TC
Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue of $1.092B and Adjusted EBITDA of $167.3M were ahead of internal expectations; non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.11, while GAAP diluted EPS was $0.01 . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat by ~$15M and non-GAAP EPS beat by ~$0.17 per share (consensus -$0.0648; see Estimates Context)*.
- Topgolf same-venue sales (SVS) declined 12% (in line with guidance); management launched a value repositioning (Sunday Funday, Topgolf Nights, shorter reservations) that is lifting traffic but reducing spend per visit near term .
- FY25 consolidated revenue ($4.0–$4.185B) and Adjusted EBITDA ($415–$505M) guidance were maintained, but Topgolf revenue guidance was lowered to $1.680–$1.790B (from $1.725–$1.835B) and Topgolf SVS guidance cut to down 6–12% (from down mid-single digits); Topgolf Adj. EBITDA guidance held at $240–$300M .
- Strategic catalysts: agreement to sell Jack Wolfskin for $290M cash (expected late Q2/early Q3), and progressing toward a H2’25 separation of Topgolf; capital structure assumptions for a spin are being recalibrated (less cash, modest debt at Topgolf) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Golf Equipment margins improved materially (segment operating margin 22.9%, +470 bps YoY), driven by cost savings, better gross margin, and a lease termination incentive in Japan; segment operating income rose to $101.6M .
- Non-GAAP operating income +21% YoY to $87.8M and Adjusted EBITDA +4% YoY to $167.3M, reflecting profitability improvements in Golf Equipment and Active Lifestyle .
- CEO on Q1 execution: “we met or beat our plan in all segments of our business,” highlighting awards for the Elyte Driver and margin initiatives started in 2024 .
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What Went Wrong
- Topgolf SVS -12% weighed on segment profitability (segment operating loss -$11.9M; Topgolf Adjusted Segment EBITDA $43.9M, down $15.9M YoY) .
- Management cut Topgolf SVS and revenue guidance for FY25 and flagged ongoing softness in corporate events (3+ bay) and a price-sensitive consumer; near-term venue margins guided down 100–200 bps YoY to ~32% EBITDAR before longer-term recovery .
- Tariff headwind estimate increased to ~$25M for 2025 (from ~$5M), partly mitigated by cost actions and potential pricing over time; visibility remains limited .
Financial Results
Consolidated Trend (oldest → newest)
Segment Revenues (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)
Segment Operating Income and Margins (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)
Topgolf Trends (oldest → newest)
Other Operating KPIs (Q1 2025)
- Available liquidity: $805.0M
- Inventory: $653.9M (down $49.0M YoY; reclass of $75.3M Jack Wolfskin inventory to assets held for sale) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are pleased with our first quarter results as we met or beat our plan in all segments of our business… [and] started to benefit from the cost reduction and margin improvement initiatives we began implementing in 2024.” – Chip Brewer, CEO .
- “Topgolf’s Q1 same venue sales were down 12%… Our #1 priority is to drive traffic growth and improve value perception… Sunday Funday… and Topgolf Nights” – Artie Starrs, CEO of Topgolf .
- “This year’s unmitigated [tariff] impact would be approximately $25 million… we believe we will be able to mitigate some portion… and… pass the balance on with only a minor impact to demand” – Chip Brewer .
- “We are actively pursuing… a sale, a spin or other transaction [for Topgolf]… with Q4 being more likely than Q3” – Brian Lynch, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Topgolf value reset & margins: Management is prioritizing traffic and brand value; expects near-term venue EBITDAR margin down ~100–200 bps to ~32%, but remains confident in long-term margin potential (>35% possible) .
- Events softness: Corporate events (3+ bay) are pressured by macro; offering more flexibility and market-level promotions to defend conversion; events less price-sensitive than consumer channel .
- Tariff outlook: Headwind revised to ~$25M; guidance includes mitigation actions, though degree not quantified .
- Golf Equipment: Gross margin up “a couple hundred bps” YoY, reflecting yield, freight, mix and efficiency gains; demand/promotional environment stable; no evidence of tariff pull-forward in orders .
- Separation capital structure: Original plan ($200M cash, no funded debt at Topgolf) being revised to “less cash” and “modest” debt at Topgolf to keep RemainCo leverage manageable .
Estimates Context
- Number of estimates: EPS 8; Revenue 8*.
- Note: S&P “Primary EPS” aligns with non-GAAP/adjusted EPS; S&P EBITDA definitions can differ from company-reported Adjusted EBITDA.
- Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat on revenue and non-GAAP EPS versus consensus with strong non-GAAP operating performance, driven by margin initiatives in Golf Equipment and Active Lifestyle .
- Topgolf remains the swing factor: SVS softness persists, but value actions are boosting traffic; near-term mix effects and events pressure weigh on margins, yet full-year Topgolf Adj. EBITDA guidance was maintained via cost controls .
- FY25 consolidated revenue and Adjusted EBITDA held despite higher tariff headwinds, aided by cost actions and FX; watch Q2 guide ($1.075–$1.115B revenue; $139–$159M Adj. EBITDA including ~$22M headwind) as a barometer for execution .
- Strategic catalysts: Jack Wolfskin sale (expected closing late Q2/early Q3) to simplify the portfolio and bolster liquidity; Topgolf separation in H2’25 remains a key potential unlock—capital structure being recalibrated .
- Short-term: Stock likely sensitive to Topgolf monthly traffic/SPV reads and events pipeline; medium-term: separation path and sustainable improvement in Topgolf SVS/margins drive multiple and SOTP debate.
Appendix: Additional Data
Q1 2025 Consolidated P&L Highlights (YoY)
Notable One-offs / Adjustments
- Q1’25 non-GAAP excludes items incl. ~$7.0M impairment on assets held for sale (Jack Wolfskin) and $11.4M restructuring/separation-related charges .
- Segment OI benefited from a $12M lease termination incentive in Japan (mostly Golf Equipment) .
Citations: All company figures and commentary from Q1 2025 8‑K/press release and earnings call . Prior-quarter context from Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 press releases . Jack Wolfskin transaction details from April 10, 2025 press release .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*