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Microvast Holdings, Inc. (MVST)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered record Q2 revenue of $91.3M (+9.2% Y/Y) and 34.7% gross margin, with positive adjusted EBITDA of $25.9M; however, GAAP net loss was $106.1M driven by a $121.5M non‑cash fair value charge on the convertible loan and warrants .
  • Versus consensus, revenue missed ($91.3M vs $107.7M*), while adjusted EPS beat ($0.05 vs $0.02*) as operating execution and cost control supported profitability on an adjusted basis .
  • Guidance: Revenue outlook maintained at $450–$475M; full‑year gross margin target raised from 30% to 32%—a constructive signal on mix/efficiency despite regional timing headwinds .
  • Key narrative drivers: EMEA program launches were pushed into later quarters (weighing on Q2 top line), US mix improving (rev share 5%), capacity expansion (Huzhou Phase 3.2) on track to complete installation by year‑end with initial production to follow—setting up 2026 capacity .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Sustained margin and adjusted profitability: gross margin expanded Y/Y to 34.7% and adjusted EBITDA reached $25.9M; management highlighted “a record second quarter” with “adjusted EBITDA of $25.9 million” .
    • OpEx discipline: Operating expenses fell to $16.5M from $126.7M in Q2’24 (prior year included impairments); adjusted OpEx was $15.7M vs $116.0M in Q2’24 .
    • Technology milestones: multi‑layer all‑solid‑state battery progress (functional 12‑layer 48V monolithic stack; >99.89% coulombic efficiency in 5‑layer cell), positioning for robotics/AI/aerospace applications .
    • Quote: “We delivered a record second quarter… This growth is matched with gross margin expansion to 34.7%… and a positive adjusted EBITDA of $25.9 million” — Yang Wu, CEO .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top‑line timing/miss: EMEA revenue timing (customer platform launches pushed into later quarters) pressured Q2 revenue versus expectations, contributing to a revenue miss vs consensus .
    • GAAP optics: GAAP net loss of $106.1M driven by $121.5M non‑cash fair value changes in warrants/convertible loan, masking underlying adjusted profitability .
    • Backlog moderation: reported backlog declined to ~$320M vs $351M in Q1’25 and $401.3M at FY’24, a watch item for near‑term visibility .

Financial Results

  • Income statement trend (oldest → newest)
MetricQ2 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$83.7 $113.4 $116.5 $91.3
Gross Margin %32.5% 36.6% 36.9% 34.7%
GAAP Net Income (Loss) ($M)$(101.6) $(82.3) $61.8 $(106.1)
GAAP EPS (Basic/Diluted) ($)$(0.32) $(0.26) $0.19 (basic) $(0.33)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(78.4) $8.6 $28.5 $25.9
Adjusted EPS ($)$(0.28) $(0.01) $0.06 $0.05
  • Q2 vs Wall Street estimates
MetricConsensus (Q2 2025)Actual (Q2 2025)Surprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$107.7*$91.3 Miss
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.02*$0.05 Beat

Values with asterisk are from S&P Global consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

  • Regional revenue mix (Q2)
Region ($USD Thousands)Q2 2024Q2 2025Y/Y
APAC$35,653 $47,658 +34%
EMEA$46,745 $38,885 -17%
USA$1,277 $4,796 +276%
Total$83,675 $91,339 +9%
  • KPIs and cash/liquidity (older → newer)
KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Backlog ($USD Millions)$401.3 $351.0 $320.0
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Restricted ($M)$109.6 $123.0 $138.8
Profit from Operations ($M)$(1.4) $18.9 $16.2
Capital Expenditures ($M)$6.6 $7.4

Context on GAAP vs non‑GAAP: The $106.1M GAAP net loss in Q2 was primarily driven by $121.5M of non‑cash fair value changes in warrants/convertible loan; adjusting for this and SBC, adjusted net profit was $16.3M and adjusted EBITDA was $25.9M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025$450–$475M (maintained from Q1 guide) $450–$475M Maintained
Gross Margin TargetFY 2025~30% 32% Raised
Huzhou Phase 3.22025 timingTargeting first qualified products in Q4 2025 Installation completion by year‑end; initial production to follow Clarified timeline

