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NS

NORTECH SYSTEMS INC (NSYS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 was a weak print: net sales fell 20.6% YoY to $28.6M, gross margin compressed to 9.9%, and diluted EPS was ($0.54); adjusted EBITDA was a loss of ($0.585)M as defense program transfers were delayed pending customer approvals following the Blue Earth closure .
  • Management cited an approval bottleneck for defense transfers (Blue Earth → Bemidji) as the principal short-term headwind; they expect to clear the majority in Q2 2025 and highlighted at least $1.6M of annual cost savings from footprint optimization starting 2025 .
  • Backlog trended lower through 2H: 90‑day backlog was $30.1M (Q2), $29.6M (Q3), and $26.5M (Q4) as customers shortened lead times and reduced inventories; macro tariff uncertainty was discussed but exposure is mitigated by the maquiladora structure and near-shoring strategy .
  • Street estimates: S&P Global did not show a visible EPS or revenue consensus for Q4 2024; comparisons to consensus are therefore unavailable (S&P Global data).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Facility optimization completed; Maple Grove lease footprint reduced by 30% and Blue Earth consolidation expected to yield ≥$1.6M annual savings beginning 2025 .
    • Strategic repositioning toward higher-value fiber optics (EBX/AOX) and A&D capability expansion; Q4 call emphasized innovation pipeline and A&D adoption of ruggedized fiber solutions .
    • Organizational realignment (quoting/NPI engineering) to accelerate new business wins; management remains “very bullish on the future” despite near-term pressure .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Defense program transfer approvals delayed post-Blue Earth closure, depressing Q4 revenue and utilization; management anticipates clearing majority of approvals in Q2 2025 .
    • Gross margin contraction to 9.9% in Q4 (vs. 18.9% in Q4’23) on lower sales, reduced facility utilization, and transitional costs tied to the Blue Earth move .
    • Demand softness and inventory drawdowns at industrial and medical customers; backlog fell as buyers shortened lead times and reduced on‑hand inventory .

Financial Results

Quarterly progression (oldest → newest):

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Sales ($M)$33.9 $31.4 $28.6
Gross Profit ($M)$4.62 $3.84 $2.82
Gross Margin %12.2% 9.9%
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.05 ($0.27) ($0.54)
EBITDA ($M)$0.83 ($0.03) ($0.89)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$0.92 $0.14 ($0.585)
90‑day Backlog ($M)$30.1 $29.6 $26.5

YoY comparison for Q4:

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024Δ YoY
Net Sales ($M)$36.05 $28.62 (20.6%)
Gross Profit ($M)$6.83 $2.82 (58.7%)
Gross Margin %18.9% 9.9% (900 bps)
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$1.51 ($0.54) (205c)
EBITDA ($M)$3.19 ($0.89) (127.9%)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$3.19 ($0.585) (118.4%)

Non‑GAAP adjustments and items:

  • 2024 restructuring costs tied to Blue Earth closure: $304k in Q4; $571k for FY 2024; excluded from Adjusted EBITDA .
  • Q4 gross margin pressure primarily from lower sales/utilization and transitional costs from Blue Earth to Bemidji .

Segment breakdown:

  • No segment revenue breakdown provided in releases or call.

Guidance Changes

No formal quantitative guidance was issued. Management provided qualitative timing and structural updates:

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance/CommentaryChange
Defense transfer approvals2025n/aExpect to clear majority of approval backlog in Q2 2025 New disclosure
Facility optimization savings2025+n/a≥$1.6M annual run‑rate savings from 2025 (Maple Grove reduction, Blue Earth consolidation) New disclosure
Near‑term revenue headwind1H25n/aHeadwinds to persist into early 2025, decreasing through 1H25 New disclosure
Tariff exposure2025 outlookn/aMexico exposure mitigated (maquiladora; not importer of record); China exposure mainly components; pricing/sourcing adjustments as needed Clarification

