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Marpai, Inc. (MRAI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 revenue was $4.04M, down 42.4% year-over-year vs. $7.01M in Q3 2024, while net loss narrowed slightly to $3.49M and EPS improved to ($0.20) from ($0.30) YoY, reflecting continued cost discipline .
  • Operating expenses fell 24% YoY to $3.8M and operating loss improved 9% YoY to ($2.77M), as management emphasized structural efficiency gains and a leaner operating model .
  • Guidance narrative: management reiterated the profitability timeline for Q1 2026, consistent with Q2 messaging; this marks a push-out from the Q1 2025 goal of “profitability and positive cash flow by the end of 2025” stated in May, now aligned to Q1 2026 .
  • Capital position improved via a $3.9M PIPE financing to support the turnaround; management highlighted sales momentum with “double‑digit new clients contracted for January 1,” framing 2026 as an earnings leverage inflection .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Operating expenses down 24% YoY to $3.8M; operating loss narrowed 9% YoY to ($2.77M). CEO: “We’re operating leaner, smarter, and closer than ever to sustained profitability” .
  • Sales pipeline and client adds: “over double‑digit new clients contracted for January 1,” with integrated MarpaiRx PBM gaining traction; management expects revenue growth to translate to earnings leverage .
  • Liquidity reinforcement: completed a $3.9M PIPE to “provide sufficient cash flow to diligently execute its turnaround strategy,” with long‑term shareholders participating .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line contraction: Q3 2025 revenue fell 42.4% YoY to $4.04M vs. $7.01M in Q3 2024; sequential decline from Q2 2025’s $4.66M underscores ongoing revenue pressure during transformation .
  • Continued losses: net loss remained sizable at ($3.49M); net margin was approximately (86.6%), reflecting interest expense of ($0.80M) and negative EBITDA .
  • Balance sheet strain: stockholders’ deficit widened to ($33.35M); total liabilities increased to $46.10M, including convertible debentures (current and long-term) totaling ~$9.84M .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L comparison (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD)$5.418M $4.656M $4.037M
Cost of Revenue ($USD)$3.484M $3.910M $2.963M
Gross Profit ($USD)$1.934M (calc) $0.746M (calc) $1.074M (calc)
Gross Margin %35.7% (calc) 16.0% (calc) 26.6% (calc)
Operating Loss ($USD)($2.250M) ($3.607M) ($2.771M)
Operating Margin %(41.5%) (calc) (77.5%) (calc) (68.6%) (calc)
Net Loss ($USD)($3.069M) ($4.371M) ($3.494M)
Net Margin %(56.6%) (calc) (93.9%) (calc) (86.6%) (calc)
EPS (Basic & Diluted)($0.21) ($0.28) ($0.20)
Weighted Avg Shares14,770,867 15,503,132 17,299,687

Year-over-Year snapshot (Q3 2025 vs. Q3 2024)

MetricQ3 2024Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD)$7.008M $4.037M
Operating Loss ($USD)($3.060M) ($2.771M)
Net Loss ($USD)($3.560M) ($3.494M)
EPS (Basic & Diluted)($0.30) ($0.20)
Operating Expenses ($USD)$5.0M $3.8M

Estimates vs. Actuals (Q3 2025)

Note: Wall Street consensus via S&P Global appears unavailable for EPS and revenue; EBITDA field contains “actual” only.

