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NEXGEL, INC. (NXGL)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $2.81M, up 121% YoY and slightly above prior guidance (“at least $2.75M”), with gross margin rebounding to 42.4% from 37.2% in Q4 and 12.6% in Q1’24 .
- Both contract manufacturing and consumer brands contributed; Cintas orders continued with a Q2 reorder, while AbbVie’s RESONIC launch was delayed again but was not material to guidance .
- Results modestly beat S&P Global consensus: revenue $2.806M vs $2.725M estimate and EPS ($0.09) vs ($0.10) estimate; Q4 2024 also beat revenue and EPS consensus* .
- Management reaffirmed 2025 guidance: at least $13M revenue and a transition to positive EBITDA/cash flow during the year; Q1 margins benefited from classification changes and non-recurring Q4 write-offs not repeating .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Gross margin normalization: “Gross margins returned to the low to mid-40’s” (42.4% in Q1 vs 37.2% in Q4’24; 43.6% in Q3’24) .
- Pipeline and customer traction: Continued Cintas shipments and a Q2 reorder; expanding interest in U.S.-made gels amid tariff dynamics .
- Reaffirmed full-year outlook: “We remain confident in…$13 million in revenue and…positive EBITDA during the year” .
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What Went Wrong
- AbbVie delay: RESONIC machine launch was pushed again (now targeted to late 2025/early 2026), though guidance assumed only minor 2025 contribution .
- Tariff uncertainty: While manageable at ~35%, management outlined contingencies (inventory build, potential Texas assembly) if rates were to spike materially .
- SG&A intensity: Q1 SG&A increased YoY due to compensation, stock-based comp, marketing/Amazon fees, and professional services, partially offset by lower franchise taxes and insurance .
Financial Results
Values with * are from S&P Global and may not have document citations. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Performance vs S&P Global Consensus
Values with * are from S&P Global and may not have document citations. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Select Segment Trends (qualitative KPIs)
Growth Context
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Revenue for the first quarter came in slightly higher than our previously issued guidance, totaling $2.81 million, an increase of 121% year-over-year.”
- “Gross margins returned to the low to mid-40’s… [and] our EBITDA loss continued to narrow.”
- “We have already received our first reorder [from Cintas] for deliveries in Q2.”
- “Regarding AbbVie… launch… pushed again… unrelated to NEXGEL… revenue we had for AbbVie was relatively minor” .
- “We do not see a need to change our guidance of $13 million in revenue and achieving cash flow positivity in 2025.” .
- “At a 34–35% [tariff] rate, the impact is minimal… we are exploring… Texas [assembly] if [tariffs] return to… abnormally high.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance sensitivity to AbbVie: Management assumed only a minor AbbVie contribution in 2025; delay should not affect $13M outlook .
- STADA pipeline: Additional digestive enzyme launches planned in Q4’25 and Q1’26; exploring synergistic products aligned with Medagel .
- Consumer brand optimization: Despite seasonal softness, Q1 was the most profitable quarter for Silly George due to marketing optimization .
- Tariffs/inventory/capacity: Inventory built to buffer tariff volatility; Texas clean room provides assembly contingency; manageable at ~35% tariffs .
- Financing: Preference to avoid debt or convertibles until EBITDA positive; expect achieving quarterly EBITDA positivity to be durable once reached .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025: Revenue $2.806M vs $2.725M estimate (beat); EPS ($0.09) vs ($0.10) estimate (beat)* .
- Q4 2024: Revenue $3.041M vs $2.992M estimate (beat); EPS (~$0.096) vs ($0.13) estimate (beat)* .
- Consensus depth remains thin (one estimate), so revisions may be limited; reaffirmed FY outlook could support incremental estimate lifts if margins sustain low-to-mid 40s* .
Values with * are from S&P Global and may not have document citations. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Trajectory intact: NXGL delivered another quarter of triple-digit YoY growth with margins reverting to mid-40s, and modestly beat revenue/EPS consensus* .
- Mix and pipelines de-risk: Cintas reorder, STADA contract expansion, and ongoing new product launches underpin the $13M FY revenue target .
- AbbVie optionality, not reliance: Launch timing pushed, but 2025 guide assumes minimal contribution, limiting downside risk .
- Margin stability: Amazon commission reclassification and absence of Q4’s one-time write-offs aid comparability and support sustained 40%+ gross margin .
- Tariff risk manageable: Inventory build and Texas clean room contingency mitigate adverse scenarios; U.S.-made hydrogels could gain share under higher tariff regimes .
- Liquidity discipline: Cash was $1.19M at Q1-end; management prefers to avoid leverage until EBITDA positive, with potential non-dilutive options improving thereafter .
- Near-term catalysts: Publication of laser “plume” study, additional Cintas orders, STADA product cadence, and visibility on AbbVie timeline .
Notes and Sources:
- Q1 2025 8-K and press release: revenue, margins, EBITDA/Adj. EBITDA, net loss, cash, and guidance reaffirmation .
- Q1 2025 earnings call: segment growth, Cintas reorder, AbbVie timing, tariffs, STADA pipeline, financing stance .
- Prior quarters for trend: Q4 2024 8-K/press (record quarter, guidance, one-time write-offs), Q3 2024 8-K (record quarter, margin uptick) .
- Consensus estimates/actuals comparison from S&P Global*: Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 revenue/EPS [GetEstimates]. Values with * are from S&P Global and may not have document citations. Values retrieved from S&P Global.