Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

Navigator Holdings - Earnings Call - Q3 2021

November 30, 2021

Transcript

Speaker 0

Thank you for standing by, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Navigator Holdings Conference Call on the Third Quarter twenty twenty one Financial Results. We have with us Mr. Doug Van Appen, Chairman Mr. Niall Nolan, Chief Financial Ivan Lindemann, Chief Commercial Officer and Mr.

Michael Schwerder, Operating Officer of the company. Answer session. I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today. And now I pass the floor to one of your speakers, Mr. Dag von Appel.

Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 1

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Navigator third quarter earnings call. As we conduct today's conference call, we will be making various forward looking statements. These statements include, but are not limited to, future expectations, plans and prospects from both a financial and operational perspective. These forward looking statements are based on management assumptions, forecasts and expectations as of today's date and are, as such, subject to material risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ significantly from our forward looking information and financial forecast.

Additional information about these factors and assumptions are included in our annual and quarterly reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Today's call will include comments from our senior executive team running the company, which is Johann Nolan, our Chief Financial Officer Oeyvind Lindemann, our Chief Commercial Officer and Michael Schroeder, our Chief Operating Officer. First, I would like to thank everyone in the company for their exceptional dedication and support during the very busy third quarter. It's been hard work running operations whilst completing the merger between Navigator and Ultragaz. When we originally set out to merge these two companies, we could only have hoped that our first quarter of combined operations would be as positive as is evidenced today and that our two teams would work very well together.

This has been our best quarter since 2016, and the Board and I look forward to further synergies being extracted from the merger during coming months, and I also expect an improving gas tanker market going forward. I'm honored to be both a shareholder of Navigator Gas since early August and the Chairman of the company since September. I can, with confidence, say we find ourselves in a unique position in the global gas and petrochemical logistics market because we are the maritime link that connects the global petrochemical industry. What interested us in merging Ultragaz into Navigator was the unique opportunity to become a larger and integral global logistics provider to our customers, the producers and end users of the products we transport. I have reaffirmed my impression of its staff, highly competent gas experts, always pushing the status quo with the Ultragaz team and its vessels complementing very well with Navigate, and in particular, experiencing firsthand the company's close relationship with Cree with key stakeholders, such as our joint venture partner Enterprise, Krauser Partners and other companies like Energy Transfer.

Working closer with midstream companies, producers and end users will be immensely important for the company going forward. One thing is clear: reducing commoditization of shipping through long term industrial partnerships, underpinned by safe, reliable and efficient terminal and shipping logistics, is the way forward in our journey to become a more efficient, cost effective and profitable company. In addition, we shall increasingly focus on innovation, finding effective solutions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions for our company and our customers. I would especially like to thank our former Chairman, David Butters, who resigned during the period after leading Navigator Gas for fifteen years and developed Navigator into the leading company in our segment. David's oversight and guidance to the Board and myself has been invaluable.

It is in part thanks to his legacy and vision that we are able to present today's improving results. In addition, we would like to thank our former CEO, Doctor. Harry Deans, who oversaw the Ultragaz and Navigator Gas merger during his tenure and has left the company to pursue new ventures. The Board and I wish him well going forward. Today, the company is in the very experienced and seasoned hands of our senior executive committee members, Niall, Oeibent and Michael.

Finally, let me say I'm very excited to be part of the larger and stronger Navigator Gas and will, to the best of my capabilities, give guidance for the interesting journey ahead. With that, I would like to hand the call over to Omid Lindemann, Chief Commercial Officer of Navigator Gas, who will take you through the relevant commercial matters of the past third quarter. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Dan, and good morning, everyone. As you will see from our third quarter statement, this has been our best quarterly result since the 2016 and the sixth consecutive positive quarter in a row. This is exceptional achievement for the company and represents the significant work we've done to complete our merger and synergize our two businesses. Looking at our financials. During the quarter, we have posted a quarterly net income of $6,700,000 or $0.10 earnings per share.

Our operating revenue has increased to $102,700,000 and our EBITDA has increased significantly to $40,300,000 This performance is in spite of industry headwinds, which we faced during the quarter, just kept our utilization stubbornly flat around the mid-eighty percent level into the third quarter and continued impact of the Texas freeze earlier in the year. In addition to these headwinds, The U. S. Ethylene arbitrage to international markets narrowed during August due to domestic inventory build as a precautionary action prior to the annual hurricane season during the late summer. Thankfully, the ethylene industry experienced minimal impact from the various hurricanes that made landfall with the domestic price adjusting downward.

