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MI

MetaVia Inc. (MTVA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered disciplined expense control: R&D fell to $1.914M and G&A to $1.561M, driving Total Operating Expenses down 44% year over year to $3.475M and narrowing net loss to $3.377M ($0.14 per share) .
  • Cash ended at $14.3M, and management reiterated runway into 2026; dilution from warrant exercises increased weighted average shares, further lowering per-share loss versus 2024 .
  • Clinical catalysts strengthened the narrative: DA-1726 Phase 1 PK supports once‑weekly dosing; an 8‑week 48 mg MAD cohort is underway with top-line data expected by year‑end 2025; vanoglipel (DA‑1241) presented positive 16‑week Phase 2a data at AASLD .
  • Guidance/timing shift: MetaVia now targets an End‑of‑Phase‑2 FDA meeting for vanoglipel in 1H26 (vs. 1H25 in Q1) — a notable schedule delay to monitor .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: DA‑1726 48 mg 8‑week readout (year‑end 2025) and continued visibility from AASLD/ObesityWeek data may drive sentiment; funding visibility into 2026 reduces near‑term financing overhang if timelines hold .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • DA‑1726 Phase 1 results reinforced best‑in‑class potential: linear, dose‑proportional exposure with ~80‑hour half‑life supporting once‑weekly dosing; 32 mg cohort achieved up to 6.3% weight loss and up to 3.9 inches waist reduction, sustained for two weeks post‑dosing .
  • Expense discipline: R&D and G&A declined meaningfully YoY, compressing Total Operating Expenses and narrowing net loss per share to $0.14 .
  • Management tone remained confident: “continued to make strong progress” advancing cardiometabolic portfolio; DA‑1726 viewed as “differentiated dual oxyntomodulin (OXM) analog agonist,” with 48 mg 8‑week cohort readout targeted by year‑end 2025 .

What Went Wrong

  • Regulatory timing slippage: vanoglipel End‑of‑Phase‑2 FDA meeting shifted from 1H25 (Q1) to 1H26, extending the path to pivotal development and potential commercialization .
  • Lower other income YoY reduced the non‑operating offset: total other income fell to $0.098M vs. $0.607M in Q3 2024, driven by lower interest income and warrant liability fair‑value change .
  • Rising related‑party payables and continued pre‑revenue status underscore funding/execution risk beyond 2026 if timelines extend; cash declined from $17.6M in Q2 to $14.3M in Q3 .

Financial Results

Metric (USD)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
R&D Expenses ($ Millions)$2.327 $2.320 $1.914
G&A Expenses ($ Millions)$1.559 $1.981 $1.561
Total Operating Expenses ($ Millions)$3.886 $4.301 $3.475
Total Other Income ($ Millions)$0.215 $0.306 $0.098
Net Loss ($ Millions)$(3.671) $(3.995) $(3.377)
Loss per Share ($)$(0.36) $(0.26) $(0.14)
Weighted Avg Shares (Millions)10.264 15.287 24.416
Cash and Equivalents ($ Millions)$11.190 $17.589 $14.277

Notes:

  • MetaVia is pre‑revenue; Statements of Operations present operating expenses and other income without revenue recognition in the quarter .
  • Cash runway into 2026 reiterated across quarters .

KPIs (Clinical and Program)

KPIValueSource
DA‑1726 32 mg mean body‑weight reduction4.3% at Day 26
DA‑1726 32 mg max body‑weight reduction6.3%
DA‑1726 waist circumference decrease (avg/max)1.6 in avg; up to 3.9 in by Day 33
DA‑1726 PK half‑life~80 hours (linear, dose‑proportional exposure)
DA‑1726 fasting glucose reductionUp to 18 mg/dL (no hypoglycemia)
DA‑1726 tolerabilityMild, transient GI AEs; no SAEs or discontinuations
Vanoglipel HbA1c reduction (Week 16)–0.54%p mono; –0.66%p combo
Vanoglipel hepatic biomarkers↓ ALT, improved CAP/VCTE; improved FAST and NIS‑4
Vanoglipel lipidomics↓ pathogenic glycerolipids/glycerophospholipids

