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MF

MEDALLION FINANCIAL CORP (MFIN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered strong profitability: net income rose 56% YoY to $11.1M and diluted EPS was $0.46; net interest income increased 7% YoY to $53.4M, with net interest margin on gross loans at 8.09% (flat YoY on net loans at 8.42%) .
  • Results were a clear beat vs Wall Street: EPS $0.46 vs $0.315 consensus; “revenue” (interest income + other income) $86.7M vs $53.0M consensus; estimates based on 2 analysts* (EPS +$0.145; revenue +63%) [values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
  • Segment drivers: Recreation and Home Improvement loan books grew modestly; strategic partnerships set a record $168.6M originations; commercial segment recognized $6.1M equity gains; provisions increased to $21.6M amid cautious credit posture .
  • Capital actions and shareholder returns: $0.12 quarterly dividend declared for Q3 2025 and buybacks of ~48K shares; net book value per share climbed to $16.77 .
  • Near-term catalysts: outsized revenue/EPS beat*, rising strategic partnership volumes, commercial equity gains, and loan sale gains ($1.3M) support estimate revisions and sentiment, while higher allowances and recreation delinquencies temper the outlook [values retrieved from S&P Global]*.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong headline beat and profitability momentum: net income up 56% YoY to $11.1M; diluted EPS $0.46; net interest income up 7% YoY to $53.4M .
  • Strategic partnerships reached record originations of $168.6M and continued diversification; average holding period ~5 days with fees generated of $0.8M in Q2 .
  • Commercial segment contribution: $6.1M net equity gains; portfolio at $121.4M, average interest rate 13.43%; management highlights cumulative $27.6M equity gains over 8 quarters as a durable driver .

Selected management quotes:

  • “We are pleased with the strong results... 56% increase in net income year-over-year.” — Andrew Murstein .
  • “We would expect it [NIM] to remain in that realm over the next few quarters with some expansion coming when we start to see interest rates eventually fall.” — Anthony Cutrone .
  • “We think we’ve got ample capital to continue growth now.” — Anthony Cutrone (re: $77.5M Bank preferred offering) .

What Went Wrong

  • Recreation originations fell YoY ($142.8M vs $209.6M), while 90+ day delinquencies rose to 0.49% (from 0.41%); allowance increased to 5.05% (from 4.35%) reflecting cautious credit stance .
  • Provision for credit losses rose to $21.6M (vs $18.6M YoY), reflecting increased allowances across consumer and commercial portfolios .
  • Operating costs increased to $21.5M (from $20.0M YoY) tied to technology initiatives; margin expansion remains constrained by deposit costs (~3.81% end of June) .

Financial Results

Core P&L vs prior periods

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue (Interest income + Other income) ($USD Millions)$71.8 $87.0 $86.7
Diluted EPS ($)$0.30 $0.50 $0.46
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$49.9 $51.4 $53.4
Net Interest Margin on Gross Loans (%)8.12% 7.94% 8.09%
Net Interest Margin on Net Loans (%)8.42% 8.25% 8.42%
Provision for Credit Losses ($USD Millions)$18.6 $22.0 $21.6
Net Income attributable to MFIN ($USD Millions)$7.1 $12.0 $11.1

Q2 2025 vs Wall Street consensus

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
EPS ($)0.315*0.46 +0.145*
Revenue ($USD Millions)53.0*86.7 +33.6 (+63%)*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment breakdown – consumer lending

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Recreation Originations ($USD Millions)$209.6 $86.8 $142.8
Recreation Loans ($USD Millions)$1,497.0 $1,500.0 $1,546.0
Recreation Interest Income ($USD Millions)$47.5 $50.5 $51.1
Recreation 90+ Day Delinquency (%)0.41% 0.48% 0.49%
Recreation Allowance for Credit Loss (%)4.35% 5.00% 5.05%
Home Improvement Originations ($USD Millions)$68.0 $48.8 $54.3
Home Improvement Loans ($USD Millions)$773.2 $812.4 $803.5
Home Improvement Interest Income ($USD Millions)$17.7 $19.8 $20.1
Home Improvement 90+ Day Delinquency (%)0.17% 0.19% 0.16%
Home Improvement Allowance for Credit Loss (%)2.38% 2.49% 2.54%

Other segments and programs

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Commercial Loans ($USD Millions)$110.2 $116.1 $121.4
Commercial Avg Interest Rate (%)13.05% 13.14% 13.43%
Commercial Net Equity Gains ($USD Millions)n/a$9.43 $6.10
Strategic Partnership Originations ($USD Millions)$24.3 $136.2 $168.6
Strategic Partnership Fees ($USD Millions)$0.5 $0.69 $0.8
Taxi Medallion Cash Collected ($USD Millions)n/a$2.6 $2.3
Net Taxi Medallion Assets ($USD Millions)n/a$6.8 $5.9

KPIs and balance sheet context

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Originations ($USD Millions)$285.7 $281.6 $375.0
Strategic Partnership Originations ($USD Millions)$124.0 $136.2 $168.6
Consumer 90+ Delinquencies ($USD Millions / %)$11.4 / 0.49% $8.7 / 0.37% $8.6 / 0.37%
Allowance for Credit Losses ($USD Millions)$97.4 $100.4 $106.9
Deposits Avg Rate (%)3.71% 3.75% 3.81%
Net Book Value/Share ($)$16.00 $16.36 $16.77

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest Margin (“NIM”)Next few quarters“Stick around here… not significantly lower” (Q4 call) “Around ~8% (‘eight-ish’) with potential expansion when rates fall” (Q2 call) Maintained
Loan GrowthFY 2025 / LTMid- to high single digits (Q4 call) High single-digit long-term; growth to improve with added capital (Q2 call) Maintained (bias higher)
Operating Expenses Run-rateNear term~$21–21.5M/quarter (Q4 call) ~$21.5M in Q2; expected elevated as tech platform expands (Q2 remarks) Maintained
Dividend per ShareQ3 2025$0.12 declared in Q2 $0.12 declared for Q3 2025 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Technology/servicing platform investmentsElevated costs, platform customization and analytics build-out (Q4, Q1) Operating costs up to $21.5M; investments to improve self-service/customer experience Ongoing elevated spend; efficiency focus
Strategic partnershipsQ4 ramp to $124M; Q1 >$125M quarters durable Record $168.6M originations; fees $0.8M; 5-day hold Accelerating volumes
Credit quality & underwritingTightened standards mid-2023; better recent vintages (Q4/Q1) Rec delinquencies reflect older vintages; allowances increased; standards maintained Quality improving in new vintages; cautious provisioning
Loan sale activityQ1 guided ~half of $124.7M; premium gains expected $53M rec loan sale closed; $1.3M gain; appetite remains Occasional sales to manage growth/funding
Regulatory/legalSEC settlement charge/insurance benefit (Q4) ; mention in Q1 PR No new updates in Q2 materialsDe-emphasized; monitoring

Management Commentary

  • “Net interest income grew 7% to $53.4 million… net interest margin on gross loans was 8.09%… average interest rate on deposits was 3.81% at the end of June.” — CFO Anthony Cutrone (prepared) .
  • “Equity gains have now generated a total of $27.6 million of income over the past eight quarters.” — President Andrew Murstein (prepared) .
  • “We think we’ve got ample capital to continue growth now… raising $77.5 million perpetual preferred stock.” — CFO Anthony Cutrone (Q&A) .
  • “We would expect [NIM] to remain in that realm… with some expansion coming when we start to see interest rates eventually fall.” — CFO Anthony Cutrone (Q&A) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Recreation loan sale and gains: Company sold ~$53M of recreation loans in April, booking ~$1.3M gain; expects more sales opportunistically to support origination engine .
  • Strategic partnership unit economics: ~20–50 bps fee plus ~5-day float; yields ~20% on float; durable volumes with additional partners targeted .
  • Credit/delinquency: Recreation delinquencies higher on older vintages; newer vintages improved after mid-2023 underwriting step-up; allowances raised accordingly .
  • Margins/competition: NIM “around eight-ish”; mindful of competition and pricing; margin expansion tied to eventual rate declines .
  • Capital/reserves: Bank capital bolstered by preferred; flexibility to manage growth; allowance driven by economic outlook and portfolio performance .

Estimates Context

  • EPS and revenue beats signal upside to models: Q2 2025 EPS $0.46 vs $0.315 consensus (+$0.145); revenue $86.7M vs $53.0M consensus (+63%); 2 estimates contributed to both EPS and revenue* [values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
  • Implications: Magnitude of beat, recurring equity gains, and scaling strategic partnership program suggest upward revisions to revenue/EPS. Watch for sustained NIM ~8%, deposit costs trajectory, and credit provisions’ run-rate to calibrate forward estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Clear beat versus consensus in Q2 2025 with EPS $0.46 and revenue $86.7M, supported by net interest income strength and other income; likely positive estimate revisions* [values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
  • Strategic partnerships are scaling rapidly ($168.6M originations, $0.8M fees), diversifying income and providing low-duration balance sheet exposure .
  • Commercial equity gains remain a meaningful lever ($6.1M in Q2; $27.6M over eight quarters), though inherently timing-uncertain; model conservatively .
  • Credit stance is appropriately cautious: provisions at $21.6M, recreation delinquencies at 0.49%, allowances up; newer vintages performing better under tightened underwriting .
  • Margin outlook steady: NIM on gross loans ~8.09% and net loans 8.42%; margin expansion contingent on lower rates and deposit cost trends .
  • Capital deployment supports returns: $0.12 dividend declared for Q3 and opportunistic buybacks; NBV/share rose to $16.77 .
  • Trading lens: Near-term catalysts include recurring loan sales gains ($1.3M booked), continued strategic partnership growth, and potential additional commercial exits; monitor provisioning cadence and delinquency mix for risk sentiment .

Notes: Revenue herein reflects total interest income plus total other income reported. Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus estimates.*