Ethylene export volumes picked up towards the end of the quarter and the joint venture Marine Export Terminal posted its best three months since it became operational January 2020. As many of you are aware, this quarter saw the completion of the cashless business and fleet merger with Ultragaz on August 4. Of the 18 vessels, 11 continued to be managed in the Unigas Pool and the seven Handysize semi refrigerated vessels seamlessly joined the Navigator managed fleet. One smaller 1999 built vessel was subsequently sold. With the merger now complete, we are now seeing the combined company better positioned to offer flexibility and logistics service to our customers due to our broader platform of homogenous vessels.

We are also starting to see an impact in terms of utilization as we are more likely to have a vessel in the right place at the right time, avoiding post merger unnecessary ballast days. Looking ahead, the fourth quarter to date is showing a strong utilization at around the 90% level. The market assessment by third party ship brokers have turned from negative to positive in September and is now trending upwards. This is illustrated on Page 14 in the supplementary presentation. There are four key factors driving this positive change.

First, there is more ammonia needing to be transported on handysize vessels. At the beginning of the year, we had two handysize vessels on time charters for the transportation of ammonia. Today, we have doubled our contracts on our four vessels in this trade. These two vessels were trading LPG in the past and other handysize vessels are therefore needed to fill the gas. Secondly, U.

S. Ethane continues to be competitively priced. It attracts international buyers wanting to transfer transfer the competitiveness to their own production facilities overseas. We are developing alongside new customers The U. S.

To Europe virtual pipelines and have contracted incremental ethane with a European oil major during the quarter. Moreover, ethane is not only shipped for the purpose of being used as feedstock. It is now also shipped to be used as energy. Several European customers are seeking to import American ethane to spike the natural gas stream, essentially selling ethane as natural gas and making a profit. Further, we announced early in the month three long term ethane charters for our medium sized gas carriers with our existing partner, Satellite, to connect The U.

S. With the cracker in China. That means that all of our four medium sized ethane carriers are now on time charters, which in total will be contributing $40,000,000 EBITDA on an annual basis. Thirdly, ethylene is finally flowing from our joint venture ethylene marine export terminal. We are set for a record throughput for November and healthy levels for December.

The total U. S. Exports of ethylene will therefore be in excess of our anticipated rule of thumb of 100,000 tons per month. Not only is the absolute volume of exports up, but the final destinations are changing. More than twothree of the volume is heading to the Far East, as seen on Page 15 of the pack.

This is an important change compared to the summer when most of the volume went to Europe. Voyages across The Pacific more than doubles the tonne mile demand for each tonne exported. This is clearly helpful for our utilization and market assessment. Finally, there is no let up in North American LPG exports. The continent is continuing its robust export program, consistently putting 4,500,000 tonnes of LPG per month on the water.

Today, the rig count is up from a low of two fifty in September 2020 to five fifty in September 2021. And the EIA is forecasting a 5,000,000 tonne incremental NGL production for next year. The forecasted total LPG exports for 2021 is expected to reach 51,000,000 metric tonnes of LPG, a 10% growth from last year, constituting 47% of the global seaborne LPG market. New inefficiencies impacting the larger gas carrier segments such as extensive delays in transiting the new Panama Canal delays the voyages by more than fifteen days, which increases the ton mile demand and which also helps rates. When the larger gas carriers do well, they compete less with the medium sized segment.

When the medium sized segment does well, they are less likely to look for LPG cargo opportunities in the Handysize segment. The less downward pressure through the gas carrier segments, the better, and we are seeing the positive impact of this today. It is important to note that in addition to less downward pressure from the larger ship size segments, we also see less encroachment within the Handysize segment. Today, all of our Luna Pool ethylene vessels are trading ethane or ethylene. This is the first time this has happened since it was launched since the pool was launched in April 2020.

