VR
VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Resort Reported EBITDA grew 8.1% year over year to $459.7M on resort net revenue of $1.137B, driven by improved conditions and strong ancillary spend per destination guest, while destination visitation shifted later in the season; diluted EPS was $6.56 versus $5.76 last year .
- Guidance: Net income raised to $257–$309M; Resort Reported EBITDA updated to $841–$877M, with the midpoint unchanged ex-FX (-$7M FX impact); implied resort EBITDA margin ~28.8% (29.3% before one-time costs) .
- Capital allocation: dividend maintained at $2.22 per share, $20M buybacks at ~$196/share; liquidity ~$1.7B; net debt at 2.5x TTM total reported EBITDA .
- Season-to-date (through Mar 2): total skier visits -2.5%, lift ticket revenue +4.1% (with pass allocation), ski school +3.0%, dining +3.1%, retail/rental -2.9%—reflecting stronger local mix and expected destination shift to spring .
- Catalysts: maintained EBITDA midpoint; strong East Coast non-pass growth; Epic Pass launch with 7% average price increase and expanded Verbier access; operational efficiency plan tracking toward $100M annualized savings by FY26 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Resort EBITDA +8.1% to $459.7M on revenue +5.5% to $1.137B; diluted EPS rose to $6.56, reflecting improved conditions and strong operational execution .
- East Coast strength: non-pass lift revenue +17.5%, aiding total lift revenue +6.9% to $644.9M; dining +10.8%, ski school +5.0% .
- Management: “We are pleased with our overall results for the quarter… our season pass program, investments in the guest experience, and strong execution” (CEO Kirsten Lynch) .
What Went Wrong
- Western destination visitation below prior year; ancillary revenue mix pressured by fewer destination guests despite strong per-visit spend .
- Lodging net revenue fell 4.3% to $70.2M; Lodging Reported EBITDA down 56.5% YoY, with lower property tax refunds and destination demand softness .
- Park City pressure: 13-day patrol union strike hurt guest experience; credits issued to passholders (program cost not disclosed, described as not material and included in guidance) .
Financial Results
Quarterly Trend (prior two quarters to current)
Note: Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable due to API rate limit; estimate comparisons could not be shown. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global.
Year-over-Year (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Segment Breakdown (Q2)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are pleased with our overall results for the quarter, with 8% growth in Resort Reported EBITDA compared to the prior year… stability provided by our season pass program, our investments in the guest experience, and the strong execution of our teams” — CEO Kirsten Lynch .
- “Excluding a $7 million impact from the change in foreign currency rates, the Company’s Resort Reported EBITDA guidance midpoint… is unchanged” — CFO Angela Korch .
- “Our award-winning digital innovations such as Mobile Pass, My Epic Assistant and My Epic Gear have significantly reduced friction… lift lines lasting more than 10 minutes have occurred approximately 3% of the time” — CEO Kirsten Lynch .
- “We did ultimately reach an agreement… Keystone Patrol union as well as our Crested Butte Lift Maintenance Unit” — CEO Kirsten Lynch on labor agreements .
Q&A Highlights
- Visitation mix and timing: Q2 North America visitation slightly above prior year; February contracted as expected; spring destination visitation expected to improve versus season-to-date (but not positive for full year) .
- East Coast strength and ancillary mix: non-pass lift revenue +17.5% driven by improved conditions; dining and ski school strong; retail/rental pressured by local mix and competitive dynamics .
- Pass pricing and elasticity: 7% across the board; management confident pricing remains above inflation without overly testing elasticity; clarified Day Pass was not up 25–30% .
- Park City guest recovery: credits up to 50% (min 25%) toward next season passes; cost not disclosed, “not material” and included in guidance .
- Dividend commitment and capital priorities: dividend reaffirmed; disciplined capital allocation with strong free cash flow confidence .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q2 FY2025 revenue and EPS was not retrievable due to API rate limits, so beats/misses versus estimates cannot be shown. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global.
Where estimates may need to adjust: Given revenue +5.5% YoY and Resort EBITDA +8.1% YoY with stronger East non-pass performance and maintained EBITDA midpoint ex-FX, sell-side models may lift ancillary assumptions and margin trajectory while keeping caution on destination visitation timing and lodging softness .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Solid quarter: Resort EBITDA +8.1% and EPS +13.9% YoY underline operational resilience despite destination visitation shifting later; East Coast non-pass strength offsets West softness .
- Guidance quality: Midpoint unchanged ex-FX; slight margin uplift implied; cost transformation on track—supportive for medium-term margin recovery toward pre-COVID levels .
- Mix watch: Local-heavy mix pressures lodging and retail/rental; destination flow-through resumes in spring; monitor lodging bookings trajectory and Whistler normalization .
- Pass strategy durable: 7% price increase with expanded Verbier access strengthens value proposition; elasticity managed; watch unit trajectory this selling season .
- Capital flexibility: Dividend maintained, buybacks ongoing, liquidity ~$1.7B and net leverage 2.5x—capacity to refinance 0% converts due 2026 via delayed draw term loans if needed .
- Near-term trading: Positive narrative on margin discipline and tech-driven guest experience; potential upside if spring destination visitation materializes; FX remains a modest headwind .
- Medium-term thesis: Efficiency plan + ancillary innovation (AI, My Epic Gear) + disciplined pricing support margin expansion and cash returns, while Europe adds optionality for long-term growth .
Sources: Q2 FY2025 press release and 8-K Exhibit 99.1 **[812011_20250310LA37715:0]**-**[812011_20250310LA37715:14]**; Q2 FY2025 earnings call transcripts **[812011_MTN_3419956_0]**-**[812011_MTN_3419956_25]** **[812011_1974804_0]**-**[812011_1974804_17]**; prior quarter Q1 FY2025 press release and call **[812011_20241209LA75505:0]**-**[812011_20241209LA75505:15]** **[812011_MTN_3411171_0]**-**[812011_MTN_3411171_27]**; FY2024 Q4 press release **[812011_20240926LA17138:0]**-**[812011_20240926LA17138:17]**; Epic Pass launch press release **[812011_20250304LA32357:0]**-**[812011_20250304LA32357:2]**.