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MC

MARCUS CORP (MCS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 headline EPS of $0.52 beat consensus, though the beat was driven by a $0.10 per-share insurance gain; excluding the gain, EPS was ~$0.42, roughly in line. Revenue (pre-reimbursements) missed consensus as a softer film slate weighed on Theatres, while Hotels outperformed local comps despite a tough RNC lap . Revenue vs. consensus and EPS consensus from S&P Global estimates are shown below (values with asterisks) (see Estimates Context).
  • Theatres: admissions -15.8% and attendance -18.7% YoY on mix lacking family tentpoles; pricing actions lifted average ticket price +3.6% and concessions per patron +2.1%. Hotels: RevPAR -1.5% YoY on ADR normalization vs. RNC, but occupancy +1.7ppt and competitive set outperformance by 5.2ppts .
  • Capital allocation: repurchased ~0.6M shares for $9.0M; Board added 4.0M shares to authorization (4.7M total available). Liquidity >$214M; net leverage 1.7x; CapEx 2025 guided to $75–$85M (up from $70–$85M), stepping down to ~$50–$55M in 2026. Dividend of $0.08/share declared Nov 5, 2025 .
  • Setup: holiday slate includes Wicked: For Good and Zootopia 2 with presales strong; 2026 slate notably more franchise- and family-heavy, a favorable mix for MCS’s Midwest footprint. Management sees stronger free cash flow in 2026 as CapEx normalizes, and has incremental buyback capacity as a catalyst .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Hotels outperformed competitive sets by 5.2 ppts as group business and renovated assets drove resilience despite ADR normalization vs. last year’s RNC impact . “We continue to capitalize on the strength in group business…particularly strong at our newly renovated properties” — Michael R. Evans, President, Hotels .
    • Pricing initiatives supported per-cap growth: average ticket price +3.6% and concessions per patron +2.1% YoY, helped by blockbuster surcharges and Everyday Matinee adjustments .
    • Capital return: $9.0M buybacks in Q3; new authorization for up to 4.0M additional shares, bringing 4.7M shares available; cumulative >$25M returned in last four quarters .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Theatres’ film mix lacked a breakout tentpole and family content, leading to admissions -15.8% and attendance -18.7% YoY; division revenue -16.6% and Adj. EBITDA -33.4% YoY .
    • Consolidated revenue (pre-reimbursements) -10.2% YoY and operating income -30.7% YoY; Adj. EBITDA -22.6% YoY as Theatres volume pressure outweighed Hotels’ stability .
    • Revenue missed Street (basis consistent with pre-reimbursement “Revenues”) given softer film slate; Q3 Hotels RevPAR -1.5% YoY from ADR normalization vs RNC .

Financial Results

Headline P&L (GAAP/Company metrics)

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total revenues ($m)232.668 206.043 210.151
Revenues, pre-reimbursements ($m)222.276 195.672 199.516
Operating income ($m)32.782 13.007 22.731
Net earnings ($m)23.314 7.321 16.230
Diluted EPS ($)0.73 0.23 0.52
Adjusted EBITDA ($m)52.275 32.267 40.446
Adj. EBITDA addendum (insurance gain impact)Net earnings included $3.0M insurance gain ($0.10/share)

Margins (S&P Global data; company-reported basis differs from consensus methodology)

  • EBITDA Margin %: Q3’24 22.38%; Q2’25 15.50%; Q3’25 19.57%
  • EBIT Margin %: Q3’24 14.61%; Q2’25 6.51%; Q3’25 11.13% Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Versus Estimates (S&P Global consensus; same basis for revenue as “Revenues” pre-reimbursements)

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
Revenue (pre-reimbursements, $m)207.041*199.516 -3.6% (miss)*
Primary EPS ($)0.415*0.52 +$0.10 (beat); ex-$0.10 insurance ≈ $0.42 (~in line)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Detail (Q3)

Segment (Q3)Q3 2024 Revenue ($m)Q3 2025 Revenue ($m)Q3 2024 Op Inc ($m)Q3 2025 Op Inc ($m)Q3 2024 Adj. EBITDA ($m)Q3 2025 Adj. EBITDA ($m)
Theatres143.843 119.941 21.761 12.331 33.187 22.106
Hotels & Resorts88.738 90.129 17.041 16.356 23.074 23.144
Corporate & Other0.087 0.081 (6.020) (5.956) (3.986) (4.804)

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q3 2025
Theatres same-store admissions revenue YoY-15.8%
Theatres same-store attendance YoY-18.7%
Avg ticket price YoY+3.6%
Concession revenue per patron YoY+2.1%
Hotels RevPAR YoY-1.5%
Hotels occupancy (owned hotels)78.4%
Hotels ADR YoY-3.6% (RNC impact prior-year)
Hotels outperformance vs comp set+5.2 ppts

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$70–$85M (Q2 call) $75–$85M (Q3 call) Raised low end
Capital ExpendituresFY 2026Qualitative step-down expected (Q2 call) ~$50–$55M preliminary Introduced quantitative range
Share Repurchase AuthorizationOngoing~0.7M shares remaining under prior auth. as of 9/30/25 +4.0M added (4.7M total available) Increased capacity
Leverage TargetOngoingNot previously statedComfortable to ~2.25x–2.5x; current 1.7x Clarified tolerance
DividendNext pay date$0.08/share declared, payable Dec 15, 2025 Maintained payout

