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NM

NEUROONE MEDICAL TECHNOLOGIES Corp (NMTC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2025 delivered strong execution with product revenue of $1.70M (+105% y/y) and product gross margin of 53.9% (+1,980 bps y/y), while net loss narrowed to $1.50M or $(0.03) per share . Versus Q2, revenue grew ~22% from $1.39M as the OneRF launch expanded .
  • Estimates context: Revenue modest miss ($1.70M vs $1.82M consensus*) while EPS beat (−$0.03 vs −$0.05 consensus*). Results reflect improved cost structure and scaling post Zimmer distribution; estimates coverage remains thin (1 estimate) for Q3*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Guidance: FY2025 product revenue maintained at $8–$10M; product gross margin raised to 50–53% (from 47–51%), citing ongoing cost reductions and scaling .
  • Near-term catalysts: FDA 510(k) clearance received on Aug 18 for OneRF Trigeminal Nerve Ablation; limited commercial launch targeted for Q4 CY2025, creating an incremental revenue opportunity alongside brain ablation . Balance sheet strengthened via oversubscribed $8.2M raise; management reiterates funding through at least FY2026 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Material operating leverage: gross margin expanded to 53.9% (from 34.1% y/y); OpEx down 9% y/y, supporting a narrower net loss .
  • Strategic progress and clinical validation: CEO highlighted “dramatic improvements in revenue” and strong patient outcomes including first OneRF brain ablation patient surpassing one-year seizure freedom, reinforcing platform value .
  • Regulatory and pipeline momentum: 510(k) submission for trigeminal nerve ablation filed ahead of schedule, and subsequently cleared on Aug 18; initial order received for sEEG-based drug delivery from a large biopharma—expanding TAM beyond current epilepsy use case .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line mixed vs expectations: Q3 revenue of $1.70M missed consensus by ~7%, though EPS outperformed on cost control. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Limited estimates depth: Only one analyst estimate for Q3 and two for forward quarters, limiting visibility and potentially elevating volatility in consensus*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Commercial scale still early: International sales yet to start and ISO13485 certification still in process; trigeminal nerve ablation commercialization slated for a limited launch in Q4 CY2025 (timing execution risk) .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L (USD)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Product Revenue ($)$3,274,167 $1,386,550 $1,696,050
Product Gross Margin (%)58.9% 55.6% 53.9%
Total Operating Expenses ($)$3,215,682 $3,451,077 $2,801,435
Net Income (Loss) ($)$1,785,322 $(2,270,607) $(1,500,868)
Diluted EPS ($)$0.06 $(0.07) $(0.03)

Notes: Q3 y/y comps included in release: product revenue +105% y/y ($0.8M prior-year Q3), gross margin 53.9% vs 34.1% y/y, EPS $(0.03) vs $(0.10) y/y .

Estimates vs Actuals

PeriodRevenue Actual ($)Revenue Consensus ($)DeltaEPS Actual ($)EPS Consensus ($)Delta
Q2 20251,386,550 1,270,000*+9%(0.07) (0.09)*+0.02
Q3 20251,696,050 1,820,000*−7%(0.03) (0.05)*+0.02

Values retrieved from S&P Global. Coverage: Q3 2025 had 1 estimate for revenue and EPS*.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity KPIs

MetricQ1 2025 (12/31/24)Q2 2025 (3/31/25)Q3 2025 (6/30/25)
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($)$1,134,350 $1,320,251 $8,039,683
Working Capital ($)$4,100,000 $2,000,000 $8,700,000
Debt$0 $0 $0

Other Highlights (Operational/Strategic)

  • Raised $8.2M net in April; reiterates funding through at least FY2026 .
  • Zimmer Biomet expanded distribution agreement; $3.0M license revenue recognized in first nine months FY2025 (not in product revenue) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Product RevenueFY2025$8.0–$10.0M (Q1 reiterated) $8.0–$10.0M (Q3) Maintained
Product Gross MarginFY202547%–51% (Q1/Q2) 50%–53% (Q3) Raised

