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Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. (MD)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 landed in line with internal expectations: net revenue $495.1M (+0.8% YoY), GAAP diluted EPS $0.05, Adjusted EPS $0.20, and Adjusted EBITDA $37.2M; management reaffirmed FY24 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $200–$220M .
  • Mix and volume were constructive: NICU days +2.5% (≈+1.5 pts excluding leap day) and maternal-fetal medicine (MFM) volumes “about 3%,” while primary/urgent care volumes declined; commercial payor mix improved ~130 bps YoY .
  • Strategic actions intensified: exit of ~two dozen primary/urgent care clinics to be completed in Q2, accelerated disposal of underperforming office-based practices, and formalization of a hybrid RCM model with Guidehouse; roughly one-third of practices had transitioned by the call with completion targeted by end of Q3 .
  • Cash usage was seasonally heavy (operating cash flow used: $122.6M), with DSO up ~1.5 days from 12/31 tied to Change Healthcare disruption and RCM transition timing; company expects Q2 Adjusted EBITDA to represent 24–25% of FY24 guidance, implying second-half weighting as restructuring benefits phase in .
  • Wall Street estimate comparison (S&P Global) was unavailable due to data access limits; beat/miss cannot be assessed this quarter (see Estimates Context) [S&P Global data unavailable].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Hospital-based volumes improved and mix helped: NICU days +2.5% YoY and commercial mix +130 bps; MFM volume “about 3%” despite no leap year boost to office days .
    • Reaffirmed FY24 Adjusted EBITDA guidance ($200–$220M); management emphasized margin stabilization via portfolio restructuring and hybrid RCM transition .
    • RCM execution tracking to plan: contract finalized with Guidehouse; ~1/3 of practices transitioned with no negative impact to RCM performance cited .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Adjusted EBITDA fell YoY to $37.2M (from $40.1M), and seasonally weak Q1 used $122.6M in operating cash flow; DSO rose ~1.5 days due to external (Change Healthcare) and transition timing .
    • Office-based primary/urgent care volumes declined; management is exiting the primary/urgent care platform and accelerating disposals of underperforming office-based practices to address margin dilution .
    • Practice salaries & benefits remained elevated, reflecting salary and group health cost pressures; G&A rose modestly on internal staffing to build the hybrid RCM capability .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Net Revenue ($M)$491.0 $506.6 $496.4 $495.1
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.17 $0.26 ($1.50) $0.05
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.23 $0.32 $0.32 $0.20
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$40.1 $50.4 $50.8 $37.2
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)8.2% (40.1/491.0) 10.0% (50.4/506.6) 10.2% (50.8/496.4) 7.5% (37.2/495.1)
Vs Estimates (EPS, Revenue)Unavailable (SPGI access limit)Unavailable (SPGI access limit)Unavailable (SPGI access limit)Unavailable (SPGI access limit)

Cost Structure and Mix

MetricQ1 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Practice Salaries & Benefits ($M)$362.2 $368.4 $363.6 $369.1
PS&B as % of Revenue73.8% (362.2/491.0) 72.7% (368.4/506.6) 73.2% (363.6/496.4) 74.5% (369.1/495.1)
G&A ($M)$59.1 $57.4 $53.1 $60.2
G&A as % of Revenue12.0% (59.1/491.0) 11.3% (57.4/506.6) 10.7% (53.1/496.4) 12.2% (60.2/495.1)

KPIs and Same-Unit Trends

KPIQ1 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Same-Unit Revenue YoY+4.1% (1.5)% +2.3%
Same-Unit Volume YoY(1.2)% (1.0)% +1.3%
Same-Unit Net Reimb. YoY+5.3% (0.5)% +1.0%
Hospital-Based Patient Services Vol. YoY(1.8)% (3.0)% +2.5%
Office-Based Patient Services Vol. YoY0.0% +3.9% (0.9)%
NICU Days YoY(0.7)% (2.0)% +2.5%
Commercial Payor Mix Δ (bps)+150 bps +40 bps +130 bps
MFM Volume YoY≈+3% (“about 3%”)
DSO Δ vs 12/31 (days)+~1.5 days

Balance Sheet and Liquidity

Metric12/31/233/31/24
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($M)$73.3 $8.0
Net A/R ($M)$272.3 $283.7
Total Debt Outstanding ($M)$628–633 (Q4 press) $705 (Sr Notes $400; Term A $225; Revolver $80)
Operating Cash Flow ($M)Q4’23: +$72.1; FY’23: +$146.0 Q1’24: ($122.6)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2024$200–$220 (2/20/24 preliminary) $200–$220 (reaffirmed 5/7/24) Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA CadenceQ2 2024Q2 ≈24–25% of FY24 New detail
Hybrid RCM Transition2024 TimelineTransition underway (Q4 call) ~1/3 practices transitioned; completion by end of Q3 Schedule specified
Portfolio Restructuring2024 ActionsPortfolio review underway (Q4 call) Accelerated exits of underperforming office-based practices Accelerated
Primary/Urgent Care ClinicsExit TimingExit ~two dozen clinics by end of Q2 2024 New action
G&A as % of RevenueFY 2024Comparable to 2023 (Q4 call) Comparable or lower vs 2023 despite RCM staffing Maintained/Refined