It means that these vessels are not looking for LPG or other petrochemical cargoes, leaving the handysize semi refrigerated gas carriers to pursue these opportunities without interference. It also means that the smaller ethylene units in the 12,000 cubic class and below are doing better as the Lunar Pool vessels are less likely to look for smaller part cargoes. Therefore, looking ahead, our fundamentals look very encouraging, first that we expect another good quarter in this fourth quarter as we see less competition in the sector due to strong demand for LPG transportation and less competition within the handysize subsegments. Incremental ammonia handysize demand, continued robust ethane export both to Europe and to Asia, the joint venture ethylene marine export terminal has kicked into action as U. S.

Ethylene prices are normalizing. Majority of ethylene demand is now coming from Asia, and the order book continues to be at a low level. Before I hand over to Nile for the financial commentary, I would like to highlight our efforts in pushing the frontiers for potential new business streams. The first being ammonia as fuel. The concept of ammonia as fuel has been brought to life due to the possibility of zero carbon emission energy, both for the vessel itself, but also for onshore use.

However, ammonia is highly toxic, which represents some challenges associated with the handling and application of ammonia's fuel. We have worked together with industry specialists such as DNVGL over the last two years and have finally been awarded an approval in principle. This means that we can confidently engage our customers and shipyards in the development of ammonia fueled vessels. The second is CO2 transportation. It is clear that carbon capture storage and sequestration

Speaker 3

have

Speaker 2

a role to play as a stepping stone to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Through our joint venture, Dan Unity, we have similarly, as with the previous example, been awarded an approval in principle by the American Bureau of Shipping for a containment system and ship design for the transportation of liquefied CO2.

Speaker 4

Both projects fit with our

Speaker 2

own strategic objective for industrial shipping, being the logistics partner directly with producers and end users. Both opportunities are project based, meaning long term contracts if and when successful. It also fits with our own ambitions to do the right thing about maritime emissions, reduce wherever and whenever possible. With those two remarks, I would like to hand over to our CFO, Mal Noven.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Oyvind, and good morning, everybody. As both Dijk and Oyvind have already mentioned, the company generated a net income of $6,700,000 for the third quarter twenty twenty one, the best result for almost five years. This $6,700,000 compares favorably to the $1,300,000 for the third quarter of last year and $300,000 for last quarter, the 2021. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $40,300,000 against $29,600,000 for the third quarter a year ago and $28,200,000 last quarter. Total operating revenue from the vessels during the quarter was $102,700,000 compared to $81,400,000 for the comparative period last year and $85,700,000 generated last quarter Q2 twenty twenty one.

The year on year increase in revenue was mainly achieved as a result of the additional vessels following the combining of the fleets of both Navigator and Ultragaz on August 4. Ultragaz's fleet consists of 18 vessels, seven of which are handysize 22,000 cubic meter semi refrigerated vessels, similar to those operated by Navigator, and 11 are smaller LPG or ethylene vessels between approximately 4,000 cubic meter and 12,000 cubic meter. These 11 smaller vessels are independently commercially managed by the Unigas pool, a well respected pool that has operated for over fifty years. Their contribution for the two months of Navigator ownership was $8,200,000 and is detailed separately on the face of the income statement. As well as additional vessels, part of the increase in revenue was generated as a result of increased utilization, which rose from 78.8% in Q3 twenty twenty to 84% this quarter, adding an additional $4,400,000 to revenue.

As I mentioned, we expect utilization to trend upwards in Q4 to at or above 90%. Average charter rates, however, reduced to approximately $21,900 a day or $666,000 per month from around $22,900 a day or 9 or $696,000 a month a year ago, which negatively impacted revenue on the quarter by $3,000,000 All vessels were in drydock for scheduled surveys during the third quarter, taking a total of one hundred and one days, thus reducing revenue. In total, 11 vessels have been drydocked during the nine months of 2021, the cost of which was approximately $15,300,000 Other than drydocking, the company does not have any planned capital maintenance. Operating revenue from the Luna Pool was $7,500,000 for the third quarter and represents our share of the other participants' revenues, whereas voyage expenses from the Luna pool of $4,800,000 represents the other participants' share of our revenues from the pool. Net net, we had a benefit of $2,700,000 from the pool during the third quarter.

