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II

Inotiv, Inc. (NOTV)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY25 revenue grew 23.5% YoY to $130.7M and rose 5.1% QoQ, with RMS strength (NHPs) and improving DSA; operating loss narrowed to $(5.7)M and adjusted EBITDA improved to $11.6M (8.9% margin) .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, revenue beat by ~2.9% ($130.7M vs $127.1M*) and GAAP EPS was essentially in line to slightly worse (−$0.51 vs −$0.515*); GAAP EBITDA undershot consensus (actual ~ $8.3M vs $11.0M*), while company-reported adjusted EBITDA outperformed internal prior trends . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Order momentum improved: DSA book-to-bill 1.07x, net awards +25% YoY, backlog $134.3M; cancellations remain elevated (TTM +~2%), but management is staffing sales to outgrow churn .
  • No formal FY25 guidance; management reaffirmed capex <4% of revenue and announced a strategic review of the capital structure; liquidity included a requested $3.0M revolver draw (corrected from prior disclosure) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • RMS revenue +34.1% YoY to $82.5M on higher NHP volume and pricing; RMS swung to $6.4M operating income vs $(7.4)M YoY; non‑GAAP RMS op income was $16.9M (20.4% of RMS revenue) .
    • DSA commercial momentum: net awards +25% YoY; DSA book‑to‑bill 1.07x; discovery awards +31.3% YoY; management cites improved pricing/scale and stable pricing environment .
    • Regulatory/legal overhang eased: SEC enforcement investigation concluded with no recommended action; AAALAC accreditation noted as “exemplary” for both Texas NHP facilities .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Cancellations elevated: DSA cancellations/change orders ~31% higher YoY in Q3; management planning assuming higher cancellation “new normal” despite strong gross bookings .
    • Cash burn and leverage: YTD operating cash flow $(24.8)M, cash $6.2M vs $21.4M at FY24-end; total debt ~$396.5M; interest expense rose to $13.6M (PIK on 2nd lien notes) .
    • GAAP EBITDA missed S&P consensus (actual ~8.3M vs 11.0M*), reflecting the cost/mix effects and higher cost of revenue tied to NHP throughput; management highlighted adjusted EBITDA improvement to 8.9% margin . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Financial Results

Overall performance and vs estimates

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q3 2025 S&P Consensus
Revenue ($M)$105.8 $119.9 $124.3 $130.7 $127.1*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(1.00) $(1.02) $(0.44) $(0.51) $(0.515)*
Operating Margin (%)(19.6%) (12.9%) (2.4%) (4.3%)
GAAP EBITDA ($M) ≈ Op Inc + D&A~$ (6.6) ~$ (1.3) ~$ 10.9 ~$ 8.3 $11.0*
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$0.1 $2.6 $8.0 $11.6
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)0.1% 2.2% 6.4% 8.9%

Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus cells marked with *.

Segment breakdown

Segment MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
DSA Revenue ($M)$44.2 $45.3 $48.2
DSA Operating Income ($M)$2.3 $(0.1) $2.1
DSA Non‑GAAP Op Income ($M)$7.8 $5.0 $7.2
RMS Revenue ($M)$61.6 $79.0 $82.5
RMS Operating Income (Loss) ($M)$(7.4) $11.4 $6.4
RMS Non‑GAAP Op Income ($M)$6.5 $15.6 $16.9

KPIs and commercial metrics

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
DSA Book‑to‑Bill (x)1.01x 1.01x 1.07x
DSA Backlog ($M)$130.4 $130.8 $134.3
DSA Net Awards YoY+27% (noted by mgmt) +25%
Backlog Conversion Rate35.5%
DSA Cancellations YoY~+31%

Cash, leverage and liquidity (point-in-time)

  • Cash and cash equivalents: $6.2M at 6/30/25 (vs $21.4M at 9/30/24) .
  • Total debt (net): $396.5M at 6/30/25; no revolver borrowings as of 6/30/25; recently requested $3.0M draw (corrected disclosure) .
  • YTD operating cash flow: $(24.8)M; capex YTD: $13.9M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Formal FY25 GuidanceFY25Not providing (Q1/Q2) Not providing (Q3); will revisit with more clarity on tariffs/demand Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY25<4% of revenue (Q2) Continue to expect <4% of revenue (Q3) Maintained
RMS Site Optimization SavingsMulti‑yearPrior plan discussed; timing accelerated (Q2) Net annual savings $6–$7M on ~$6.5M capex; completion by Mar‑2026 More specific; reiterated timing
Liquidity (Revolver)Near‑term$15M facility, no borrowings (6/30) Requested a $3.0M draw (corrected) New draw request
Capital Structure ReviewN/AInitiating strategic review; will hire third party New disclosure

