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NH

NATIONAL HEALTHCARE CORP (NHC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Net operating revenue rose 12.5% y/y to $382.661M, driven by 8.7% same‑facility growth and the White Oak acquisition; GAAP diluted EPS was $2.50 vs $2.73 y/y while adjusted diluted EPS increased 24% y/y to $1.58 .
  • Operating leverage improved y/y (EBIT margin 7.94%* vs 6.70%), but compressed q/q from 9.09% as labor and operating costs continued to grow; net income margin similarly improved y/y but was below the effect of last year’s larger securities gains .
  • Payer mix and volume were constructive: total skilled nursing patient days increased to 740,373 vs 673,378 y/y; however, Managed Care per diem dipped due to delayed quality incentive payments (ex‑incentives, MA per diem +2.7% y/y) .
  • Dividend maintained at $0.64 per share; record date Dec 31, 2025, payable Jan 30, 2026, reinforcing capital return stability .
  • No published earnings call transcript or formal guidance; narrative centered on same‑facility momentum, integration of White Oak, and timing effects on Managed Care per diem—elements likely to shape short‑term sentiment in absence of estimate benchmarks .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Same‑facility net operating revenue growth of 8.7% y/y supported overall 12.5% y/y revenue growth; White Oak integration remains an additional tailwind .
    • Adjusted diluted EPS rose to $1.58 from $1.27 y/y (+24.3%), reflecting improved core performance after stripping securities mark‑to‑market and other items .
    • Patient volumes were robust: total skilled nursing patient days increased to 740,373 vs 673,378 y/y; Medicaid and Private Pay/Other day counts showed solid growth .

    Note: The Q3 earnings press release did not include management quotes, and no Q3 earnings call transcript was available to extract quotations .

  • What Went Wrong

    • EBIT margin compressed sequentially (7.94%* vs 9.09%* in Q2), as salaries, wages and benefits and other operating expenses increased q/q and y/y .
    • Managed Care per diem declined due to delayed timing of NHC Advantage quality incentive payments; without timing delay, MA per diem would have been +2.7% y/y, highlighting a transitory headwind .
    • GAAP net income declined y/y ($39.239M vs $42.789M) mainly due to a smaller unrealized gain on marketable securities in Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024 (+$20.827M vs +$32.767M), masking stronger adjusted results .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$340.198 $374.910 $382.661
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.73 $1.52 $2.50
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$1.27 $1.65 $1.58
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$22.789 $34.090 $30.378
EBIT Margin %6.70%*9.09%*7.94%*
Net Income Margin %12.58%*6.33%*10.25%*
GAAP Net Income Attributable to NHC ($USD Millions)$42.789 $23.722 $39.239
  • Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
  • EBIT Margin % and Net Income Margin %: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Revenue Mix

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net patient revenues ($USD Millions)$328.674 $363.349 $370.989
Other revenues ($USD Millions)$11.524 $11.561 $11.672
Government stimulus income ($USD Millions)$0.000 $0.000 $0.000

Key Cost Lines

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Salaries, wages and benefits ($USD Millions)$213.395 $226.534 $233.176
Other operating ($USD Millions)$82.509 $91.943 $96.604

KPIs: Per Diem Rates and Patient Days

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Medicare Per Diem ($)$578.12 $614.85 $613.12
Managed Care Per Diem ($)$459.94 $486.17 $417.32
Medicaid Per Diem ($)$290.00 $286.43 $284.60
Private Pay/Other Per Diem ($)$323.36 $341.34 $334.71
Average Skilled Nursing Per Diem ($)$350.85 $361.42 $350.85
Medicare Patient Days79,957 83,615 82,501
Managed Care Patient Days70,635 83,015 81,338
Medicaid Patient Days344,940 368,687 369,895
Private Pay/Other Patient Days177,846 194,202 206,639
Total Skilled Nursing Patient Days673,378 729,519 740,373

Footnotes:

  • (1) NHC exited three Missouri SNFs on March 1, 2024; 2024 figures include those operations as noted .
  • (2) Managed Care per diem lower due to delayed timing of incentive quality payments from NHC Advantage; excluding incentive timing, Medicare Advantage per diem +2.7% y/y in Q3 2025 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend per common shareNext payable Jan 30, 2026$0.64 (prior quarterly dividend) $0.64 (record Dec 31, 2025; payable Jan 30, 2026) Maintained
Financial guidance (revenue/margins/OpEx/tax)FY/Q4None providedNone providedMaintained

No formal quantitative guidance was issued in the Q3 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available; themes reflect company press releases and disclosures .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 and Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Same‑facility revenue growthQ1: +8.5% y/y; Q2: +9.6% y/y +8.7% y/y Stable high single‑digit
White Oak acquisition contributionAcquisition closed Aug 1, 2024; cited as revenue driver in Q1/Q2 Continues to augment growth Ongoing integration tailwind
Managed Care per diem/incentivesHigher per diems in Q1/Q2 (e.g., Q2 Managed Care $486.17) Per diem lower due to delayed quality incentives; ex‑incentives +2.7% y/y Timing headwind; underlying trend intact
Labor costsSalaries/wages $228.130M (Q1), $226.534M (Q2) $233.176M (Q3) Up q/q; persistent pressure
Volume/patient daysTotal days 718,136 (Q1), 729,519 (Q2) 740,373 (Q3) Improving volumes

Management Commentary

  • Strategic emphasis remained on underlying same‑facility growth complemented by White Oak, with Q3 y/y revenue up 12.5% and same‑facility growth of 8.7% .
  • Company highlighted a timing effect on Managed Care per diems from delayed quality incentive payments; excluding timing, MA per diem rose 2.7% y/y in Q3 .
  • Balance sheet remained solid with cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $297.383M and debt reduced to $73.125M as of Sept 30, 2025 .

Note: The earnings press release did not include management quotes, and no Q3 earnings call transcript was available .

Q&A Highlights

  • No earnings call transcript was available for Q3 2025; therefore, no Q&A themes or clarifications could be extracted .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2025 were not available for EPS or revenue; therefore, a beat/miss analysis versus consensus cannot be determined. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Actuals reported: Revenue $382.661M and GAAP diluted EPS $2.50; Adjusted diluted EPS $1.58 .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core performance improved: adjusted diluted EPS +24% y/y to $1.58, underscoring strength beyond securities mark‑to‑market volatility .
  • Operating momentum continues with 8.7% same‑facility growth and incremental contribution from White Oak; total patient days reached 740K+ .
  • Watch near‑term margin cadence: EBIT margin improved y/y but fell q/q amid higher labor and operating costs; monitor wage trends and staffing dynamics into Q4 and FY26 (EBIT margin 7.94%* vs 9.09%* in Q2) .
  • Managed Care per diem softness appears timing‑related; ex‑incentives, MA per diem was +2.7% y/y, suggesting underlying rate integrity .
  • Balance sheet flexibility: $297M cash and marketable securities with debt reduced to $73M may support continued dividends and optionality for capex or tuck‑ins .
  • Absence of guidance and a call transcript limits visibility; traders should key on upcoming Medicaid/Medicare rate settings, quality incentive timing normalization, and continued volume trends .
  • Dividend maintained at $0.64 highlights capital return consistency; ex‑dividend/record dates may influence short‑term flows .

S&P Global disclaimer: Metrics marked with * (EBIT Margin %, Net Income Margin %) are values retrieved from S&P Global.