NI
Nerdy Inc. (NRDY)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue was $45.3M, in line with guidance ($45–$48M) but down 11% YoY on lower Institutional revenue and the non-recurring $3.0M state-funded program in Q2’24; Consumer Learning Membership revenue returned to YoY growth (+4%) and ARPM rose 24% to $348 .
- Gross margin expanded sequentially by 350 bps vs Q1 to 61.5% on price increases and mix shift, though below prior-year 65.7%; non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss was $2.7M, beating guidance (−$3M to −$6M) on higher gross margin and lower marketing/G&A .
- Guidance: Q3 revenue $37–$40M; FY25 revenue $191–$197M; Q3 adjusted EBITDA loss −$11M to −$13M; FY25 adjusted EBITDA loss −$13M to −$17M; YE cash $30–$35M. FY revenue and EBITDA ranges were narrowed/lowered vs prior guide; company continues to expect non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA profitability in Q4’25 .
- Call catalysts: acceleration in Learning Membership growth, Institutional bookings up 21% YoY, and roll-out of real-time “Nerdy” app and 30+ new AI tools for schools—management emphasized these as drivers of retention, ARPM, and margin gains, reinforcing the path to profitability in Q4 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Consumer Learning Membership revenue inflected to growth (+4% YoY to $37.8M), ARPM increased 24% to $348, and management expects sequential Consumer revenue growth through 2025 driven by higher-frequency plans and price increases .
- Sequential gross margin expansion (+350 bps QoQ to 61.5%) and adjusted EBITDA outperforming guidance (−$2.7M vs −$3M to −$6M) on mix/pricing improvements and cost efficiencies; headcount reduced ~16% earlier in the year enabling leverage .
- Institutional momentum: 50 contracts, $4.9M bookings (+21% YoY), and strong interest in Live+AI platform; case study showed 5–26% gains across literacy/reading metrics in HDT programs, reinforcing efficacy and potential for adoption .
“Q2 proved that our Live+AI strategy is a growth engine… putting us firmly on track for profitability in Q4.” — Chuck Cohn, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Consolidated revenue declined 11% YoY (to $45.3M) due to lower Institutional revenue and non-recurring state-funded Consumer program; gross margin declined YoY to 61.5% from 65.7% on Expert incentives implemented in Q4’24 .
- Active Members fell to 30.6k as of 6/30/25 (seasonal effects and lower retention in older cohorts of lower-frequency plans), down from 40.5k at Q1-end and 35.5k a year ago .
- FY25 guidance tightened: revenue range lowered to $191–$197M (prior $191.5–$200M) and adjusted EBITDA loss range to −$13M to −$17M (prior −$8M to −$18M); YE cash guide cut to $30–$35M (prior $35–$40M) reflecting near-term funding caution in Institutional .
Financial Results
Segment revenue breakdown:
KPIs:
Estimate comparison: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2’25 was unavailable; results assessed vs company guidance. Revenue was in-range ($45.3M vs $45–$48M), and adjusted EBITDA loss beat (−$2.7M vs −$3M to −$6M) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and momentum: “We reignited Learning Membership revenue growth, beat our EBITDA guidance, and are now rolling out AI-native tools…putting us firmly on track for profitability in Q4.” — Chuck Cohn .
- Consumer unit economics: “ARPM…reaching $348…Higher frequency learning memberships…are resonating with customers and leading to…stronger retention dynamics.” — Prepared remarks .
- Product innovation: “Nerdy…leverages real-time computer vision and audio…to provide real-time guidance to the tutor…making it easier for all tutors to be highly effective.” — Chuck Cohn .
- Cost discipline and leverage: “AI-enabled productivity improvements…headcount reductions and other cost reduction efforts…enabled us to generate operating efficiencies and remove significant costs” — CFO .
- Path to profitability: “We believe these results…keep us firmly on the path to profitability on a non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA basis in the fourth quarter.” — Company .
Q&A Highlights
- Growth trajectory and KPIs: Management cited the “single most productive period” and improving conversion/retention; CFO expects ARPM to reach ~$380 in Q3 and Q4 and Active Members ~38k in Q3 and ~40k by year-end, supporting sequential revenue acceleration .
- Institutional bookings: Q3 shaping up to be the strongest bookings quarter ever; new AI tools not yet fully reflected in bookings—incremental runway ahead .
- Margin outperformance: EBITDA beat driven by gross margin expanding beyond expectations and broad efficiency gains; gross margin expected to be at parity YoY by Q4 .
- AI adoption tailwinds: District hesitancy has turned into broad interest and expectation to adopt AI; 30+ AI tools launched to streamline educator workflows .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q2’25 (revenue, EPS, EBITDA) was unavailable; results were evaluated relative to company guidance. Revenue printed in-range ($45.3M vs $45–$48M) and adjusted EBITDA loss beat guidance (−$2.7M vs −$3M to −$6M), implying potential for upward adjustments to near-term margin expectations despite tightened full-year revenue/EBITDA ranges .
- Given lowered FY25 ranges (revenue and EBITDA) and YE cash outlook, Street models may need to recalibrate FY25 top-line and profitability trajectories while factoring in sequential improvement in Consumer ARPM/gross margin and Institutional bookings momentum .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Consumer flywheel is working: higher-frequency memberships and pricing are lifting ARPM and retention, supporting sequential revenue growth through H2’25 and 2026 setup .
- Gross margin inflecting: +350 bps QoQ to 61.5% on pricing/mix, with parity YoY targeted by Q4—driving EBITDA leverage and the path to profitability .
- Institutional re-acceleration: Bookings +21% YoY; strongest Q3 bookings expected; efficacy case studies and 30+ AI tools should catalyze district adoption .
- Cost discipline and AI-enabled leverage: Headcount −16% and process agentification underpin sustained opex efficiency; EBITDA beat despite revenue at low end of range .
- Guidance reset: FY25 revenue/EBITDA ranges narrowed/lowered and YE cash guide reduced; near-term focus is execution into back-to-school and Q4 EBITDA profitability .
- Trading setup: Near-term catalysts include ARPM ramp, Institutional bookings strength, and real-time AI (Nerdy app) roll-outs; watch Q3 revenue and margin progression vs guide and Q4 EBITDA inflection for multiple support .
- Model updates: Without S&P consensus data, anchor models to company guidance and call commentary (ARPM, Active Members, margin trajectory), with sensitivity to Institutional funding environment .
Appendix: Additional Q2 Press Releases
- Earnings results press release summarized above .
- Pre-announcement release (call details) .