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Neurogene Inc. (NLTX)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 was an execution-heavy quarter: NGN-401 Phase 1/2 safety profile remained favorable with no serious AEs or signs of MeCP2 overexpression toxicity, trial expansion to a high-dose cohort was confirmed, and Australia HREC approval added a third region for the study .
  • Financially, OpEx rose year over year (R&D +31% to $13.5M; G&A +86% to $5.2M) and net loss widened to $16.9M; cash, cash equivalents and investments were $169.5M with runway into 2H:26, supporting multiple upcoming data readouts .
  • Guidance/milestones maintained: interim NGN-401 efficacy data (Cohort 1) remains targeted for 4Q:24; additional interim data from expanded low and high dose cohorts in 2H:25; NGN-101 interim clinical and regulatory update remains planned for 2H:24 .
  • Estimates context: S&P Global Wall Street consensus for Q1 2024 was unavailable for NLTX/NGNE; result comparisons to Street cannot be provided.
  • Near-term catalysts: 4Q:24 NGN-401 interim efficacy data and 2H:24 NGN-101 interim data/regulatory updates; Australia site activation may accelerate enrollment, while continued demonstration of safety is key to de-risking the platform .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Safety maintained: NGN-401 generally well-tolerated in first three pediatric patients with ~9, 6 and 3 months follow-up; all AEs mild/Grade 1; no procedure-related SAEs; no MeCP2 overexpression toxicity signs .
  • Trial momentum: acknowledgment from Australian TGA and approval from HREC expand the NGN-401 trial to a third region; concurrent enrollment planned with expanded Cohort 1 and high-dose Cohort 2 .
  • Balance sheet strength: $169.5M cash, cash equivalents and investments as of 3/31/24; expected runway into 2H:26 supports operations beyond critical clinical inflection points .
  • Quote: “We remain on track to release interim efficacy data from the low-dose cohort in the fourth quarter of 2024.” — Rachel McMinn, Ph.D., CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Higher OpEx and widening net loss: R&D up 31% YoY to $13.5M; G&A up 86% to $5.2M; net loss widened to $16.9M, mainly on NGN-401 clinical costs, early discovery program preclinical work, and public company costs .
  • Sequential comparability distortion: Q4 2023 included a one-time $16.4M bargain purchase gain, producing quarterly net income of $2.4M; this affects sequential loss comparisons to Q1 2024 .
  • No earnings call transcript for Q1 2024 available; therefore no Q&A or call-based color or guidance clarifications could be assessed (press release only) [List: earnings-call-transcript (May 2024) not found].

Financial Results

Year-over-Year Comparison (Q1 2023 → Q1 2024)

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$10.3 $13.5
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$2.8 $5.2
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$13.0 $18.8
Loss from Operations ($USD Millions)$(13.0) $(18.8)
Other Income, net ($USD Millions)$0.8 $1.9
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(12.3) $(16.9)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$(28.28) $(1.00)
Weighted Avg Shares (Basic & Diluted)433,623 16,903,735
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Investments ($USD Millions)N/A$169.5

Notes: Q1 2023 EPS reflects pre-merger share structure; Q1 2024 reflects post-merger common stock count .

Sequential Comparison (Q4 2023 → Q1 2024)

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$12.2 $13.5
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$2.5 $5.2
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$2.4 (incl. $16.4M bargain purchase gain) $(16.9)
Cash, Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$148.2 (cash & cash equivalents at 12/31/23) $150.1 (cash & cash equivalents at 3/31/24)
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$222.6 $195.4
Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$186.0 $170.8

Notes: Q4 2023 net income driven by one-time bargain purchase gain; comparability to Q1 2024 operating performance is limited .

