MF
MEDALLION FINANCIAL CORP (MFIN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered strong profitability: net income rose 56% YoY to $11.1M and diluted EPS was $0.46; net interest income increased 7% YoY to $53.4M, with net interest margin on gross loans at 8.09% (flat YoY on net loans at 8.42%) .
- Results were a clear beat vs Wall Street: EPS $0.46 vs $0.315 consensus; “revenue” (interest income + other income) $86.7M vs $53.0M consensus; estimates based on 2 analysts* (EPS +$0.145; revenue +63%) [values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
- Segment drivers: Recreation and Home Improvement loan books grew modestly; strategic partnerships set a record $168.6M originations; commercial segment recognized $6.1M equity gains; provisions increased to $21.6M amid cautious credit posture .
- Capital actions and shareholder returns: $0.12 quarterly dividend declared for Q3 2025 and buybacks of ~48K shares; net book value per share climbed to $16.77 .
- Near-term catalysts: outsized revenue/EPS beat*, rising strategic partnership volumes, commercial equity gains, and loan sale gains ($1.3M) support estimate revisions and sentiment, while higher allowances and recreation delinquencies temper the outlook [values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong headline beat and profitability momentum: net income up 56% YoY to $11.1M; diluted EPS $0.46; net interest income up 7% YoY to $53.4M .
- Strategic partnerships reached record originations of $168.6M and continued diversification; average holding period ~5 days with fees generated of $0.8M in Q2 .
- Commercial segment contribution: $6.1M net equity gains; portfolio at $121.4M, average interest rate 13.43%; management highlights cumulative $27.6M equity gains over 8 quarters as a durable driver .
Selected management quotes:
- “We are pleased with the strong results... 56% increase in net income year-over-year.” — Andrew Murstein .
- “We would expect it [NIM] to remain in that realm over the next few quarters with some expansion coming when we start to see interest rates eventually fall.” — Anthony Cutrone .
- “We think we’ve got ample capital to continue growth now.” — Anthony Cutrone (re: $77.5M Bank preferred offering) .
What Went Wrong
- Recreation originations fell YoY ($142.8M vs $209.6M), while 90+ day delinquencies rose to 0.49% (from 0.41%); allowance increased to 5.05% (from 4.35%) reflecting cautious credit stance .
- Provision for credit losses rose to $21.6M (vs $18.6M YoY), reflecting increased allowances across consumer and commercial portfolios .
- Operating costs increased to $21.5M (from $20.0M YoY) tied to technology initiatives; margin expansion remains constrained by deposit costs (~3.81% end of June) .
Financial Results
Core P&L vs prior periods
Q2 2025 vs Wall Street consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment breakdown – consumer lending
Other segments and programs
KPIs and balance sheet context
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Net interest income grew 7% to $53.4 million… net interest margin on gross loans was 8.09%… average interest rate on deposits was 3.81% at the end of June.” — CFO Anthony Cutrone (prepared) .
- “Equity gains have now generated a total of $27.6 million of income over the past eight quarters.” — President Andrew Murstein (prepared) .
- “We think we’ve got ample capital to continue growth now… raising $77.5 million perpetual preferred stock.” — CFO Anthony Cutrone (Q&A) .
- “We would expect [NIM] to remain in that realm… with some expansion coming when we start to see interest rates eventually fall.” — CFO Anthony Cutrone (Q&A) .
Q&A Highlights
- Recreation loan sale and gains: Company sold ~$53M of recreation loans in April, booking ~$1.3M gain; expects more sales opportunistically to support origination engine .
- Strategic partnership unit economics: ~20–50 bps fee plus ~5-day float; yields ~20% on float; durable volumes with additional partners targeted .
- Credit/delinquency: Recreation delinquencies higher on older vintages; newer vintages improved after mid-2023 underwriting step-up; allowances raised accordingly .
- Margins/competition: NIM “around eight-ish”; mindful of competition and pricing; margin expansion tied to eventual rate declines .
- Capital/reserves: Bank capital bolstered by preferred; flexibility to manage growth; allowance driven by economic outlook and portfolio performance .
Estimates Context
- EPS and revenue beats signal upside to models: Q2 2025 EPS $0.46 vs $0.315 consensus (+$0.145); revenue $86.7M vs $53.0M consensus (+63%); 2 estimates contributed to both EPS and revenue* [values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
- Implications: Magnitude of beat, recurring equity gains, and scaling strategic partnership program suggest upward revisions to revenue/EPS. Watch for sustained NIM ~8%, deposit costs trajectory, and credit provisions’ run-rate to calibrate forward estimates .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clear beat versus consensus in Q2 2025 with EPS $0.46 and revenue $86.7M, supported by net interest income strength and other income; likely positive estimate revisions* [values retrieved from S&P Global]*.
- Strategic partnerships are scaling rapidly ($168.6M originations, $0.8M fees), diversifying income and providing low-duration balance sheet exposure .
- Commercial equity gains remain a meaningful lever ($6.1M in Q2; $27.6M over eight quarters), though inherently timing-uncertain; model conservatively .
- Credit stance is appropriately cautious: provisions at $21.6M, recreation delinquencies at 0.49%, allowances up; newer vintages performing better under tightened underwriting .
- Margin outlook steady: NIM on gross loans ~8.09% and net loans 8.42%; margin expansion contingent on lower rates and deposit cost trends .
- Capital deployment supports returns: $0.12 dividend declared for Q3 and opportunistic buybacks; NBV/share rose to $16.77 .
- Trading lens: Near-term catalysts include recurring loan sales gains ($1.3M booked), continued strategic partnership growth, and potential additional commercial exits; monitor provisioning cadence and delinquency mix for risk sentiment .
Notes: Revenue herein reflects total interest income plus total other income reported. Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus estimates.*