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METHODE ELECTRONICS INC (MEI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 FY2024 results: net sales $277.3M, diluted EPS -$1.63; adjusted diluted EPS -$0.23 as goodwill impairment ($49.4M) and continued North America auto launch inefficiencies weighed on results .
  • Sequentially, sales rebounded vs Q3 ($259.5M) and free cash flow improved to $15.8M; net debt fell to $169.4M, the lowest level of the fiscal year .
  • Guidance reset: FY2025 “repositioning year” with net sales similar to FY2024 and adjusted pre-tax income approaching breakeven; FY2026 expected to deliver higher sales and notably positive pre-tax income .
  • Operational actions underway (sourcing, logistics, S&A reductions; asset monetization) and >$140M quarterly program awards; EV sales were 14% of Q4 revenue amid program roll-offs and softer demand .
  • Estimates context: S&P Global consensus data could not be retrieved due to a request limit; comparisons vs Street consensus are unavailable this cycle (S&P Global).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Free cash flow inflected positive ($15.8M) with the best quarter of the year for FCF and new awards; net debt reached the fiscal-year low at $169.4M .
  • Industrial segment revenue grew to $117.2M (vs. $98.0M YoY) with $21.8M contribution from Nordic Lights; Interface margin improved (10.6% op margin vs. 8.2% YoY) on mix .
  • Management initiated cost actions (sourcing, logistics, S&A), working capital reduction, non-core asset sales (incl. aircraft), and program launch focus to rebuild profitability .

What Went Wrong

  • Automotive segment revenue fell to $145.9M (down 21.6% YoY) and recorded a $49.4M goodwill impairment; operating loss -$64.9M driven by NA launch inefficiencies and lower volumes .
  • EV demand softness and a significant EV lighting program roll-off pressured sales; e-bike market remained overstocked, weighing Europe sensor volumes .
  • Higher interest expense and lower volumes further pressured EPS; Q4 diluted EPS -$1.63 (vs. $0.22 YoY), adjusted diluted EPS -$0.23 (vs. $0.22 YoY) .

Financial Results

Sequential performance (Q2–Q4 FY2024)

MetricQ2 FY2024 (Oct 28, 2023)Q3 FY2024 (Jan 27, 2024)Q4 FY2024 (Apr 27, 2024)
Revenue ($M)$288.0 $259.5 $277.3
Diluted EPS ($)-$1.55 -$0.33 -$1.63
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.06 -$0.33 -$0.23
EBITDA ($M)-$36.7 $9.4 -$44.0
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$21.2 $9.5 $5.3
Net Cash from Ops ($M)-$0.6 $28.8 $24.9
Free Cash Flow ($M)-$11.3 $12.2 $15.8
Total Debt ($M)$332.0 $331.3 $330.9
Net Debt ($M)$209.5 $208.4 $169.4

Year-over-year (Q4 FY2023 vs. Q4 FY2024)

MetricQ4 FY2023Q4 FY2024
Revenue ($M)$301.2 $277.3
Diluted EPS ($)$0.22 -$1.63
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.22 -$0.23
EBITDA ($M)$21.9 -$44.0
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$31.7 $5.3

Segment breakdown (Q4 FY2024 vs. Q4 FY2023)

SegmentNet Sales Q4 FY2023 ($M)Net Sales Q4 FY2024 ($M)Op Inc Q4 FY2023 ($M)Op (Loss) Q4 FY2024 ($M)
Automotive$186.2 $145.9 $10.2 -$64.9
Industrial$98.0 $117.2 $23.4 $20.0
Interface$15.8 $14.2 $1.3 $1.5

KPIs and notable ratios

KPIQ4 FY2024Notes
EV & hybrid % of sales14% Down on program roll-off and lower EV demand
S&A as % of sales15.0% (vs 16.6% YoY) Reduced pro fees vs Nordic Lights costs in prior year
Free Cash Flow ($M)$15.8 Best quarter of FY2024
Net Debt ($M)$169.4 Lowest of fiscal year
Goodwill impairment ($M)$49.4 North American Automotive reporting unit
Program awards>$140M in Q4 Broad-based; EV-weighted

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY2025Guidance suspended as of Q3 FY2024 Similar to FY2024 Reinstated; level set to flat
Adjusted Pre-tax IncomeFY2025N/A (suspended) Approaching breakeven; H2 stronger; Q1 similar to Q4 FY2024 negative New framework; back-end weighted
Depreciation & AmortizationFY2025N/A$60–$65M Initial outlook provided
Net SalesFY2026N/AGreater than FY2025 Up vs FY2025
Pre-tax IncomeFY2026N/APositive and notably greater than FY2025 Up vs FY2025
DividendOngoing$0.14 per share declared Jun 13, 2024 No change noted; Board determines quarterly Maintained
Share RepurchaseProgramPrior $200M program expired Jun 14, 2024; 174,215 shares repurchased in Q4 for $3.0M New authorization up to $200M through Jun 17, 2026 Renewed 2-year program