Other voyage expenses increased by $2,200,000 during the third quarter to $16,800,000 from $14,600,000 for the third quarter of last year. And these are pass through costs reflected in increased revenue and primarily rose as a result of an increase in the price of bunkers for our vessels. Vessel operating expenses increased significantly to $34,900,000 for the third quarter from $27,200,000 for the third quarter of last year, but all of this increase was as a result of additional vessels in the fleet. In fact, vessel operating expenses per vessel per day reduced by $179 per day to $7,607 compared to $7,786 per day per vessel per day during the same quarter of last year. General and admin costs were $7,700,000 for the three months, an increase from $6,500,000 incurred during the third quarter of last year and was largely as a result of additional audit fees of $05,000,000 and the additional $600,000 or $600,000 of G and A costs associated with Ultragaz.

Other revenue was $98,000 for the third quarter and represents management fees received from the other participant of our management of the Luna Pool. Interest expense for the third quarter was $10,400,000 11% up on the third quarter of last year, all of which was as a result of interest on the additional debt taken on as part of the Ultragaz transaction. That debt amounted to approximately $200,000,000 and attracts interest at U. S. LIBOR, which is the subject of a fixed rate swap of around 2% and the bank margin, which varies between 1.92.65%.

Our share of results from the ethylene terminal was a profit of $3,300,000 for the quarter based on 128,400,000 sorry, 128,400 tons of ethylene throughput. In addition, depreciation for the terminal was $1,400,000 giving an EBITDA of $4,700,000 for the quarter. On the balance sheet, the company had cash at September 30 of $105,800,000 and a further $30,200,000 available from undrawn revolving credit facilities associated with this with secured vessel loans, taking total available cash resources to $136,000,000 against a minimum liquidity covenant of a maximum of $50,000,000 Our total debt at September 30 grew to approximately $1,000,000,000 comprising loan facilities secured by our vessels of approximately seven eighty five million dollars which incorporates additional debt assumed as part of the Ultragaz transactions, the details of which are outlined in Page nine of the supplemental information presentation. A credit facility associated with the terminal of approximately $58,000,000 and two Norwegian bonds, which in aggregate amount to approximately $170,000,000 There is only one facility that matures next year, 2022, which is in for an amount of $50,000,000 and relates to three vessels. The new Ultragaz related debt consists of five bank loans secured on a total of 13 of the 18 acquired vessels.

The other five vessels are unencumbered. The bank loans, which in aggregate have biannual repayments of approximately $13,600,000 mature from June 2026 to December 2029. As part of the transaction process, we renegotiated the financial covenants on these bank loans to conform with those of Navigator, namely minimum liquidity, as referred to a moment ago, and debt to total capitalization ratio. There There is also a requirement to maintain minimum security vessel values ratio under each facility, consistent with Navigator bank loan facilities. Since the completion of the Ultragaz transaction on August 4, we have sold one of the older acquired vessels, the Happy Bride, a 1999 built 6,400 cubic meter LPG carrier to a third party for $4,750,000 and the sale was completed on October 12.

At September 30, the total book value of the assets of the company was $2,200,000,000 comprising of 55 vessels and the 50% ownership in the Marine Export Terminal in Houston. There were 77,200,000.0 shares in issue following the issue of 21,200,000.0 shares as consideration for the UltrasGas businesses and assets. Thank you. And I will now hand you back to the operator, Sharon, who will open the call for questions.

Speaker 0

Thank you. Your first question today comes from the line of Sean Morgan from Evercore. So

Speaker 5

on Slide 11, I appreciate clear presentation of upcoming maturities, but it does sort of raise the question, we're about

Speaker 3

a month out from 2022,

Speaker 5

and then we'll start kind of rolling these 2023 maturities into the current portion of debt. So is there a strategy for potentially extending some of those 2023 maturities, especially with kind of rates at low levels right now?

Speaker 4

Yes. We're already looking at refinancing those. There are a number of well, there's three bank loan facilities in there, which we are looking at and the Norwegian kroner bond. So we are developing a strategy to refinance those early part of next year.

Speaker 5

Okay. And is there any kind of make whole or early repayment provisions that we should be kind of thinking about on those? Or are they or can you kind of take them out without any kind of punitive payment to the debt holders?

Speaker 4

There is well, there two things. The bank loans, can repay at any time without any penalty. The bond is now callable at 102.84 since earlier this month and goes till next November. And thereafter, it falls to slightly over 101 of par. So they are all callable.

