New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 was severely challenged: revenue fell to $301.7M with Adjusted EBITDA at $(3.7)M and GAAP net loss of $556.8M, driven by $699M non‑cash impairments, partially offset by a $472.7M gain on the sale of Jamaican operations .
- Results missed S&P Global consensus materially: revenue $301.7M vs $661.2M estimate, “Primary EPS” actual −$0.85 vs −$0.64 estimate, and EBITDA actual −$24.0M vs $310.6M estimate; company-reported GAAP diluted EPS was −$2.02 due to large one‑offs *.
- Liquidity remains a focal point: total cash $821M ($551M unrestricted) at 6/30, and the company launched a strategic alternatives process (Houlihan Lokey, Skadden retained) to improve capital structure via asset sales/refinancing and other options .
- Operationally, FLNG 1 ran at or above nameplate in Q2; Brazil (CELBA) commissioning has begun and management expects it operational before year‑end; shipping portfolio optimization advanced with Energos Winter (5‑yr) and Energos Freeze (3‑yr) charters .
- Key near-term catalysts: PREPA island‑wide GSA renegotiation (weekly extensions in place), FEMA/USACE equitable adjustment for Puerto Rico temporary power, CELBA power plant startup, and Brazil power auctions slated for March 13, 2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- FLNG 1 performance: “performed at or above nameplate capacity for all of Q2” excluding scheduled maintenance, supporting supply stability .
- Portfolio optimization progress: multi‑year FSRU charters signed (Energos Freeze 3‑yr; Energos Winter 5‑yr), enhancing medium‑term cash flows and asset utilization .
- Brazil project execution: PortoCem “over 70% complete,” on-time/on-budget and fully funded; CELBA commissioning started with expectation to be operational before year‑end, positioning core earnings to rise as assets come online .
What Went Wrong
- Significant non-cash charges and weak terminal economics: $582.2M goodwill impairment and $117.3M asset impairment drove GAAP loss; Terminals & Infrastructure Segment Operating Margin turned negative (−$7.2M), collapsing total segment OM to $25.0M .
- Sharp revenue and EBITDA shortfall vs consensus: revenue $301.7M vs $661.2M est.; S&P “Primary EPS” actual −$0.85 vs −$0.64 est.; S&P EBITDA actual −$24.0M vs $310.6M est., highlighting the degree of reset post asset sale/one‑offs and weak core contribution this quarter *.
- Capital structure pressure and disclosure/process risks: the company disclosed a strategic alternatives process to add liquidity/relief under debt agreements; earlier in Q2, NFE received a Nasdaq notice for a late Form 10‑Q filing, although it expected to file “as soon as possible” .
Financial Results
Revenue, EPS, and EBITDA vs prior periods and S&P Global estimates
Notes: Company GAAP diluted EPS differs from S&P “Primary EPS.” Company Adjusted EBITDA differs from S&P EBITDA methodology.
Segment operating margin (non‑GAAP) breakdown
KPIs and one‑offs
Non‑GAAP reconciliations and definitions provided in the release and exhibits .
Guidance Changes
No explicit revenue/margin/tax/OpEx quantitative guidance was issued in Q2 materials .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
(There was no Q2 2025 earnings call transcript available in our document set. Themes below bridge Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 to Q2 2025 disclosures.)
Management Commentary
- “We expect our core earnings to increase as our developments in Brazil, Nicaragua and expansions in Puerto Rico, come online” .
- On strategic review: NFE is “considering all options available, including asset sales, capital raising, debt amendments and refinancing transactions, and other strategic transactions” to add liquidity and relieve potential acceleration under debt agreements .
- Brazil execution: PortoCem “over 70% complete(3). The project is on-time, on-budget and is fully funded with asset-level debt” .
- Puerto Rico: Negotiating a long‑term island‑wide GSA with PREPA; extending current GSA weekly; confidence in resolving FEMA/USACE equitable adjustment by year‑end .
- FLNG 1: “performed at or above nameplate capacity for all of Q2” excluding planned maintenance .
Q&A Highlights
(From prior calls given no Q2 transcript available)
- Guidance framing: 2025 Adjusted EBITDA ~$1.0B excluding FEMA; EBITDA+gains $1.25–$1.5B targeted; FEMA claim excluded from guidance .
- Puerto Rico conversions and LT GSA: Rapid conversion of diesel plants feasible; longer‑tenor GSA desired; shift from diesel‑linked pricing to Henry Hub‑based expected in future agreements .
- Deleveraging roadmap: Asset sales (e.g., Jamaica), move to asset‑level financing secured by long‑duration offtakes to refinance corporate debt, reduce cost of capital .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: $301.7M vs $661.2M S&P consensus → significant miss, reflecting removal/rebaseline of sold assets and weak terminal margin this quarter *.
- EPS: S&P “Primary EPS” −$0.85 vs −$0.64 est. → miss; company GAAP diluted EPS was −$2.02 due to large impairments and a gain on sale below the operating line *.
- EBITDA: S&P EBITDA −$24.0M vs $310.6M est. → severe miss; company Adjusted EBITDA was −$3.7M (different definition) *.
Implication: Street models likely need to lower near‑term revenue/EBITDA and re‑calibrate core run‑rate for Terminals post-Jamaica, while incorporating start‑up contributions from CELBA/Nicaragua/Puerto Rico in 2H25+ and the shipping charters’ incremental earnings .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q2 2025 is a reset quarter: large impairments and weak terminal margin drove a deep GAAP loss and significant misses vs consensus; core earnings power must be rebuilt as new assets ramp *.
- Liquidity and leverage are the central narrative: cash of $821M at quarter‑end and an active strategic alternatives process signal near‑term capital structure actions as catalysts .
- Operations show green shoots: FLNG 1 stability, CELBA commissioning (expected operational before year‑end), and multi‑year FSRU charters support improving earnings visibility into 2026 .
- Puerto Rico could re‑accelerate volumes: weekly GSA extensions continue while negotiating a long‑term agreement; potential FEMA recovery and conversions provide upside if executed .
- Brazil auction visibility (Mar 2026) and terminal positioning are medium‑term optionality; management expects a larger‑than‑initial auction size, potentially up to ~15 GW .
- Modeling caution near term: deconsolidation/asset sales and one‑offs complicate YoY/Seq comparisons; focus on segment OM trends and project milestones to gauge core trajectory .
- Stock catalysts: any de‑risking of the balance sheet (asset sales/refis), PREPA LT GSA, FEMA resolution, and CELBA COD are likely to be key share‑price drivers .
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Earnings press release and 8‑K source: New Fortress Energy Q2 2025 press release and 8‑K exhibits . Other relevant Q2‑period press releases: Energos Freeze 3‑yr charter (May 13, 2025) ; Nasdaq notice (May 27, 2025) ; Energos Winter 5‑yr charter (Jul 15, 2025) . Prior calls used for trend context: Q4 2024 ; Q1 2025 .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.