Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

MI

MINIM, INC. (MINM)·Q1 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2022 revenue rebounded sequentially to $13.3M (+27% QoQ) while declining 11% YoY versus the pandemic-peak Q1 2021; gross margin compressed to 31.5% (from 33.0% in Q4), and net loss improved to ($2.5)M with diluted EPS of ($0.06) .
  • The company maintained the #1 Amazon market share (~40%) for cable modems and gateways and doubled Walmart.com share to ~8%, supported by reestablished retail orders and higher ASP/MAP; management emphasized channel and product execution amid supply chain headwinds .
  • Liquidity and working capital: cash was $10.5M, inventory $30.0M, and bank credit line usage $7.1M; management expects cash to improve over the year as inventory sells through and receivables convert .
  • Risk catalyst: Nasdaq minimum bid price deficiency notice received April 25, 2022; management is monitoring and considering options while targeting sustainable growth and improved profitability trajectory .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Maintained #1 Amazon market share (~40%) for cable modems/gateways in Q1 and doubled Walmart.com share to ~8%; “We are encouraged by our first quarter results… strong performance with key retailers” .
  • Retail orders normalized: “resumed purchasing as evidenced by a 100%+ growth in Q1 orders when compared to last quarter” (CEO prepared remarks) .
  • Software-driven transformation advances: deferred revenue reached $832k and the company is “on track to exceed its goal of 100,000 Minim Intelligent Networks… now expects to hit this milestone mid-year” ; “just recently exceeded 80,000 Minim Intelligent Networks…” (President prepared remarks) .

What Went Wrong

  • Gross margin contracted to 31.5% (from 33.0% in Q4) due to component price inflation and supply chain disruptions; the team is using pricing actions and supplier diversification to mitigate the impact .
  • Mesh WiFi category entrance “more challenging than expected” (President), requiring shifts in marketing channels and greater brand awareness investment to drive scale .
  • Despite improved sequential loss, Q1 printed a net loss of ($2.5)M and diluted EPS of ($0.06); the company also disclosed receipt of a Nasdaq minimum bid deficiency notice, adding near-term market structure risk .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2021Q4 2021Q1 2022
Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.0 $10.5 $13.3
Gross Margin (%)29.9% 33.0% 31.5%
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$1.7 ($3.1) ($2.539)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.04 ($0.07) ($0.06)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)($1.4) ($3.1) ($1.664)

Year-over-year comparative (Q1 2021 vs Q1 2022):

MetricQ1 2021Q1 2022
Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.018 $13.299
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)($0.546) ($2.539)
Diluted EPS ($USD)($0.02) ($0.06)

KPIs and working capital trends:

KPIQ3 2021Q4 2021Q1 2022
Amazon Cable Modem/Gateway Market Share (%)41% (FY 2021 basis referenced) ~40% (Q1 position maintained)
Walmart.com Share (Cable Modem/Gateway) (%)~4% ~8%
Average Selling Price (ASP) ($USD)~$118 $95 $121
Amazon MAP ($USD)$149 $164
Deferred Revenue ($USD Millions)$1.2 $0.735 $0.832
Inventory ($USD Millions)$23.2 $32.503 $29.957
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$19.4 $12.570 $10.049 (plus $0.5 restricted = $10.5)
Bank Credit Line Outstanding ($USD Millions)$7.1 $5.065 $7.072
Accounts Payable ($USD Millions)$12.458 $8.208

Note: Minim reports as a single consumer networking/software business; no segment-level disclosure is provided in Q1 materials .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Gross MarginFY 2022Target to maintain ≥30% margin structure via pricing and mix Maintained target level
SeasonalityQ2–Q3 2022Expect predictable retail seasonality to continue Maintained
Cash TrajectoryFY 2022Cash expected to improve over the year as inventory sells through and AR collected; Q4→Q1 down, Q1→Q2 increase expected Directional improvement
Inventory LevelsH1 2022Managing down from elevated levels; balancing supply risk vs liquidity Lowering
Revenue OutlookFY 2022Aspire to grow revenue relative to 2021 Positive aspiration (not formal guidance)
Profitability TrajectoryH2 2022Expect to “turn the corner” on EBITDA profitability over the rest of the year, subject to pricing/cost/inflation Improving trend

