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Neurogene Inc. (NLTX)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2024 delivered expected R&D-driven losses as the company advanced NGN-401 and NGN-101; net loss was $18.5M and diluted EPS was -$1.09, with $0.93M in licensing revenue .
  • Regulatory momentum was a clear positive: NGN-401 received FDA RMAT designation and was selected for the FDA’s START pilot program, enhancing feedback cadence and potential pathway acceleration .
  • Clinical execution progressed: first high-dose (Cohort 2) Rett patient dosed in May with early favorable tolerability; low-dose Cohort 1 continued to show a favorable safety profile .
  • Cash, cash equivalents and investments were $153.9M (runway into 2H:26), supporting operations through multiple clinical inflection points .
  • Estimates context: S&P Global consensus was unavailable; third-party summaries indicated a modest EPS miss (actual -$1.09 vs external consensus ~-$1.05) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • FDA momentum: “NGN-401 gene therapy for Rett syndrome received RMAT designation, in addition to the recent selection by the U.S. FDA for its START Pilot Program… to accelerate NGN-401’s development.” — Rachel McMinn, Ph.D., CEO .
  • Clinical execution: First high-dose Rett patient dosed in May; high-dose NGN-401 well-tolerated; low-dose Cohort 1 continued favorable safety (mild Grade 1 AEs, no MeCP2 overexpression toxicity, no ICV procedure-related SAEs) .
  • Balance sheet: $153.9M cash/investments and runway into 2H:26 underpin continued development and milestone delivery .

What Went Wrong

  • Elevated OpEx: R&D rose to $15.7M (from $10.3M YoY) and G&A to $5.3M (from $2.3M YoY), reflecting increased trial costs, headcount, and corporate expenses .
  • Wider loss: Net loss expanded to $18.5M vs $11.9M YoY as programs advanced and OpEx grew .
  • NGN-101 timing: Interim data and regulatory update shifted from 2H:24 (prior guide) to 1Q:25, extending the timeline for visibility and potential registrational clarity .

Financial Results

Quarterly financials (prior quarter vs current)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.925
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$16.921 $18.492
Diluted EPS ($USD)-$1.00 -$1.09
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$13.541 $15.744
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$5.238 $5.315

Year-over-year comparison (Q2 2023 vs Q2 2024)

MetricQ2 2023Q2 2024
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$11.860 $18.492
Diluted EPS ($USD)-$26.68 -$1.09
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$10.321 $15.744
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$2.275 $5.315

KPIs

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Investments ($USD Millions)$197.2 $169.5 $153.9
Cash Runway (Company Guide)Into 2H:26 Into 2H:26 Into 2H:26

Note: NLTX is a clinical-stage company; margin metrics and segment revenue breakdown are not applicable given pre-commercial status .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
NGN-401 interim efficacy (Cohort 1)Q4 2024On track to report in Q4 2024 On track to report in Q4 2024 Maintained
NGN-401 Cohort 2 (high dose)Q2 2024Begin enrollment in Q2 2024 First patient dosed in May; early favorable safety Achieved
NGN-101 interim data & regulatory updateCLN52H:24 1Q:25 Lowered/Delayed
Cash runwayCorporateInto 2H:26 Into 2H:26 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No public earnings call transcript was available for Q2 2024; themes below reflect press releases and 8-K materials.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023, Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
Regulatory/designationsUK CTA approval for NGN-401; planning for registrational study FDA RMAT designation; FDA START selection for NGN-401 Positive acceleration
R&D execution (Rett)Third patient dosed; expanded cohorts; Cohort 2 to begin Q2 2024 First high-dose patient dosed; favorable safety maintained in low-dose Advancing dosing/data
NGN-101 (CLN5)Interim data targeted 2H:24 Interim data and regulatory update moved to 1Q:25 Timeline extended
ManufacturingIn-house Houston CGMP capability emphasized Continued emphasis on internal manufacturing readiness Stable; strategic
Cash runwayRunway into 2H:26 Runway into 2H:26; cash $153.9M Stable funding base

Management Commentary

  • “We are pleased that NGN-401 gene therapy for Rett syndrome received RMAT designation, in addition to the recent selection by the U.S. FDA for its START Pilot Program… to accelerate NGN-401’s development.” — Rachel McMinn, Ph.D., Founder and CEO .
  • “We continued to advance the NGN-401 program with the first patient dosed in Cohort 2 in May… and [reported] that low-dose NGN-401 remained well-tolerated by the first three patients dosed in Cohort 1.” — Rachel McMinn, Ph.D. .
  • Q1 context: “We remain on track to release interim efficacy data from the low-dose cohort in the fourth quarter of 2024.” — Rachel McMinn, Ph.D. .

Q&A Highlights

  • No public earnings call transcript was identified for Q2 2024; thus no Q&A themes or clarifications beyond what was disclosed in the press release and 8-K .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for NLTX during our query, so we cannot anchor comparisons to SPGI for Q2 2024.
  • External automated coverage indicated EPS of -$1.09 vs consensus ~-$1.05 (miss ~$0.04) and revenue ~$0.93M; use with caution as non-SPGI data .
  • Given OpEx trends (R&D and G&A increases), near-term estimate revisions may reflect higher cash usage rates as programs scale .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory tailwinds (RMAT, START) materially de-risk elements of NGN-401’s path by enabling more frequent FDA interactions and a potential accelerated pathway .
  • Clinical progress is steady: dosing initiated for high-dose cohort with early favorable tolerability and continued low-dose safety, supporting Q4 efficacy readout in Cohort 1 .
  • Operating leverage still negative as expected: R&D and G&A grew YoY with broader clinical activity; losses widened accordingly .
  • Cash runway into 2H:26 and $153.9M cash/investments provide sufficient capital to reach multiple data catalysts, reducing financing overhang near term .
  • NGN-101 timeline shifted to 1Q:25 for interim data and a regulatory update, moderating multi-program near-term catalysts but preserving optionality .
  • Absent SPGI consensus, traders should frame Q4 NGN-401 efficacy timing and any subsequent regulatory feedback as principal stock movers (data quality, safety durability, clinician-reported endpoints) .
  • Near- to medium-term thesis: execution on Rett efficacy and sustained safety, plus regulatory dialogue quality under START/RMAT, will drive narrative and potential re-rating; monitor OpEx cadence vs runway and any BD optionality .