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Millennium Sustainable Ventures Corp. (MILC)·Q3 2019 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2019 quarter-end net assets were $27.42M, down from $27.74M in Q2 and $29.57M in Q1, reflecting portfolio valuation declines and continued operating losses as an investment company focused on Level 3 assets .
  • Portfolio remained concentrated in Millennium HI Carbon ($17.72M) and SMC Global ($9.34M), both measured using Level 3 fair value methodologies; cash and other assets less liabilities were $0.36M at quarter-end .
  • Liquidity actions around the quarter included ongoing monetization of SMC via the “Right to Sell” program: a 200K-share sale on July 12 ($299,057; $1.495/share) and, just after quarter-end, a 600K-share sale on October 1 ($632,683; $1.054/share) .
  • No Q3 earnings call or formal guidance was provided; Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for MILC due to lack of coverage/mapping.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Restoration and iterative testing at Millennium Carbon progressed; management notes “we have restored all production equipment… completed 31 trial run campaigns and have produced over 60 tons of activated carbon,” including “some very high-grade material” suitable for ultracapacitors .
  • Continued ability to monetize SMC holdings through the Right to Sell agreement supports liquidity and capital recycling, evidenced by July and October transactions and disclosed terms and proceeds .
  • Portfolio valuations for Millennium HI Carbon remained stable across Q2 and Q3 at $17.72M, supporting overall NAV despite SMC value compression .

What Went Wrong

  • H1 2019 operations showed a net decrease in net assets from operations of $3.81M driven by realized and unrealized investment losses (net realized loss: $1.91M; net change in unrealized loss: $1.77M), pressuring NAV trajectory into Q3 .
  • Quality variability and delays in achieving consistent output at Millennium Carbon prolonged the path to commercialization: “Producing consistent quality activated carbon with a high electrical storage capacity remains our objective,” and full-scale commercial operation “may still take a year or more” .
  • SMC value declined over 2019 (from $10.33M in Q1 to $9.34M in Q3) and Level 3 valuation subjectivity remains elevated due to reliance on unobservable inputs and model assumptions .

Financial Results

Portfolio and NAV by Quarter

Metric ($USD)Q1 2019Q2 2019Q3 2019
Net Assets$29,573,706 $27,740,113 $27,421,024
SMC Global Value$10,325,924 $9,528,386 $9,341,641
Millennium HI Carbon (MHC) Value$18,205,190 $17,715,578 $17,715,578
Cash and Other Assets, less Liabilities$1,042,592 $496,149 $363,805

Portfolio Composition (% of Net Assets)

CategoryQ1 2019Q2 2019Q3 2019
India – Financials (SMC)34.92% 34.35% 34.07%
United States – Materials (MHC)61.56% 63.86% 64.61%
Cash and Other3.53% 1.79% 1.33%

SMC Shareholding and Transactions

DateActionShares SoldProceeds ($)Price/Share ($)Shares Held After
Jun 30, 2019Quarter-end position10,204,690
Jul 12, 2019Right-to-Sell transaction200,000 299,057 1.495 10,004,690
Sep 30, 2019Quarter-end position10,004,690
Oct 1, 2019Right-to-Sell transaction600,000 632,683 1.054 9,404,690
Dec 10, 2019Right-to-Sell transaction300,000 317,500 1.058 9,104,690

Operating Results (H1 context for trajectory)

  • Net investment loss: $(123,978)
  • Net realized loss on investments: $(1,911,392)
  • Net change in unrealized loss on investments: $(1,772,727)
  • Net decrease in net assets from operations: $(3,808,097)

Note: MILC operates as a registered investment company; performance is primarily reflected in NAV and investment gains/losses rather than conventional revenue/EPS.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
None provided

The company did not issue formal financial guidance in Q3 2019 filings .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q3 2019 earnings call transcript was found for MILC; filings do not include a call transcript for the period [Search yielded none for MILC in Q3 2019]. The below tracks themes across filings.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Millennium Carbon commercializationMid-year report describes restored equipment, 31 trial runs, >60 tons produced; inconsistent quality tied to carbonization reactor; commercialization “may still take a year or more” Portfolio value stable at $17.72M; Level 3 valuation reaffirmed Operational progress but timeline remains extended; valuation unchanged
SMC monetization via Right to SellH1: 1.3M shares sold, $1.9M proceeds (~$1.47/share); holdings 10,204,690 Q3-end holdings 10,004,690; immediately post-Q3: 600K shares sold ($632,683; $1.054/share) Accelerated post-quarter monetization at lower per-share prices vs July
Valuation methodology (Level 3)Detailed Level 3 methodology and inputs disclosed; SMC per-share value $0.9337 (model-based) Level 3 classification maintained for both SMC and MHC; total Level 3 investments $27.06M Continued reliance on unobservable inputs; subjectivity persists
Corporate eventsAdditional SMC sale disclosed in December ($317,500; $1.058/share) Continued liquidity actions

Management Commentary

  • “As of the date of this report, Millennium Carbon has restored all production equipment and necessary support systems to operation. To date, we have completed 31 trial run campaigns and have produced over 60 tons of activated carbon… we have produced some very high-grade material that would be attractive to ultracapacitor manufacturers. Unfortunately, we have also experienced significant variations in the quality of the material produced.”
  • “During the first half of 2019, we concluded that the existing carbonization reactor… was the culprit causing inconsistent results… We continue to work towards finalizing a plan to produce a consistent and reliable output of high-grade activated carbon for energy storage applications.”
  • “Achieving full-scale commercial operation and associated revenue generation may still take a year or more…”
  • SMC valuation approach and Level 3 methodology, including earnings and book value multiples, liquidity discounts, and weighting, resulted in SMC per-share value of $0.9337 as of June 30, 2019 .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 2019 earnings call or analyst Q&A was filed for MILC in the period. Filings focused on portfolio holdings, valuation methodology, and SMC share sale disclosures .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates (EPS, revenue, EBITDA, target price, recommendation) via S&P Global were unavailable for MILC due to missing mapping/coverage, so no estimate comparison is provided.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • NAV declined across 2019 ($29.57M in Q1 → $27.74M in Q2 → $27.42M in Q3) as Level 3 portfolio valuations and realized/unrealized losses weighed on results .
  • Millennium Carbon remains the largest asset at $17.72M with operational progress but continued variability; commercialization timeline remains extended, creating execution risk and a key catalyst if resolved .
  • SMC monetization continued: July sale at $1.495/share and October sale at $1.054/share suggest lower realized prices post-quarter; further Right-to-Sell activity may affect liquidity and NAV composition .
  • Valuation subjectivity is high: both core holdings are Level 3, with fair values dependent on management models and unobservable inputs; this can amplify NAV volatility .
  • With no formal guidance or earnings call, investors should monitor filings for additional SMC transactions, valuation updates, and Millennium Carbon commercial milestones as primary narrative drivers .
  • Near-term trading may hinge on disclosures of SMC sale cadence and pricing; medium-term thesis depends on successful stabilization of Millennium Carbon’s output quality and commercial sales ramp .
  • Absence of S&P Global consensus estimates limits traditional “beat/miss” framing; anchor on NAV movement, Level 3 valuation revisions, and monetization progress for performance assessment.

Sources: Q3 2019 Form N-Q (portfolio and NAV) ; Q2 2019 Form N-CSRS (financial statements, valuation, operating results) ; Q1 2019 Form N-Q (portfolio and NAV) ; 8-K Results of Operations filings and Other Events (SMC sales) .