No formal numeric ranges were issued. Management provided directional commentary on margins, seasonality, cash, inventory, revenue ambition, and profitability trajectory .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2021)Previous Mentions (Q4 2021)Current Period (Q1 2022)Trend
Supply chain & component inflationMargin pressure; pricing actions; hedging via inventory/chips Inventory buildup, factory shutdowns; tapering production; manage liquidity China shutdowns complicate components; continue to burn down inventory from higher levels Persistent headwind; mitigations ongoing
Pricing strategy6% avg increases across 60% of portfolio Maintain ~30% gross margin in Q4 via pricing/mix Competitor price hikes create room; targeting ≥30% margins; pricing “what the market will bear” Supportive for margin defense
Channel performance (Amazon/Walmart)#2 Amazon; growing share; strong Best Buy Expect Q1 QoQ growth; e-commerce focus #1 Amazon (~40%); Walmart.com share doubled to ~8%; +110% QoQ sales in largest retail channel Strengthening online and retail rebound
Mesh WiFi categoryLaunched MH7600; initial Amazon competition Product delays impacted deferred revenue timing Entrance “more challenging than expected”; shifting marketing; brand-building Work-in-progress; strategy adjustment
Software transformation & deferred revenue4 intelligent products; deferred revenue growth Roadmap: app on any network; deferred revenue anomalies explained 80k+ intelligent networks; targeting 100k mid-year; deferred revenue $832k Building recurring base
International expansionIndia, Africa (MultiChoice), TIP/OpenWiFi Paid trials with ISPs in Indonesia (800k subs) and India (300k subs) Early traction; pipeline developing
Regulatory/listingInvestor engagement; not concerned about delisting Nasdaq minimum bid deficiency notice disclosed Listing risk elevated
Profitability/EBITDATarget adj. EBITDA profitability in 2022 Adj. EBITDA -$3.1M; focus on improvement Adj. EBITDA improved to -$1.664M; expect to turn corner over the year Improving, but still negative

Management Commentary

  • “For Q1 2022, Minim GAAP revenue was $13.3 million up 27% compared to last quarter… Minim continues to outperform” (CEO) .
  • “We spent the quarter in the number one position for cable modem and gateway sales… with an estimated 40% market share [Amazon].” (President & CMO) .
  • “Our gross margin in Q1 was 31.5% down from 33% in Q4… Adjusted EBITDA came in at ($1.7) million, an improvement compared to ($3.1) million last quarter.” (CEO) .
  • “We exited Q1 with $30 million in inventory… Cash came in at $10.5 million exiting the quarter… we continue to expect our cash position to improve over the course of the year as we sell through.” (CEO) .
  • “Consumers continue to demand advanced connectivity solutions, evidenced by WiFi 6 mesh adoption… and connected devices per US broadband home grew from 13 to 16 last year.” (President & CMO, press release) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Supply chain: Shutdowns in China and chip shortages persist; strategy to manage down inventory from higher levels while hedging supply risk (CEO) .
  • Seasonality: Expect predictable retail seasonality to continue; no change anticipated (President & CMO) .
  • Margins and pricing: Confident in protecting ≥30% margins via pricing aligned to market competitiveness; environment remains fluid given component costs (President & CMO) .
  • Profitability timeline: Focused on turning the corner on EBITDA profitability as H2 seasonal tailwinds and pricing/cost actions flow through (CFO) .
  • Growth ambition and pipeline: Aspire to grow revenue vs 2021; launches of Motorola Q11 (AX3000) and Q14 (WiFi 6E) planned for summer, paired with enhanced motosync features (CEO/President) .
  • Policy tailwinds: Administration’s broadband affordability initiatives expand addressable market for premium value offerings and long-term CLTV strategy (CEO) .
  • Insider alignment/listing concerns: Board evaluating options; CEO highlighted prior $500k personal investment; ongoing monitoring of stock and compliance (CEO) .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q1 2022 were unavailable for MINM; we attempted to retrieve consensus via S&P Global’s GetEstimates but found no CIQ mapping for the ticker. As a result, no vs-estimates comparison is included for revenue or EPS [SpgiEstimatesError in tool output].
  • Given the absence of published consensus, investors should focus on sequential performance, margin trajectory, and management’s directional outlook .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential revenue recovery (+27% QoQ) and improved adjusted EBITDA signal execution despite macro and supply chain headwinds; focus turns to sustaining margin defense and H2 profitability ramp .
  • Channel strength persists: #1 Amazon share and Walmart.com share gains provide a credible path to continued sell-through as retail orders normalize .
  • Pricing actions and competitor hikes create room to protect ≥30% margins, but component cost volatility requires ongoing vigilance; monitor Q2/Q3 margin prints closely .
  • Liquidity hinges on inventory sell-down; management expects cash improvement through 2022 as inventory and payables normalize; watch working capital cadence and LOC usage .
  • Product catalysts: Upcoming Q11/Q14 (WiFi 6/6E) and broader motosync distribution/feature upgrades aim to expand CLTV and deferred revenue—key to the medium-term software thesis .
  • International trials (Indonesia/India) and TIP/OpenWiFi platform align with low-cost router deployment opportunities—potential optionality for FY23+ .
  • Near-term risk: Nasdaq minimum bid deficiency notice; potential corporate actions under consideration; investor day in June and continued disclosures may act as sentiment catalysts .