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MI

MARIMED INC. (MRMD)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $37.955M, essentially flat year over year, with diluted EPS at $(0.01) and GAAP net loss of $(5.420)M as wholesale strength offset retail softness and ramp costs in Illinois and Missouri .
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA declined to $2.564M (6.8% margin) versus $4.661M (12.3%) a year ago, driven by price compression and ramp costs; non-GAAP gross margin was 41.3% vs. 43.8% last year .
  • Management guided Q2 2025 revenue to increase high single digits sequentially on full-quarter Delaware (FSCC) consolidation and continued wholesale door adds, while retail remains soft .
  • Strategic highlights: wholesale mix reached 44% of sales as brands entered 70 new storefronts; Betty’s Eddies remained #1 edible in MA/MD/DE and rose to #5 in IL; Nature’s Heritage flower launched in IL post-quarter; “MycroDose by Nature’s Heritage” launched in MA in May .
  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for MRMD Q1 2025 were unavailable, so beats/misses versus Street cannot be determined (values unavailable via S&P Global).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Wholesale momentum: wholesale sales increased year over year and sequentially; wholesale mix reached 44% of revenue, supported by entry into 70 new storefronts and stronger brand penetration .
  • Brand performance: Betty’s Eddies remained top edible in MA, MD, DE; climbed to #5 in IL; Vibations #6 beverages and Bubby’s #2 baked in IL; strong penetration in MA (products in 71% of ~400 dispensaries) .
  • Strategic expansion: acquisition of First State Compassion Center closed Feb 28, consolidating DE vertically; Nature’s Heritage flower distribution commenced in IL on Apr 1; functional mushroom “MycroDose” launched in MA .

Management quote: “Wholesale sales now account for 44 percent of our revenue mix… we anticipate [this] will continue as we further leverage our brands as the primary growth engine” — Jon Levine, CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Margin compression: non-GAAP gross margin fell to 41.3% from 43.8% YoY and 43.3% in Q4, due to price compression and ramp costs in IL cultivation and MO processing .
  • Retail softness: overall retail revenue declined 7% YoY amid pricing pressures, new competition in IL, and weaker consumer demand .
  • One-time bad debt expense: operating expenses rose to $15.989M, including a write-off of a non-trade receivable (vendor-related), which management characterized as one-time .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$40.591 $39.002 $37.955
GAAP Gross Margin (%)41.3% 32.6% 39.9%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)42.6% 43.3% 41.3%
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(0.995) $(8.201) $(5.420)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.00) $(0.02) $(0.01)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$4.676 $5.941 $2.564
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)11.5% 15.2% 6.8%
GAAP Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$15.438 $14.114 $15.989

Segment/Channel Revenue Breakdown

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Product Sales - Retail ($USD Millions)$23.384 $22.177 $20.779
Product Sales - Wholesale ($USD Millions)$16.310 $16.212 $16.786
Other Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.897 $0.613 $0.390
Wholesale Share of Product Revenue (%)41.1% 42.2% 44.0%

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Wholesale Storefronts Added (quarter)70
Brands in IL Stores (count)~82% of dispensaries statewide distribution >180 stores; +5% q/q, +46% y/y
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$9.788 $7.282 $7.201
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$6.785 (FY’24) $1.293 (Q1)

Notes: Wholesale share of product revenue for Q1 2025 explicitly cited by management at 44% ; Q4/Q3 shares computed from product revenue components .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue Growth (q/q)Q2 2025None disclosedHigh single-digit increase vs Q1 2025 New guidance
Retail TrendQ2 2025None disclosedContinued softness expected New caution
DE Adult-Use Timing (operational)2025Not previously specifiedFirst adult-use sales could start in 60–120 days; wholesale relationships established New timing detail