Management reiterated expectation to be funded through at least FY2026 based on Zimmer minimums .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
OneRF Brain Ablation commercializationInitial stocking order; 5 centers; ICD-10-PCS code effective Oct 1, 2024 Continued training/education with Zimmer; planning post-market registry; strong patient outcomes Building
Trigeminal Nerve Ablation (pain)510(k) submission planned/then filed ahead of schedule FDA 510(k) submission reiterated (then cleared Aug 18); limited launch targeted for Q4 CY2025 Accelerating
Spinal Cord Stimulation (SCS)Acute animal study complete; partner discussions ongoing Chronic animal study launched; potential first-in-human early 2026 if positive Advancing
sEEG-based Drug DeliveryPreclinical/feasibility work; partner interest First external order from large biopharma; bench → animal testing plan described Expanding
International (ISO 13485)Initiating ISO 13485 process ISO 13485 program underway; no OUS sales yet Early, enabling
Guidance & MarginsFY25 product revenue $8–$10M; margin 47–51% FY25 revenue reiterated; margin raised to 50–53% Improving margin outlook
Balance SheetNo debt; funding through FY2026 anticipated post raise No debt; reiterates funding through FY2026 Stable/extended runway

Management Commentary

  • “We showed dramatic improvements in revenue—which increased 105% year over year—as well as gross profit, which increased to 53.9%.” — Dave Rosa, CEO .
  • “We submitted our 510(k) application to the FDA for our OneRF Trigeminal Nerve Ablation System ahead of schedule and expect to receive a response shortly.” (subsequently cleared Aug 18) .
  • “We are reiterating our fiscal year 2025 guidance… and are also increasing our product gross margin expectations to be between 50–53% versus our previous guidance of 47–51%.” — Dave Rosa .

Q&A Highlights

  • Drug delivery development path: initial bench testing followed by animals and ultimately a future human trial if results warrant .
  • Trigeminal nerve ablation market: ~150k U.S. patients; same neurosurgeons performing brain ablations often perform facial pain procedures—logical cross-sell into existing OneRF sites .
  • SCS program: targeting lower back pain (L3–S1) with larger-coverage electrode; chronic animal study ongoing; first-in-man targeted early 2026 if positive .
  • 2026 outlook: no public forecast yet; confidence underpinned by Zimmer minimum purchase commitments embedded in the amended contract .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY2025: Revenue $1.70M vs $1.82M consensus* (miss); EPS $(0.03) vs $(0.05) consensus* (beat). Coverage was one estimate for both metrics*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Q2 FY2025: Revenue $1.39M vs $1.27M consensus* (beat); EPS $(0.07) vs $(0.09) consensus* (beat). Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin story intact and strengthened: FY2025 product gross margin raised to 50–53%; Q3 delivered 53.9% as scale and cost actions flow through .
  • Revenue ramp progressing with OneRF rollout; near-term incremental catalyst from newly cleared trigeminal nerve indication with limited launch in Q4 CY2025 .
  • Platform expansion (SCS, drug delivery) broadens optionality; early external validation via biopharma order supports longer-term TAM expansion .
  • Funding runway extended through at least FY2026 and zero debt reduce financing overhang; execution focus shifts to commercialization milestones .
  • Estimate dynamics: thin coverage implies higher volatility around prints; Q3’s EPS beat vs a small revenue miss underscores emerging operating leverage*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Watch list: pace of OneRF center adds/usage, ISO 13485 progress for OUS entry, Zimmer channel productivity, and 2026 color tied to Zimmer minimums and potential additional partnerships .

Appendix: Additional Source Documents

  • Q3 FY2025 8-K and press release with full financials and guidance .
  • Q3 FY2025 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
  • Q2 FY2025 8-K press release with prior-quarter financials and guidance .
  • Q1 FY2025 8-K press release with first-quarter financials and operational progress .
  • FDA 510(k) clearance press release for OneRF Trigeminal Nerve Ablation (Aug 18, 2025) .