II
InspireMD, Inc. (NSPR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record revenue of $2.523M (+39% YoY) on initial U.S. launch; sequential growth “over 40%” QoQ. Revenue beat Wall Street consensus ($1.760M*) and EPS was slightly better than expected (-$0.17 vs -$0.195*) .
- U.S. commercial launch contributed $0.497M with more than 100 U.S. procedures completed and favorable mix driving gross margin expansion to 34.2% (vs 22.9% YoY), a key profitability lever as U.S. scales .
- Initiated Q4 2025 revenue guidance of $2.5–$3.0M; international sales expected stable with sequential growth in U.S.; consensus sits at $2.6215M* .
- Cash and marketable securities rose to $63.4M (from $19.4M at 6/30) via a $40.1M PIPE and $17.9M milestone warrant exercise, providing runway to expand U.S. field force and commercialization .
- Near-term catalysts: ongoing U.S. account activation; TCAR milestones (CGUARDIANS II enrollment completion by year-end; potential approval mid-2026; integrated SwitchGuard/CGuard Prime TCAR solution targeted mid-2027); CREST-2 data presentations raising carotid intervention visibility .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong U.S. launch traction: “completed more than 100 cases in the U.S.”; management positioning CGuard Prime as a “workhorse” stent with a modest premium to CAS/TCAR pricing (hundreds of dollars, not thousands) .
- Mix-led gross margin expansion: GM rose to 34.2% (vs 22.9% YoY) as U.S. sales carry higher margins; management expects continued expansion as U.S. mix grows .
- Global demand intact: International revenue of $2.0M (+12% YoY) with >30 markets and accumulated real-world traction (approaching 70,000 implants sold to date) supporting global scale .
What Went Wrong
- Operating expenses rose 57% YoY to $13.9M on U.S. personnel expansion and headquarters costs; net loss widened to $12.7M (-$0.17/share) from $7.9M (-$0.16/share) YoY .
- Financial income decreased to $343k (from $572k) due to lower investment income and FX-related expenses, partly offsetting gross profit gains .
- Coverage remains thin: only two Street estimates for revenue and EPS, which can amplify estimate dispersion and post-print volatility* [GetEstimates].
Financial Results
Quarterly Performance (GAAP)
YoY Comparison (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)
Segment Breakdown (Q3 2025)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In the third quarter, we reached $2.5 million in total revenue, representing year-over-year growth of 39% and sequential growth of over 40%... driven by strong early momentum in the U.S.” — CEO, Marvin Slosman .
- “Gross margin increased to 34.2%... driven primarily by favorable revenue mix from our commercial launch in the U.S.... We expect continued expansion of gross margins in future quarters.” — CFO, Mike Lawless .
- “Our communication is that we're requesting a modest premium... in the hundreds of dollars, not thousands... we want it to be a workhorse stent.” — CCO, Shane Gleason .
- “For the fourth quarter, we expect sequential growth in U.S. sales... resulting in revenue of approximately $2.5–$3.0 million.” — CFO .
- “We are on track to complete [CGUARDIANS II] enrollment by the end of the year and potential approval anticipated in mid-2026... integrated TCAR solution... expected FDA clearance and launch in mid-2027.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Pricing and positioning: Modest premium to CAS/TCAR (hundreds of dollars) to enable “workhorse” usage, not limited to extreme cases .
- Account activation: Several accounts opened per rep in initial quarter; approvals occurring in “months, not quarters,” with reps present during early cases .
- Mix and margins: As U.S. becomes a larger share, margins expected to approach typical medtech levels over time (no formal numeric guidance) .
- Q4 guide parsing: Stable international with U.S. sequential growth underpinning $2.5–$3.0M total revenue .
- Field force: Scaling toward “more than 30” people exiting the year, mostly customer-facing roles; further expansion planned through 2026 .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025: Revenue $2.523M vs consensus $1.760M*; EPS -$0.17 vs -$0.195*. Clear revenue beat; EPS slightly better than expected [GetEstimates].
- Q2 2025: Revenue $1.778M vs $1.518M*; EPS -$0.26 in line with -$0.26* [GetEstimates].
- Q1 2025: Revenue $1.529M vs $1.452M*; EPS -$0.22 vs -$0.20* (worse than expected) [GetEstimates].
- Q4 2025: Company guided $2.5–$3.0M; consensus $2.6215M* — guidance range brackets Street expectations [GetEstimates].
Actual vs SPGI Consensus (Quarterly)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix-led operating leverage: U.S. revenue carries higher margins; early traction and guided sequential growth point to further GM expansion near term .
- Revenue inflection: Q3 print demonstrates demand elasticity and activation pace; guidance suggests a constructive Q4 setup with U.S. growth on top of stable OUS .
- Capitalized to execute: $63.4M cash/marketable securities supports field expansion, training, and clinical programs, reducing financing overhang risk near term .
- Clinical catalysts: TCAR pathway clarity (mid-2026, mid-2027) and tandem lesion feasibility progress expand TAM and narrative support into 2026–2027 .
- Watch OpEx discipline: Elevated spend is necessary for launch but scrutiny will shift to productivity per rep and OpEx scaling vs revenue ramp .
- Estimate resets likely: With a strong beat and guided Q4 range bracketing consensus, sell-side numbers for revenue and margin trajectory may move higher; coverage remains thin (2 estimates*), increasing sensitivity to new data [GetEstimates].
- Trading setup: Near-term catalysts include additional account wins, Q4 print vs guidance, and CREST-2 visibility; stock reaction likely driven by U.S. ramp pace, margin expansion, and clinical/regulatory milestones .