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Momentus Inc. (MNTS)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • First million-dollar quarter: revenue reached $1.705M, up from $0.022M in Q1 and $0.050M in Q2’22, driven by deployments on Vigoride-6; however, operating loss remained large at $(18.9)M and GAAP net loss was $(18.8)M (EPS $(0.20)) .
  • Backlog stood at ~$32M around quarter-end with rising DoD traction, including a signed SDA SBIR contract (initial $0.746M with a $1.196M option) and the new M‑1000 satellite bus offering .
  • Liquidity risks escalated: cash was $21.3M with ~$(9)M gross debt; the 10‑Q includes “substantial doubt” going concern language; management cut headcount ~30% and scheduled a reverse split vote to maintain Nasdaq compliance .
  • Near-term revenue cadence remains lumpy; the next major revenue event is the SpaceX Transporter‑9 mission targeted for no earlier than November 2023 (3+ customer satellites booked) .
  • Consensus estimates: S&P Global consensus for Q2’23 was unavailable at time of analysis; no beats/misses vs Street can be assessed (will update when accessible).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • First $1M+ revenue quarter as deployments on Vigoride‑6 contributed $1.7M: “Q2 marks our first million‑dollar quarter” .
    • Technology milestones: MET thruster operated successfully with 35 firings and >3 km altitude raise on Vigoride‑5; productivity improved (Vigoride‑6 AIT 36% faster; 51% fewer non‑conformances) .
    • DoD traction and product expansion: signed SDA SBIR contract (initial $0.746M; option $1.196M) and submitted bid for SDA Tranche 2 Transport Layer Alpha; launched the M‑1000 satellite bus to pursue an expanding market .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Liquidity/going concern: company disclosed “substantial doubt” about ability to continue as a going concern; cut headcount by ~30% to reduce burn; engaged Deutsche Bank to explore strategic alternatives and capital raising .
    • Mission execution issue: NASA LLITED CubeSats were deployed at the wrong inclination due to a software command mapping error (corrective actions implemented), highlighting operational risk early in the learning curve .
    • Continued heavy losses and cash burn: Q2 operating loss $(18.9)M, adjusted EBITDA $(14.4)M; EPS remained negative; reverse split sought to preserve Nasdaq listing and aid future capital raises .

Financial Results

Table A: Headline P&L metrics (chronological, oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Revenue ($M)$0.050 $0.022 $1.705
Net Loss ($M)$(22.872) $(20.825) $(18.835)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(18.250) $(15.785) $(14.412)
Net Loss per Share ($)$(0.28) $(0.20)

Notes: Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations per Q2 8‑K exhibit . EPS for Q1’23 not provided in reviewed documents.

Table B: Additional quarterly items

MetricQ2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Gross Profit ($M)$0.038 $1.317
Cash & Equivalents (end, $M)$39 (non‑restricted) $21.298
Debt (gross, ~$M)~15 (FY22 year-end) ~12 ~9
Shares Outstanding (MM)~95 ~95
Backlog / Potential Revenue ($M)$33 (FY22 YE) $33 (as of Apr 30, 2023) $32 (as of Jun 30, 2023)

YoY context: Q2’23 revenue $1.705M vs $0.050M in Q2’22; operating loss improved to $(18.9)M vs $(23.7)M in Q2’22 .

KPIs and operational notes:

  • “First million‑dollar quarter” driven by Vigoride‑6 deployments and Vigoride‑5 hosted payload milestones .
  • Next revenue milestone tied to Transporter‑9 (no earlier than Nov‑2023) with at least three satellites manifested and a possible fourth .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/QuarterNot providedNot providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Adjusted EBITDAFY/QuarterNot providedNot providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
OpEx / Cash BurnNear-termNot providedHeadcount reduced ~30% to lower burn; expect full impact in Q3’23 Cost actions disclosed
Capital Plan / Listing2023Reverse split vote Aug 22 to maintain Nasdaq; exploring capital raises; engaged Deutsche Bank New disclosures
Mission Schedule2H23–2024Prior plan for V7 on Transporter‑9 (Oct) Transporter‑9 “no earlier than Nov‑2023”; ports reserved through end‑2024 (T‑10/11/12) Timing refined

No explicit quantitative revenue, margin, or EPS guidance was provided in reviewed materials.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’22, Q1’23)Current Period (Q2’23)Trend
DoD/SDA tractionFocus on defense sales; active dialogues with Space Force, SDA, DARPA, NASA SDA SBIR signed ($0.746M + $1.196M option); bid submitted for SDA Tranche‑2 Transport Layer Alpha Accelerating
MET thruster maturityPlanned on-orbit testing (V5) 35 firings; +3 km orbit raise; operational across intended profiles Maturing
TASSA solar arrayPlanned demo on V6; potential ~10% unit cost reduction Demo imminent; reiterated ~10% cost reduction potential, several‑month lead time reduction Progressing
Liquidity/going concernSufficient liquidity for 12 months at FY22; heavy burn “Substantial doubt” going concern; ~30% headcount reduction; exploring capital/strategic alternatives Deteriorated, mitigation actions
Mission cadenceV6 in Apr; V7 planned Oct; pipeline building Transporter‑9 no earlier than Nov‑2023; ports reserved through 2024 Schedule refined; capacity secured
Regulatory (deorbit)FCC 5‑year LEO deorbit rule supports demand Reiterated FCC rule and debris market opportunity Supportive backdrop
Product strategy (M‑1000 bus)Pursuing adjacent “slim‑down” bus opportunities M‑1000 bus launched; targeting commercial and DoD markets Expanded offering

Management Commentary

  • “Q2 marks Momentus’ first million‑dollar quarter with Q2 earnings finishing at $1.7 million for the quarter.” — John Rood, CEO .
  • “During the Vigoride 5 mission, [we] conducted 35 firings of the [MET]…and [raised] the Vigoride [OSV] by more than three kilometers.” .
  • “We were recently awarded a [SDA] SBIR…first contract action is worth roughly $746,000…and…an additional $1,196,000…total…over $1.9 million.” .
  • “Our 10‑Q will include language…substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern…we reduced headcount…by approximately 30%...expect to realize the full impact…during Q3 of 2023.” — Eric Williams, CFO .
  • “Our next mission is planned for…Transporter‑9…no earlier than November 2023…we will launch at least three satellites…with potential for a fourth.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Revenue cadence and next milestone: CFO noted residual V5 revenue remains (Caltech hosting), but next major revenue event is Transporter‑9 in Oct/Nov timeframe .
  • November manifest: At least three satellites (SatRev AMAN, JINJUSat‑1 for CONTEC, Lunasonde’s Picacho) with a potential fourth customer .
  • Burn rate actions: Management emphasized cost reductions following ~30% headcount cuts; Q3 expected to reflect fuller savings .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q2’23 (revenue and EPS) was not retrievable at time of analysis due to data access limits; therefore, no comparison to Street estimates can be provided. We will update when S&P Global data is available.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue inflection, but small base: First $1.7M quarter shows monetization progress (V6 deployments), yet profitability remains distant with $(18.9)M operating loss and $(14.4)M adjusted EBITDA in Q2 .
  • Liquidity is the gating factor: “Substantial doubt” going concern, $21.3M cash and ~$(9)M debt necessitate cost cuts, potential capital raise, and reverse split; watch for financing updates and dilution risk .
  • DoD pipeline is the core upside: Signed SDA SBIR and bid for Tranche‑2 Transport Layer Alpha could be transformational if awarded; M‑1000 bus broadens addressable market .
  • Execution watch items: Transporter‑9 in Nov’23 is the next catalyst; track payload count and timing, plus continued MET/TASSA demonstrations for cost and capability validation .
  • Operational learning curve persists: LLITED inclination error underscores early-stage ops risk; corrective actions implemented, but quality systems remain a key diligence area .
  • Secured launch capacity: Reservations on all SpaceX Transporter missions through 2024 reduce schedule risk and aid bookings .
  • Estimate path: With consensus unavailable, the narrative and contract flow (SDA/DoD, bookings, mission cadence) will likely drive near-term stock moves until Street coverage deepens.

Citations:

  • Earnings press release and financial statements (Q2’23 8‑K with Exhibits 99.1/99.2):
  • Q2’23 earnings call transcript:
  • Additional Q2’23 call (duplicate source):
  • Prior quarters for trend: Q1’23 call ; Q4’22 call .