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ENDRA Life Sciences Inc. (NDRA)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 focused on regulatory execution and cost containment: cash used in operations declined to $1.5M in Q4 vs $2.2M in Q4 2023, while year-end cash was $3.2M .
  • Reported Q4 operating expenses rose to $4.3M vs $1.5M YoY due to a $2.3M non-cash inventory valuation charge; net loss was $4.2M vs $1.5M YoY, with management emphasizing underlying improvement excluding one-time items .
  • S&P Global consensus EPS for Q4 2024 was -$4.10*, while S&P’s actual EPS registered +$25.2*; NDRA’s press release did not disclose quarterly EPS and cited one-time non-cash items—investors should treat the S&P EPS figure with caution given share count and warrant accounting impacts (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Strategic pivot: management announced an expanded TAEUS biomarker strategy targeting GLP-1-related metabolic care settings, AI-enabled features, integrated device design, and a subscription model; pivotal De Novo trial plan (~250 subjects) and >110 subject scans across sites support regulatory readiness .
  • Corporate event: NDRA regained compliance with Nasdaq minimum bid price in November 2024, removing a listing overhang and enabling focus on execution .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Accelerated clinical data collection with >110 subjects scanned across LMU Munich and Ann Arbor sites; ~20% of new data from S2/S3 steatosis improves design optimization and pivotal trial planning .
  • Cost discipline: average cash used in operations down to ~$0.5M/month in Q4, and expected to reach ~$0.35M/month in Q2–Q3 2025, preserving runway while advancing TAEUS .
  • Clear regulatory path: shift to a prospective, multicenter, statistically powered pivotal trial (~250 subjects) pre-vetted with FDA; pilot sites initiated and alignment confirmed via prior engagements .

What Went Wrong

  • Q4 operating expenses spiked to $4.3M on a $2.3M non-cash inventory valuation charge tied to strategic realignment; net loss widened to $4.2M vs $1.5M YoY .
  • Prior-year comparison benefitted from a $1.0M non-cash bonus reversal gain, making Q4 2023 artificially low—complicates YoY optics .
  • Warrants and capital structure volatility were a focus in 2H 2024; Q3 included a net non-cash warrant charge of $0.911M, and earlier financing dynamics created complexity for EPS comparability .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$2.231 $1.509 $4.300
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$2.229 $2.354 $4.200
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.08) $(9.54) Not disclosed in press release
Cash and Equivalents (Period-end, $USD Millions)$6.401 (as of 6/30/24) $4.745 (as of 9/30/24) $3.229 (as of 12/31/24)
Cash Used in Operations (Quarter)Not disclosed Not disclosed $1.500

Notes:

  • NDRA did not disclose quarterly revenue; statements of operations show operating expenses and net loss without revenue lines .
  • Q4 EPS not provided in the press release; S&P Global reported EPS actual and estimates separately (see Estimates Context).

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash used in operations (avg/month)Q4 2024 actualN/A~$0.50M/month in Q4 2024 N/A (reported actual)
Cash used in operations (avg/month)Q2–Q3 2025N/A~$0.35M/month expected New outlook (lower burn)
Regulatory submission timingMid-2025 targetNo specific prior dateGoal to submit De Novo by mid-2025 (per Q2 call) New timeline clarity
Pivotal trial designPivotal multicenter ~250 subjectsPrior approach relied on retrospective dataProspective, multicenter, statistically powered; design vetted with FDA Strategy revised (enhanced rigor)
Go-to-market focusMetabolic care incl. GLP-1Prior emphasis on hepatology/radiologyExpanded target segments and subscription model Strategic pivot

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024 Call)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024 PR)Current Period (Q4 2024 8-K/PR)Trend
Regulatory strategyProspective pivotal trial; FDA pre-submission; mid-2025 submission goal Continued pilot data collection to inform pivotal; cost reductions Revised De Novo approach; multicenter pivotal ~250 subjects; >110 scans Execution advancing; design clarity increasing
AI/technology initiativesPatent growth; platform potential AI/ML/DL features under development AI features planned to improve accuracy; integration of thermoacoustic + ultrasound Scope expanding; productization focus
Go-to-market focusBuilding evidence; Europe/U.S. sites; disciplined expansion Refocusing resources; activating LMU; IP expansion Pivot to GLP-1-related metabolic markets; subscription model; primary care focus Strategic redirection toward broader TAM
Cost structure / cash burnRaised capital; runway into 1H 2025 Operating expenses down 52% YoY; restructuring savings Q4 cash used ops down to $1.5M; outlook ~$0.35M/month (Q2–Q3 2025) Improving cash efficiency
Clinical dataEarly pilot sites; alignment on design LMU site active; recruiting; industry meeting poster accepted >110 subjects scanned; broadened disease-state coverage; pivotal prep Data depth and breadth improving

