Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
- ExxonMobil Growth Opportunity: The Q&A revealed that once ExxonMobil’s acquisitions are fully integrated, MRC’s business with them could expand by 75%-100%, representing a significant revenue tailwind.
- Resilient Gas Utilities Recovery: Management highlighted sequential revenue improvements in Gas Utilities along with projected 4%-6% increases in customer capital spending in 2025 as destocking issues largely resolve, positioning the segment for stronger growth.
- Favorable Natural Gas Demand Trends: Executives discussed projections of a 15%-20% growth in natural gas demand by 2030, which will drive infrastructure projects that benefit MRC’s PTI business, offering a robust long-term growth catalyst.
- Delayed Project Execution: Persisting delays in DIET projects and refinery turnarounds—partly due to high interest rates—could push revenue realization into 2025, negatively impacting near-term growth.
- Prolonged Gas Utilities Destocking: Continued customer destocking in Gas Utilities, with some customers expected to extend into 2025, may result in lower revenue and margin pressures in the coming quarters.
- Capital Structure Complexity: The unresolved preferred shares remain a complication in the capital structure, potentially diluting common shareholders and limiting capital allocation flexibility.
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Preferred Shares
Q: Active conversation on preferred shares?
A: Management confirmed they are actively discussing options with the preferred shareholder to eventually remove it in a way that benefits common shareholders and minimizes dilution. -
Balance Sheet
Q: How will you use the strong balance sheet?
A: They highlighted a record low leverage of 0.4x and robust liquidity, aiming to leverage this strength for strategic capital allocation including M&A and shareholder returns. -
Margin Outlook
Q: Gas Utilities margin recovery timing?
A: Though Gas Utilities remain slightly dilutive on gross margins, efficient high-volume operations are expected to gradually enhance net margins. -
Destocking Timing
Q: Which inning for destocking issues?
A: Management described the destocking process as being in the 6th or 7th inning, with most customers nearing the finish though some issues might extend into next year. -
Capital Spending
Q: Will customer capital spending increase next year?
A: With a 13% quarterly improvement in Gas Utilities, they expect customer capital spending to rebound in 2025 with mid-single-digit growth and long-term increases of 4–6% annually. -
M&A Outlook
Q: Is M&A more attractive now?
A: They remain open to M&A opportunities, balancing the focus on a simplified capital structure and strong balance sheet, noting that the deal flow hasn’t radically changed from previous periods. -
Power Demand
Q: How will power demand impact your business?
A: The team anticipates robust growth in natural gas demand—driving gas-fired power plant and LNG infrastructure investments—with projections of 15–20% growth by 2030 that benefit their upstream and PTI sectors. -
Project Push-Outs
Q: Are DIET projects delayed by higher interest rates?
A: Management acknowledged that higher rates have delayed project timelines, yet emphasized that most projects will simply shift to 2025 rather than being canceled.
Research analysts covering MRC GLOBAL.