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
AI/technology initiatives (EBX/AOX fiber)Strategy focus on capabilities; no detailed call in Q2 PR Emphasized EBX/AOX and IoT data pipelines; AI to drive productivity Reiterated EBX/AOX; digital diagnostics; AI to streamline processes Increasing strategic emphasis
Supply chain/near‑shoringWorking with customers to reduce lead times; near‑shoring benefits Customers shortening lead times; backlog down Continued shorter lead times; backlog down; transfer delays hurt revenue Persistent tightening, impacting backlog
Tariffs/macroNot highlighted in Q2 PR Not a focal point in Q3 callDetailed discussion: tariff uncertainty; mitigants via maquiladora and in‑country build New macro headwind monitoring
Facility optimizationMinnesota footprint optimization; savings in 2025+ On track; Maple Grove -30% Activities “behind us”; ≥$1.6M annual savings Executed; benefits 2025
Product performance/A&DQ2 PR general commentary YTD A&D growth noted A&D hit in Q4 due to approvals; confidence in 2H25 normalization Temporary setback; medium‑term positive
R&D execution/fiber opticsStrategic investment continued EBX/AOX detailed EBX/AOX capabilities reiterated; benefits in harsh/EMI environments Consistent buildout

Management Commentary

  • Strategic posture and long‑term confidence: “A key takeaway … we are very bullish on the future of Nortech and continue to make investments to accelerate long term growth.”
  • Near‑term headwinds and timing: “Fourth quarter net sales were unexpectedly impacted by the timing of our defense customers’ approvals… We anticipate clearing the majority of this approval backlog during the second quarter of 2025.”
  • Cost structure optimization: “We recently completed a 30% reduction in our Maple Grove lease space… will result in at least $1,600,000 in annual savings in 2025 and beyond.”
  • Tariff mitigation: “Nortech is not the importer of record into the United States for goods produced in Mexico… This reduces our direct exposure to these tariffs.”
  • Innovation focus: “Technology like our EBX smart cables helps collect and distribute this data faster… Our pivot to more fiber optic technology improves product performance… and aligns with sustainability goals.”

Q&A Highlights

  • There were no analyst questions on the Q4 2024 call; the operator closed the Q&A without questions .
  • No additional guidance clarifications were provided beyond prepared remarks .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for NSYS Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was not available via our query; therefore, we cannot provide beat/miss versus Street for this quarter (S&P Global data).
  • With no consensus, investors should anchor on management’s qualitative timing (approval clearance by Q2 2025) and the quantified cost‑savings run‑rate for forward modeling .

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
90‑day Backlog ($M)$30.1 $29.6 $26.5
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$0.919 $0.143 ($0.585)

Other balance sheet notes:

  • Cash at 12/31/24: $0.916M; borrowing capacity under LOC at Q4: $6.3M (amended in March 2025) .

Other Relevant Q4‑Period Press Releases

  • Oct 8, 2024: Expansion of PCBA capabilities with IPC‑J‑STD‑001 Space Addendum certification, enhancing A&D credentials for high‑reliability assemblies .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near‑term trough dynamics: Q4 revenue/margins compressed on defense approval delays and lower utilization; management expects sequential improvement as approvals clear into Q2 2025 .
  • Structural cost tailwind: ≥$1.6M saved annually starting 2025 from footprint optimization should support EBITDA recovery as volumes normalize .
  • Demand/backlog watch: 90‑day backlog trended down across Q2→Q4 as customers shortened lead times; order pace stabilization is a key near‑term indicator .
  • Mix and innovation optionality: Fiber optics (EBX/AOX) and A&D capability expansion provide medium‑term mix uplift potential once approvals normalize and programs ramp .
  • Tariff risk monitored, mitigated: Mexico exposure structurally reduced via maquiladora model; China exposure more component‑driven with pricing/sourcing levers .
  • Modeling cue: With no Street consensus, anchor forecasts to Q4 run‑rate plus phased defense approvals in Q2 2025 and cost savings; watch Q1/Q2 2025 commentary on approvals, backlog, and margins .
  • Trading setup: Stock likely most sensitive to (1) tangible approval clearances, (2) backlog stabilization, and (3) evidence of gross margin recovery as utilization improves .

Citations:

  • Q4 2024 8‑K/Press Release:
  • Q4 2024 Earnings Call:
  • Q3 2024: Press Release and Call:
  • Q2 2024: Press Release: