more detail likely in FY26 if needed .
- Lending environment: Consumer rates remain “stubbornly high”; no signs of rising defaults .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 FY25 and Q3 FY25 was unavailable due to data access limitations at the time of this analysis; therefore, we cannot provide an objective “beat/miss” versus S&P Global consensus for revenue or EPS [No S&P Global values returned via tool].
- Management characterized Q2 results as “slightly higher than expected,” indicating a modest beat versus internal expectations, but this is not comparable to Street consensus .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mixed but improving sequentially: Revenue, gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA improved sequentially through Q4→Q1→Q2 as promotions normalized and mix improved, though YoY growth remains negative pending demand recovery .
- Guidance reset lowers the bar: FY25 outlook cut (flat to down LSD revenue; ~10% adj. EBITDA margin), setting up a cleaner setup if boat shows and in-season demand stabilize or improve .
- Q3 inflection watch: Management guiding Q3 net sales +~10% YoY and 10–12% adj. EBITDA margins; execution on this will be a key stock catalyst .
- Saltwater is the swing factor: Florida concentration (>50% of saltwater) and slow replacement demand are the principal near-term headwinds; monitor Miami and other shows plus insurance/dock replacements .
- Legal expense normalization could aid margin: Elevated legal costs drove G&A in Q2; moderation back toward historical levels would support EPS and EBITDA .
- Cobalt stability offsets Malibu/Saltwater volatility: Cobalt unit and sales growth suggests diversified brand portfolio can buffer segment cyclicality .
- Balance sheet supports flexibility: Positive operating cash flow, manageable debt ($23M), and continued buybacks provide optionality while maintaining dealer health .
Appendix: Additional Tables
YoY deltas cited by the company (Q2 FY25 vs Q2 FY24):
Non-GAAP reconciliation context:
- Adjusted EBITDA adds back interest, taxes, D&A, and specific non-cash/non-recurring items including professional fees and stock-based comp (and litigation settlement in 1H) .
- Adjusted fully distributed EPS reflects a normalized tax rate and full exchange of LLC units; Q2: GAAP diluted EPS $0.12 vs Adjusted fully distributed EPS $0.31 .