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N-able, Inc. (NABL)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 revenue of $116.5M grew 7.5% YoY and exceeded both the original Q4 guide and the updated post-Adlumin revenue guide; adjusted EBITDA of $38.1M also finished above the updated guide despite integration and FX headwinds .
  • Non-GAAP EPS was $0.10 vs GAAP EPS of $0.02; non-GAAP profit reflected add-backs for stock-based comp, amortization, and transaction/restructuring costs tied to the Adlumin acquisition .
  • FY25 outlook calls for ARR of $514–$522M (7–8% YoY CC), revenue of $486.5–$492.5M (6–8% CC), and adjusted EBITDA margin of 27–28%, reflecting planned investment, ASC 606 timing headwinds (~4 pts FY), and Adlumin integration, with margins targeted to return to >30% in 2026 .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: evidence of cross-sell traction (Adlumin contributed ~$2.5M to Q4 revenue and had ~$21M ARR at close), ARR acceleration through 2025, and clear explanation of revenue recognition headwinds vs underlying demand trends .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA finished above guidance; management cited steady demand, disciplined cost management, and early contribution from Adlumin (~$2.5M from Nov 20 close through quarter-end) .
  • Security momentum: XDR/MDR became the fastest-growing SKU and largest pipeline generator in FY24; acquiring Adlumin expands platform breadth and channel reach, with endpoint-agnostic XDR architecture and options to decouple software (XDR) from services (MDR) .
  • Cove Data Protection continues to outpace company growth and remains the largest revenue product; AI-enhanced restore accuracy >95% and expanded integrations underscore product moat .

What Went Wrong

  • Profitability compression QoQ: adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 32.7% from 38.5% in Q3, reflecting integration, investment, and FX; CFO guided FY25 margins to 27–28% before a return to >30% in 2026 .
  • Trailing 12-month net revenue retention moderated to ~103% (from 105% in Q3), with management expecting TTM gross/net retention to bottom in Q1’25 before improving from Q2 .
  • ASC 606 revenue recognition dynamics from the long-term contract initiative introduce near-term growth headwinds (~5 pts in Q1’25; ~4 pts FY25), adding “lumpiness” to reported revenue despite underlying ARR growth .

Financial Results

Headline P&L vs Prior Quarters

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$119.4 $116.4 $116.5
Revenue YoY Growth12.6% 8.3% 7.5%
GAAP Gross Margin %84.0% 82.9% 80.0%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %84.7% 83.7% 82.3%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$46.8 $44.8 $38.1
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %39.2% 38.5% 32.7%
GAAP Diluted EPS$0.05 $0.06 $0.02
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS$0.14 $0.13 $0.10

Note: Company-reported results. Non-GAAP reconciliations provided by NABL .

Segment/Revenue Mix

Revenue Detail ($M)Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Subscription Revenue$117.4 $115.0 $115.0
Other Revenue$2.0 $1.4 $1.5
Total Revenue$119.4 $116.4 $116.5

KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash

KPI / Balance SheetQ3 2024Q4 2024FY 2024
ARR ($M)$482.5 $482.5
TTM Dollar-Based NRR105% ~103% ~103% exit
Customers ≥$50k ARR (Count)2,349 2,349
≥$50k ARR Share of Total ARR57% 57%
Intl. Revenue Mix~45% Q4 46% FY
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($M)$174.4 $85.2 $85.2
Total Debt, net ($M)$333.6 $333.1 $333.1
Unlevered FCF ($M)$27.0 $29.0 $98.7

Non-GAAP adjustments materially impacted non-GAAP net income and margins (notably stock-based comp, amortization of acquired tech/intangibles, transaction-related and restructuring costs) .

Actual vs Estimates

  • S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue for Q4 2024 were unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits. We benchmarked results against company guidance instead .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q4 2024$111.5–$113.0 (11/7) $113.3–$114.8 (11/20) Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q4 2024$38.0–$38.5 (11/7) $35.0–$35.5 (11/20) Lowered
Revenue ($M)FY 2024$461.2–$462.7 (11/7) $463.0–$464.5 (11/20) Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2024$169.3–$169.8 (11/7) $166.3–$166.8 (11/20) Lowered
Revenue ($M)Q1 2025$115.0–$116.0 New
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q1 2025$27.5–$28.5 (24–25% margin) New
ARR ($M)FY 2025$514–$522 (7–9% CC) New
Revenue ($M)FY 2025$486.5–$492.5 (6–8% CC) New
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2025$132–$138 (27–28% margin) New

