Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

MF

MFA FINANCIAL, INC. (MFA)·Q1 2020 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2020 was dominated by COVID-19 market dislocation, margin calls (~$800M in two weeks), asset sales, and elevated impairments, resulting in a GAAP net loss of $908.995M and diluted EPS of -$2.02; GAAP book value fell to $4.34 per share and economic book value to $4.09 .
  • Management negotiated successive forbearance agreements (Apr 10, Apr 27, Jun 1) to stabilize liquidity; repurchase obligations fell ~35% since Apr 10 to ~$3.8B as of May 29 via asset sales and margin call payoff .
  • Strategic capital solution announced mid-June: $500M senior secured notes and >$2B in term, non‑mark‑to‑market financing with Apollo/Athene and dealers; pro forma ~60%+ financing non‑mark‑to‑market, reducing margin-call risk and enabling securitizations .
  • Dividends on common and preferred were suspended for Q1 and Q2 to preserve liquidity and due to forbearance covenants; management aims to meet REIT distribution requirements and resume preferred/common dividends when feasible .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Negotiated three forbearance agreements that “provided time to manage our balance sheet and liquidity” and source third-party capital; lenders were repaid in full upon exit .
  • Announced a strategic partnership with Apollo/Athene: $500M notes, ~$1.65B committed term non‑mark‑to‑market facility for loans, warrants for 7.5% of common; expected to materially improve durability of funding and enable securitizations .
  • Asset sales executed at materially better prices than late-March prints; April non‑agency/CRT/MSR sales generated over $150M gains versus March 31 marks, mitigating book value erosion .

What Went Wrong

  • Severe market stress triggered ~$800M margin calls in mid/late March; inability to meet all margin calls led to forbearance and suspension of dividends .
  • Large P&L charges: $419.7M impairments on securities/MSR-related assets, $238.4M realized losses on securities/loans, $77.961M unrealized losses on securities at fair value, and $150.827M CECL/valuation provisions, driving a $908.995M net loss .
  • MSR-related term notes required a $280.8M impairment given intent/need to sell; swaps were unwound with $71.2M losses held in AOCI, increasing interest expense and reducing earnings capacity near term .

Financial Results

Income Statement (YoY comparison)

MetricQ1 2019Q1 2020
Interest Income ($USD Millions)$140.952 $145.460
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$61.926 $61.701
Provision for Credit/Valuation Losses ($USD Millions)$0.805 $150.827
Impairment & Other Losses on Securities/Other Assets ($USD Millions)$0.000 $419.651
Net Realized (Loss)/Gain on Sales ($USD Millions)$24.609 $(238.380)
Net (Loss)/Income ($USD Millions)$88.857 $(908.995)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.19 $(2.02)

Key P&L Drivers (Q1 2020 detail)

ComponentQ1 2020
Non‑QM loans sold ($USD Millions)$659.9; realized loss $145.8
Securities sales proceeds / net loss ($USD Millions)$1,265.2 / $(68.0)
CRT sales proceeds / net loss ($USD Millions)$35.6 / $(2.0)
Operating & Other Expense ($USD Millions)$29.106

Balance Sheet & Portfolio Composition

MetricDec 31, 2019Mar 31, 2020
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$13,567.364 $11,130.337
Total Liabilities ($USD Millions)$10,183.412 $8,689.662
Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$3,383.952 $2,440.675
Repurchase Agreements ($USD Millions)$9,139.821 $7,768.180
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$70.629 $116.465
Restricted Cash ($USD Millions)$64.035 $216.902
GAAP Book Value per Share ($USD)$4.34 (as of Mar 31, 2020)
Economic Book Value per Share ($USD)$4.09 (as of Mar 31, 2020)

Residential Whole Loans (carrying value)

Component ($USD Millions)Dec 31, 2019Mar 31, 2020
Non‑QM (incl. held-for-sale)$3,707.245 $3,538.725
Rehabilitation (Fix & Flip)$1,026.097 $978.965
Single‑Family Rental$460.742 $506.352
Seasoned Performing$176.569 $165.592
Purchased Credit Deteriorated$698.717 $744.408
Total Residential Whole Loans (carrying value)$6,069.370 $5,934.042
Allowance for Credit/Valuation Losses$(3.025) $(218.011)

Securities & MSR-Related Assets (fair value)

Asset ($USD Millions)Dec 31, 2019Mar 31, 2020
Agency MBS$1,664.582 $553.413
Non‑Agency MBS$2,063.529 $1,119.940
CRT Securities$255.408 $254.101
MSR‑Related Term Notes (amortized cost)$1,200+ amortized cost; fair value not separately listed $706.6 amortized cost; impairment $280.8

Liquidity & Financing KPIs

KPIValue
Repurchase Obligations (May 29)~$3.8B
Reduction in Repo Obligations since Apr 10~35%
Cash balances (Apr 24)$430.9M (incl. $143.8M with repo counterparties)
Cash balances (Apr 9)$423.4M total; $225.3M unrestricted pre-forbearance
Margin calls in mid/late March~$800M (weeks of Mar 16 & 23)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Common DividendQ1 2020Not specifiedSuspended to preserve liquidity and due to forbearance restrictions Lowered
Preferred Dividend (Series B/C)Q1 2020Contractual payoutsSuspended in Q1; Q2 also suspended under forbearance; dividends accrue without interest Lowered
REIT Distribution/Tax2020N/AManagement targets minimum distributions to maintain REIT status; estimated Q1 2020 REIT taxable income ~$0.10/share and ~$0.05/share undistributed from 2019 Policy clarified

