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MC

MultiPlan Corp (MPLN)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue was $233.5M and Adjusted EBITDA $146.7M; GAAP net loss widened to $576.7M due to a non-cash $553.7M goodwill impairment; management cut FY24 revenue and EBITDA guidance and introduced a Q3 guide below prior expectations .
  • Volume KPIs improved sequentially (billed charges +9% to $45.3B; identified savings +8% to $6.2B), but revenue yield fell (core PSAV -14 bps; overall -31 bps), pressuring top line vs internal plans .
  • FY24 guidance reduced: revenue to $935–$955M (from $1,000–$1,030M) and Adjusted EBITDA to $580–$595M (from $630–$650M); Q3 revenue guided to $230–$245M and Adjusted EBITDA $140–$150M .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: lowered FY24 guidance, yield volatility, and a disclosed ~3% revenue headwind in 2025 from a program change at a large client, partially offset by improving volumes and cost control narrative .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Sequential volume recovery despite clearinghouse disruption earlier in the year; billed charges reached $45.3B and identified savings $6.2B (+9% and +8% q/q) .
    • Operating discipline: Adjusted EBITDA held at $146.7M with expenses “tight” and margin at 62.8% despite revenue pressure .
    • Strategic execution signals: expanded sales force, growing pipeline, product roadmap progress; CEO: “We added four new logos in Q2… sales are up 8% YoY… pipeline has grown by double digits in the first half” .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Revenue yield volatility pressured revenue by ~$6.3M; core PSAV yield -14 bps (mixed shift and client credits), and overall yield -31 bps sequentially .
    • New product commercialization slower than expected (HST/BST conversion to revenue taking longer), contributing to guidance cut .
    • Large non-cash goodwill impairment ($553.7M) drove GAAP net loss; management cited share price/market factors and forecast revisions; goodwill now $2.76B vs $3.83B at 12/31/23 .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($M)$244.1 $234.5 $233.5
Net Loss ($M)$(31.4) $(539.7) $(576.7)
GAAP Diluted EPS$(0.83) $(0.89)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$156.8 $146.8 $146.7
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %64.2% 62.6% 62.8%

Segment performance – Q2 2024 vs Q1 2024 and YoY

Service LineQoQ Change vs Q1 2024YoY Change vs Q2 2023Notes
Network-based-0.9% (~$0.5M) -20% Complementary network and P&C softness
Analytics-based≈0% (essentially flat) +5.6% BST contributed $3.8M
Payment & Revenue Integrity-1.4% -5.3% Prepayment negotiation softer; postpaid strong

Key KPIs and cash metrics

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Billed Charges Processed ($B)$43.4 $41.5 $45.3
Identified Potential Savings ($B)$5.9 $5.7 $6.2
Revenue Yield – Overall (Seq. change, bps)-7 bps -4 bps -31 bps
Revenue Yield – Core PSAV (Seq. change, bps)-15 bps -10 bps -14 bps (≈$6.3M impact)
Cash from Operations ($M)$27.7 $49.7 $18.5
Free Cash Flow ($M)$(3.6) $19.2 $(7.0)
Adjusted Cash Conversion Ratio54% 62%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (5/8/24)Updated Guidance (8/1/24)Change
RevenueFY 2024$1,000M–$1,030M $935M–$955M Lowered
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2024$630M–$650M $580M–$595M Lowered
Interest ExpenseFY 2024$320M–$330M $320M–$330M Maintained
Cash from OperationsFY 2024$170M–$200M $135M–$150M Lowered
Capital ExpendituresFY 2024$120M–$130M $120M–$130M Maintained
DepreciationFY 2024$80M–$90M $80M–$90M Maintained
Amortization of IntangiblesFY 2024$345M–$350M $345M–$350M Maintained
Effective Tax RateFY 202425%–28% 25%–28% Maintained
RevenueQ3 2024$230M–$245M New
Adjusted EBITDAQ3 2024$140M–$150M New

Note: Management also disclosed an expected ~3% revenue headwind in 2025 from a strategic program change at a large client .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2023 (Prev Q-2)Q1 2024 (Prev Q-1)Q2 2024 (Current)Trend
AI/AutomationPro Pricer and rules engines; data/decision science roadmap NSA rules-based processing and ML tools; data platform momentum Internal automation with AI starting in NSA processes; data architecture investments; Chief Data Scientist hired Increasing focus and resourcing
Volumes/UtilizationNormalization; sequential volume growth Clearinghouse outage impacted volumes; estimated $5–$6M revenue hit Sequential rebound; billed charges/savings up; positive facility volumes Recovering volumes post-disruption
Revenue Yield-15 bps PSAV in Q4; nonrecurring credits -10 bps PSAV; temporary factors and credits to abate -14 bps PSAV; -31 bps overall; ~$6.3M revenue impact Ongoing volatility; expected to stabilize
Regulatory/NSANSA leadership push; productization NSA demand viewed as opportunity; automation potential Continue NSA focus; stakeholder engagement; defending against misinformation Continued emphasis/advocacy
New Products (HST/BST)Pipeline; PlanOptix introduced Sales pipeline up; initial PlanOptix sale; HST adds lives Slower conversion to revenue; pipeline robust; added provider client for risk models Execution lag vs plan
Capital StructureDebt reduction; M&A de-emphasized near term Emphasize debt reduction over buybacks Time and flexibility; opportunistic, not rushed Steady deleveraging focus
LeadershipIncoming CEO positioning New COO; KPI discipline; org alignment CFO transition; incoming CFO (Aug 5) Leadership refresh to drive execution

Management Commentary

  • “Results matter, and these results are disappointing and unacceptable… I am even more confident in our business today… our strategic plan… has come further into focus” – CEO Travis Dalton .
  • “Our revised full year 2024 revenue guidance [is] $935 million to $955 million… adjusted EBITDA $580 million to $595 million” – CFO Jim Head .
  • “Sequential increase in our volumes was mostly offset by a decline in revenues as a percentage of identified savings… core PSAV revenue yield fell about 14 bps… ~$6.3M impact” – CFO Jim Head .
  • “We added a SVP of Corporate Affairs… VP of Government Affairs… a Chief Data Scientist… and… incoming CFO, Doug Garis” – CEO Travis Dalton .

Q&A Highlights

  • Yield pressure and drivers: Non-contract factors (program mix, accruals, client credits) drove -14 bps PSAV yield; credits ran off by end-Q2; mix shifts may persist; volumes expected to offset as they grow .
  • New product traction: HST/BST sales cycles and revenue conversion taking longer than budgeted; pipeline described as robust .
  • 2025 headwind: ~3% revenue headwind disclosed from a strategic program change at a large client; management emphasized confidence in core and no broad trend of internalization .
  • Second-half caution: Despite volume recovery, topline tempered by yield volatility and slower new product revenue; expenses held relatively flat with targeted investments .
  • Capital structure: Company reiterated time and flexibility; engaging with investors; opportunistic approach to debt management without urgency .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve consensus estimates for Q2 2024 (revenue, EPS, EBITDA) and prior two quarters via S&P Global but could not due to a missing internal mapping for MPLN in the estimates tool. As a result, Wall Street consensus comparisons are unavailable in this environment. We searched for and would normally anchor to S&P Global consensus; please note unavailability for this report.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Guidance reset lowers FY24 revenue/EBITDA and introduces a Q3 guide that reflects caution on yield and new product ramps; this is a likely overhang near term .
  • Underlying volumes are improving, which, if sustained, can offset yield headwinds; watch billed charges and identified savings trajectory each quarter .
  • Yield volatility remains the core watch item; management expects stabilization post client credits; any reversion to “high 4s” yield would be a positive inflection .
  • 2025 setup includes a disclosed ~3% revenue headwind from a large-client program change; monitor offset from core growth and product monetization progress .
  • Balance sheet strategy emphasizes organic investment and debt reduction; deleveraging pace depends on cash generation amid elevated interest expense ($320–$330M FY24) .
  • Execution risk around sales conversion (HST/BST) persists; incremental proof points: signed wins, lives onboarded, ARR ramps, and provider-side analytics traction .
  • Leadership transitions (new CFO, expanded data/government affairs leadership) aim to improve forecasting precision and stakeholder engagement—track any improvement in guidance credibility and disclosure quality .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Q2 GAAP details: revenue $233.476M; costs of services $61.369M; amortization $85.971M; impairment $553.701M; GAAP net loss $(576.727)M; basic/diluted shares 644.68M; EPS $(0.89) .
  • Balance sheet at 6/30/24: cash $48.8M; total assets $5.74B; total debt (LT) $4.51B; shareholders’ equity $603.4M .
  • Cash flow 1H24: CFO $68.2M; capex $(56.0)M; interest paid $(158.4)M .