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
DA‑1726 48 mg 8‑week MAD top‑line timingQ2 → Q3“Q4 2025” (Q2 PR/8‑K) “By year‑end 2025” (Q3 PR/8‑K) Maintained timing window
Vanoglipel (DA‑1241) End‑of‑Phase‑2 FDA meetingQ1 → Q3“1H 2025” (Q1 PR) “1H 2026” (Q3 PR/8‑K) Lowered/Delayed
Cash runwayQ1/Q2 → Q3“Into 2026” (Q1/Q2) “Into 2026” (Q3) Maintained
Financial guidance (Revenue/Margins/OpEx/Tax/Dividends)Q1/Q2/Q3Not providedNot providedNo change

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
DA‑1726 obesity programPositive 32 mg MAD results; plan higher‑dose cohorts (Q1) ; 48 mg cohort dosing and extension to 8 weeks (Q2) PK supports weekly dosing; 8‑week 48 mg cohort ongoing; data expected by year‑end 2025 Advancing; confidence reiterated
Vanoglipel (DA‑1241) in MASHEASL: 16‑week data highlighting hepatoprotective/metabolic effects; targeting EoP2 in 1H25 (Q1) ; ADA/EASL presentations (Q2) AASLD: new positive data including HbA1c, hepatic biomarkers, lipidomics; EoP2 now 1H26 Data positive; timeline extended
AI/technology initiativesSyntekabio AI collaboration announced (Q2) Collaboration referenced among Q3 highlights Ongoing exploration
R&D execution and OpExQ1/Q2 OpEx down vs prior year Q3 OpEx down to $3.475M; net loss narrowed Continued discipline
Financing/capital$10M private placement in May (Q1/Q2) Runway reiterated into 2026 Stable near‑term

Note: An earnings call transcript for Q3 2025 was not available in the document set searched (earnings‑call‑transcript/other‑transcript returned no results) [ListDocuments results].

Management Commentary

  • “During the third quarter and subsequently, we continued to make strong progress advancing our next‑generation cardiometabolic portfolio, highlighted by the Phase 1 data for DA‑1726 presented just recently at ObesityWeek 2025.” — Hyung Heon Kim, CEO .
  • “Newly reported pharmacokinetic (PK) data showed linear, dose‑proportional exposure and an approximately 80‑hour half‑life, supporting the feasibility of once‑weekly dosing.” .
  • “We expect to report results from [the 8‑week, 48 mg cohort] by year‑end, which will help inform the next stage of development and further demonstrate DA‑1726’s potential as a best‑in‑class treatment for obesity.” .
  • “Vanoglipel (DA‑1241) ... demonstrated meaningful reductions in liver fat, inflammation and fibrosis... [and] dual anti‑inflammatory and anti‑fibrotic mechanisms...” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was found; therefore, Q&A themes and guidance clarifications are unavailable from primary sources (search returned no earnings‑call‑transcript/other‑transcript for MTVA in Oct–Nov 2025) [ListDocuments results].

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2025 (EPS and Revenue) were unavailable via tool retrieval; MetaVia is a clinical‑stage, pre‑revenue biotech, so investor focus centers on OpEx, cash runway, and clinical timelines rather than quarterly revenue/EPS comparisons [GetEstimates result].
  • Given the lack of consensus data, no beat/miss assessment versus Wall Street estimates can be made for Q3 2025 at this time.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Expense control is a clear focus: OpEx declined to $3.475M, helping narrow net loss to $3.377M and loss per share to $0.14; monitor if this cadence sustains as clinical programs scale .
  • Cash runway into 2026 provides near‑term operational flexibility; watch cash trajectory and any incremental financing needs tied to EoP2/pivotal planning .
  • DA‑1726 has emerging differentiation: once‑weekly PK, non‑titrated dosing at 32 mg with clinically meaningful weight and waist reductions — a favorable tolerability profile vs. some GLP‑1s is a potential commercial angle if efficacy scales at 48 mg over 8 weeks .
  • Vanoglipel’s multi‑pathway impact (glycemic, hepatic, lipidomic) is promising; however, the EoP2 timing delay to 1H26 introduces a longer path to pivotal studies and potential value inflection .
  • Near‑term trading setup: year‑end DA‑1726 48 mg 8‑week readout is the primary catalyst; strong efficacy/tolerability could drive upside sentiment, while mixed results may weigh on the stock .
  • Medium‑term thesis hinges on execution in obesity and MASH: scale-up risks, regulatory timelines, and capital needs beyond 2026 should be underwritten in position sizing and risk management .
  • Continue monitoring partner/AI updates (Syntekabio) for optionality around DA‑1241 indications and differentiation pathways .