Note: No formal revenue/margin/OpEx guidance provided; management focused on liquidity, durable financing, and securitization pipeline .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q1 2020)Trend
Forbearance & LiquidityPrior quarter transcripts unavailable due to retrieval error; see forward context: multiple forbearance extensions, exit June 26 with lenders repaid Three forbearance agreements (Apr 10, Apr 27, Jun 1); asset sales to reduce repo, manage margin calls Improving funding stability
Durable Financing—; forward context: secured term non‑mark‑to‑market debt >80% of borrowings post June 26, cost ~3.6% excl. senior loan Plan for term non‑mark‑to‑market lines and securitizations; underlevering daily mark‑to‑market repo to create margin cushion Transition to resilient funding
Securitization—; forward context: AAA spreads ~125–150 over swaps, compelling execution; programmatic issuance planned Non‑QM securitization was days away in mid‑March; intent to proceed post-stabilization Pipeline resuming
Dividends/REIT Tax—; forward context: resumption of preferred and initiation of $0.05 common dividend by Q3/Q4 2020 Q1/Q2 dividends suspended; taxable income obligations outlined Recovery plan
Credit & CECL—; forward context: reserves adjusted with macro assumptions; delinquency migration monitored CECL/valuation provisions of $150.8M; allowance rose to $218.0M; 60+ DPD buckets monitored Elevated but stabilizing assumptions

Management Commentary

  • “These critical efforts have been comprised primarily of three things; one, forbearance; two, balance sheet and liquidity management; and three, sourcing third party capital… forbearance agreements have provided us with the time to manage our balance sheet and liquidity… Many of our asset sales… generated over $150 million of realized gains versus March 31 marks” – Craig Knutson, CEO .
  • “We have entered into an agreement with Apollo and Athene to raise $500 million… and a committed term borrowing facility with Barclays of approximately $1.65 billion… Pro forma… approximately 60% of the company's financing will be in the form of non-mark-to-market funding” – Craig Knutson .
  • “Our first quarter financial results… resulted in a loss of $914 million or $2.02 per share. Book value decreased to $4.34 per share… economic book value decreased to $4.09” – Craig Knutson .
  • “MFA received almost $800 million in margin calls during the weeks of March 16th and March 23rd… we announced on March 24th that we had not met margin calls… and initiated forbearance discussions” – Craig Knutson .

Q&A Highlights

  • Incremental cost of non‑mark‑to‑market facilities: “slightly more expensive… advance rates are lower… we’ll provide more robust disclosure on cost structure on the Q2 call” – CEO .
  • Investment dry powder post-transactions: “hundreds of millions of dollars” – CEO .
  • Leverage outlook: “likely within the twos… securitization provides different type of leverage” – CEO .
  • Dividends: common dividend likely after catching up preferred; guidance suggests re-establishment in second half if feasible – CEO .
  • Securitization timing and stack: targeting below-AAA tranches; pools ready; one to two days from pricing in March – CEO .
  • CECL methodology and reserve migration: macro assumptions adjusted; collateral-dependent analysis for 60+ day delinquents – CFO .

Estimates Context

Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2020 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to API request limit constraints during retrieval. As a result, no estimate comparison is presented here. If needed, we can refresh and add this section once SPGI access is restored.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q1 loss was driven by extraordinary market stress and conscious de‑risking (impairments, CECL provisions, asset sales); the operational pivot has likely reduced future margin‑call risk materially .
  • Pro forma funding mix moves toward term, non‑mark‑to‑market debt (and securitization), enhancing durability; under‑levered repo provides margin cushion in remaining mark‑to‑market exposure .
  • Securitization market for Non‑QM appears open with competitive spreads; MFA’s pipeline and committed purchasers (Athene) are catalysts for spread capture and funding cost reduction .
  • Dividends suspended in Q1/Q2; management intends to meet REIT distribution requirements and resume preferred payments first, with common distributions potentially later as liquidity normalizes .
  • Near‑term trading: stock likely sensitive to updates on securitization execution, financing costs, delinquency migration under CECL, and dividend resumption timelines .
  • Medium‑term thesis: a re‑shaped portfolio (94% whole loans) financed with durable structures positions MFA to rebuild earnings power and book value as markets stabilize; asset selection and loss mitigation remain critical .

Notes on Sources and Availability

  • Earnings press release (8‑K Item 2.02): June 3, 2020 filing with extended forbearance/dividend update .
  • Q1 2020 10‑Q: detailed financials for quarter ended March 31, 2020 .
  • Q1 2020 earnings call transcript: June 16, 2020 .
  • April 13 and April 29 8‑K company updates/second forbearance, liquidity/cash figures .

Where prior quarter transcripts were unavailable due to document retrieval errors, we used forward Q2 2020 call context for trend orientation .