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NeueHealth, Inc. (NEUE)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 revenue was $232.64M, essentially flat sequentially (vs $232.93M in Q3) and down year over year (vs $292.87M), while Adjusted EBITDA remained positive at $5.48M for the fourth straight quarter; diluted EPS improved to $(1.94) from $(8.51) in Q3 and $(30.47) in Q4 2023 .
  • Segment mix improved: NeueCare delivered $79.25M revenue and $9.23M operating income, while NeueSolutions posted $157.07M revenue and $3.10M operating income, a notable turn from a loss in Q3 and Q4 2023 .
  • For FY 2024, revenue was $936.66M (vs prior guidance of ~$950M), and Adjusted EBITDA was $22.50M, near the high end of the $15–$25M guidance range; management highlighted continued momentum with 717,000 consumers served to start 2025 .
  • Strategic overlay: the company agreed on Dec 23, 2024 to be acquired by an NEA affiliate; closing targeted for Q2 2025, with external legal PRs citing $7.33 per share in cash—deal timing and closing risk likely drive near-term stock reaction more than fundamentals .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Four consecutive quarters of positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2024, with Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $5.48M and FY 2024 at $22.50M; management called 2024 “our strongest financial performance to date” .
    • Segment profitability improvement: NeueSolutions swung to $3.10M operating income in Q4 from losses in Q3 and prior-year, while NeueCare delivered $9.23M operating income in Q4 .
    • Strong demand signals into 2025: consumers served reached 717,000 to start 2025; management emphasized payer/provider relationships and expanding into MSSP as growth vectors (“We are building on this momentum... serving 717,000 consumers.” — CEO Mike Mikan) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • ACO REACH revenue remained a headwind year over year: Q4 ACO REACH revenue of $154.25M vs $219.66M in Q4 2023, pressuring consolidated revenue YoY .
    • GAAP profitability still negative on continuing operations: Q4 net loss from continuing operations was $(42.48)M despite improvements, reflecting ongoing interest expense and operating costs .
    • Operating cost intensity remained elevated on a GAAP basis: Q4 Operating Cost Ratio was 31.3% (Adjusted Operating Cost Ratio 18.4%), indicating continued need for cost discipline, even as Adjusted metrics improved .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$292.87 $232.93 $232.64
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(460.57) $(40.37) $2.52
Net Loss from Continuing Operations ($USD Millions)$(62.83) $(26.01) $(42.48)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(10.36) $9.40 $5.48
Diluted EPS ($)$(30.47) $(8.51) $(1.94)
Gross Margin ($USD Millions)$50.2 $47.7

Segment breakdown (revenue and operating income/loss):

SegmentQ4 2023 Revenue ($M)Q4 2023 Op Inc (Loss) ($M)Q3 2024 Revenue ($M)Q3 2024 Op Inc (Loss) ($M)Q4 2024 Revenue ($M)Q4 2024 Op Inc (Loss) ($M)
NeueCare$71.33 $3.75 $83.87 $16.43 $79.25 $9.23
NeueSolutions$220.86 $(14.63) $152.04 $(5.83) $157.07 $3.10

KPIs – consumers served:

KPIDec 31, 2023Sep 30, 2024Dec 31, 2024
Value-Based Consumers served355,000 390,000 360,000
Enablement Services Lives106,000 119,000 123,000

Aggregate consumers served:

MetricFY 2024Start 2025
Total consumers served483,000 717,000

Non-GAAP metrics: Adjusted Operating Cost Ratio

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024FY 2023FY 2024
Operating Cost Ratio22.3% 27.5% 31.3% 24.7% 29.2%
Adjusted Operating Cost Ratio11.1% 18.2% 18.4% 13.1% 17.5%

Notes: Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Operating Cost Ratio definitions and reconciliations provided in the press release; adjustments include SBC, transaction-related costs, held-for-sale operations, impairments, and other specified items .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (as of Q3 2024)Current Guidance (Q4 2024)Change
RevenueFY 2024~ $950M No update provided at Q4; Actual $936.66M N/A; delivered slightly below prior guidance
NeueCare RevenueFY 2024~ $320M No update; Actual $313.73M N/A; delivered slightly below prior guidance
NeueSolutions RevenueFY 2024~ $640M No update; Actual $635.09M N/A; delivered slightly below prior guidance
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2024$15M–$25M No update; Actual $22.50M N/A; delivered near high end
Adjusted Operating Cost Ratio (incl. corporate per Q3 disclosure)FY 202419%–20% (incl. corporate) No directly comparable update; company reported 17.5% Adjusted Operating Cost Ratio (per definition in Q4 release) N/A; definitions differ; not directly comparable

