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NL INDUSTRIES INC (NL)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 was mixed: CompX net sales rose 12.3% year over year to $40.3M, but NL’s EPS fell to $0.01 on equity-in-losses from Kronos and lower marketable securities gains .
  • Kronos’ weak quarter (income from operations $7.4M vs $35.9M in Q2 2024) reflected unabsorbed fixed costs (~$20M), lower average TiO2 prices (-1% YoY), and reduced operating rates (81%) .
  • NL declared a special dividend of $0.21/share and a Q3 2025 quarterly dividend of $0.09/share, funded from excess cash flows; potential near-term stock catalyst for dividend-oriented investors .
  • No formal financial guidance was provided; management commentary emphasized demand strength in government security and marine markets at CompX, offset by TiO2 macro headwinds at Kronos .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • CompX topline and profitability improved: net sales up to $40.3M (from $35.9M) and segment profit to $6.3M (from $5.1M) on strength in Security Products (government security) and Marine Components (government and towboat) .
  • CompX margin execution: higher gross margins in both Security Products and Marine Components drove the segment profit increase .
  • Capital returns: special dividend ($0.21) plus quarterly dividend ($0.09) signal balance sheet capacity and excess cash generation .

What Went Wrong

  • Kronos drag: NL recorded equity in losses of Kronos of $2.8M vs equity in earnings of $6.0M in Q2 2024, as Kronos’ income from operations fell to $7.4M on weaker pricing/mix and lower export volumes .
  • Unabsorbed fixed costs: Kronos recognized ~$20M of unabsorbed fixed production costs due to operating at reduced rates (81% in Q2), pressuring profitability .
  • Marketable securities: negligible unrealized loss of $0.1M in Q2 versus a $0.8M gain in Q2 2024, contributing to lower EPS .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue (Net Sales, $USD Millions)$38.4 $40.3 $40.3
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$11.0 $12.2 $12.9
Gross Margin %28.6% (11.0/38.4) 30.3% (12.2/40.3) 32.1% (12.9/40.3)
Income from Operations ($USD Millions)$33.7 $3.2 $2.8
EBIT Margin %87.8% (33.7/38.4; includes Q4 settlement-related corporate income) 7.9% (3.2/40.3) 6.9% (2.8/40.3)
Net Income Attributable to NL ($USD Millions)$16.5 $0.7 $0.3
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.34 $0.01 $0.01

Segment and drivers

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
CompX Net Sales ($USD Millions)$38.4 $40.3 $40.3
CompX Segment Profit ($USD Millions)$4.9 $5.9 $6.3
Kronos Equity in Earnings (Losses), NL’s share ($USD Millions)($4.0) $5.5 ($2.8)
Corporate Expense/Income ($USD Millions)$28.7 income (environmental settlement) ($2.7) expense ($3.5) expense
Interest & Dividend Income ($USD Millions)$3.1 $2.0 $1.5
Marketable Equity Securities (Unrealized Gain/Loss, $USD Millions)($12.0) ($8.5) ($0.1)

KPI context (Kronos Worldwide)

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$500.5 (calculated as $494.4 + $6.1 delta) $489.8 $494.4
Income from Operations ($USD Millions)$35.9 $38.4 $7.4
Avg Operating Rate (% of practical capacity)99% 93% 81%
Unabsorbed Fixed Production Costs ($USD Millions)~$20
Avg TiO2 Price YoY Change+2% vs Q1 2024 -1% vs Q2 2024
FX impact on Net Sales ($USD Millions)-$11 +$8

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Special Dividend per ShareQ3 2025 payment (Aug 28)N/A$0.21Announced
Quarterly Dividend per ShareQ3 2025N/A$0.09Announced

No financial guidance ranges (revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate) were provided in Q2 2025 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document set.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
TiO2 pricing and demandQ4 2024: higher volumes and prices YoY; 2024 prices -5% YoY; demand improved; operating rates ~97% in Q4 Q2 2025: avg prices -1% YoY; weaker export volumes; mix headwinds Softening vs late-2024
Operating rates / fixed cost absorptionQ4 2024: 2024 operating rates 96%; unabsorbed fixed costs only $12M (Q1) Q2 2025: operating at 81%; ~$20M unabsorbed fixed costs in Q2 Deteriorating utilization
FX impactsQ1 2025: FX -$11M net sales; -$5M to operating income Q2 2025: FX +$8M net sales; +$14M to operating income FX tailwind in Q2
CompX end-marketsQ1 2025: strength in Marine (towboat/government) and Security Products (government security) Q2 2025: continued strength in those end-markets drives sales/margins Sustained demand
Environmental/legalQ4 2024: environmental remediation settlement boosted corporate income; EPS impact noted Q2 2025: lower litigation and remediation costs reduced corporate expense YoY Normalizing after settlement

Management Commentary

  • “CompX’s segment profit increased in the second quarter… due to higher sales and gross margin at each of the Security Products and Marine Components segments.”
  • “Kronos’ net sales decreased… primarily due to… lower average TiO2 selling prices, changes in product mix and lower sales volumes in its export markets…”
  • “Kronos’ unabsorbed fixed production costs related to decreased production volumes in the second quarter of 2025 were approximately $20 million.”

Q&A Highlights

  • A Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was not available; no Q&A content to report this quarter.

Estimates Context

MetricQ4 2024 EstimateQ4 2024 ActualSurpriseQ1 2025 EstimateQ1 2025 ActualSurpriseQ2 2025 EstimateQ2 2025 Actual
EPS ($)0.212*0.34 +0.128 (beat)0.205*0.01 -0.195 (miss)N/A*0.01
Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A*38.4 N/A*40.3 N/A*40.3

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications:

  • Given the Q2 EPS at $0.01 and continued Kronos weakness, forward EPS estimates may need to drift lower until TiO2 pricing/volumes normalize and operating rates improve .
  • CompX demand resilience is a partial offset; consensus likely to reflect a wider dispersion if Kronos volatility persists .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • CompX is executing well: sustained demand in government security and marine end-markets is expanding sales and segment profit; watch for continued mix and pricing support .
  • Kronos is the swing factor: reduced operating rates and ~$20M unabsorbed fixed costs drove a sharp drop in operating income; recovery hinges on pricing, volume normalization, and utilization improvement .
  • EPS compression reflects external TiO2 headwinds and smaller marketable securities gains; near-term earnings leverage is limited without Kronos stabilization .
  • Capital returns are active: special $0.21 and quarterly $0.09 dividends are tangible catalysts for income investors and signal balance sheet capacity .
  • Compare to prior quarters: Q1 2025 showed stronger Kronos profitability and high operating rates; Q2 deterioration underscores volatility in TiO2 end-markets and export demand .
  • Watch FX and regional mix: Q2 FX tailwinds (+$8M net sales, +$14M operating income) partially offset unit economics pressure; sustained FX support could mitigate volatility .
  • Near-term trading setup: dividend support vs earnings headwinds—stock likely sensitive to any signs of Kronos pricing/volume firming or utilization uptick; monitor industry datapoints and Kronos disclosures .