MI
Metagenomi, Inc. (MGX)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Collaboration revenue was $11.51M in Q3 2024, down 6.9% YoY as Moderna revenue went to zero post-termination, offset by stronger Ionis revenue; net loss was $18.77M and diluted EPS was $(0.51). The company ended the quarter with $274.6M in cash and marketable securities and reiterated runway into 2027 .
- Pipeline execution advanced: MGX-001 (hemophilia A) was nominated and supported by 12-month durable FVIII activity in NHPs; IND-enabling activities initiated with IND filing targeted for 2026 .
- Ionis collaboration progressed with in vivo rodent POC across four Wave 1 targets; one to two DC nominations are on track for 2025, reinforcing external validation and future collaboration revenue visibility .
- Technology differentiation expanded via novel ABE (targetability >95% of genome) and ultra-small SMART editing compatible with single-AAV; these platforms broaden editing scope and delivery options beyond the liver .
- Street EPS/revenue consensus for MGX was unavailable via S&P Global for Q3; comparison to estimates cannot be made. Actionable near-term catalysts include the ASH oral presentation in December and continuing Ionis milestones .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- MGX-001 DC nomination with durable 12-month FVIII activity in NHPs; CEO: “our strong pace of innovation and execution continued… supporting this DC nomination, we achieved successful proof-of-concept in NHPs” .
- Ionis Wave 1 programs achieved in vivo rodent POC across TTR and AGT plus two undisclosed cardiometabolic targets; timeline intact for 2025 DC nominations .
- Platform advances: ABE targetability (>95% genome), 95% triplex protein knockdown in primary T cells; SMART systems optimized for single-AAV delivery, opening extrahepatic/neuromuscular opportunities .
What Went Wrong
- Collaboration revenue declined YoY ($11.51M vs $12.36M) primarily due to the Moderna agreement termination; Q3 Moderna revenue was zero versus $5.31M in Q3 2023, partially offset by Ionis growth .
- Other income fell YoY as the Affini‑T mark-to-market swung to a $(2.06)M loss in Q3; total other income decreased to $1.50M (vs $3.78M) .
- No Q3 earnings call transcript available; limited opportunity for real-time guidance Q&A/clarifications with analysts for the quarter [ListDocuments returned 0 for earnings-call-transcript].
Financial Results
Segment collaboration revenue breakdown:
Selected KPIs and balance sheet items (Q3 2024):
Note on estimates: S&P Global Wall Street consensus for MGX (EPS and revenue) was unavailable for Q3 2024; comparisons to Street estimates cannot be made.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q3 earnings call transcript was available; themes below reflect Q1–Q3 filings and press materials.
Management Commentary
- “Our strong pace of innovation and execution continued in the third quarter, highlighted by the nomination of our first DC, MGX‑001… demonstrating site specific integration and durable Factor VIII activity levels through 12 months” — Brian C. Thomas, PhD, CEO .
- “Metagenomi’s collaboration with Ionis is progressing, with one to two planned DC nominations in 2025… Our gene editing toolbox continues to differentiate… novel ABE platform… ultra small SMART editing systems showed compatibility with single‑AAV delivery” — CEO .
- Hemophilia expert Dr. Glenn Pierce on genome editing: “poised for yet another disruptive change… site specific integration of FVIII, to produce functional cures… encouraged by preclinical progress” (NHP data release) .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q3 earnings call transcript was available. The company hosted a preclinical data call on Sept 4, 2024 related to MGX‑001 durability data in NHPs; no formal earnings Q&A themes can be cited for Q3 .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for MGX EPS and revenue in Q3 2024 were unavailable; as such, results cannot be benchmarked vs Street. The miss/beat narrative is not applicable for this quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to data limitations.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution de‑risking: MGX‑001 DC nomination and 12‑month NHP durability materially de‑risk hemophilia A program ahead of IND in 2026; December ASH oral presentation is a potential stock catalyst .
- Collaboration durability: Revenue is increasingly anchored by Ionis, with strong Q3 contribution ($9.9M) and 2025 DC nominations as near‑term milestones, supporting medium‑term collaboration economics .
- Platform breadth: ABE and SMART advances expand targetability and delivery options, creating optionality across hepatic and extrahepatic indications, including neuromuscular .
- Financial position: $274.6M cash and securities and reiterated runway into 2027 provide funding clarity through IND‑enabling and Ionis DC milestones; lowers near‑term financing risk .
- Revenue volatility: Post‑Moderna termination, quarterly revenue mix may be more concentrated; model for increased Ionis recognition and potential Affini‑T reimbursements while watching other income variability from private asset marks .
- Legal risk: Securities class action filed in late Q3 is a headline risk but not yet a cash-flow event; monitor disclosures for potential impacts .
- Trading stance: Near-term trading may react to ASH data flow and Ionis program updates; medium-term thesis rests on clinical translation of MGX‑001 and continued external validation via partner milestones .