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Film slate quality/mixSofter Q1 slate; optimism into Q2 with Minecraft/Sinners kickstarting summer Broad-based strength; 32 wide releases; diversity of content Lacked breakout tentpole; light family mix hurt Midwest markets Mixed-to-improving into holiday/2026
Pricing strategy (tickets)Everyday Matinee, Value Tuesday promos depressed ATP Began blockbuster surcharges; Everyday Matinee to $7.50/$8.50; tailwind from annualization Pricing uplift continued; ATP +3.6%; per caps improving; expect continued growth Positive ATP momentum
Concessions/merchConcessions per cap +2.9% Concessions per cap +3.1%; merchandise growth (lower margin) Concessions per cap +2.1%; no consumer pullback seen Stable demand
Hotels group/leisureGroup growth; renovations underway Group stable; five of seven hotels ADR growth; Hilton renovation nearing completion Group strength drove F&B revenue; occupancy +1.7ppt; outperformed comps Solid/stable
RevPAR/comp setsUnderperformed comps ~5.8ppts due to Hilton renovation Outperformed comps +5.2ppts; RevPAR -1.5% on ADR normalization vs RNC Improving vs comps
CapExElevated due to hotel projects FY25 $70–$85M; 2026 step-down expected FY25 $75–$85M; 2026 ~$50–$55M FCF tailwind 2026
Capital returns$7.1M buybacks in Q1 Ongoing balanced approach $9.0M in Q3; +4.0M share auth. increase; dividend continued More capacity
Leverage/M&ALiquidity >$214M; net leverage 1.6x Net leverage 1.7x; comfortable to 2.25–2.5x; opportunistic M&A vs buybacks Capacity available

Management Commentary

  • “Marcus Hotels & Resorts led the way…delivering revenue growth and overcoming a tough comparison to last year’s third quarter, which significantly benefitted from the impact of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee.” — Gregory S. Marcus, CEO .
  • “We expect these dynamics to be short-lived, with presales of Wicked: For Good trending over three times ahead of pre-sales for last year’s Wicked…including family-friendly titles that tend to play well in our markets.” — Mark A. Gramz, President, Marcus Theatres .
  • “We now expect capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 of $75 to $85 million…we see a meaningful step down in capital expenditures in 2026…approximately $50 to $55 million.” — Chad Paris, CFO .
  • “Our board of directors has approved a 4 million share increase in our current repurchase authorization…In the absence of growth investments with attractive returns, we will continue to use this authorization to opportunistically repurchase shares.” — Gregory S. Marcus .

Q&A Highlights

  • Leverage and M&A: Comfortable flexing to ~2.25x–2.5x net leverage for actionable M&A; would not issue equity at current valuation; balanced use of debt/buybacks based on opportunity .
  • Pricing: Blockbuster surcharges and Everyday Matinee changes expected to provide admission per-cap tailwind; no major new pricing changes beyond annualization of Q3 actions .
  • Concessions demand: No evidence of consumer pushback; stable hit rates and basket sizes; merchandise attach supporting per-cap growth .
  • Hotels pacing: 2026 group room pace ~14% ahead YoY; banquet and catering also ahead; some markets see leisure softening but portfolio resilient .
  • Leadership transition: President of Theatres retiring March 2026; search underway; expect fresh ideas but no wholesale strategic change .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue (pre-reimbursements) $199.5M vs $207.0M consensus (miss); Primary EPS $0.52 vs $0.415 consensus (beat), but ex-$0.10 insurance gain ≈ $0.42, roughly in line. Q4 2025 consensus revenue ~$193.9M and EPS ~$0.17 set the near-term bar; 2026 shows expected seasonal dip in Q1 before a stronger Q2 .
  • Target price consensus stood at ~$23.25 across the periods observed*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Hotels resilience and renovated assets are offsetting Theatres softness from an unfavorable Q3 slate; film mix turns more favorable into holidays and especially 2026 (family-heavy franchises), a positive setup for MCS’s Midwest footprint .
  • Quality-of-earnings nuance: headline EPS beat was insurance aided; underlying profitability tracked closer to consensus, while revenue (pre-reimbursements) underperformed amid attendance pressure .
  • Structural levers in Theatres—pricing optimization and premium large format mix—are expanding per caps and can help margin recovery as volumes normalize .
  • Hotels’ competitive outperformance and 2026 group pace imply durable earnings support; ADR should benefit from recent renovations even as RNC comps fade .
  • Capital return and FCF inflection: FY25 CapEx raised low-end but narrows; FY26 CapEx step-down to ~$50–$55M should lift FCF, alongside a larger buyback authorization and maintained dividend .
  • Balance sheet capacity: net leverage 1.7x with comfort up to ~2.25–2.5x provides optionality for opportunistic M&A or incremental repurchases, depending on opportunity set/valuation .
  • Near-term catalysts: holiday box office performance (Wicked: For Good, Zootopia 2, Avatar), continued per-cap gains, and updates on buyback execution/leadership transition at Theatres .

Values retrieved from S&P Global for items marked with an asterisk (*).

Citations:

  • Q3 2025 press release financials, segment data, KPIs, buybacks/authorization
  • 8-K 2.02 and attached exhibit confirming results and authorization
  • Q3 2025 call commentary on insurance gain, theatres/film mix, hotels metrics, CapEx, liquidity/leverage, outlook
  • Q2 2025 press release and call for prior-quarter comps and guide baseline
  • Q1 2025 press release for sequential/trend context
  • Dividend press release
  • Theatres president retirement press release