Speaker 5

All right. And then another area that I think contributes a lot to the bottom line is the Marine Terminal joint venture, which has been a little bit difficult to forecast. I mean the volumes have kind of varied quarter by quarter. And the last 4Q was pretty weak relative to 3Q, and I think that may have been kind of environmentally related with storms and whatnot. But should

Speaker 2

we be expecting a continued ramp into 4Q? Or is

Speaker 5

there any seasonality that might dampen that in terms of the export terminal in Texas?

Speaker 2

Sean. It's an appropriate question. And the answer is yes. The terminal for fourth quarter is ramping up more than what we've seen earlier in the year for the reasons we discussed. So the volumes are definitely up.

Mean, we're two months in and prospects for December looking healthy as well. So we expect the terminal to kick in and produce.

Speaker 5

Okay. And are the results kind of linearly related with the volumes? Or is there like a commodity or component that can kind of be additive to what we saw in 3Q with the strong

Speaker 2

It's more of a linear these are fixed fees terminal contracts. So they are not linked to any sort of arbitrage or product pricing. Now any spot opportunity will have a different rate and potentially have a higher rate and the terminal can earn more. But as you recall, 94% of the terminal nameplate terminal capacity of 1,000,000 tonnes is contracted at various rates. So it's the less it's what we can produce in addition to, which is potentially icing on the cake and you can derive more value depending on what the arbitrage is.

Okay. So that 6% would be quality? Yes, that's nameplate. So in November, the terminal proved, I mean, we've been talking about it for the last twelve, twenty four months, but the concept of having exports above nameplate capacity is definitely real. And for November, it was 10%, 15% of what is nameplate capacity.

Speaker 6

Yes. Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 4

Thanks, John.

Speaker 0

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Ben Nolan from Stifel. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hi. Actually, good morning, everyone. I wanted to follow a little bit on Sean's question there. Now is it possible you mentioned just now that in November you were 10% to 15% above nameplate. How should we think about is there a way to frame in the economic impact of what the spot cargoes might be?

Or how much extra benefit from an EBITDA perspective or whatever you might get from the terminal when it is running above its contracted volume?

Speaker 2

I mean, we in conversations with our joint venture partner and also our own budgets and the terminal budget is really based on nameplate capacity of the 1,000,000 tonnes. So we see that it will bring fruit of what we've been saying before about $25,000,000 EBITDA for our share. And then any additional tonnes is over and beyond that. So it's still marginal impact. But if we can squeeze out the handy cargo per month extra or 20,000 tons extra above what we have contracted in the throughput agreements, then of course, a, the terminal reached higher revenue, but more importantly perhaps is the big kicker for the utilization and rates in the handysize ethylene space.

Yes, we kind of base our expectations on the forecasted nameplate and anything above that we take as a bonus.

Speaker 7

Okay. But at this point, there's no way to sort of quantify that yet?

Speaker 2

Because we're talking for next year, we don't know I mean, it hasn't materialized yet, right? What we have in the books today contracted will be the those 94%, 95% of nameplate capacity, and that's contracted. And anything above that in the future will be a bonus.

Speaker 7

Okay. So shifting gears a little bit, Niall, one of the things that I believe you guys were sorting out with respect to the merger with Ultragaz was how to think about the useful life of the assets from a depreciation and accounting standpoint. If I'm not mistaken, they were on a two different basis useful life. Any color as to how you're thinking about handling that going forward?

Speaker 4

I think, Ben, I think that conversation probably started within Navigator prior to any involvement with Ultragaz. And as you will be aware, we have historically depreciated our assets, our vessels over thirty years. And I guess if the lockdown has thought of anything of the last two years, it is the escalation in views about conservation and environmental. And I think that conversation or that trend created a conversation within internally as to whether really our vessels can continue for thirty years. Technically, they would be capable, but they are clearly less efficient than modern day vessels.

And particularly, I'm thinking of the five planets, as we call them, the original five Navigator vessels. So that discussion is ongoing and we will conclude it by the end of the year. But it would not be unreasonable to consider that we would reassess the useful economic life, as it's called, from thirty years to twenty five years.