KPIs (Operational)

KPIQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
NGN-401 patients dosed (cumulative)First patient dosed Second patient dosed Third patient dosed
NGN-401 safety signalsNo serious AEs; no overexpression toxicity Same Same; all AEs mild/Grade 1
NGN-401 trial geographiesUS initial UK approvals in place Australia HREC approval (third region)
NGN-401 key timelineCohort 1 dosing ongoing Cohort 1 expansion; Cohort 2 added Cohort 1 completion 2H:24; Cohort 2 start 2Q:24
NGN-401 interim data4Q:24 (Cohort 1)
NGN-101 statusCohort 3 (high-dose) enrolling Interim clinical data + regulatory update 2H:24

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
NGN-401 interim efficacy (Cohort 1)4Q:244Q:24 4Q:24 Maintained
NGN-401 additional interim data (expanded low/high dose cohorts)2H:252H:25 2H:25 Maintained
NGN-401 Cohort 1 enrollment completion2H:242H:24 2H:24 Maintained
NGN-401 Cohort 2 enrollment start2Q:242Q:24 2Q:24 Maintained
NGN-401 geographies2024US+UK US+UK+Australia (HREC approval) Raised (scope)
NGN-101 interim data & regulatory update2H:242H:24 2H:24 Maintained
Cash runwayThrough 2H:262H:26 2H:26 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2024 earnings call transcript available; themes below reflect press releases and corporate presentation.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q3 2023)Previous Mentions (Q-1: Q4 2023)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
R&D execution (NGN-401 dosing)First patient dosed Third patient dosing early Q1’24; removal of stagger in Cohort 1 Safety favorable; ongoing dosing; Cohort 2 planned Improving execution; consistent safety
Regulatory/geographiesUK MHRA approval, onboarding sites Australia HREC approval (third region) Expanding footprint
Trial design/expansionExpanded low-dose Cohort 1 + added high-dose Cohort 2 Expect interim data Cohort 1 in 4Q:24; Cohort 2 starts 2Q:24 Broadened dataset plan
Manufacturing capabilityHouston facility; CGMP production supports pivotal dev Internal manufacturing flexibility highlighted Strategic asset emphasized
Platform/regulation (EXACT)EXACT supports constrained MeCP2 expression EXACT presented; preclinical translational foundation summarized Reinforced technology thesis
Cash runway/fundingThrough 2H:26 with reverse merger financing Maintained 2H:26 runway Stable funding outlook

Management Commentary

  • “We have made substantial progress in our NGN-401 Rett syndrome gene therapy program since the beginning of the year, including dosing the third patient, expanding the trial to include additional patients and a high-dose cohort, and the recent clearance to conduct the trial in Australia.” — Rachel McMinn, Ph.D., CEO .
  • “We remain on track to release interim efficacy data from the low-dose cohort in the fourth quarter of 2024… We remain in a strong financial position with cash runway into the second half of 2026.” — Rachel McMinn, Ph.D., CEO .
  • “We started the year with strong execution… expanded the trial and added a high-dose cohort… NGN-401 has been well-tolerated… with no signs of overexpression-related toxicity.” — Q4/FY commentary (context for trajectory) .

Q&A Highlights

No Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was available, so Q&A themes and any guidance clarifications could not be assessed [List: earnings-call-transcript (May 2024) not found].

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for Q1 2024 (EPS and revenue) were unavailable for NLTX/NGNE due to data mapping constraints; as a result, comparison to consensus cannot be provided.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Safety profile continues to de-risk NGN-401 and the EXACT transgene regulation platform, with no SAEs and no overexpression toxicity reported to date; a key validator ahead of efficacy readouts .
  • Expanded trial design (higher-dose cohort, more patients, broader geographies) is poised to produce a more complete dataset to inform registrational strategy; watch for timing and enrollment pace .
  • Cash runway into 2H:26 provides line of sight through multiple program catalysts (NGN-401 interim efficacy in 4Q:24; NGN-101 interim clinical/regulatory update in 2H:24), reducing near-term financing overhang risk .
  • Near-term trading setup hinges on 4Q:24 NGN-401 efficacy signals; any clinical improvement across hand function, communication, autonomic measures (CGI-I/RSBQ domains) could materially impact sentiment .
  • Sequential financials are noisy due to Q4 2023’s one-time gain; trend analysis should focus on operating spend and enrollment progress rather than bottom-line comparisons .
  • With Australia approval and internal manufacturing capacity, operational risk around site activation and supply appears manageable; execution remains the primary driver of trajectory .
  • Absence of consensus estimates limits “beat/miss” framing; expect Street updates after interim data—position sizing should reflect binary clinical readout risk and platform optionality.

Citations: Press release and exhibits ; Corporate presentation highlights and clinical/milestone detail ; Q4/FY 2023 press release for prior-period context .