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/next‑gen battery tech (ASSB)Q4: progress toward all‑solid‑state; silicon cell advances . Q1: in‑house 3D printing; 5‑layer cell 99.89% CE .Validated 12‑layer 48V monolithic stack; >99.89% CE maintained; targeting robotics/AI/aerospace use cases .Advancing prototypes toward higher integration/voltage
Supply chain/tariffs/macroQ4: financing/supply constraints . Q1: supply chain/trade disruptions; platform rollouts impacted .EMEA customer launches pushed to later quarters; tariff/geopolitical risks highlighted in risk factors .Timing headwinds continue
Regional mixQ4: EMEA +123% Y/Y, US small but growing . Q1: EMEA 52% of rev; US 5% .EMEA 43% with timing pushouts; US 5% share YTD growth; APAC +34% Y/Y in Q2 .US mix improving; EMEA growth delayed
Capacity expansionQ4: Phase 3.2 targeting Q4’25 . Q1: on track; first qualified products Q4’25 .Installation complete by year‑end; initial production to follow .Execution progressing
R&D/productQ4: ME6 ESS; silicon cells progress . Q1: continued product pipeline; training center launch in EMEA .Continued innovation focus; ASSB multi‑layer progress; product highlights visible at CIBF .Steady pipeline development
Backlog/visibilityQ4 backlog $401.3M . Q1 $351M .Q2 ~$320M .Moderating; watch list

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “Our primary engine for growth is a relentless commitment to technology and product development… We intend to achieve significant sustainable growth and optimize our operations with the ultimate goal of attaining sustained profitability.” — Yang Wu .
  • Capacity: “Phase 3.2 expansion… anticipated to add about two gigawatt‑hour of annual production capacity… we anticipated the first qualified production from this new line to commence in 2025.” — Yang Wu .
  • Financial lens: “After adjusting for… share‑based compensation… and fair value changes… we achieved an adjusted net profit of $16.3 million… Positive adjusted EBITDA… $25.9 million.” — Rodney Worthen .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q&A session was conducted on this call; the operator concluded immediately following prepared remarks .
  • Management reiterated FY25 revenue guidance and raised the full‑year gross margin target to 32% while noting EMEA customer launch timing and ongoing execution on Phase 3.2 capacity ramp .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 consensus (S&P Global): Revenue $107.7M*, EPS $0.02* on limited coverage (2 rev, 1 EPS estimate). Actuals: Revenue $91.3M (miss), adjusted EPS $0.05 (beat) .
  • Implications: Revenue revision risk near term (EMEA timing), but margin target raise to 32% and sustained adjusted EBITDA suggest estimate dispersion may widen on mix/efficiency assumptions .

Values with asterisk are from S&P Global consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mixed print: adjusted profitability and margin resilience versus a top‑line shortfall tied to EMEA timing; narrative likely to hinge on backlog conversion cadence into H2 .
  • Quality of guide improved: revenue maintained; gross margin target raised to 32%, supporting a better quality of earnings profile despite near‑term revenue variability .
  • Watch backlog trajectory: sequential moderation ($401M → $351M → $320M) warrants monitoring for booking pace and conversion amid delayed platform launches .
  • Non‑GAAP vs GAAP optics: large non‑cash fair value charge ($121.5M) drove GAAP loss; underlying operations generated $16.2M operating profit and $25.9M adjusted EBITDA .
  • Capacity adds as 2026 call option: Phase 3.2 installation completion by year‑end with initial production thereafter underpins medium‑term volume upside if demand holds .
  • Regional pivot: continued US share gains (to ~5%) and APAC strength (+34% Y/Y) partially offset EMEA timing; diversification helps margin mix .
  • Near‑term trading setup: EPS beat vs revenue miss and raised GM target create a “quality over quantity” narrative; stock likely sensitive to H2 EMEA ramps and any additional order wins or backlog rebuild .

Citations:

  • Q2 2025 8‑K, press release, slides: .
  • Q2 2025 earnings call transcript: .
  • Q1 2025 8‑K/PR/call: .
  • Q4 2024 PR/call: .
  • CIBF 2025 product PR: .