Management Commentary

  • “We are laser focused on securing the clinical data necessary to support a new De Novo regulatory filing with the FDA - above all other initiatives...” — Alexander Tokman, acting CEO (Q3 press release) .
  • “We are switching from the use of retrospective data to a hypothesis-driven, statistically-powered prospective clinical trial, which is pre-vetted through FDA.” — Alexander Tokman (Q2 2024 call) .
  • “SLD...affects over two billion people globally...there is an unmet need for a cost-effective, simple-to-use and accurate point-of-care test...We believe our TAEUS technology is uniquely positioned to fill this gap...” — Alexander Tokman (strategy press release) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Timeline clarification: Management targeted completing clinical work and submitting De Novo by mid-2025; emphasized sequential pilot-to-pivotal pathway and FDA engagement .
  • Strategic implementation pace: Management outlined 6 operational changes and expected improved execution over 6–12 months; reiterated focus on clinical data and commercialization roadmap .
  • Geographic focus: Prioritized disciplined commercialization first in Europe and the U.S., with Asia considered subsequently via existing anchors (Vietnam distributor, Shanghai General Hospital) .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus EPS:
    • Q4 2024: -$4.10* vs actual +$25.2*; Q3 2024: -$62.30* vs actual -$9.54; Q2 2024: -$122.50* vs actual -$0.08. Number of EPS estimates: 1 for each period.*
  • S&P Global consensus revenue:
    • Q2–Q4 2024 and FY 2024: $0.00* with 1 estimate each.*
  • Caution: NDRA’s press materials did not disclose quarterly EPS for Q4 and highlighted one-time non-cash items; the S&P EPS figures likely reflect complex share/warrant accounting and should be interpreted prudently (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024FY 2024
EPS Consensus Mean ($)-122.50*-62.30*-4.10*-47.46*
EPS Actual ($)-0.08 -9.54 +25.2*-56.94 (annual)
EPS - # of Estimates1*1*1*1*
Revenue Consensus Mean ($)0.00*0.00*0.00*0.00*
Revenue - # of Estimates1*1*1*1*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory pathway is clearer and more rigorous (prospective, multicenter pivotal, ~250 subjects), increasing the likelihood of a successful De Novo outcome if data support endpoints .
  • Cash efficiency is improving materially; Q4 cash used ops at $1.5M with roadmap to ~$0.35M/month, reducing financing urgency while executing clinical/regulatory priorities .
  • Strategic pivot toward metabolic care and GLP-1 patient management broadens TAM and aligns TAEUS with fast-growing therapeutic categories; device integration and AI features should enhance usability and adoption .
  • One-time non-cash charges (inventory valuation) distorted Q4 optics; underlying operating trajectory appears improved when excluding these items, but continued discipline is needed .
  • Nasdaq compliance regained in November 2024 removes listing risk and allows focus on catalysts like clinical data milestones and FDA engagement .
  • Near-term trading: headline-driven moves likely around pivotal trial design finalization, additional site activations, and data readouts; watch for updates on De Novo timing and monthly cash-burn trajectory .
  • Medium-term thesis: if TAEUS validates clinically versus MRI-PDFF and delivers point-of-care economics, subscription model in primary care/metabolic clinics could drive adoption; regulatory success is the gating factor .

Appendix: KPIs and Operational Metrics

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Subjects scanned (cumulative at pilot sites)25 (through refocused program) ~40 enrolled in past two months, LMU site activated >110 total scans across LMU + Ann Arbor; ~20% S2/S3
Patents issued (global)81 82 Not updated in Q4 PR
Cash used in operations (avg/month)Not disclosed Not disclosed ~$0.50M/month
Planned pivotal trial sizeProspective; expanding from ~20 to ~250 subjects Informing pivotal via pilots ~250 subjects; multicenter; pre-submission FDA alignment

Source Documents Read

  • Q4 2024 8-K with Exhibits 99.1 (financial results) and 99.2 (strategy update) .
  • Q4-related press releases: Nasdaq compliance (Nov 22, 2024) ; AASLD poster acceptance (Nov 12, 2024) .
  • Prior quarters: Q3 2024 8-K and press release ; Q2 2024 press release; Q2 earnings call transcript .

Note: No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was found during document search—management indicated a move to periodic business update calls catalyzed by major events .