MI
MACROGENICS INC (MGNX)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 capped a transitional year: MacroGenics fully enrolled the 150‑patient LORIKEET Phase 2 (lorigerlimab + docetaxel in mCRPC), announced plans to initiate the LINNET Phase 2 in ovarian and clear-cell gynecologic cancers by mid‑2025, advanced multiple TOP1i‑based ADCs (MGC026, MGC028, MGC030), and discontinued further internal development of vobra duo while exploring partnering .
- Financially, FY 2024 revenue rose to $150.0M vs $58.7M in FY 2023, driven by $85.0M higher milestone revenue from Incyte; cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $201.7M at year‑end and runway extended into the second half of 2026 .
- Q4 2024 actuals missed Street: revenue $19.4M* vs $34.2M* consensus and EPS −$0.82* vs −$0.30* consensus; FY 2024 EPS was −$1.65* vs −$1.13* consensus (estimates from S&P Global) [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- Strategic actions (MARGENZA sale to TerSera for $40M upfront; retifanlimab (ZYNYZ) sBLA filed for SCAC with FDA approval anticipated H2 2025) support liquidity and pipeline focus; near‑term catalysts include LORIKEET ORR/rPFS update and MGC026 dose‑expansion initiation in 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Completed LORIKEET enrollment (150 patients; 2:1 randomization) with management indicating potential to disclose ORR and possibly rPFS in H2 2025: “We anticipate providing a clinical update for LORIKEET in the second half of this year” .
- ADC portfolio execution: Phase 1 for MGC026 ongoing; first patient dosed in MGC028 Phase 1; MGC030 targeted for IND in 2026 .
- Strengthened balance sheet: FY revenue $150.0M (+$91.3M YoY) largely from Incyte milestones; MARGENZA sale generated $40.0M upfront (with up to $35.0M milestones) and $36.3M gain recognized; cash runway guided into H2 2026 .
What Went Wrong
- Q4 missed consensus: revenue $19.4M* vs $34.2M*; EPS −$0.82* vs −$0.30* (Street), reflecting lower quarterly revenue run‑rate ex‑milestones and elevated R&D/SG&A tied to ADC and lorigerlimab programs and CEO transition costs [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
- Vobra duo’s TAMARACK results (mature median rPFS 9.5–10.0 months) did not justify further internal investment; program shifted to partnering despite consistent safety, indicating efficacy profile below internal bar for continued funding .
- FY 2024 net loss widened to $(67.0)M vs $(9.1)M in FY 2023, reflecting higher R&D and SG&A and absence of prior royalty monetization gains; basic/diluted net loss per share was $(1.07) vs $(0.15) in FY 2023 .
Financial Results
Quarterly Revenue and EPS vs Prior Quarters and Q4 Consensus
Note: Asterisks indicate values retrieved from S&P Global.
Annual Comparison (FY)
Revenue Composition (FY 2024)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We have a diverse and promising clinical portfolio, and we look forward to a year of continued progress.” — Scott Koenig, President & CEO .
- “Enrollment is complete in the ongoing LORIKEET Phase 2… We anticipate providing a clinical update… in the second half of this year.” — Stephen Eck, CMO .
- “We have decided not to pursue further internal development of vobra duo and are exploring potential alternatives for partnering… We believe the B7‑H3 target continues to have potential…” — Scott Koenig .
- “The nondilutive capital from [MARGENZA sale] deal, along with $100 million received from Incyte during the year has allowed us to continue to invest in our clinical pipeline and R&D efforts.” — Scott Koenig .
Q&A Highlights
- Lorigerlimab rationale in ovarian/gynecologic cancers: targeting dual PD‑1/CTLA‑4 TILs may differentiate on efficacy and toxicity versus traditional CTLA‑4 combinations; ORR disclosure possible ahead of rPFS given event‑driven nature .
- Vobra duo to MGC026 path: distinct linker/payload (TOP1i) may avoid vobra toxicities (e.g., pleural effusions) and broaden activity; indications for dose expansion will be guided by emerging Phase 1 data and competitive landscape .
- LORIKEET event accrual: too early to comment; 2:1 randomization, fully enrolled; potential for rPFS events in H2 2025, with ORR updates feasible before rPFS trigger .
- MGD024 timing: slow, incremental dose escalation per FDA; nearing higher dose levels; Gilead option could come once sufficient Phase 1 data accrue .
- ADC preclinical safety: primate highest non‑toxic dose ~50 mg/kg for both MGC026 and MGC028, suggesting favorable TI before human dose selection .
Estimates Context
- Q4 2024 comparison: Revenue $19.4M* vs $34.2M* consensus (miss); EPS −$0.82* vs −$0.30* (miss). FY 2024 EPS −$1.65* vs −$1.13* consensus (miss). Primary EPS estimates count: 7; Revenue estimates count: 6 [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- Implications: The quarterly miss reflects lumpy milestone timing and ongoing R&D/SG&A load; estimate models may need to lower near‑term revenue run‑rate and widen loss per share until LORIKEET/ADC catalysts materialize [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
Financial Tables: Additional Detail
Q4 Actual vs Consensus (S&P Global)
Note: Asterisks indicate values retrieved from S&P Global.
Selected Operating Items (FY 2024)
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near‑term stock catalysts: LORIKEET data (ORR and possibly rPFS) in H2 2025; clarity on ADC MGC026 dose expansion indications; initial MGC028 Phase 1 read‑throughs; any MGD024 update/option from Gilead .
- Strategic pivot lowers vobra duo cash burn while preserving B7‑H3 strategy via MGC026; partnering outcome for vobra duo could provide upside optionality with limited opex burden .
- Liquidity runway into H2 2026 reduces financing overhang through key clinical inflection points; continued partner milestones (e.g., retifanlimab) can further de‑risk cash needs .
- Estimate resets likely to reflect milestone lumpiness and R&D cadence; watch for Street revisions post Q4 miss and updated timelines (LORIKEET shift from H1 to H2 2025) [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
- Medium‑term thesis combines differentiated IO (lorigerlimab) and ADC platforms (TOP1i payloads) across multiple solid tumors; execution on dose expansion selection and safety/efficacy signals will drive valuation re‑rating potential .
- Business development (MARGENZA divestiture, potential vobra duo partner) demonstrates capital discipline and portfolio focus; additional non‑dilutive inflows are plausible .
- Leadership transition underway but continuity emphasized; CEO and Board framing an orderly handoff amid pipeline milestones .
Sources: MacroGenics Q4 2024 press release and 8‑K ; Q4 2024 earnings call transcript –; Q3/Q2 2024 press releases and 8‑Ks – –; MARGENZA sale press release ; Leadership transition press release .
Estimates: Values retrieved from S&P Global (Primary EPS Consensus Mean, Revenue Consensus Mean, counts of estimates).