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Newsmax Inc. (NMAX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • NMAX’s first public-quarter delivered double-digit top-line growth: revenue rose 11.6% YoY to $45.3M on stronger linear ratings, higher ad pricing, and affiliate fee uplift; gross profit rose 6.8% with gross margin at 47.8% (down ~220 bps YoY) as costs stepped up with public company readiness and programming investments .
  • Profitability remained negative: net loss improved to $(17.2)M from $(50.7)M YoY on lapping large prior-year legal costs, but Adjusted EBITDA swung to $(1.2)M from $3.2M on higher cost of revenues and G&A tied to expansion, IPO-related costs, and inauguration coverage .
  • Demand signals healthy: ad revenue +13.5% YoY, affiliate +12.5%, and subscription +10.2% driven by ratings strength (Q1 viewers 33.6M, +50% YoY) and Newsmax+ growth; Broadcast segment revenue +20.2% YoY, while Digital declined as election-cycle strength faded .
  • Balance sheet strengthened post-IPO/private raise (cash and cash equivalents $126.7M) providing flexibility for distribution expansion and content investments; internal control material weaknesses and ongoing Dominion litigation remained key watch items in Q1 .
  • Consensus estimates: S&P Global did not show Q1 2025 EPS/Revenue consensus for NMAX (recent IPO); thus, no beat/miss vs Street can be assessed this quarter. S&P Global consensus was unavailable.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Ratings/viewership momentum: “record 33.6 million viewers… up 50% YoY,” with Newsmax the fourth highest-rated cable news channel and second in engagement among ages 35–64; CEO highlighted strengthened distribution across cable and streaming, including Hulu + Live TV and international agreements .
    • Broad-based revenue growth: Advertising +13.5% YoY to $28.9M on higher ratings/pricing; Affiliate +12.5% to $7.4M on new contracts/rate increases; Subscription +10.2% to $7.0M on Newsmax+ growth .
    • Liquidity: cash and cash equivalents of $126.7M (+427% vs 12/31/24), bolstered by pre-IPO and IPO raises; CFO emphasized capital access supporting momentum and long-term shareholder value .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Profitability pressure: Adjusted EBITDA $(1.2)M vs $3.2M YoY on higher cost of revenues, G&A tied to expansion and public company costs, and inauguration coverage; gross margin fell to 47.8% from 50.0% .
    • Digital softness: Digital revenue fell 13.1% YoY (ads and subscriptions down following election-year comps), with Digital segment Adjusted EBITDA declining to $(3.3)M from $(0.6)M .
    • Controls and legal overhang: management disclosed material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting as of Q1; Dominion defamation suit remained ongoing with outcomes/financial impact uncertain at that time .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025Street Consensus (Q1 2025)
Revenue ($)$40,599,645 $45,301,707 N/A – S&P Global consensus unavailable
Gross Profit ($)$20,295,628 $21,667,079 N/A
Gross Profit Margin (%)50.0% 47.8% N/A
Net Loss ($)$(50,683,687) $(17,232,525) N/A
Net Loss per Share ($)$(1.27) $(0.49) N/A
Adjusted EBITDA ($)$3,197,825 $(1,168,302) N/A

Segment breakdown (Q1 2025):

  • Revenue by segment and component

    SegmentRevenue ($)YoYNotes
    Broadcasting$36,187,178 +20.2% Ad +$4.3M YoY; affiliate +$0.8M; subscription +$1.3M; other −$0.3M
    Digital$9,114,529 −13.1% Digital ads and subs lower post-election; product sales +$0.13M
  • Segment Adjusted EBITDA (Q1 2025)

    SegmentAdjusted EBITDA ($)
    Broadcasting$2,151,242
    Digital$(3,319,544)
    Total Reportable Adjusted EBITDA$(1,168,302)

KPIs and balance sheet:

  • Viewership: 33.6M quarterly viewers, +50% YoY; 4th highest-rated cable news channel; 5th highest-rated network total day; 2nd in engagement ages 35–64 .
  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: $126.7M at 3/31/25 .

Note on sequential comps: As a new public company (listed Mar 31, 2025), detailed public Q4 2024 quarterly results were not furnished; sequential (QoQ) comparisons to Q4 2024 are not available in company filings .