Speaker 7

Okay. And then two more, although one is real quick. So just quickly, do you have any update on the Navigator Neptune? I know that it had some there was a fire or something and it was looks like it's still in repairs, but when should we expect that? But then the other question is, when you talked about sort of the four points that were driving utilization in rates higher ammonia, ethane, ethylene and LPG.

As you look at those, how much of that do you think is just a function of good pricing for resulting in arbitrage windows being open or demand for ethane because LNG is so expensive or whatever? And how much of that do you think is a structural shift that is not necessarily exclusively price dependent?

Speaker 2

Yes. So I'll take the second question first, Ben. Fundamentally,

Speaker 4

in The U. S,

Speaker 2

ethane is cheap because of the production. NGL production is increasing. There's more rig count. So if you look at one of the graphs we had in the presentation, you can see that ethane is declining in price, which makes it even more competitive. And that underpins, first and foremost, ethane exports, which we are actually doing quite a bit off.

So I think that is not arbitrage dependent because all the people we talk to expect ethane to remain competitive. So I think that is a structural thing that will continue. And if that is the case, then the ethylene coming from U. S. Should, for the

Speaker 1

long

Speaker 2

term, be competitive to international pricing. It's a little bit more price sensitive than ethane globally, but the production is there in The U. S. If the airtime as a feedstock is cheap and competitive, The U. S.

Producers will run their crackers to their max. If they can reap value from exporting that excess production, they will. The terminal is there to offer that optionality for The U. S. Producers, and we are there to as partners to ship it out.

So I think ethane is going to be there no matter what. Ethylene as well, although slightly more price sensitive. However, the terminal throughput agreements are there, hello, high water. The LPG part, and I think the point I was making, perhaps more for price sensitive because U. S.

Have increasing production, the domestic consumption of LPG in U. S. Remains stable, so it needs to be exported. The point with LPG is that when the larger ships are doing well, which they are today, there's less downward pressure towards the Handysize LPG business. And I think that remains as long as the VLGCs, the very large gas carriers, the medium gas carriers are doing what they're supposed to do and not looking towards smaller cargoes that we do on the handysize.

So I think that structure is there. We are seeing it now. It hasn't for the LPG, hasn't been there until now. But the forecast for LPG exports from The U. S.

And the canal delays in Panama is has such a tremendous impact to push rates and utilization up for the larger segments that is very meaningful for us. And ammonia is not price sensitive as such. It's a fundamental need for copper production and is more industrial linked whereby you have production consumption long term. So kind of slightly different fundamentals going. It's a long winded answer, I hope I answered some of your questions.

I mean, all the four points we talked I mentioned, ammonia, LPG, E10 and ethylene, the stars are aligned today and for December, and our forecast for next year is same. So we have a pretty robust opinion here at Navigator going forward with a slight caveat being this Omnicom new variant and what's going to happen with that, but time is too early to tell.

Speaker 7

Great. And the Neptune?

Speaker 6

Yes. Maybe I can take that question. Ben, my name is Michael Schroeder. The Neptune, as you well mentioned, had a main engine fire in June. It was an extensive fire, which took quite a while to repair By now, repairs have almost completed.

The vessel is currently navigating to China, where it will get installed the last piece of equipment, which is an alternator. And we expect that the vessel should be ready to resume operations by around the December 18, so still within this year. But that's very much the situation of the vessel.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from Randy Giveans from Jefferies. Go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 8

Howdy, team navigator. How's it going?

Speaker 4

Good, Randy. How are you?

Speaker 2

Hey, Randy.

Speaker 8

Great, great. So you mentioned record kind of throughput for the ethylene terminal. I'm assuming that's around 90,000 tons for November. Was there something special about that month? Or could December be in that similar range?

Speaker 2

There was nothing special in November aside from ethane being cheap and Europeans and Far Eastern consumers wanting ethylene. So we've been talking about this normalization of domestic ethylene pricing, which is what you're seeing. So there's nothing extraordinary about November. Is as it should be. December is slightly less.

Why? Frankly, it's because all the ethylene ships, the Lunar Pool ships and other competing ships are moving away from Europe discharged to Asia for November. And then are back because it takes two months to get back to U. S. After you're loaded.

And of course, then you're skipping of December, right? So there's actually a squeeze, a little squeeze on ship capability for December, parts of December, which is quite interesting and, of course, positive for Navigator. So nothing special in November, as per normal. December, slightly less. But I guess people go on holidays too, I don't know.