MetricConsensus (Q3 2025)Actual (Q3 2025)
Primary EPS Consensus MeanN/A*($0.20)
Revenue Consensus MeanN/A*$4.037M
EBITDA Consensus MeanN/A*($2.582M)*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.
The EBITDA “actual” above is from S&P Global output and marked with an asterisk; consensus counts (# of estimates) were unavailable.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Profitability timingCompany-level“Profitability and positive cash flow by end of 2025” (May 2025) “On track to achieve profitability in Q1 2026” (Aug & Nov 2025) Lowered (timing pushed out)
Sales momentum / client addsJan 1 cycleNot quantified (Q1 commentary emphasized pipeline) “Over double‑digit new clients contracted for January 1” Raised (qualitative strength)
Infrastructure investmentQ3 2025“Expect to make a major infrastructure investment in Q3” Not updated/quantified in Q3 PR Maintained narrative; no numeric update
Revenue/Margins/OpEx numeric guidanceQ3–FY 2025/2026None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal numeric guidance)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Cost discipline / efficiency“Operating expenses down 33% YoY; relentless efficiencies” OpEx down 24% YoY; operating loss improved 9% YoY Improving; sustained execution
Sales pipeline / client addsStrong H2 2025 pipeline; off‑cycle wins discussed in Q&A “Over double‑digit new clients contracted for Jan 1” Strengthening pipeline into 2026
MarpaiRx PBM“Relaunch… game changing” noted; Dallas Scrip to lead PBM PBM gaining traction and expanding TAM Expanding role; differentiator
Empara portal / technologyEmpara Member Portal rollout on track for Q2 2025 Continued automation and data-driven claims focus From portal deployment to broader automation
Capital / liquidityConvertible debentures funding in Q1; cash burn concerns addressed $3.9M PIPE completed to support turnaround Strengthened near-term liquidity
Profitability timing“Cash flow positive and profitability by end of 2025” Reiterated Q1 2026 profitability target Timing pushed out; clarity improved

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We’re operating leaner, smarter, and closer than ever to sustained profitability.”
  • CEO: “We’ve built a durable operating model designed to convert every point of future revenue growth directly into earnings leverage.”
  • Q1 call: “As Marpai’s largest shareholder, hitting profitability this year is my absolute top priority… We strengthened our leadership team… Dallas Scrip as COO and President of MarpaiRx.”
  • Strategy: “Ongoing initiatives in automation, data-driven claims management, and integrated pharmacy benefits” position the company for scalable economics .

Q&A Highlights

  • Note: Q3 2025 earnings call transcript not available in the document system; highlights below reference Q1 2025 as context.
  • Off-cycle client wins and January cycle strategy: focus on margin-generating clients; expect stronger Jan cycle next year .
  • Cash burn reduction: vendor rationalization, legacy contracts ending, operational efficiencies to reduce cost and improve service; significant reduction expected in Q2 .
  • Empara portal: AI-driven benefits Q&A, reduced call center load, integrated handoff to agents; efficiency and service improvements .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q3 2025 EPS and revenue appears unavailable; no counts of estimates were returned, precluding beat/miss determination.*
  • EBITDA field returned actual (negative) without consensus; investors should focus on operating loss trajectory, OpEx trend, and pipeline conversion until estimate coverage normalizes.*
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Bold cost execution: OpEx down 24% YoY to $3.8M; operating loss narrowed to ($2.77M); EPS improved to ($0.20) — key proof-points of turnaround discipline .
  • Revenue remains pressured (Q3 $4.04M vs. $4.66M in Q2 and $7.01M in Q3’24), but “double-digit” new clients for Jan 1 and PBM traction set up a potential 2026 earnings leverage turn .
  • Liquidity bolstered by a $3.9M PIPE; alongside rising WACS and liabilities, monitoring cash burn and debenture servicing remains essential for near-term risk management .
  • Profitability timeline clarified to Q1 2026 (reiterated from Aug/Nov) vs. earlier year-end 2025 target in May; expectation reset likely improves credibility of medium-term plan .
  • Technology advantage: automation and Empara/MarpaiRx integration can lower cost-to-serve and improve retention, potentially stabilizing gross margin back toward the 30%+ range if pipeline converts .
  • With limited Street estimate coverage, catalysts hinge on client onboarding (Jan cycle), PBM ramp, and sustained OpEx control; absence of explicit revenue/margin guidance elevates reliance on actuals and call disclosures .
  • Actionable: trade tactically on evidence of Jan 1 client adds and margin progression; medium-term thesis rests on PBM differentiation, automation-driven efficiencies, and delivering the Q1 2026 profitability milestone .