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Morningstar, Inc. (MORN)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered solid top-line and margin expansion: revenue rose 7.2% to $581.9M; operating margin expanded 250 bps YoY to 19.6%; adjusted operating margin rose 290 bps YoY to 23.3% . PitchBook (+10.9% reported) and Morningstar Credit (+21.1% reported) were the key growth drivers .
  • EPS dynamics: GAAP diluted EPS was $1.82 (+22.1% YoY) and adjusted diluted EPS was $2.23 (+28.9% YoY). Versus S&P Global consensus, adjusted EPS beat by ~$0.17 and revenue modestly missed by ~$3.9M; limited sell-side coverage (2 estimates) . Consensus values marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global.
  • Strategic actions and capital deployment: acquisitions (Lumonic, DealX) extend private credit/structured finance capabilities; buybacks accelerated to $109.6M; net debt increased $105.1M; dividends paid $19.5M .
  • Management tone: supportive of growth but more cautious on macro/volatility; segment reporting updated (renamed Morningstar Data & Analytics to Morningstar Direct Platform) to reflect strategic evolution .
  • Near-term stock narrative catalysts: sustained Credit momentum (structured finance strength), PitchBook user growth (+13.6% YoY), active buybacks, and ongoing public-private market convergence initiatives; offset by Sustainalytics softness and a non-recurring Retirement expense impacting margin .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • PitchBook growth and profitability: revenue +10.9% (reported) and adjusted operating income +30.8%; licensed users +13.6% YoY; margin expanded 480 bps to 31.9% . “Growth in PitchBook and Morningstar Credit contributed to a strong start to 2025,” — CEO Kunal Kapoor .
  • Morningstar Credit strength: revenue +21.1% (reported); adjusted operating income +74.0%; strong activity in CMBS/ABS; margin +890 bps to 29.3% .
  • Margin expansion and cash earnings: operating margin up to 19.6%; adjusted operating margin up to 23.3%. Despite lower operating cash flow due to higher bonus payments, cash earnings and working capital improved .

What Went Wrong

  • Sustainalytics softness: lower ESG Risk Ratings/licensed-ratings revenue amid vendor consolidation and streamlining; Corporate & All Other adjusted operating impact remained negative ($39.2M) .
  • Retirement margin headwind: adjusted operating margin fell 560 bps to 44.4% due to a non-recurring client account correction expense and higher compensation costs .
  • Direct Platform margin compression: adjusted operating income -4.5% and margin -270 bps to 43.7%, driven by higher compensation, sale of Commodity & Energy Data, and increased depreciation from prior capitalized software .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$542.8 $569.4 $591.0 $581.9
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.49 $2.77 $2.71 $1.82
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$1.73 $2.00 $2.14 $2.23
Operating Margin (%)17.1% 20.3% 28.5% 19.6%
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)20.4% 22.9% 20.6% 23.3%
SegmentQ1 2024 Revenue ($M)Q1 2025 Revenue ($M)YoYQ1 2024 Adj. Op Margin (%)Q1 2025 Adj. Op Margin (%)
Morningstar Direct Platform$196.7 $199.2 +1.3%46.4% 43.7%
PitchBook$147.6 $163.7 +10.9%27.1% 31.9%
Morningstar Credit$60.3 $73.0 +21.1%20.4% 29.3%
Morningstar Wealth$59.0 $61.3 +3.9%(9.5%) (1.3%)
Morningstar Retirement$28.4 $32.9 +15.8%50.0% 44.4%
Corporate & All Other$50.8 $51.8 +2.0%N/AN/A (Adj. OI impact: -$41.3M vs -$39.2M)
KPIsQ1 2024Q1 2025
Investment Management AUMA ($B)$57.6 $63.8
Retirement AUMA ($B)$235.9 $277.6
Asset value linked to Morningstar Indexes ($B)$190.2 $208.7
Average AUMA ($B)$289.7 $339.8
Morningstar Direct licenses (count)18,680 18,799
PitchBook licensed users (count)111,199 126,285
Estimates vs Actual (S&P Global)Q1 2025 ConsensusQ1 2025 Actual
Revenue ($M)585.84*581.90
Primary EPS (Adjusted) ($)2.06*2.23
# of Estimates (EPS/Revenue)2 / 2*N/A

Values with an asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Formal revenue/EPS guidanceFY/Q1 2025Not providedNot providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Dividend rate (per share)2025$0.405 (2024 quarterly)$0.455 quarterly for 2025Raised (announced Dec. 2024)
Dividends paid ($M)Q1 2025$17.3 (Q4 2024) $19.5Higher payout (absolute $)
Share repurchases ($M)Q1 2025$11.6 (Q4 2024) $109.6Raised significantly
Segment reportingQ1 2025“Morningstar Data & Analytics”Renamed “Morningstar Direct Platform”Implemented

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Morningstar does not hold analyst earnings calls; investors submit written questions; communications are via press releases, shareholder letters, and supplemental decks .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024 and Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Public–private market convergenceCEO emphasized convergence, PitchBook enhancements, sale of Commodity & Energy Data to focus core Continued expansion via Lumonic/DealX; Direct Platform schema update; Unicorn 30 Index referenced broader initiatives (news) Strengthening
PitchBook product/client mixCore investor/advisor segments strong; corporate segment softness; licenses +16–19% YoY; margin expansion Similar drivers; licenses +13.6% YoY; margin +480 bps; corporate softness persists Stable-positive
Structured finance/credit ratingsStrong growth across CMBS/RMBS/ABS; Canada/US/EMEA momentum Continued strength; Credit revenue +21.1%; margin +890 bps Positive
SustainalyticsVendor consolidation, licensed-ratings streamlining; softness Continued softness; revenue down; negative adjusted OI contribution Negative
Retirement AUMA/marginsAUMA +24% YoY; margin ~53% AUMA +17.7% YoY; margin down to 44.4% on one-time correction expense Mixed (AUMA up, margin down)
Advisor platform strategyTAMP sale and integration with SS&C Black Diamond; retirement of Morningstar Office (Q4 letter) Sunsetting Morningstar Office led to severance costs impacting opex Execution progressing

Management Commentary

  • “Growth in PitchBook and Morningstar Credit contributed to a strong start to 2025… expanding our private credit and structured finance offerings with the acquisitions of Lumonic and DealX.” — CEO Kunal Kapoor .
  • “Operating margin was 19.6%, and adjusted operating margin was 23.3% in the first quarter of 2025” (margin expansion YoY) .
  • “We remain focused on generating durable growth… more cautious in our approach” (macro tone) .

Q&A Highlights

Morningstar’s process uses written investor Q&A rather than live calls .

  • Structured finance outlook: Management acknowledged forecasts for potential issuance declines later in 2025 and discussed margin-preservation levers within Credit (surveillance/recurring services and cost discipline) .
  • PitchBook AI roadmap: Enhancements include AI earnings call transcript summaries, expanded third-party equity research, and AI-driven document summaries to improve client workflows .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: Adjusted EPS $2.23 vs $2.06* (beat); Revenue $581.9M vs $585.8M* (slight miss). Coverage was thin (2 estimates on EPS and revenue). Values with an asterisk () retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Potential estimate revisions: Continued Credit momentum and PitchBook margin expansion support upward EPS/margin trajectories; Sustainalytics softness and macro caution may temper top-line revisions in license-based ESG offerings .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix shift toward Credit and PitchBook is accretive to margins; Q1 adjusted margin at 23.3% reflects strong operational leverage in growth engines .
  • Adjusted EPS beat vs consensus despite higher bonus payments and a one-time Retirement expense; cash earnings solid, with active buybacks ($109.6M) underpinning capital returns .
  • PitchBook remains resilient in core segments; continued product innovation and AI tooling position it well for public-private convergence despite persistent corporate-segment softness .
  • Morningstar Credit’s structured finance activity remains robust across CMBS/ABS/RMBS and corporates; watch issuance trends and surveillance revenue to gauge sustainability .
  • Sustainalytics still a drag; vendor consolidation and offering streamlining could prolong pressure—monitor recovery signals and demand in licensed ESG ratings .
  • Advisor platform rationalization (TAMP sale; Office sunset; Black Diamond integration) should enhance profitability in Wealth over time, notwithstanding near-term severance/transition effects .
  • Near-term trade: Lean long-bias on margin strength and buybacks; hedge for macro volatility and structured finance issuance risk. Medium-term thesis: durable growth from PitchBook/Credit, with upside from private-market index and ratings initiatives; execution on ESG/Wealth streamlining can improve consolidated mix .