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MariaDB plc (MRDB)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY2024 (quarter ended December 31, 2023) showed modest top-line growth and sharp efficiency gains: revenue rose 6.3% YoY to $13.6M, gross margin expanded to 79.0%, and net loss improved to $(8.8)M; ARR was $51.8M (+11% YoY) and Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed markedly to $(2.7)M .
  • No formal revenue/EPS guidance was issued; management emphasized product focus and cost reductions after discontinuing certain products (e.g., SkySQL divestiture), which supported margin improvements .
  • Liquidity and capital structure were the primary overhangs: the $26.5M RP Ventures senior secured note matured Jan 31, 2024 without repayment, triggering defaults and a forbearance; management disclosed substantial doubt about going concern absent new financing .
  • Potential strategic outcomes emerged post-quarter: unsolicited acquisition proposals from K1 (Feb 16) and Progress Software (Mar 26) introduced optionality but also accelerated default triggers under the forbearance agreement .
  • Near-term stock catalysts are likely to center on financing/recapitalization outcomes, NYSE listing compliance, and any definitive response to the unsolicited proposals; operating improvement alone may not offset balance sheet risk .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • ARR +11% YoY and Adjusted EBITDA improvement: “ARR is up 11% year-over-year…coupled with a 77% improvement in Adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.7 million versus the prior fiscal year first quarter loss of $11.6 million,” reflecting discontinuation of certain products and company-wide spending reductions .
  • Gross margin expanded to 79.0% from 73.7% YoY on subscription growth and personnel cost savings from restructuring, signaling improved unit economics .
  • Operating discipline: R&D and Sales & Marketing expenses fell 44% and 38% YoY respectively, driven by headcount actions and lower third-party/marketing costs .

What Went Wrong

  • Going concern risk: management stated current cash is insufficient for 12 months, raising substantial doubt; additional capital and debt restructuring are required .
  • Debt default/forbearance: failure to repay the $26.5M RP Ventures note at maturity (Jan 31) led to defaults; a Feb 5 forbearance imposed restrictions and default-rate interest (+2% above 10%) .
  • Elevated interest expense: quarterly interest expense surged to $3.1M (+1,240% YoY) due to the RP Ventures note, pressuring net loss despite operating improvements .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2023 (Dec 31, 2022)Q3 2023 (Jun 30, 2023)Q1 2024 (Dec 31, 2023)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$12.805 $13.042 $13.612
Gross Margin (%)73.7% 72.0% 79.0%
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(12.696) $(9.669) $(8.768)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.53) $(0.14) $(0.13)
Annual Recurring Revenue ($USD Millions)$46.595 $55.000 $51.805

Segment (Geography) Mix

GeographyQ1 2023 Revenue ($USD Millions)Q1 2024 Revenue ($USD Millions)
EMEA$4.649 $4.792
Americas$5.963 $6.270
APAC$2.193 $2.550
Total$12.805 $13.612

KPIs

KPIAs of Q1 2023As of Q1 2024
ARR ($USD Millions)$46.595 $51.805
Net Revenue Retention Rate (%)106% 105%
Customers (Count)651 683

Non-GAAP

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(11.568) $(2.718)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)(90.3)% (20.0)%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/QuarterNone disclosedNone disclosedMaintained (no guidance)
EPSFY/QuarterNone disclosedNone disclosedMaintained (no guidance)
Gross MarginFY/QuarterNone disclosedNone disclosedMaintained (no guidance)
OpExFY/QuarterNone disclosedContinued restructuring cost reductions; no quantitative guidanceNarrative only
Debt/InterestFY/QuarterN/ADefault-rate interest (+2% above 10%); forbearance in placeNew disclosure

Note: Company did not issue formal numerical guidance ranges; narrative focused on cost actions and product focus .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(Transcript not available in our corpus for Q1 FY2024; themes compiled from 8-Ks and 10-Q.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 FY2023)Q4 FY2023Current Period (Q1 FY2024)Trend
AI/Technology InitiativesEmphasized foundational AI/ML and building AI/ML database features Continued product focus; divested SkySQL; no Q4 8-K earnings PR Product focus on Enterprise Server; discontinued certain products to cut costs From broad AI/ML narrative to core product focus/cost discipline
Restructuring/Cost ActionsNoted operating restraint October 2023 workforce reduction (~84 roles) Significant OpEx reductions; restructuring charges $2.8M Accelerating cost discipline
Debt/LiquidityN/ARP Ventures note issued Oct 10, 2023 Note matured Jan 31 without repayment; forbearance; going concern doubt Deteriorated; financing imperative
Legal/RegulatoryN/AN/AHoulihan Lokey lawsuit (>$6.3M claimed); accrual $1.0M offer Ongoing legal exposure
Listing ComplianceN/ANYSE notifications on price and market cap Ongoing monitoring; risk of delisting if thresholds breached Elevated listing risk
Strategic AlternativesN/AN/AUnsolicited proposals from K1 and Progress; forbearance default triggers upon announcement Optionality with complexity

Management Commentary

  • “Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) is up 11% year-over-year…[and] Adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.7 million versus the prior fiscal year first quarter loss of $11.6 million…This is a result of…discontinu[ing] certain products and focus[ing] on our core MariaDB Enterprise Server…as well as an overall company-wide effort to reduce spending.” — Paul O’Brien, CEO .
  • Margin drivers: gross margin improved to 79.0% due to subscription growth and personnel cost savings from restructuring .
  • Liquidity disclosure: current cash is insufficient for at least 12 months, raising substantial doubt about going concern absent financing; discussions ongoing to replace RP note and raise convertible preferred equity .

Q&A Highlights

  • No earnings call transcript was available for Q1 FY2024 in our document set; filings emphasize cost actions, product focus, and financing strategy rather than numerical guidance .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable for MRDB due to missing mapping; therefore, no estimate comparisons are presented. Management did not provide numerical guidance ranges in the quarter .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operating improvement is real: revenue +6.3% YoY, gross margin at 79.0%, and Adjusted EBITDA loss shrank to $(2.7)M; cost actions are flowing through to P&L .
  • Balance sheet risk dominates: the $26.5M RP Ventures note default and forbearance create urgency for recapitalization; default interest and covenants constrain flexibility .
  • Going concern disclosure raises downside risk until fresh capital is secured; watch for definitive financing announcements (debt/equity) .
  • Strategic optionality emerged: unsolicited proposals from K1 and Progress could catalyze outcomes, but process risks and forbearance triggers complicate timing .
  • NYSE compliance is a live issue (market cap and share price thresholds); delisting would further impair liquidity and capital access .
  • Interest expense headwind is material ($3.1M in Q1) and likely persists absent refinancing on better terms .
  • Geography mix remains diversified (Americas ~46%, EMEA ~35%, APAC ~19% in Q1), with subscription growth driving unit economics .