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MS

MARIN SOFTWARE INC (MRIN)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 revenue of $4.0M was at the low end of guidance and down 12% YoY as churn continued to outpace new bookings; non‑GAAP operating loss was also at the low end of guidance, reflecting lower revenue but materially reduced expenses from 2023 restructuring .
  • Cost actions are tracking to plan: Q1 non‑GAAP opex fell ~36% YoY, headcount ended at 106 vs. 176 a year ago; cash ended at $9.6M, down from $11.4M in Q4 .
  • Product cadence remained active with new AI features (ChatGPT‑powered anomaly detection), budgeting/automation enhancements, and broader Amazon/Meta support; management is leaning into cross‑channel solutions (Connect, Ascend, MarinOne) as fragmentation increases .
  • Q2 outlook guides revenue to $3.9–$4.2M and non‑GAAP operating loss to $(2.1)–$(1.8)M; no explicit GAAP guidance provided and the company does not reconcile non‑GAAP loss to GAAP due to variability in non‑cash items .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Expense discipline: Non‑GAAP operating loss improved materially YoY given 2023 restructuring; Q1 non‑GAAP opex down ~36% YoY and headcount at 106 vs. 176 a year ago .
    • Product momentum: Launched ChatGPT‑powered anomaly detection, Marketing Calendar, expanded Scripts, and automation/budget targeting improvements; CEO: “we're laser‑focused on creating the most powerful and adaptable platform, driven by a diverse array of AI capabilities” .
    • Platform breadth: Enhanced support for Microsoft Ads bidding strategies, Meta ODAX/dynamic creatives, and Amazon Store Spotlight/Sponsored Brand Video/non‑endemic ads expands addressable use cases across walled gardens .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top‑line pressure: Revenue declined 12% YoY as churn outpaced bookings; Q1 landed at low end of guide .
    • Continued losses: Q1 GAAP operating margin was (63%) and non‑GAAP operating margin (51%); while improved vs. 2023 levels, profitability remains a medium‑term challenge .
    • Cash draw: Cash decreased to $9.6M from $11.4M in Q4; while costs are falling, sustained losses continue to consume liquidity .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$4.438 $4.350 $4.031
Revenue YoY %(11%) (16%) (12%)
GAAP Net Loss per Share$(0.28) $(0.29) $(0.80)
Non‑GAAP Net Loss per Share$(0.15) $(0.08) $(0.64)
GAAP Operating Margin %(115%) (132%) (63%)
Non‑GAAP Operating Margin %(65%) (43%) (51%)
Non‑GAAP Operating Loss ($M)$(2.9) $(1.9) $(2.1)
  • Estimates comparison: S&P Global consensus for MRIN was unavailable; no beat/miss vs. Street can be determined. Q1 revenue and non‑GAAP operating loss each came in at the low end of company guidance ranges communicated previously .

Segment breakdown: Not applicable (single‑platform software model).

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($M)$13.6 $11.4 $9.563
Headcount (end of period)116 108 106
Revenue Mix (US/Int’l)~80% / 20% ~80% / 20% ~80% / 20%
Non‑GAAP Operating Expenses ($M)$5.3 $4.6 $4.4

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue, net ($M)Q2 2024$3.9 – $4.2 New
Non‑GAAP Operating Loss ($M)Q2 2024$(2.1) – $(1.8) New

Notes:

