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NeuroBo Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NRBO)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • NeuroBo reported Q3 2024 net loss of $5.65M and EPS of $0.55 loss, driven by elevated R&D spending as programs DA-1726 (obesity) and DA-1241 (MASH) advanced; no product revenue was reported in the quarter .
  • Cash was $21.7M at quarter-end, with runway extended to fund operations into Q3 2025, an improvement versus prior quarter guidance into Q2 2025, supporting upcoming clinical readouts; this is a positive liquidity development for near-term catalysts .
  • DA-1726 delivered positive top-line safety/tolerability and dose-linear PK from the Phase 1 SAD Part 1, with MAD Part 2 top-line results expected in Q1 2025; DA-1241 Phase 2a top-line results are expected in December 2024, creating two near-term data catalysts .
  • Strategic actions included signing a joint research agreement (with Dong-A ST and ImmunoForge) to develop a long-acting, once-monthly DA-1726 formulation, and out-licensing legacy asset NB-01, sharpening focus on core cardiometabolic programs .
  • No Wall Street (S&P Global) consensus estimates were available to benchmark results; consequently, there are no beat/miss determinations against consensus for Q3 2024.*

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • DA-1726 Phase 1 SAD Part 1 was positive on safety/tolerability with dose-linear PK; only 5 AEs in treatment vs 3 in placebo and no SAEs, supporting MAD initiation and potential best-in-class profile positioning .
  • Cash runway extended into Q3 2025, improving operating flexibility for planned data readouts and Phase 1 Part 3 design, a notable funding stability enhancement versus Q2 guidance .
  • Strategic R&D differentiation: initiation of a joint research agreement to develop once-monthly DA-1726 leveraging ELP half-life extension technology to potentially improve compliance and administration .

What Went Wrong

  • Operating expenses rose YoY as R&D scaled (Q3 R&D $4.517M vs $2.292M last year), widening net loss (Q3 net loss $5.652M vs $3.818M last year), reflecting heavier clinical trial/manufacturing activity .
  • Other income decreased for the nine months vs prior year due to lower gains from change in fair value of warrant liabilities (nine months 2024 other income $0.805M vs $3.063M in 2023), partly offset by higher interest income .
  • Lack of revenue and absence of a published Q3 earnings call transcript limit near-term fundamental benchmarking and sell-side narrative development .

Financial Results

Quarterly progression (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
R&D Expenses ($USD Millions)$4.904 $8.074 $4.517
G&A Expenses ($USD Millions)$1.977 $2.010 $1.742
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$6.881 $10.084 $6.259
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$6.714 $10.053 $5.652
Loss per Share ($USD)$1.32 $1.85 $0.55
Weighted Avg Shares (Millions)5.089 5.429 10.214
Cash And Equivalents ($USD Millions)$15.988 $27.934 $21.669

Year-over-year comparison (Q3 2023 vs Q3 2024)

MetricQ3 2023Q3 2024
R&D Expenses ($USD Millions)$2.292 $4.517
G&A Expenses ($USD Millions)$1.601 $1.742
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$3.893 $6.259
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$3.818 $5.652
Loss per Share ($USD)$0.75 $0.55
Weighted Avg Shares (Millions)5.076 10.214

Notes:

  • The condensed statements of operations present operating expenses and net loss without a revenue line, indicating no product revenue was recognized for Q3 2024 (and comparatives) .

KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Change in Fair Value of Warrant Liabilities ($USD Millions)($0.070) ($0.133) $0.297
Interest Income ($USD Millions)$0.237 $0.164 $0.310
Clinical Trial Accrued Liabilities ($USD Millions, Balance Sheet)$3.948 $2.066 $3.354

vs Estimates (Q3 2024)

MetricQ3 2024 ActualS&P Global Consensusvs Consensus
EPS ($USD)$0.55 loss N/AN/A
Revenue ($USD)Not reported N/AN/A