But that's the story.

Speaker 8

Good. Well, hey, that's it for me. Thanks again and congrats on the solid quarter. Thanks, Brady.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Mick Linane from Safton.

Speaker 3

I had two. The first one was, is there any impact or roughly what is the impact in TCE rate just from the change as a result of the merger? Like does that sort of push down a bit the average TCE rate we should expect, all things equal?

Speaker 2

So I think if you I don't know if you've seen the supplementary pack. But if you look at Page 14, you can see the Clarksons twelve month charter assessment, which we use as a barometer for the health of at least LPG part of Handysize. So you can see that it was steadily declining from May, June, July, August and September. And the merger happened in August on the fourth. And of course, the industry was trending downwards at that time.

And we alone with Navigator and Ultragaz cannot magically turn by ourselves. It, of course, is helpful to have a consolidated segment and company. But you can see that the rates then turn from since August into October. So the increase in freight rates, at least with the opinion of third party ship brokers, didn't happen until a month or two after. And that is why in the third quarter, the rates didn't move up, if that makes sense.

So really what happened then in beginning of fourth quarter was this effect that our ethylene ships were doing ethylene. They were not competing within the handysize segment for LPG cargoes. We have more ammonia on the books, squeezing the middle squeezing the middle, meaning that the LPG part of our business, the semi refrigerated ships, were left alone to do what they're supposed to be. So there was more structure and discipline both in the ships above handysize but also within. And that kicked in post merger and is what we've kind of been seeing in the early parts of fourth quarter, and the rates then upturned according to Clarksons.

Speaker 4

Okay. And then sorry, just for clarity, Michael, the rates that we quoted, the TCE rates of $21,900 a day or $22,900 a day do not include the 11 ships in the Unigas pool because you are right, I suspect that was the true part of

Speaker 2

the thrust of your question. Yes.

Speaker 4

That if they the smaller ships were contributing into the average TCE rate, it would naturally bring them down because they clearly Okay.

Speaker 3

But you're exploiting something that's like for like. But they

Speaker 4

do we try to make it like relatively like for like and that the seven vessels of the handysize semi revs are included. So there is a slight dilution because they are semi refs rather than ethylene capable, and therefore, there's a slightly less charter rate, but it would not be typically significant. Okay.

Speaker 3

And just my other question was what's currently kind of the utilization of the Pembina and Repana terminals? Has that sort of reached a stable level now? Or would that you would expect the utilization of those two to increase a bit more in future?

Speaker 2

The Pembina Terminal in Prince Rupert, West Coast, Canada is limited in the throughput that they can do. So today, they have we have five Handysize ships trading or loading LPG from that terminal, which is kind of max because there are physical restrictions with local storage on-site, the rail capacity, but perhaps more importantly, daylight restrictions to enter the channel combined with tides. So

Speaker 4

there

Speaker 2

are certain points in time that you can go in and out depending if you're laden or not. So those things are restricting the capacity that they can take out from that terminal. Today, I think they're kind of running at max with five vessels continuously loading, Unless they do some modification or the navigation going in and out is changed by the local port authority, I think that will remain.

Speaker 3

And Rapuno, what's Yes. Size of

Speaker 2

So Repauno, we're exporting from in the summer. They started up in April, and they did a bunch of handysize LPG export cargoes until September. Then they are using the terminal as more of a they break bulk, they sell domestically because pricing in The States are quite high for Repauno. They have communicated to us that they will recommence exports to international markets from April again. So it's kind of it seems to me the first year of operation is more of a seasonal play.

Speaker 3

Okay. So that may be an ongoing pattern that it's used as an export facility for some part of

Speaker 5

the year and for the

Speaker 3

rest, it's more economic to use it for kind of storage trading?

Speaker 2

At least for the first year, they also have their own ambitions to continuously export larger volumes, but we will see for 2022. They stated that they will come back and export again from April.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thanks a lot for that.

Speaker 0

Thank you. I will now hand the call back for any closing remarks.

Speaker 4

I think that then concludes the call. Thank you all for participating, and we will see you again for the fourth quarter in due course. Thank you very much, and goodbye.

Speaker 0

Thank you. That does conclude today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect.