MI
Marpai, Inc. (MRAI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $4.04M, down 42.4% year-over-year vs. $7.01M in Q3 2024, while net loss narrowed slightly to $3.49M and EPS improved to ($0.20) from ($0.30) YoY, reflecting continued cost discipline .
- Operating expenses fell 24% YoY to $3.8M and operating loss improved 9% YoY to ($2.77M), as management emphasized structural efficiency gains and a leaner operating model .
- Guidance narrative: management reiterated the profitability timeline for Q1 2026, consistent with Q2 messaging; this marks a push-out from the Q1 2025 goal of “profitability and positive cash flow by the end of 2025” stated in May, now aligned to Q1 2026 .
- Capital position improved via a $3.9M PIPE financing to support the turnaround; management highlighted sales momentum with “double‑digit new clients contracted for January 1,” framing 2026 as an earnings leverage inflection .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Operating expenses down 24% YoY to $3.8M; operating loss narrowed 9% YoY to ($2.77M). CEO: “We’re operating leaner, smarter, and closer than ever to sustained profitability” .
- Sales pipeline and client adds: “over double‑digit new clients contracted for January 1,” with integrated MarpaiRx PBM gaining traction; management expects revenue growth to translate to earnings leverage .
- Liquidity reinforcement: completed a $3.9M PIPE to “provide sufficient cash flow to diligently execute its turnaround strategy,” with long‑term shareholders participating .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line contraction: Q3 2025 revenue fell 42.4% YoY to $4.04M vs. $7.01M in Q3 2024; sequential decline from Q2 2025’s $4.66M underscores ongoing revenue pressure during transformation .
- Continued losses: net loss remained sizable at ($3.49M); net margin was approximately (86.6%), reflecting interest expense of ($0.80M) and negative EBITDA .
- Balance sheet strain: stockholders’ deficit widened to ($33.35M); total liabilities increased to $46.10M, including convertible debentures (current and long-term) totaling ~$9.84M .
Financial Results
Quarterly P&L comparison (oldest → newest)
Year-over-Year snapshot (Q3 2025 vs. Q3 2024)
Estimates vs. Actuals (Q3 2025)
Note: Wall Street consensus via S&P Global appears unavailable for EPS and revenue; EBITDA field contains “actual” only.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
The EBITDA “actual” above is from S&P Global output and marked with an asterisk; consensus counts (# of estimates) were unavailable.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We’re operating leaner, smarter, and closer than ever to sustained profitability.”
- CEO: “We’ve built a durable operating model designed to convert every point of future revenue growth directly into earnings leverage.”
- Q1 call: “As Marpai’s largest shareholder, hitting profitability this year is my absolute top priority… We strengthened our leadership team… Dallas Scrip as COO and President of MarpaiRx.”
- Strategy: “Ongoing initiatives in automation, data-driven claims management, and integrated pharmacy benefits” position the company for scalable economics .
Q&A Highlights
- Note: Q3 2025 earnings call transcript not available in the document system; highlights below reference Q1 2025 as context.
- Off-cycle client wins and January cycle strategy: focus on margin-generating clients; expect stronger Jan cycle next year .
- Cash burn reduction: vendor rationalization, legacy contracts ending, operational efficiencies to reduce cost and improve service; significant reduction expected in Q2 .
- Empara portal: AI-driven benefits Q&A, reduced call center load, integrated handoff to agents; efficiency and service improvements .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 2025 EPS and revenue appears unavailable; no counts of estimates were returned, precluding beat/miss determination.*
- EBITDA field returned actual (negative) without consensus; investors should focus on operating loss trajectory, OpEx trend, and pipeline conversion until estimate coverage normalizes.*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Bold cost execution: OpEx down 24% YoY to $3.8M; operating loss narrowed to ($2.77M); EPS improved to ($0.20) — key proof-points of turnaround discipline .
- Revenue remains pressured (Q3 $4.04M vs. $4.66M in Q2 and $7.01M in Q3’24), but “double-digit” new clients for Jan 1 and PBM traction set up a potential 2026 earnings leverage turn .
- Liquidity bolstered by a $3.9M PIPE; alongside rising WACS and liabilities, monitoring cash burn and debenture servicing remains essential for near-term risk management .
- Profitability timeline clarified to Q1 2026 (reiterated from Aug/Nov) vs. earlier year-end 2025 target in May; expectation reset likely improves credibility of medium-term plan .
- Technology advantage: automation and Empara/MarpaiRx integration can lower cost-to-serve and improve retention, potentially stabilizing gross margin back toward the 30%+ range if pipeline converts .
- With limited Street estimate coverage, catalysts hinge on client onboarding (Jan cycle), PBM ramp, and sustained OpEx control; absence of explicit revenue/margin guidance elevates reliance on actuals and call disclosures .
- Actionable: trade tactically on evidence of Jan 1 client adds and margin progression; medium-term thesis rests on PBM differentiation, automation-driven efficiencies, and delivering the Q1 2026 profitability milestone .