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EVERSPIN TECHNOLOGIES INC (MRAM)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $13.2M, above internal expectations, and GAAP diluted EPS was $0.05 at the high end of guidance; gross margin improved sequentially to 51.3% (from 49.2% in Q3) but remained below prior-year levels due to volume mix .
- Product revenue rose sequentially to $11.0M (from $10.4M in Q3), aided by IBM FlashCore Module 4 shipments and RAD-Hard activity; licensing/royalty/other was $2.2M, roughly flat Q/Q but down Y/Y .
- Q1 2025 guidance: revenue $12–$13M; GAAP basic EPS loss ($0.10)–($0.05); non-GAAP basic EPS ($0.05)–$0.00. Management expects a 2H 2025-weighted year as Asia customers burn inventory and seasonality normalizes .
- Potential stock-reaction catalysts: sequential product growth and IBM/Lucid traction vs near-term headwind from lower “other income” recognition in Q1 and a guided GAAP loss; 2H-weighted recovery narrative tied to RAD-Hard and design-win conversion .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Revenue above company expectations and EPS at high end of guidance; “solid results... driven by strength in our product revenue and RAD-Hard projects” (management) .
- Sequential improvements: product sales up to $11.0M (from $10.4M in Q3) and gross margin up to 51.3% (from 49.2% in Q3) on mix; cash increased to $42.1M, debt-free balance sheet .
- Strategic traction: 178 design wins in 2024; validation with Lattice FPGAs; IBM FCM4 shipments; early Lucid Gravity revenue recognition; Purdue neuromorphic AI program initiation .
What Went Wrong
- Year-over-year pressure: revenue ($13.2M vs $16.7M), gross margin (51.3% vs 58.1%), licensing/royalty/other ($2.2M vs $4.3M) all declined vs Q4’23 on lower volumes and project timing .
- Q1 2025 guide implies GAAP loss; management also flagged materially lower “other income” recognition in Q1 (>$1M lower Q/Q), creating near-term EPS headwind before 2H ramps .
- Continued macro/inventory digestion, especially in Asia, weighs on near-term demand; full-year 2024 revenue fell 21% Y/Y to $50.4M as distribution and product volumes softened .
Financial Results
Revenue breakdown (proxy for “segments”):
Additional KPIs:
Notes: The $2.6M Q4 other income includes $2.1M from the $14.6M DoD sustainment award plus other items; Q3 other income includes milestone-based awards that drove EPS outperformance in that quarter .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are pleased to report fourth quarter results with revenue above our expectations and earnings per share at the high end of our guidance range.” – Sanjeev Aggarwal, CEO .
- “Our solid results this quarter were driven by strength in our product revenue and RAD-Hard projects.” – Bill Cooper, CFO .
- On IBM/data center: “We continued to ramp revenue from the sale of a PERSYST 1 gigabit STT-MRAM into IBM’s FlashCore Module 4” .
- Automotive: “Recognized initial revenue from the PERSYST MRAM prototypes we shipped to Lucid Motors for their Gravity SUV” .
- 2025 setup: “We expect the year to be weighted more heavily towards the second half of 2025 due partially to our typical seasonality and as our Asian customers continue to work through their inventory” .
- Non-GAAP shift: “We will be shifting our non-GAAP metrics from adjusted EBITDA to non-GAAP EPS” .
Q&A Highlights
- Other income cadence: Q1 “other income” from the $14.6M sustainment award will be “significantly lower,” more than $1M less Q/Q; milestone-based recognition skews to back half .
- Lattice collaboration: No direct revenue from Lattice; integration via Radiant suite should accelerate design wins and qualifications rather than provide partner payments .
- Macro/inventory: Indications of low channel/customer inventory; management expects 2H’25 to look more promising than 1H .
- Purdue AI program: ~4-year effort; ~$10.5M total value to Everspin; year one ~ $4M; milestone-based revenue recognition .
- Defense-market exposure: Current projects (QuickLogic FPGA, Frontgrade, Purdue) proceeding; new awards may await policy clarity; no near-term disruption indicated .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at the time of this analysis due to service limits; therefore, we cannot quantify beat/miss versus Wall Street consensus for Q4 2024. We anchor comparisons to company guidance and reported results instead [GetEstimates errors].
- Company delivered revenue above internal expectations and EPS at the high end of guidance; Q1 2025 guide implies a GAAP loss as “other income” recognition moderates near term .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term setup is mixed: sequential product recovery and structural design-win momentum vs guided Q1 GAAP loss and lower “other income” recognition; the narrative points to a 2H’25 reacceleration as inventory normalizes .
- Government/RAD-Hard programs are tangible contributors (milestone-driven), but timing can introduce quarterly volatility; sustained back-half contributions are expected .
- Product traction is broadening (IBM FCM4, Lattice integration, Lucid Gravity) across multiple end-markets, enhancing medium-term visibility as design wins convert .
- Gross margin expanded Q/Q on mix; sustained improvement likely requires volume recovery and continued product mix optimization .
- Balance sheet strength (cash $42.1M, no debt) provides flexibility to invest through the cycle and support program execution .
- Watch for: Q1 delivery vs guide, cadence of “other income” milestones, updates on 1Gb xSPI MRAM sampling and CXL demo, and incremental design-win conversion timelines .
Supporting citations: Q4’24 press release and 8-K , Q4’24 call transcript -, Q3’24 press release -, Q2’24 press release -, Lucid press release .