Management did not issue new 2025 quantitative guidance in Q4 materials; they highlighted entry into MSSP, continued payer/provider growth, and the pending NEA acquisition closing targeted for Q2 2025 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Value-based model, consumer growthQ2: Positive Adj. EBITDA 2nd straight quarter; reaffirmed 2024 outlook; enablement lives 113k; focus on ACA/Medicare/Medicaid . Q3: 3rd straight positive Adj. EBITDA; ~509k consumers served; strong payer relationships; Central FL expansion .717k consumers to start 2025; 483k served in 2024; emphasis on deepening local presence and payer/provider partnerships .Improving scale and diversified growth channels
Segment performanceQ2: Mixed—NeueCare softness from impairments; NeueSolutions modest results . Q3: NeueCare $16.4M op income; NeueSolutions $(5.8)M op loss, ACO REACH stable ops .Q4: NeueCare $9.23M op income; NeueSolutions $3.10M op income; improved mix QoQ .Improving profitability, especially in NeueSolutions
ACO REACH/MSSPQ2: ACO REACH revenue down YoY; program participation ongoing . Q3: ACO REACH ~45k beneficiaries; prepare for MSSP .MSSP participation in 2025; ongoing ACO REACH with care management focus .Stable programs; expanding CMS participation
Wind-down of ACA insuranceQ2/Q3: Steady liability decline; capital retrieval ongoing .Continues as part of strategic focus on care delivery and enablement; no adverse update in Q4 materials .De-risking legacy exposure over time
M&A/Going privateNEA affiliate to acquire NEUE; closing targeted Q2 2025 ; external PR cites $7.33/share cash terms .New corporate structure likely post-close

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “In 2024, we delivered our strongest financial performance to date... We have established a strong foundation to drive strategic growth in 2025” — Mike Mikan, CEO .
  • Scale and growth vectors: “We have already generated significant growth to start 2025, serving 717,000 consumers… secured new payer partnerships and expanded into new product verticals, including MSSP” — CEO .
  • Segment outlook: “In our provider enablement business, we grew the consumers we serve to 123,000 in 2024… In 2025, … in addition to ACO REACH, we will also be participating in MSSP” — CFO .
  • Balance sheet context: “As of December 31, 2024, we had $202.8 million in total cash and investments… nonregulated cash and short-term investments were $93.2 million, including $36.3 million of restricted cash and investments” — CFO .
  • Transaction: “We anticipate the [NEA acquisition] closing in the second quarter of 2025” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • The published Q4 transcript contains prepared remarks and closing comments only; Q&A content was not included in the document set reviewed, so no Q&A themes were available to summarize .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 could not be retrieved due to API rate limits at the time of analysis; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus consensus for revenue, EPS, or EBITDA. Values from S&P Global were unavailable at query time.
  • Given the absence of consensus data, we anchor to management’s prior FY 2024 guidance: revenue actual of $936.66M versus prior ~$950M, and Adjusted EBITDA actual of $22.50M near the high end of the $15–$25M range .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operational momentum continued: four straight quarters of positive Adjusted EBITDA in 2024; Q4 delivered $5.48M and FY 2024 $22.50M, highlighting improved core performance even as GAAP continuing losses persist .
  • Segment quality mix improving: NeueSolutions posted positive operating income in Q4, a meaningful turn versus prior periods; NeueCare remained profitable, underpinning the consolidated margin path .
  • Revenue headwind remains ACO REACH YoY comp; lower ACO REACH revenue vs Q4 2023 is the primary driver of consolidated revenue decline YoY despite sequential stability .
  • 2025 demand setup looks strong: 717k consumers to start the year and MSSP participation support continued scale; watch execution in new geographies and payer expansions .
  • Near-term stock driver is the go-private transaction: targeted Q2 2025 close with reported $7.33/share cash terms; trading likely reflects deal spread and closing risk rather than quarterly fundamentals .
  • Cost discipline and cash: Adjusted Operating Cost Ratio improved vs FY 2023; total cash and investments of ~$202.8M at year-end, with ~$93.2M nonregulated (partially restricted) — monitor liquidity versus growth investments and restructuring needs .
  • Legacy risk continues to recede with the ACA insurance wind-down; continued focus on care delivery and enablement should reduce volatility tied to discontinued operations over time .

Additional Reference Materials

  • Q4 2024 8-K and press release, including full GAAP and non-GAAP reconciliations .
  • Q4 2024 earnings call prepared remarks .
  • Q3 2024 8-K and transcript for trend context and prior guidance .
  • Q2 2024 8-K highlights for earlier-year trend context .

Merger/Go-Private

  • Company disclosure (merger with NEA affiliate; closing targeted Q2 2025) .
  • External legal press release indicating $7.33 per share cash consideration .