  • Company does not reconcile forward non‑GAAP operating loss to GAAP due to variability in non‑cash items (e.g., SBC) .
  • Prior Q1 2024 guidance (given in Feb.) was $4.0–$4.3M revenue and $(2.2)–$(1.9)M non‑GAAP op loss; Q1 actuals ended at the low end of those ranges .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2023 (Prev‑2)Q4 2023 (Prev‑1)Q1 2024 (Current)Trend
AI/AutomationIntroduced Connect/Ascend; ML forecasting and budget models; deeper CRM (HubSpot) More budget optimization case studies; anomaly detector introduced; Sheets plugin ChatGPT‑powered anomaly detection; Marketing Calendar; expanded Scripts and automation; double‑down on AI roadmap Broadening AI features and embedding into workflows
Cross‑channel strategyPositioning as independent layer across walled gardens Reinforced cross‑channel management at scale Emphasis on Connect, Ascend, MarinOne; independent pacing/forecasting across publishers Consistent, gaining definition via SKUs
Publisher integrationsExpanded support across Google/Meta/Amazon; Performance Max adds More Amazon data depth, Amazon ad types Microsoft Ads bidding strategies; Meta ODAX/dynamic creatives; Amazon Store Spotlight/SBV/non‑endemic ads Coverage and capability expanding
Restructuring/CostsRIF ~40%, target $10–$13M annualized savings Savings flowing through; non‑GAAP opex down 33% YoY in Q4 On track to achieve savings in 2024; non‑GAAP opex down ~36% YoY in Q1 Savings realized; leaner cost base
Demand/BookingsYoY revenue decline moderating (~11%) Down 16% YoY; sequentially slightly down Down 12% YoY; churn > new bookings Stabilizing but still pressured
Regulatory/legal backdropAntitrust investigations could favor independent platforms Similar commentary; modest subpoena‑related opex Similar; relationships steady near term Watchful; neutral‑to‑potential upside

Management Commentary

  • CEO strategy: “We’re… focused on delivering a leading cross‑channel advertising management platform to enable brands and their agencies to maximize the return from their online advertising investments.”
  • AI push: “We debuted ChatGPT‑powered anomaly detection reports… enabling marketers to quickly review and address significant deviations in campaign performance.”
  • Product focus: “Ascend… enables marketers to leverage Marin’s AI‑based optimization methodologies to deliver budget compliance… and optimal spend allocation across channels.”
  • Cost discipline: “Our non‑GAAP operating loss was materially lower… reflecting the initial benefits of our July 2023 restructuring… We are on track to achieve our savings target.”
  • Demand reality: “Q1 revenues came in at $4 million, …down from Q1 in the prior year… revenues declined about 12% year‑over‑year… Our Q1 non‑GAAP operating loss was also at the low end of our guidance.”

Q&A Highlights

  • The published transcript primarily contains prepared remarks; no discrete analyst Q&A was captured in the document set. Guidance and operational clarifications (savings cadence, headcount, geo mix, bookings vs. churn) were provided within prepared CFO comments .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for MRIN (EPS/Revenue) was unavailable; we cannot provide a Street beat/miss view. In lieu of consensus, results were benchmarked to management’s prior guidance, with Q1 revenue and non‑GAAP operating loss each at the low end of guided ranges .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Top line remains pressured but decline is moderating; Q1 revenue down 12% YoY with churn still exceeding bookings—focus remains on retention and new business to inflect growth .
  • Expense base reset is working; sustained non‑GAAP opex reductions and lower operating losses provide a clearer path to improved unit economics if revenue stabilizes .
  • Product differentiation hinges on cross‑channel AI automation (Connect/Ascend/MarinOne) and breadth of integrations (Meta/Google/Microsoft/Amazon); execution on this roadmap is central to re‑acceleration .
  • Near‑term model still loss‑making; cash decreased to $9.6M—monitor liquidity runway against guided Q2 losses and timing of bookings recovery .
  • Trading setup: absent Street coverage, stock reactions likely hinge on evidence of bookings traction vs. churn and the pace of AI feature adoption/customer case studies; Q2 guide implies continued soft revenue but stable loss profile .
  • Corporate action: 1‑for‑6 reverse split completed April 12 and Nasdaq minimum bid compliance regained April 29—listing overhang reduced .
  • Watch for Q2: revenue within $3.9–$4.2M and continued cost control; any updates on pipeline conversion, retention, and AI‑driven upsells are key catalysts .

Additional Documents Reviewed

  • Q1 2024 8‑K with press release and full financials, including non‑GAAP reconciliations .
  • Q1 2024 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks by CEO/CFO) .
  • Q4 2023 8‑K and call transcript (prior quarter context and Q1 guidance) .
  • Q3 2023 8‑K and call transcript (trend context) .
  • Related press release (Amazon integration enhancements, June 3, 2024) for product trend context .