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Morningstar, Inc. (MORN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 beat on revenue and adjusted EPS: Revenue rose 8.4% YoY to $617.4M (organic +9.0%) and adjusted diluted EPS grew 27.5% to $2.55; Street was looking for ~$605.8M revenue and $2.42 EPS, implying beats of ~$11.6M and ~$0.13, respectively (consensus from S&P Global estimates)*
- Morningstar Credit led growth (+28.5% revenue; +9.4 pp adj. operating margin), with contributions from Morningstar Direct Platform (+6.3% revenue) and PitchBook (+7.9% revenue), while adjusted operating margin expanded 150 bps to 24.4% .
- Capital allocation accelerated: 686,512 shares settled for repurchase in Q3 ($170.1M) and a new 3‑year $1B buyback authorization starts Oct 31 (prior $500M program completed in October) .
- No earnings call transcript: Morningstar does not host quarterly earnings calls; investor engagement occurs via written Q&A 8‑Ks on a schedule in non-earnings months, with a new cadence starting Nov 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Morningstar Credit delivered a “standout quarter,” supported by robust issuance across ABS/CMBS in the U.S. and corporate ratings in Canada/Europe; revenue +28.5% YoY to $91.1M and adjusted operating margin +9.4 pp to 30.8% .
- Adjusted margin expansion to 24.4% (+150 bps YoY) on higher revenue and operating leverage; adjusted operating income +15.6% YoY to $150.6M .
- Direct Platform revenue +6.3% YoY to $211.1M with Morningstar Data strength; “growth across geographies”; CEO emphasized building “durable growth” and scale via the planned CRSP acquisition and AI collaborations (PitchBook + Morningstar) .
- What Went Wrong
- PitchBook growth moderated (licensed users flat YoY after definition change); margin dipped 90 bps to 31.3% on higher compensation and healthcare costs; softness persisted in the corporate client segment amid slower deal activity .
- Direct Platform adjusted margin fell 160 bps to 44.4% on higher compensation and increased depreciation from prior capitalized software; Office sunset was a $1.5M headwind to Wealth .
- Effective tax rate rose to 25.5% vs 19.8% last year (prior-year gain on a sale affected comparability), muting GAAP EPS (down 21.7% YoY to $2.17) despite underlying strength .
Financial Results
Results vs prior periods
Results vs estimates (S&P Global consensus)*
- Segment performance (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)
- KPIs
Guidance Changes
- Morningstar does not issue formal quarterly financial guidance; no revenue/margin/tax guidance ranges were provided in Q3 materials .
- Capital returns and dividends:
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: Morningstar does not host quarterly earnings calls; themes reflect management’s shareholder letter, press release, and supplemental deck.
Management Commentary
- “Morningstar Credit delivered a standout quarter… while Morningstar Direct Platform and PitchBook also contributed meaningfully to consolidated growth.” — Kunal Kapoor, CEO .
- “We continue to lay the foundation for durable growth with our planned acquisition of the Center for Research in Security Prices… and new collaborations to integrate our trusted data with leading generative AI platforms.” .
- On AI strategy: “We are using AI technologies… to deliver our data and IP; to accelerate speed‑to‑insights in our products; and to boost the operational excellence of our teams,” including integrations with Anthropic and Perplexity via MCP .
- On PitchBook: “Activity… remained below prior‑period peaks… we continued to experience elevated churn among smaller firms and corporates… we are actively investing in proprietary research, derived datasets, and integrated workflows… and embedding AI into the PitchBook platform” .
Q&A Highlights
- No live Q&A or earnings call; the company engages via written investor Q&A 8‑Ks on a set cadence in months without earnings. New schedule starts Nov 2025 (submissions by the 5th, responses by the 25th, adjusted for holidays) .
- Clarifications from materials:
- Tax rate: ETR rose to 25.5% vs 19.8% last year due to prior-year gain dynamics on a divestiture .
- Non-GAAP adjustments: Q3 included $15.1M intangible amortization and $8.2M M&A-related expenses; adjusted EPS reconciled to $2.55 .
- Shareholder returns: Q3 repurchases of $170.1M settled; new $1B authorization effective Oct 31 .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus*: Revenue $617.4M vs $605.8M*; EPS (Primary/Adjusted) $2.55 vs $2.42*; both beats .
- Coverage was thin (2 estimates each for EPS and revenue); estimate models appear aligned to the company’s adjusted EPS this quarter [functions.GetEstimates output].
- Implications: modest upward bias likely to out‑year adj. EPS on stronger credit issuance and sustained cost discipline; Direct margin pressure from comp/depreciation may limit magnitude of revisions near term .
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad-based beat driven by Credit strength and operating leverage; adjusted margin expanded to 24.4% despite compensation headwinds in Direct and PitchBook .
- PitchBook growth remains healthy but moderating; corporate segment and longer sales cycles weigh on mix and margins; near-term catalysts include AI features (Navigator) and LLM integrations to deepen workflows .
- Credit is cyclical tailwind: issuance breadth across geographies/asset classes boosted revenue/margins; APAC expansion (Australia hub) adds a structural growth vector .
- Capital returns are re-accelerating: ~$487M repurchased YTD through Oct 28 and a fresh $1B authorization provide downside support and EPS accretion, contingent on valuation and cash generation .
- Watch areas: Direct Platform margin pressure (comp/depreciation), Sustainalytics/Indexes revenue softness (vendor consolidation/outflows), and elevated ETR vs prior-year .
- Medium-term thesis: Proprietary data/IP and AI distribution partnerships (Anthropic/Claude, others) should enhance pricing power and seat-based/entitled data monetization, while CRSP (if closed) scales Indexes .
Appendix: Additional Tables
Segment and revenue-type detail (Q3 2025)
Balance sheet and cash return snapshots (as of/for Q3 2025)
- Cash, cash equivalents & investments: $514.5M; Long-term debt: $848.9M .
- Q3 dividends paid: $19.2M; share repurchases settled: $170.1M .
Relevant Q3 2025 press releases and updates
- Morningstar DBRS launches APAC regional hub (Australia); AFSL granted .
- PitchBook data accessible within Claude (Anthropic); expanding LLM partnerships .
- Morningstar Retirement integrates advisor managed accounts into NPPG PEPs .
Sources: Q3 2025 8‑K (including EX‑99.1 press release, EX‑99.2 supplemental deck, EX‑99.3 shareholder letter) and company press releases as cited above . No earnings call transcript exists; Morningstar does not host quarterly calls .