NI
NN INC (NNBR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 net sales were $107.9M; adjusted EBITDA $13.2M (12.2% margin) and adjusted EPS $0.02. Pro forma net sales declined 2.4% YoY due to 2024 rationalizations/Lubbock sale and auto volume softness, partly offset by 70 program launches YTD and precious metals pass‑through pricing .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly missed (−$2.9M, −2.6%), while EPS was a clear beat; adjusted EBITDA was essentially in line (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates Q2 2025]*.
- Guidance maintained: FY25 net sales $430–$460M, adjusted EBITDA $53–$63M, FCF $14–$16M, new business wins $60–$70M; management continues to guide toward the lower half given tariff/macro uncertainty .
- Catalysts: medical certification ramp (Kentwood) and dedicated medical machines (~$40M capacity at two shifts), tariff pass‑through normalization, imminent CARES Act tax refund, active M&A program, and hiring of a Chief Commercial Officer to accelerate electrical/medical growth .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin expansion and profitability: adjusted gross margin 19.5% (near 20% long‑term goal), adjusted operating income up to $4.9M, adjusted EBITDA margin up 100–130 bps YoY, with strong operational execution and cost‑out actions .
- Segment profitability improvement: Mobile Solutions adjusted EBITDA margin rose 150 bps to 13.6% despite weaker top line; Power Solutions adjusted EBITDA margin reached 20.4% on cost actions and mix .
- Commercial momentum: $32.7M new awards YTD; 70 program launches YTD and 112 programs planned in 2025 worth ~$48M at peak run‑rate. CEO: “We expect those launches will add over $45 million in future sales at run‑rate” .
What Went Wrong
- Auto end‑market softness concentrated at a large Tier‑1 customer; GAAP net sales down 12.3% YoY (as‑reported), with pro forma −2.4% YoY; free cash flow use of $3.2M in Q2 .
- Working capital remained elevated due to metal price escalation despite efficiency improvements (WC $86.8M; 20.0% of TTM sales) .
- Temporary margin compression from delayed customer agreement on tariff pass‑through; management noted timing pushed benefits to Q3 .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “NN delivered a solid quarter for gross margins, operating income, adjusted operating income, and adjusted EBITDA… We expect those launches will add over $45 million in future sales at run-rate” .
- CEO on auto softness and mitigation: “Our soft top-line centers around certain automotive customers… partially offset… by new business launches and precious metals pass-through pricing” .
- CFO: “We are maintaining our current guidance… continue to direct expectations towards the lower end of our guided ranges” .
- COO: “Adjusted gross margins… expanded 190 bps YTD; adjusted EBITDA margins… trending over 11% YTD; we remain on track for our… 13%–14% adjusted EBITDA margins” .
- CEO on strategic hiring: “We recently announced the hiring of Tim Erro as NN’s new Chief Commercial Officer… evaluating an organic entry into [electrical wiring systems]” .
Q&A Highlights
- Incremental margin on new wins: accretive by ~300–400 bps to EBITDA overall; pricing tiers depend on open capacity vs new equipment ROI hurdles (25% floor) .
- Guidance bridge: base business stable; 2H uplift driven by accumulating new program launches; risk of launch timing push‑outs acknowledged .
- Capex: $18–$20M FY25, majority to support growth programs; leasing used extensively (China ~3% rates) to fund equipment .
- Operations: on‑time delivery and backlog improved; “green scorecards” now across customers enabling new awards .
- Tax refund: IRS confirmed returns; ~$6M refund imminent (“check is in the mail”) .
- M&A: program “kicked off,” focused on synergistic targets to help refinance preferred stock; active processes underway .
Estimates Context
Q2 2025 Actual vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Note: S&P’s “actual” EBITDA in the dataset may reflect a different methodology than company “adjusted EBITDA”; company‑reported adjusted EBITDA and margins expanded YoY .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential improvement in adjusted profitability (EBITDA/operating income) with YoY margin expansion suggests transformation actions are taking hold; watch for continued cost‑out and mix benefits into 2H .
- New business launches are the key 2H revenue driver; monitor launch timing and ramp risks given auto market push‑outs noted by management .
- Tariff/macro uncertainty persists, but pass‑through mechanisms and RFQ reshoring/China options provide mitigation paths; expect near‑term volatility but structural margin resilience .
- Medical capability buildout (certification, dedicated machines) and electrical harness entry (organic/inorganic) represent higher‑return adjacency expansions under newly hired CCO; potential medium‑term multiple catalyst .
- Balance sheet: new term loan in place; preferred stock refinancing targeted alongside M&A to lower leverage—follow progress and terms as catalysts for equity value .
- Cash flow: FY25 FCF maintained at $14–$16M including CARES refund; near‑term usage reflects growth capex and working capital tied to metal prices; watch Q3/Q4 cash conversion .
- Overall setup: modest revenue miss vs consensus but EPS beat; with guidance intact (lower half bias), the narrative hinges on execution of launches, margin trajectory, and strategic expansions to drive re‑rating [GetEstimates Q2 2025]* .
Citations: Document references in brackets [doc_id:chunk_idx]; S&P Global estimates marked with *.