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Navitas Semiconductor Corp (NVTS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue was $14.5M, down 29% year over year and up 3% sequentially; GAAP loss from operations improved to $(21.7)M; non-GAAP loss from operations improved to $(10.6)M .
- Management pivoted focus toward AI data centers and energy infrastructure, announced a collaboration with NVIDIA on next-gen 800V data centers, a new 200mm GaN foundry partner (Powerchip), and raised ~$100M (net $97M) to fund development; cash rose to $161.2M .
- Q3 2025 guidance calls for revenue of $10.0M ± $0.5M, non-GAAP gross margin ~38.5% ± 50 bps, and non-GAAP OpEx ~$15.5M, reflecting China tariff risks and a more selective mobile strategy; weighted average share count expected ~214M .
- Consensus estimates from S&P Global for Q2 and Q3 were unavailable at query time; compare trajectory vs prior quarters and company guidance. S&P Global consensus unavailable.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strategic repositioning: “We are sharpening our focus on AI data centers and energy infrastructure… We raised $100 million… and announced a new 8” lower-cost GaN foundry relationship… to address this fast growing market” .
- AI data center ecosystem momentum: NVIDIA selected Navitas to collaborate on next-gen 800V data centers across three conversion stages, with final engineering samples expected in Q4 and volume production in 2027 .
- Liquidity strengthened: Cash and cash equivalents increased to $161.2M on capital raise; no debt; OpEx reductions sequentially improved non-GAAP operating loss .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line pressure and mix headwinds: Revenue fell to $14.5M vs $20.5M year over year, driven by lower China EV/industrial demand and tariff uncertainty; GAAP gross margin was negative due to amortization and reserves .
- China SiC inventory reserve: ~$3.174M reserve on U.S.-produced SiC given tariff risk, weighing GAAP gross margin; non-GAAP GM held at 38.5% .
- Near-term outlook downshift: Q3 revenue guidance $10.0M ± $0.5M reflects tariff risk and de-emphasis of lower-margin mobile; margins steady but scale delayed to late 2026/2027 for 800V AI data center ramp .
Financial Results
Notes:
- GAAP gross margin was negative in Q2 2025 largely due to amortization of intangibles and the China SiC inventory reserve; non-GAAP excludes amortization, SBC, reserves .
- Weighted average shares increased following ~20M shares issued (net proceeds $97M) in Q2; Q3 share count guided to ~214M .
Segment breakdown: The company does not report by segment; commentary indicates GaN mobile/consumer/appliance, SiC for EV/industrial/energy, and growing AI data center content .
KPIs (selected non-GAAP):
- Non-GAAP OpEx: $16.1M in Q2 (R&D $9.2M, SG&A $6.9M), down from $17.2M in Q1 .
- Non-GAAP GM: 38.5% in Q2 vs 38.1% in Q1 .
Guidance Changes
Drivers of change:
- Revenue guidance lowered due to China tariff risks impacting SiC and a more selective approach to lower-margin mobile .
- GM steady given consistent mix in near term; OpEx trending down with streamlining .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are sharpening our focus on AI data centers and energy infrastructure… We estimate that GaN and SiC technologies can support a 100x increase in server rack power capacity… $2.6B market potential by 2030.” — Gene Sheridan, CEO .
- “We currently expect revenue of $10.0 million ± $0.5 million… adverse impacts from China tariff risks… deprioritize lower margin China Mobile business… transition toward AI data center and energy infrastructure markets.” — Todd Glickman, CFO .
- “By bringing up eight inches, that gets you 80% more die per wafer… we’ll have a lot of capacity, no shortages or supply chain issues.” — Gene Sheridan on Powerchip .
- “We still have our same long-term margin model north of 50 points… AI data center and the energy infrastructure markets should be very high value.” — Gene Sheridan on margin trajectory .
Q&A Highlights
- Transition trajectory: Expect “softer quarters” over next 1–2 quarters as mobile dependence is reduced; layering in 48V data center wins through 2026; 800V data center opportunity heavily 2027 .
- Mobile strategy: De-emphasizing mainstream 45–65W China chargers; refocus on ultrafast 100W+ premium chargers (e.g., Xiaomi 90W) with better margins; revenue impact near term .
- Supply and foundry transition: Mid-voltage GaN sampling next quarter from Powerchip; high-voltage GaN continues from TSMC with 2-year supply; migration expected in late 2026; no supply constraints .
- Tariff risk quantification: China SiC tariff risk and inventory reserve largely a Q3 impact; equal-weight drivers include tariff headwinds, mobile strategy shift, and delayed ramps amid industry softness .
- Margin outlook: Non-GAAP GM guided flat at ~38.5% near term; step-up requires revenue inflection and mix shift toward AI/energy .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global for Q2 2025 and Q3 2025 were unavailable at query time. S&P Global consensus unavailable.
- Implications: In absence of external consensus, the company met its Q2 guidance on revenue and non-GAAP GM and guided Q3 revenue materially lower; sell-side models likely need to reduce near-term revenue and maintain gross margin assumptions given mix, while revisiting longer-term margin targets (>50%) as AI data center programs progress .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term caution: Revenue will likely trough in Q3 on China SiC tariff risk and intentional mobile mix shift; non-GAAP GM stable (~38.5%); OpEx down to ~$15.5M; liquidity strong at $161M cash and no debt .
- Strategic pivot to AI: NVIDIA collaboration and three-stage content (SST, 800V→48V DC/DC, 48V→processor DC/DC) position Navitas for materially higher content and margins in 2026–2027; final samples in Q4; supplier selections in 2026 .
- Manufacturing leverage: 200mm GaN with Powerchip and continuity at TSMC create capacity and cost advantages (80% more die/wafer), supporting margin expansion as AI ramps .
- Mobile recalibration: Focus on 100W+ premium chargers improves margin profile but reduces near-term revenue; mainstream China 45–65W exposure curtailed .
- Risk management: China tariff origin rules and market cyclicality remain key variables; management disclosed inventory reserve and risk factors clearly—monitor policy changes and regional mix .
- Timeline discipline: Expect 48V data center wins to contribute in 2026, with 800V systems primarily 2027; watch for Q4 engineering sample milestones and 2026 design selections .
- Trading setup: Momentum catalysts include AI ecosystem announcements, Q4 sample deliveries, and additional high-end mobile wins; stock likely sensitive to tariff headlines and data center qualification updates .