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 FY25 (Dec qtr)Q2 FY25 (Mar qtr)Q3 FY25 (Jun qtr)Trend
Demand/BookingsDSA b‑to‑b 1.01x; backlog $130.4M DSA b‑to‑b 1.01x; backlog $130.8M DSA b‑to‑b 1.07x; net awards +25% YoY; discovery +31% awards Improving
PricingDSA pricing pressure persisted into FY25 (mgmt commentary) Pricing stabilizing in DSA; improved pricing and scale aided margins Stabilizing
NHP Supply/PricingRMS down on pricing in Q1 RMS up on NHP volume/pricing in Q2 RMS +34% YoY; pricing stable; no broad US NHP supply surge; Cambodia imports possible but not planned near‑term Stable pricing; supply managed
Regulatory/LegalEquity raise; operations optimization FNI $7.6M settlement; DOJ charge non‑repeat SEC enforcement closed (no action); lawsuits accrual with expected insurance recovery De‑risking
Operations/OptimizationNext RMS optimization phase; savings $4–5M initially US optimization to complete by Q2 FY26 On track by Mar‑2026; property sale closed; second under contract Executing
Capital StructureStrategic review of balance sheet; maturities 2026/2027 highlighted Proactive

Management Commentary

  • Strategic progress and demand: “We are pleased with the quarterly results… demonstrate the potential to increase DSA awards and improve… revenue, margins and adjusted EBITDA” .
  • DSA margins: “DSA operating margins improved… impacted… from pricing pressure… improvements due to improved pricing and scale… focus on improving these margins” .
  • RMS execution: “RMS operating margins… strongest… since Q1 FY24 excluding litigation settlement; optimization plan net annual savings of $6–$7M on ~$6.5M capex” .
  • Customer delivery: “We consistently monitor operational data and client metrics to help build a strong recurring client base” .
  • Capital structure: “We are prioritizing a strategic review of our balance sheet and capital structure… plan to hire a third party” .

Notable quotes

  • “Discovery awards increased 31.3% over the same period a year ago… discovery is probably our most fixed cost business… incremental bottom line… 70–80%” .
  • “We just have to plan for cancellations to continue to be high… means our gross bookings… have to go up” .
  • “We don’t see a change in [NHP] pricing… things are staying pretty stable” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Cancellations and bookings: Elevated cancellations (one or two large cancels can swing) require higher gross bookings; sales force expanded to offset churn .
  • Site optimization: Focus shifting from “brick and mortar” closures to fine‑tuning utilization and capacity within existing facilities; last big closure nearing completion .
  • NHP sourcing/pricing: US authorities have not prohibited Cambodia imports, but imports haven’t resumed; pricing stable; team managing supply through multiple Asian sources .
  • Incremental margins: Discovery’s high fixed cost base supports 70–80% variable contribution on incremental revenue; safety assessment ~50–60% .
  • Cash working capital: Higher NHP inventory to support client reliability; could convert to cash if needed, but aiming to maintain a higher level as the “new normal” .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY25 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $130.7M vs $127.1M* (beat ~2.9%); GAAP diluted EPS −$0.51 vs −$0.515* (essentially in line/slight miss ~$0.005); GAAP EBITDA ~ $8.3M vs $11.0M* (miss) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Estimate depth: Q3 had 3 revenue estimates and 2 EPS estimates*; revenue surprise may drive modest upward top‑line revisions, but GAAP EBITDA shortfall versus EBITDA consensus could temper EBITDA trajectory in models* (many analysts may focus on adjusted EBITDA progression to 8.9%) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix-led recovery: RMS (NHP-driven) and improving DSA awards drove a clean top‑line beat; operating leverage is emerging (adj. EBITDA to 8.9%) but cancellations and cost of revenue remain watchpoints .
  • Quality of earnings: On S&P metrics, GAAP EBITDA missed consensus even as adjusted EBITDA improved; scrutiny will remain on cost discipline and margin mix . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Commercial momentum: Book‑to‑bill >1x and discovery awards +31% signal better forward conversion; stable DSA pricing and higher fixed‑cost absorption could further expand margins if churn moderates .
  • Balance sheet pivot: Strategic capital structure review acknowledges 2026/2027 maturities and rising interest expense; any refinancing/asset actions are meaningful catalysts .
  • Regulatory de‑risking: SEC enforcement investigation closure reduces tail risk; continued strong AAALAC accreditation supports RMS positioning .
  • Liquidity: Revolver draw request ($3.0M) and negative YTD operating cash flow highlight the need to improve working capital cadence as NHP inventory normalizes .
  • Trading setup: Near‑term, revenue beats plus award momentum are supportive; medium‑term, delivery on DSA margin recovery, optimization savings realization, and capital structure actions will drive multiple re‑rating .

Appendix: Q3 FY25 Operating Detail and Drivers

  • Revenue growth composition: +$21.0M RMS (NHP volume/ASP), +$3.9M DSA (general tox, biotherapeutics, medical device) .
  • Operating loss bridge: Improvement driven by RMS swing and absence of prior‑year DOJ charges; cost of revenue up with NHP throughput .
  • Non‑GAAP adjustments include D&A, stock comp, startup/restructuring, legal/third‑party costs; FY25 YTD also reflects $(7.55)M FNI settlement .

S&P Global estimates used herein are marked with * and Values retrieved from S&P Global.