Context: FY25 reported growth incorporates ASC 606 headwinds (~4 pts FY; ~5 pts Q1) and FX assumptions (EUR 1.04; GBP 1.25) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Q-2)Q3 2024 (Q-1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
AI/Tech initiativesFoundation on security & data protection; compliance posture (CISA pledge) Expanded TAP integrations, compliance initiatives AI-enhanced restore (>95% accuracy); AI-powered developer portal; cloud-native, AI-powered XDR Accelerating
Security/XDR/MDRSecurity suite strength highlighted Continued positioning Adlumin acquisition; XDR fastest-growing SKU; endpoint-agnostic XDR and MDR optionality Step-change up
Go-to-market & channelLong-term contract initiative success Mix shift to >50% annual contracts; reseller channel expansion (NA first; U.K./DACH/AUS next) Expanding
Macro/FXFY25 FX assumptions; noted growth-rate headwinds from 606 timing FX headwind acknowledged
Retention metricsTTM DBNRR 105% ~103% TTM; expect bottom in Q1’25, improvement thereafter Moderating, then improving
Product performanceCove + security momentum Solid execution Cove remains largest product; outgrowing company; XDR/MDR cross-sell wins Strong

Management Commentary

  • “We closed 2024 in a position of strength and we believe we are poised for even greater success in 2025… Our guide calls for over $500 million of ARR and strong profit margins.” – CEO John Pagliuca .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA was $38.1 million in Q4 (32.7% margin)… We continue to execute, see steady demand in our markets and maintain disciplined cost management.” – CFO Tim O’Brien .
  • On Adlumin: “Initially brought to market via our partnership… quickly became our fastest-growing SKU and largest pipeline generator in fiscal year '24… We were thrilled to acquire Adlumin and its cloud-native, AI-powered XDR platform.” – CEO .
  • Channel strategy: “We transitioned the business… from <10% of revenue from annual contracts to >50%… We invested in people and programs to enhance our ability to bring our solutions to market through [resellers].” – CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Adlumin contribution and baseline: ~$2.5M Q4 revenue contribution from Nov 20 close; ~$21M ARR at acquisition; not breaking out FY25 contribution in guide .
  • Revenue recognition headwinds: ASC 606 timing creates ~5 pts YoY growth headwind in Q1’25 and ~4 pts for FY25; ARR introduced as new top-line velocity measure .
  • ARR trajectory: Guided exit FY25 ARR growth of 7–9% CC; expecting acceleration vs pro forma exit FY24 (~7%) .
  • Competitive positioning: Endpoint-agnostic XDR; ability to separate XDR software from MDR services; contrasts with “black box” MDR competitors; highlights cloud-native/AI automation and margin benefits .
  • Channel expansion: Positive reception from large resellers; leveraging NA reseller channel and expanding to U.K./DACH/Australia; one-stop portfolio (Cove, UEM, EDR/XDR/MDR) resonating .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus from S&P Global for Q4 2024 revenue/EPS was unavailable at the time of analysis due to request limits. As a result, comparisons vs estimates are not shown; we benchmarked actuals vs company guidance and prior updates instead .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Underlying demand remains solid; Q4 beat company guidance on both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, aided by Adlumin’s early contribution and strong execution .
  • FY25 guide reflects deliberate near-term investment and recognized revenue headwinds (ASC 606, FX); ARR should better capture momentum and is guided to accelerate through 2025 .
  • Strategic rationale for Adlumin is compelling: expands TAM beyond MSPs, strengthens security stack, and opens North American reseller routes with plans to replicate internationally; early booking strength is encouraging .
  • Profitability dip is intentional and transitory per management; integration costs and investments weigh on FY25 margins, with a stated path back to >30% adjusted EBITDA margins in 2026 .
  • Product flywheel: Cove’s growth and AI enhancements, UEM innovation, and endpoint-agnostic XDR/MDR create multiple cross-sell vectors across a diversified, global base (~45–46% international) .
  • Watch retention metrics: management expects TTM gross/net retention to trough in Q1’25 and improve from Q2; evidence of reseller traction and ARR acceleration are key checkpoints .
  • Near-term trading implication: positive setup if investors recalibrate for ASC 606/FX optics and focus on ARR growth, security cross-sell, and channel expansion; investor day (Mar 13) flagged as a potential narrative catalyst .

Appendix: Actuals vs Company Guidance (Q4 2024)

MetricOriginal Q4 Guide (11/7)Updated Q4 Guide (11/20)Actual
Revenue ($M)$111.5–$113.0 $113.3–$114.8 $116.5
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$38.0–$38.5 $35.0–$35.5 $38.1

Additional References:

  • Q4 press release financials and reconciliations ; 8-K with exhibits .
  • Q3 press release and guidance .
  • Q2 press release and guidance .
  • Adlumin acquisition press release and financial terms .