Guidance Changes

  • Q1 2025: No formal financial guidance provided in the earnings materials .
  • Subsequent update (context): In Q2 and Q3 2025, the company reiterated FY25 revenue guidance of $180–$190M .
MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025N/A (Q1 2025)None issued in Q1

Note: FY25 revenue guidance of $180–$190M was reiterated in Q2/Q3 post-Q1 period for investor context .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No public Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was located; themes below draw from the 8-K/10-Q and compare narrative evolution.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2, Q-1)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Distribution/affiliate feesNo public call transcripts available; company was private pre-IPO Affiliate fees +12.5% YoY on new contracts and 2025 rate increases Positive: contract/rate momentum
Advertising environmentN/ALinear ad +21.3% YoY in Broadcast; digital ads down vs election year Mixed: linear strong, digital normalizing
Subscriptions (Newsmax+)N/ASubscriptions +10.2% YoY; Broadcast subs +52% YoY on Newsmax+ growth Positive: DTC traction
Costs/marginsN/AGross margin 47.8% (down from 50.0%); higher cost of revenues and public company costs Pressure near term
Legal/regulatoryN/ASmartmatic settlement drove high prior-year costs; Dominion case ongoing Risk overhang persists
Controls & governanceN/AMaterial weaknesses in ICFR disclosed; remediation plan underway Remediation in progress

Management Commentary

  • CEO (Christopher Ruddy): “We are thrilled to share our first earnings results as a publicly traded company… Newsmax has grown into the fourth highest-rated cable news channel… Our growth is due in part to our continued mission of providing… balanced coverage, diverse viewpoints and open debates.”
  • CEO: “Our strong relationships with distributors and advertisers, such as our… agreement with Hulu + Live TV… Supercanal… Cellcom Israel and Telecom Armenia… ensure that our content reaches broader audiences across platforms.”
  • CFO (Darryle Burnham): “With enhanced access to capital from our pre-IPO and IPO raises, we are well-positioned to sustain our momentum… we remain focused on delivering long-term value to our shareholders.”

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available in the company’s document set; no Q&A themes to report for the quarter.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates were not available for NMAX’s Q1 2025 EPS or revenue (recent IPO), so a beat/miss versus Street could not be assessed. S&P Global consensus was unavailable.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Ratings-led revenue growth with multi-pronged drivers (ads, affiliate, subscriptions) supported an 11.6% YoY top-line increase; Broadcast segment strength offset election-cycle normalization in Digital .
  • Margins compressed as costs rose for programming, headcount, and public company readiness; near-term profitability remains a function of cost discipline versus growth investments .
  • Strong liquidity from pre-IPO and IPO (cash and cash equivalents $126.7M) gives ample runway for distribution expansion, content, and talent initiatives .
  • Legal and governance watch items: Dominion remains unresolved (as of Q1) and material weaknesses in ICFR require sustained remediation; both are potential valuation overhangs until addressed .
  • Strategic upside: affiliate fee repricing as contracts renew, incremental distribution (Hulu + Live TV, international), and scaling Newsmax+ represent medium-term monetization catalysts .
  • KPI momentum is a differentiator (33.6M viewers, +50% YoY; engagement strength), supporting ad pricing and affiliate negotiations; monitor if audience gains persist post-election cycles .
  • For trading: absence of consensus makes headline beat/miss less catalytic; narrative catalysts skew toward distribution deals, guidance initiation/updates, litigation milestones, and evidence of margin inflection.

Appendix: Additional Context on Subsequent Quarters (for trajectory)

  • Q2 2025: Revenue $46.4M (+18.4% YoY); net loss $(75.2)M primarily due to Dominion settlement recognition; Adjusted EBITDA $(3.8)M; FY25 revenue guidance reiterated at $180–$190M .
  • Q3 2025: Revenue $45.3M (+4.0% YoY); net loss $(4.1)M; Adjusted EBITDA $(1.8)M; FY25 revenue guidance reiterated .

Sources:

  • Q1 2025 8-K press release and financials .
  • Q1 2025 Form 10-Q narrative and financials .
  • Q2 2025 8-K press release/financials .
  • Q3 2025 8-K press release/financials .