S&P Global consensus estimates for NRBO were unavailable for Q3 2024 at the time of analysis.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayOperating runwayInto Q2 2025 Into Q3 2025 Raised (extended)
DA-1726 SAD Part 1 Top-LineQ3 2024Expected Q3 2024 Reported positive top-line (Sep 2024) Achieved as guided
DA-1726 MAD Part 2 Top-LineQ1 2025Q1 2025 Q1 2025 Maintained
DA-1726 Part 3 (PoC) StartQ3 2025Q3 2025 Q3 2025 Maintained
DA-1241 Phase 2a Top-LineQ4 2024Q4 2024 December 2024 Refined timing (specific month)
DA-1726 Long-Acting FormulationStrategic initiativeNot previously guidedJoint research agreement signed Aug 2024 New initiative
Financing Warrants (Series A) Potential ExerciseH1 2025Anticipated H1 2025 $20M gross proceeds upon exercise No change in Q3 updateMaintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q3 2024 earnings call transcript was available; themes derived from company 8-K press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2024)Previous Mentions (Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
DA-1726 (Obesity) Clinical ProgressSAD Part 1 dosing initiated; MAD Part 2 anticipated Q3 2024 SAD fully enrolled; MAD Part 2 first patient dosed; top-line timelines reaffirmed Positive SAD Part 1 top-line safety/tolerability and dose-linear PK; MAD Part 2 top-line expected Q1 2025 Accelerating, de-risked safety/PK
DA-1241 (MASH) Clinical ProgressPart 1 fully enrolled; Part 2 underway; top-line expected Q4 2024 Part 2 enrolled; timelines reaffirmed Last patient last visit completed; top-line expected December 2024 On track; timeline refined
Financing & LiquidityExploring financing alternatives; cash into Q4 2024 Closed financing up to $70M; cash runway into Q2 2025; potential $20M Series A warrant exercise H1 2025 Cash runway extended to Q3 2025 Strengthened liquidity
Partnerships/StrategicIND cleared for DA-1726; operational set-up Financing partners and presentation of preclinical data Joint research agreement to develop once-monthly DA-1726 formulation; NB-01 out-licensed; advisor engaged Focused portfolio; differentiation initiatives
Portfolio RationalizationNB-01 exclusive out-license to MTHERA (painful diabetic neuropathy) Non-core monetization

Management Commentary

  • “The third quarter was punctuated by the positive top-line results from the single ascending dose (SAD) Part 1 of our Phase 1 clinical trial of DA-1726… revealing it to be safe and tolerable as well as demonstrating dose-linear pharmacokinetics (PK)” – Hyung Heon Kim, President & CEO .
  • “We… signed a joint research agreement… to develop a long-acting once monthly formulation of [DA-1726]… we continue to plan for an early proof-of-concept… Part 3… anticipated to begin upon the completion of Part 2.” .
  • “After recently announcing the last patient last visit in our Phase 2a clinical trial for DA-1241… our next clinical milestone is the full data readout expected in December of this year.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 2024 earnings call transcript was available; therefore, there are no Q&A highlights to report from a call this quarter.

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for NRBO’s Q3 2024 EPS and revenue were not available in our system at the time of analysis; consequently, no beat/miss assessment vs consensus is provided.*

Where estimates may need to adjust:

  • Absent consensus, investor expectations should pivot to near-term clinical catalysts (DA-1241 December 2024 top-line and DA-1726 MAD Part 2 in Q1 2025), and liquidity runway improvement to Q3 2025, which can influence modeled cash needs and dilution scenarios .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term binary catalysts: DA-1241 Phase 2a top-line in December 2024 and DA-1726 MAD Part 2 top-line in Q1 2025 are the principal stock drivers; positive safety/PK from SAD de-risks DA-1726’s path into MAD and PoC Part 3 .
  • Liquidity improved with runway into Q3 2025, extending the window to deliver clinical milestones without immediate financing; this reduces near-term dilution risk compared to prior guidance into Q2 2025 .
  • Strategic differentiation: once-monthly DA-1726 formulation initiative adds a compliance/administration edge if successful, potentially strengthening the asset’s competitive profile vs GLP-1 class incumbents .
  • Operating spend cadence: R&D intensity moderates from Q2 peak into Q3 while remaining elevated YoY as trials progress; expect continued R&D-driven losses until clinical milestones trigger value inflections .
  • Portfolio focus: NB-01 out-license and advisory hires underscore targeted allocation of resources to core cardiometabolic programs .
  • Trading setup: Lack of revenue and absence of consensus estimates shifts attention to clinical news flow; potential upside skew tied to DA-1241 December readout and DA-1726 Q1 results, with cash stability as a supportive backdrop .
  • Medium-term thesis: If DA-1726 continues to demonstrate a favorable tolerability profile with effective weight loss signals and DA-1241 produces supportive efficacy data in MASH, the combination of differentiated mechanisms and monthly formulation strategy could support partnership optionality or value accretion ahead of Part 3 PoC .

Footnote: *Consensus estimates unavailable via S&P Global at time of analysis.