Note: In Q2 FY2024 the company had reduced FY2025 sales outlook to $1.15–$1.25B (from $1.25–$1.35B) and trimmed operating margin expectations; guidance was then suspended in Q3 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 FY2024; Q3 FY2024)Current Period (Q4 FY2024)Trend
EV demand and program cadenceLower EV demand; revised FY2025 outlook; goodwill impairments; program roll-offs EV % of sales 14%; transition gap with major EV lighting roll-off and wave of new EV power launches; pipeline healthy but EV-centric and timing-sensitive Stabilizing near term softness; long-term tailwind
Automotive NA operations/launch inefficienciesOngoing NA operational inefficiencies raising costs (premium freight, labor); suspension of guidance Inefficiencies persisted; cost actions underway; improvement efforts on Mexico launches; replacing legacy high-efficiency program adds complexity Improving process; still a headwind
E-bike marketOverstocked in Europe, driving lower sensor sales Ongoing overstock; continues to depress Europe volumes Persistent headwind
Cost actions/WC/cashInitiating cost/capex discipline, WC actions; returned to positive FCF in Q3 Best FCF quarter; asset sales (aircraft); focus on sourcing/logistics/S&A reduction Improving cash discipline
Capital structure/covenantsCredit amendment raising leverage thresholds and fees; covenant waiver Facility resized post-Q4; compliant; amendment provides runway Reduced near-term covenant risk
Leadership transitionCEO change discussions; governance updates Jon DeGaynor named CEO (eff. Jul 15); interim CEO and CFO transition New leadership and strategy focus

Management Commentary

  • “Sales rebounded from the third quarter but were down from the prior year due to auto program roll-offs and ongoing demand weakness in the e-bike market… [and] operational inefficiencies in the Automotive segment… drove the adjusted net loss in the quarter.”
  • “We had our best quarter of the year for free cash flow and new program awards, while also delivering our lowest net debt level of the four reporting periods.”
  • “Fiscal 2025 will be a year of repositioning with flat organic sales growth and approaching breakeven pre-tax income… We then expect a return to organic sales growth and a notable pre-tax income improvement in fiscal 2026.”
  • Launch/cost focus: “We are undertaking initiatives to reduce costs, particularly in the areas of sourcing, logistics, and S&A… monetizing non-critical assets… improving low margin programs.”
  • Award momentum: “Over $140 million in annual program awards… strongest quarter for the year… pipeline remains healthy but… very EV centric.”

Discrepancy note: The call’s opening remark cited “sales for the quarter were $227 million,” which conflicts with reported net sales of $277.3M; CFO commentary and the press release confirm $277.3M .

Q&A Highlights

  • Cadence and breakeven path: FY2025 “approaching breakeven” for the year; Q1 FY2025 similar to Q4 FY2024 with improvement through the year and stronger H2 driven by launches and cost actions .
  • Roll-offs and launches: ~$90M rolled off in FY2024; a further ~$100M expected in FY2025, with launches refilling the pipeline; cost reductions (sourcing/logistics) to show more impact in H2 FY2025 .
  • Capex/cash flow: FY2025 capex to be similar to or higher than FY2024 to support >50 launches; working capital initiatives and non-core asset sales to support cash generation .
  • Capital allocation: Focus on deleveraging and balance sheet health over repurchases; dividend decided quarterly by the Board .
  • EV exposure and geography: Growth thesis remains EV-led into FY2026; customer/program diversification across U.S., Europe and Asia; limited exposure to Chinese OEMs .
  • Operations/Mexico: Launch discipline and processes improving; simultaneous replacement of a large, efficient legacy program with many smaller launches created temporary inefficiencies .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 FY2024 (EPS, revenue) were not retrievable due to a daily request limit at the data provider. As a result, we cannot present “vs. consensus” comparisons for this quarter (S&P Global).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • FY2025 is an execution year: sequential improvement expected as launches scale and cost actions land; H2 weighting implies interim volatility .
  • Automotive NA launch normalization is the key swing factor for margins; management cites improved discipline and active cost programs, but timing remains critical .
  • EV pipeline remains a multi-year growth driver despite near-term demand variability and program timing; Q4 awards were robust and EV-weighted .
  • Cash discipline improving: positive FCF in Q3/Q4, asset monetization, and working capital focus; net debt reduced to $169.4M .
  • Covenant/LIQ risk moderated via credit amendments and facility resizing; compliance affirmed .
  • Leadership change (new CEO Jon DeGaynor) brings a transformation track record; expect continued portfolio/operations review and cost workstreams .
  • Watch for near-term catalysts: H2 FY2025 launch ramp quality, EV take rates, e‑bike inventory normalization, and additional cost take-out updates .

Appendix: Additional Context from Prior Quarters

  • Q3 FY2024: Net sales $259.5M; diluted EPS -$0.33; suspended forward guidance amid ongoing NA operational inefficiencies and market headwinds .
  • Q2 FY2024: Net sales $288.0M; diluted EPS -$1.55 with $56.5M goodwill impairment; reduced FY2025 sales and margin outlook; NA operational issues persisted .