Implied Q2 Adjusted EBITDA from cadence: ~$48–$55M (24–25% of $200–$220M) based on management’s stated percentage of full-year guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
Revenue Cycle ManagementTransition to hybrid model; in-network progress and NSA arbitration win rate approaching ~90% (Q4 call) Guidehouse contracted; ~1/3 of practices transitioned; no negative impact cited; completion by end of Q3 Execution progressing
Portfolio RestructuringPlan to address practice-level margin dispersion (Q3/Q4) Accelerated exits of underperforming office-based practices to remove/remediate margin dilution Accelerating
Exit of Primary/Urgent CareStrategic exit of ~two dozen clinics; complete in Q2 New/decisive pivot
Volume/MixQ3 softer volumes; Q4 stable pricing with mix tailwinds NICU days +2.5%; MFM “about 3%”; commercial mix +130 bps Improving
Labor/Cost InflationElevated salaries and group health; moderation targeted in 2H’24+ (Q3/Q4) Practice salaries & benefits remained elevated; restructuring expected to improve profile in 2H’24 Still a headwind near term
Payer/Network & NSAIn-network status improved; arbitration processes refined (Q4) Mix tailwind continues; in-network supports ambulatory volumes Favorable structural support
Capital AllocationM&A focused on core (Q4) Acquired MFM practice in CA; focus on core inpatient/ambulatory services Targeted tuck-ins

Management Commentary

  • “We are reaffirming our full year 2024 outlook of adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $220 million… [and] enacting changes that will stabilize our margins… and enable a lower cost structure going forward.”
  • “We’ve… made the strategic decision to exit our primary and urgent care clinic platform… roughly two dozen clinics… We intend to complete this exit during the second quarter of this year.”
  • “We finalized a contract with Guidehouse, under which that organization will be our third-party RCM provider… [hybrid] structure is the most cost-effective way to fully support our practices.”
  • “During Q1, we used $123 million in operating cash flow… DSO rose roughly 1.5 days from 12/31, reflecting a slight impact from the Change Healthcare incident and… RCM transition process.”
  • “We expect that adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter will contribute 24% to 25% of our full year outlook of $200 million to $220 million.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Sizing and cadence of restructuring: Non-same unit revenue down ~$6.8M in Q1 reflects in-process dispositions; that impact should grow as exits continue; Q3 typically the strongest EBITDA quarter seasonally, with 1H representing ~18% (Q1) and ~24–25% (Q2) of FY guidance .
  • Rationale for practice exits: Not tied to contract renewal cycles; targeted at practices with negative EBITDA contribution after prior remediation attempts .
  • Volumes outlook: Stable demand expected for 2024; MFM volumes encouraging; NICU days growth driven by admission rate and length of stay .
  • SWB trajectory: Salaries remain elevated vs historical; portfolio actions should lower SWB as a % of revenue as high-SWB sites are removed .
  • Stipends: Ongoing renegotiations with health systems to ensure adequate coverage support, especially for services requiring subsidies .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q1 2024 EPS and Revenue were unavailable due to access limits at the time of this analysis, so beat/miss cannot be determined this quarter (we anchor estimate comparisons to S&P Global when available). Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at query time.
  • Given management’s FY24 Adjusted EBITDA reaffirmation and explicit Q2 contribution (24–25% of FY), near-term sell-side models may need to reflect heavier 2H weighting as portfolio exits and RCM progress flow through .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution quarter: modest growth, reaffirmed FY24 EBITDA guide, and detailed 1H-to-2H cadence reduce near-term estimate risk; watch for Q2 delivery of ~$48–$55M Adjusted EBITDA implied by cadence .
  • Structural pivot: exiting primary/urgent care and accelerating office-based practice disposals should lift margins by removing dilutive sites; progress updates in Q2/Q3 are key catalysts .
  • RCM de-risking: Guidehouse hybrid model and staged transition (~1/3 completed) aim to stabilize cash conversion; monitor DSOs and cash flow normalization in Q2 .
  • Demand stable with positive mix: NICU days +2.5% and commercial mix +130 bps offset office-based softness; MFM volumes remain a bright spot .
  • Cost vigilance: PS&B and G&A remain elevated as RCM insourcing builds; management targets G&A as % of revenue comparable to or lower than 2023, with restructuring benefits weighted to 2H .
  • Balance sheet: leverage increased sequentially with revolver usage in Q1; free cash flow inflection typically starts in Q2 as seasonal cash headwinds abate .
  • Stock drivers: evidence of timely clinic exits, RCM conversion milestones, and Q2 print in the guided contribution range likely drive near-term sentiment; sustained improvement in EBITDA margin into 2H would support re-rating .

References: Q1 2024 earnings press release and financial tables ; Q1 2024 earnings call transcript ; Q4 2023 press release/transcript ; Q3 2023 press release/transcript .