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Wholesale Growth & MixWholesale revenue grew ≥20% y/y; strong brand momentum . Wholesale product revenue $16.212M in Q4; mix ~42% .Wholesale mix at 44%; y/y +16% and +4% q/q wholesale gross revenue; 70 new storefronts .Strengthening share and penetration.
Retail Softness/MacroRetail transactions grew y/y in Q3 despite consumer pressure .Retail down 7% y/y; pricing pressure and IL competition; mitigation via pricing, loyalty, labor alignment .Near-term headwind; mitigation actions underway.
Margin DynamicsQ3 GAAP GM 41.3% (non-GAAP 42.6%); investment phase largely complete . Q4 non-GAAP GM 43.3% .Non-GAAP GM 41.3% (down y/y and q/q) due to price compression and IL/MO ramp costs .Compression near term; focus on efficiencies.
Illinois ExpansionCultivation began; first harvest targeted for early 2025 .Nature’s Heritage flower distribution started Apr 1; Betty’s #5; Vibations #6 beverages; Bubby’s #2 baked; >180 stores .Growing footprint and rankings.
Missouri RampManufacturing commenced late 2024 .Entry challenging due to reciprocity; ~50 storefronts; building doors and velocity .Gradual ramp with market hurdles.
Delaware (FSCC)DE acquisition approved Mar 3, 2025 .Consolidation completed Feb 28; adult-use expected this year; 60–120 days potential timing; wholesale relationships in place .Catalyst approaching; integration underway.
Innovation & R&DLaunching Microdose functional mushroom pill; Betty’s Caramelt Away chews; broader hemp exploration .Active product innovation pipeline.
Tariffs/Supply ChainMonitoring tariffs; exploring alternative suppliers; limited near-term impact .Watchful stance; supply chain agility.

Management Commentary

  • “Wholesale sales now account for 44 percent of our revenue mix… an upward trend that we anticipate will continue as we further leverage our brands” — Jon Levine, CEO .
  • “Revenue… flat year-on-year… decreased sequentially 2.7%… wholesale gross revenue increased 16% y/y and 4% q/q… retail revenue down 7% y/y… adjusted gross margin 41.3%” — Mario Pinho, CFO .
  • “In Illinois, we sold our products into more than 180 stores… Betty’s is now #5… Vibations #6 beverages… Bubby’s #2 baked goods… in Massachusetts, products in 71% of nearly 400 dispensaries” — Ryan Crandall, CCO .
  • “We anticipate an increase in second quarter revenue… high single-digits compared to Q1… driven by full quarter of FSC revenues… continued wholesale door adds… continued softness in retail” — Mario Pinho, CFO .
  • “Delaware… timing… 60 to 120 days before we see the first rec store open” — Jon Levine, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q2 revenue guidance clarified as high single-digit sequential growth; drivers include full-quarter DE (FSCC) consolidation and promotional activity; retail expected to remain soft .
  • Bad debt expense was a one-time vendor-related receivable reserve, not trade receivables; company is pursuing recovery .
  • Delaware adult-use timing: potential 60–120 days; relationships with all current and future stores established to position wholesale .
  • Missouri challenges center on entrenched local reciprocity; brand-led penetration strategy expanding storefront count monthly .
  • Marketing spend shift toward localized initiatives; reduced programmatic marketing vs. prior year .
  • Ohio: active site search amid regulatory and financing constraints; aim to secure a location before year-end .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus (EPS, revenue, EBITDA, targets) for MRMD Q1 2025 was unavailable at the time of this analysis, so comparison to Street and beat/miss assessment cannot be made (values unavailable via S&P Global).
  • Investors should treat management’s Q2 guide (high single-digit q/q) as the near-term baseline until Street coverage deepens .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term margin pressure reflects planned wholesale-led strategy and ramp costs; non-GAAP GM down to 41.3% while adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 6.8% — monitor mix, pricing, and ramp trajectory in IL/MO .
  • Wholesale brand strength remains the core growth engine: 44% mix, 70 new storefronts, strong category ranks in IL, and broad penetration in MA/MD — supports sustained door adds and velocity .
  • Delaware adult-use is a potential H2 2025 catalyst: FSCC integration complete; wholesale relationships pre-positioned; timing 60–120 days from Q1 call .
  • Innovation pipeline is active: IL launch of Nature’s Heritage flower and MA launch of Microdose functional mushroom pill underpin product-led growth and brand extension opportunities .
  • Retail softness persists amid competitive/pricing pressure and macro uncertainty; mitigation via pricing, loyalty, labor optimization; watch for regulatory tailwinds (MD events, MA delivery cost rules) .
  • Q2 guide implies sequential revenue acceleration; execution on DE and wholesale growth will be key to re-rating the narrative in absence of Street estimates .
  • Balance sheet steady with $7.201M cash and operating cash flow of $1.293M in Q1; disciplined cost management and SKU rationalization remain priorities .