MS
Maison Solutions Inc. (MSS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2025 delivered strong top-line growth on Lee Lee consolidation: revenue rose 151% YoY to $34.15M, with EPS of $0.06 versus $(0.03) last year; however, gross margin compressed sequentially to 22.1% from 26.3% in Q2 as California stores faced competitive pressure .
- Profitability inflected: net income attributable to MSS was $1.01M vs. a $(0.55)M loss a year ago; quarterly EBITDA reached $1.53M vs. $(0.21)M, reflecting operating scale and the Lee Lee acquisition benefit .
- Guidance maintained: FY2025 revenue $120–$125M and “net income positive” reiterated; nine-month revenue of $94.82M suggests attainment is supported by the current quarterly run-rate; management expressed confidence in execution .
- Strategic catalysts: a 12‑month $1.3M annual consultancy with four Good Fortune supermarkets (East Coast) diversifies income and supports the “solutions provider” pivot; new COO appointment aims to tighten execution across markets .
- Balance sheet watch items: cash was $0.45M with working capital deficit of ~$11.5M and $8.29M remaining on the Lee Lee seller note (maturity extended to May 11, 2026; higher effective rates); a $3.0M unsecured convertible note was issued 3/12/25 to bolster liquidity .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Material revenue and profit inflection: Q3 revenue +151% YoY to $34.15M; net income attributable to MSS $1.01M vs. $(0.55)M YoY; EBITDA $1.53M vs. $(0.21)M YoY .
- Integration/scale: Lee Lee drove the step-up in sales and higher gross profit dollars; management reiterated FY guidance and confidence in growth strategies .
- Strategic expansion into services: signed a 12‑month consultancy generating ~$1.3M annually, aligned with the pivot “beyond a traditional grocery chain into a solutions provider” .
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What Went Wrong
- Margin pressure in California: gross margin fell to 22.1% (from 26.3% in Q2) as Monterey Park saw competition from newly opened Asian supermarkets; Q3 gross margin also trailed prior year’s 23.4% .
- Sequential mix headwind: perishable/non-perishable mix and occupancy costs weighed on margins versus Q2, despite higher revenue; operating expenses rose with scale and Lee Lee costs, though OPEx % of sales improved YoY .
- Liquidity/obligations: low cash ($0.45M), working capital deficit (~$11.5M), and remaining $8.29M seller note (higher rates post-modifications) create funding execution risk despite subsequent $3.0M convertible raise .
Financial Results
Notes: EBITDA is non-GAAP; reconciliation provided in company 8-Ks for Q2 and Q3 .
Product mix KPIs (Q3)
Balance sheet and cash flow watch
Consensus vs. Actuals
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2025 was unavailable at the time of analysis; therefore, we do not present “vs. estimates” deltas. Values would ordinarily be sourced from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Context: Nine-month revenue reached $94.82M, supporting the revenue target at the current quarterly run-rate; management stated confidence in achieving prior guidance .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No Q3 FY2025 earnings call transcript was available. We summarize evolving themes from management commentary (press releases, 10‑Qs):
Management Commentary
- “The third quarter marked the first step in our mission to evolve beyond a traditional grocery chain into a solutions provider…[the Good Fortune] agreement…will generate $1.3 million in annual compensation…strengthens our ability to execute [M&A]…enhance operational efficiency, improve margins, and drive profitability.” — John Xu, CEO .
- “Our Lee Lee stores have performed in line with our expectations…another quarter of growth in both top‑ and bottom‑line performance…El Monte store…slight increase in revenue for the quarter” .
- On COO appointment: “With our Lee Lee stores fully integrated…we’ll begin exploring synergistic growth opportunities…we are confident that Jacob will play a pivotal role in enhancing our financial profile and brand presence.” — John Xu .
Q&A Highlights
- An earnings call transcript for Q3 FY2025 was not available; no Q&A themes or clarifications to report.
Estimates Context
- S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus estimates for Q3 FY2025 were unavailable at the time of analysis; as a result, we do not present comparisons to Street for revenue, EPS, or EBITDA. Where estimates are critical for your process, we recommend re-checking S&P Global for updated availability.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Acquisition-driven scale now translating to profits: Q3 EPS $0.06 and EBITDA $1.53M reflect the Lee Lee contribution and operating leverage, despite sequential margin pressure .
- California competitive intensity remains the near-term swing factor for margins; El Monte’s post-renovation uptick is encouraging but broader margin recovery requires continued execution and pricing/mix optimization .
- FY2025 guidance intact; nine-month revenue trajectory supports $120–$125M; management tone confident, increasing odds for a positive guidance credibility reset if delivery continues .
- Services revenue adds a new lever: the $1.3M consultancy should modestly de-risk cash generation while reinforcing the solutions-provider strategy (marketing, supply chain, tech support) .
- Liquidity/obligation risk is the key overhang: low cash, working capital deficit, large lease obligations, and the seller note (now extended with higher economics) mandate tight cash discipline; the March 2025 $3.0M convertible adds runway but introduces dilution risk via resettable conversion terms .
- Monitoring list: California comp trends and margin mix, pace of consultancy cash receipts, progress on debt service/refinancing, and any developments in legal/SEC matters disclosed earlier .
Sources:
- Q3 FY2025 8‑K Press Release and 10‑Q: **[1892292_0001213900-25-024616_ea023467701ex99-1_maison.htm:0]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024616_ea023467701ex99-1_maison.htm:2]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:4]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:15]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:44]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:40]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:23]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:24]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:6]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:3]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-024574_ea0234238-10q_maison.htm:31]**
- Q2 FY2025 8‑K and 10‑Q: **[1892292_0001213900-24-109381_ea022492901ex99-1_maison.htm:0]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-109381_ea022492901ex99-1_maison.htm:2]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-109372_ea0224813-10q_maison.htm:4]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-109372_ea0224813-10q_maison.htm:42]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-109372_ea0224813-10q_maison.htm:41]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-109372_ea0224813-10q_maison.htm:16]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-109372_ea0224813-10q_maison.htm:36]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-109372_ea0224813-10q_maison.htm:30]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-109372_ea0224813-10q_maison.htm:31]**
- Q1 FY2025 8‑K and 10‑Q: **[1892292_0001213900-24-081035_ea021535001ex99-1_maison.htm:0]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-081035_ea021535001ex99-1_maison.htm:1]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-081017_ea0214677-10q_maison.htm:4]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-081017_ea0214677-10q_maison.htm:39]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-081017_ea0214677-10q_maison.htm:38]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-081017_ea0214677-10q_maison.htm:18]** **[1892292_0001213900-24-081017_ea0214677-10q_maison.htm:33]**
- Consultancy & COO 8‑Ks: **[1892292_0001213900-25-008400_ea0229203-8k_maison.htm:1]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-008400_ea022920301ex99-1_maison.htm:0]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-018158_ea0232476-8k_maison.htm:1]** **[1892292_0001213900-25-018158_ea023247601ex99-1_maison.htm:0]**